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"Lin, Lixin"
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Multiple COVID-19 Waves and Vaccination Effectiveness in the United States
by
He, Daihai
,
Zhao, Yanji
,
Lin, Lixin
in
Coronaviruses
,
COVID-19 - epidemiology
,
COVID-19 - prevention & control
2022
(1) Background: The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused multiple waves of cases and deaths in the United States (US). The wild strain, the Alpha variant (B.1.1.7) and the Delta variant (B.1.617.2) of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) were the principal culprits behind these waves. To mitigate the pandemic, the vaccination campaign was started in January 2021. While the vaccine efficacy is less than 1, breakthrough infections were reported. This work aims to examine the effects of the vaccination across 50 US states and the District of Columbia. (2) Methods: Based on the classic Susceptible—Exposed—Infectious–Recovered (SEIR) model, we add a delay class between infectious and death, a death class and a vaccinated class. We compare two special cases of our new model to simulate the effects of the vaccination. The first case expounds the vaccinated individuals with full protection or not, compared to the second case where all vaccinated individuals have the same level of protection. (3) Results: Through fitting the two approaches to reported COVID-19 deaths in all 50 US states and the District of Columbia, we found that these two approaches are equivalent. We calculate that the death toll could be 1.67–3.33 fold in most states if the vaccine was not available. The median and mean infection fatality ratio are estimated to be approximately 0.6 and 0.7%. (4) Conclusions: The two approaches we compared were equivalent in evaluating the effectiveness of the vaccination campaign in the US. In addition, the effect of the vaccination campaign was significant, with a large number of deaths averted.
Journal Article
Reformulating lipid nanoparticles for organ-targeted mRNA accumulation and translation
2024
Fully targeted mRNA therapeutics necessitate simultaneous organ-specific accumulation and effective translation. Despite some progress, delivery systems are still unable to fully achieve this. Here, we reformulate lipid nanoparticles (LNPs) through adjustments in lipid material structures and compositions to systematically achieve the pulmonary and hepatic (respectively) targeted mRNA distribution and expression. A combinatorial library of degradable-core based ionizable cationic lipids is designed, following by optimisation of LNP compositions. Contrary to current LNP paradigms, our findings demonstrate that cholesterol and phospholipid are dispensable for LNP functionality. Specifically, cholesterol-removal addresses the persistent challenge of preventing nanoparticle accumulation in hepatic tissues. By modulating and simplifying intrinsic LNP components, concurrent mRNA accumulation and translation is achieved in the lung and liver, respectively. This targeting strategy is applicable to existing LNP systems with potential to expand the progress of precise mRNA therapy for diverse diseases.
Targeted delivery of mRNA using lipid nanoparticles is currently a challenge. Here, the authors examine the composition of LNPs and report changes to the standard formulation can address issues with liver accumulation and allow for increased tissue specific targeting.
Journal Article
Assessing the impact of Australia’s mass vaccination campaigns over the Delta and Omicron outbreaks
by
Stone, Lewi
,
M. Trauer, James
,
Demirhan, Haydar
in
Analysis
,
Australia
,
Australia - epidemiology
2024
The Australian Government implemented a national vaccination campaign against COVID-19 beginning February 22, 2021. The roll-out was criticised for being delayed relative to many high-income countries, but high levels of vaccination coverage were belatedly achieved. The large-scale Omicron outbreak in January 2022 resulted in a massive number of cases and deaths, although mortality would have been far higher if not for vigorous efforts to rapidly vaccinate the entire population. The impact of the vaccination coverage was assessed over this extended period.
We considered NSW, as the Australian jurisdiction with the highest quality data for our purposes and which still reflected the national experience. Weekly death rates were derived among individuals aged 50+ with respect to vaccine status between August 8, 2021 and July 9, 2022. We evaluated deaths averted by the vaccination campaign by modelling alternative counterfactual scenarios based on a simple data-driven modelling methodology presented by Jia et al. (2023).
Unvaccinated individuals had a 7.7-fold greater mortality rate than those who were fully vaccinated among people aged 50+, which rose to 11.2-fold in those who had received a booster dose. If NSW had fully vaccinated its ~2.9 million 50+ residents earlier (by July 28, 2021), only 440 of the total 3,495 observed 50+ deaths would have been averted. Up to July 9, 2022, the booster campaign prevented 1,860 deaths. In the absence of a vaccination campaign, ~21,250 COVID-19 50+ deaths (conservative estimate) could have been expected in NSW i.e., some 6 times the actual total. We also find the methodology of Jia et al. (2023) can sometimes significantly underestimate that actual number.
The Australian vaccination campaign was successful in reducing mortality over 2022, relative to alternative hypothetical vaccination scenarios. The success was attributable to the Australian public's high levels of engagement with vaccination in the face of new SARS-COV-2 variants, and because high levels of vaccination coverage (full and booster) were achieved in the period shortly before the major Omicron outbreak of 2022.
