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16 result(s) for "charging load predictive model"
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Predictive Model for EV Charging Load Incorporating Multimodal Travel Behavior and Microscopic Traffic Simulation
A predictive model for the spatiotemporal distribution of electric vehicle (EV) charging load is proposed in this paper, considering multimodal travel behavior and microscopic traffic simulation. Firstly, the characteristic variables of travel time are fitted using advanced techniques such as Gaussian mixture distribution. Simultaneously, the user’s multimodal travel behavior is delineated by introducing travel purpose transfer probabilities, thus establishing a comprehensive travel spatiotemporal model. Secondly, the improved Floyd algorithm is employed to select the optimal path, taking into account various factors including signal light status, vehicle speed, and the position of starting and ending sections. Moreover, the approach of multi-lane lane change following and the utilization of cellular automata theory are introduced. To establish a microscopic traffic simulation model, a real-time energy consumption model is integrated with the aforementioned techniques. Thirdly, the minimum regret value is leveraged in conjunction with various other factors, including driving purpose, charging station electricity price, parking cost, and more, to simulate the decision-making process of users regarding charging stations. Subsequently, an EV charging load predictive framework is proposed based on the approach driven by electricity prices and real-time interaction of coupled network information. Finally, this paper conducts large-scale simulations to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of EV charging load using a regional transportation network in East China and a typical power distribution network as case studies, thereby validating the feasibility of the proposed method.
Continuous-Control-Set Model Predictive Control for Three-Level DC–DC Converter with Unbalanced Loads in Bipolar Electric Vehicle Charging Stations
Zero-emission transportation is currently a public priority, especially in big cities. For this reason, the use of electric vehicles (EVs) is receiving much attention. To facilitate the adoption of EVs, a proper charging infrastructure together with energy management is essential. This article proposes a design guideline for a direct current (DC) charging station with bipolar properties. A bipolar system can convert a two-wire system into three wires in a microgrid system with a neutral line. The configuration of the bipolar system supports different loads; therefore, the unbalanced operation is inherent to the system. The proposed bipolar DC charging station (CS) has a three-level balancing converter that reduces the step-down effort chargers. Moreover, this paper proposes the continuous-control-set model predictive control (CCS-MPC)