Journal Article
A Visual Fault Detection Algorithm of Substation Equipment Based on Improved YOLOv5
2023
The development of artificial intelligence technology provides a new model for substation inspection in the power industry, and effective defect diagnosis can avoid the impact of substation equipment defects on the power grid and improve the reliability and stability of power grid operation. Aiming to combat the problem of poor recognition of small targets due to large differences in equipment morphology in complex substation scenarios, a visual fault detection algorithm of substation equipment based on improved YOLOv5 is proposed. Firstly, a deformable convolution module is introduced into the backbone network to achieve adaptive learning of scale and receptive field size. Secondly, in the neck of the network, a simple and effective BiFPN structure is used instead of PANet. The multi-level feature combination of the network is adjusted by a floating adaptive weighted fusion strategy. Lastly, an additional small object detection layer is added to detect shallower feature maps. Experimental results demonstrate that the improved algorithm effectively enhances the performance of power equipment and defect recognition. The overall recall rate has increased by 7.7%, precision rate has increased by nearly 6.3%, and mAP@0.5 has improved by 4.6%. The improved model exhibits superior performance.
Journal Article
Two waves of COIVD-19 in Brazilian cities and vaccination impact
2022
Backgrounds
Brazil has suffered two waves of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The second wave, coinciding with the spread of the Gamma variant, was more severe than the first wave. Studies have not yet reached a conclusion on some issues including the extent of reinfection, the infection fatality rate (IFR), the infection attack rate (IAR) and the effects of the vaccination campaign in Brazil, though it was reported that confirmed reinfection was at a low level.
Methods
We modify the classical Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model with additional class for severe cases, vaccination and time-varying transmission rates. We fit the model to the severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) deaths, which is a proxy of the COVID-19 deaths, in 20 Brazilian cities with the large number of death tolls. We evaluate the vaccination effect by a contrast of \"with\" vaccination actual scenario and \"without\" vaccination in a counterfactual scenario. We evaluate the model performance when the reinfection is absent in the model.
Results
In the 20 Brazilian cities, the model simulated death matched the reported deaths reasonably well. The effect of the vaccination varies across cities. The estimated median IFR is around 1.2%.
Conclusion
Overall, through this modeling exercise, we conclude that the effects of vaccination campaigns vary across cites and the reinfection is not crucial for the second wave. The relatively high IFR could be due to the breakdown of medical system in many cities.
Journal Article
Hyperspectral Analysis of Soil Total Nitrogen in Subsided Land Using the Local Correlation Maximization-Complementary Superiority (LCMCS) Method
by
Xi, Xiuxiu
,
Wang, Yunjia
,
Teng, Jiyao
in
Algorithms
,
ASD FieldSpec spectroradiometers
,
Calibration
2015
The measurement of soil total nitrogen (TN) by hyperspectral remote sensing provides an important tool for soil restoration programs in areas with subsided land caused by the extraction of natural resources. This study used the local correlation maximization-complementary superiority method (LCMCS) to establish TN prediction models by considering the relationship between spectral reflectance (measured by an ASD FieldSpec 3 spectroradiometer) and TN based on spectral reflectance curves of soil samples collected from subsided land which is determined by synthetic aperture radar interferometry (InSAR) technology. Based on the 1655 selected effective bands of the optimal spectrum (OSP) of the first derivate differential of reciprocal logarithm ([log1/R]′), (correlation coefficients, p < 0.01), the optimal model of LCMCS method was obtained to determine the final model, which produced lower prediction errors (root mean square error of validation [RMSEV] = 0.89, mean relative error of validation [MREV] = 5.93%) when compared with models built by the local correlation maximization (LCM), complementary superiority (CS) and partial least squares regression (PLS) methods. The predictive effect of LCMCS model was optional in Cangzhou, Renqiu and Fengfeng District. Results indicate that the LCMCS method has great potential to monitor TN in subsided lands caused by the extraction of natural resources including groundwater, oil and coal.
Journal Article
Surface Deformation Monitoring and Analysis of the Bayan Obo Rare Earth Mining Area Using Dual-Ascending SBAS-InSAR Data Fusion
2026
The Bayan Obo Mining District, recognized as the largest rare-earth resource base worldwide, has experienced significant surface instability due to intensive mining and large-scale dumping activities. To address the challenges posed by complex geological conditions and mining-induced disturbances, this study employs dual-ascending Sentinel-1A C-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) datasets (Path 11 and Path 113) and applies the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique to retrieve time-series deformation along the line-of-sight (LOS) direction for each track. Through temporal normalization and spatial matching, paired LOS observations from the two tracks were established. Based on the SAR observation geometry and under the assumption that the north–south component is negligible, a LOS projection model was constructed and a geometric decomposition was performed to derive the east–west and vertical two-dimensional deformation fields. The results indicate that the study area is generally stable, while significant subsidence occurs in the northern pit and adjacent waste-dump zones, with local maximum rates approaching 50 mm/year, predominantly controlled by the vertical component. The two-dimensional deformation analysis reveals that vertical displacement dominates surface motion, whereas east–west movement shows smaller amplitudes but clear directional concentration. In particular, the east–west slopes exhibit slightly higher velocities, suggesting a lateral adjustment tendency along this direction, likely related to the overall east–west geometric configuration of the open-pit and waste-dump areas. Time-series observations further reveal that precipitation-related surface deformation occurs with an approximate two-month delay, reflecting the hydrological–mechanical coupling processes of rainfall infiltration, pore-water pressure propagation, and dump-material consolidation. Overall, this study reveals the multi-dimensional deformation characteristics and precipitation-driven stage-wise response of the mining area, demonstrating the effectiveness of the dual-ascending SBAS-InSAR for two-dimensional deformation monitoring in highly disturbed environments, and providing a scientific basis for surface stability assessment and geohazard prevention.
Journal Article
The emotional facial recognition performance of Chinese patients with schizophrenia: An event-related potentials study
2023
ABSTRACT
Background:
Patients with schizophrenia have deficits in identifying and recognizing emotional facial expressions.
Aim:
This study aimed to explore the event-related potential (ERP) responses of patients with schizophrenia (SZ) and healthy controls (HC) using the Chinese Facial Affective Picture System (CFAPS).
Methods:
This study included 30 SZs and 31 HCs. We asked them to complete the task based on the oddball paradigm, in which three emotional faces (happy, fearful, and neutral) were used as target stimuli. Additionally, the amplitude and latency of the N170 component and the P300 component were recorded synchronously.
Results:
Compared with HCs, SZs had significantly smaller amplitudes of N170 and P300 to all facial expressions. The pairwise comparison revealed that fearful faces could trigger a significantly larger P300 amplitude in HCs than neutral faces, while the such a difference was not found in SZs.
Conclusion:
These findings indicated that SZs had a noticeable deficiency in the structural coding of face recognition and available attentional resources.
Journal Article
Oxalic Acid Enhances Soil Microbial Phosphorus Mobilization Under Phosphorus Deficiency: Evidence from a Soil Microcosm Experiment
2026
Oxalic acid is a key root exudate released by plants under phosphorus (P) deficiency and plays a direct role in solubilizing fixed soil P. However, its specific effects on soil microbial community assembly and ecological functions remain less clear. In this study, based on an ex planta soil microcosm incubation experiment, the impacts of oxalic acid input on soil bacterial and fungal community assemblage and functional profiles involved in P mobilization were explored. The results showed that oxalic acid input significantly changed soil bacterial and fungal community composition, decreased their diversity, and enriched bacterial taxa involved in P mobilization and fungal taxa associated with plants, showing the selective effects of oxalic acid on soil microorganisms. Further community assembly analyses (βNTI and NST) showed that oxalic acid input promoted a shift in bacterial community from a stochastic-process-dominated community to a deterministic-process-dominated community, while the fungal community exhibited a converse pattern. These findings reveal the important role of oxalic acid in shaping soil microbial community assembly and ecological functions under P deficiency, broadening our understanding of the role of oxalic acid in plant responses to low-P stress.
Journal Article
A New Method to Determine the Lower Limit of Reservoir Physical Properties—Corrected Minimum Flow Pore-throat Radius Method
2021
The lower limit of reservoir physical properties is an important parameter for identifying reservoirs and determining effective thickness in reserves evaluation, and is also an important basis for selecting perforated test intervals in oilfield exploration and development. There are many methods to determine the lower limit of reservoir physical properties, and the minimum flow pore throat radius method is one of the commonly used methods. The method uses 0.1μm as the minimum flow pore-throat radius, and uses this to calibrate the lower limit of reservoir physical properties. However, according to the water film theory, the minimum radius of the reservoir's flowing pore throat is not a definite value, but varies with the displacement dynamics. Therefore, there is no exact basis for using 0.1μm as the minimum flow pore-throat radius, so it needs to be corrected. To this end, a new method for determining the lower limit of reservoir physical properties—the corrected minimum flow pore-throat radius method is proposed. The correction method comprehensively considers the factors of oil and gas accumulation dynamics, and determines the lower limit of reservoir physical properties by obtaining the minimum flow pore-throat radius value suitable for oil and gas accumulation dynamics. A case study of Chang 6 3 reservoir in A Oilfield shows that the minimum flow pore radius of oil and gas determined by the correction method is 0.08 μm, and the lower limit of reservoir physical properties (porosity 9.1%, permeability 0.117 × 10 -3 μm 2 ). The traditional method has a minimum flow pore-throat radius of 0.1 μm and a lower limit of reservoir physical properties (porosity of 9.8% and permeability of 0.133 × 10 -3 μm 2 ). Due to full consideration of the impact of oil and gas accumulation dynamics, the minimum flow pore-throat radius determined by the correction method is more reliable than the traditional method, and the lower limit of the reservoir physical property calibrated by it has practical significance.
Journal Article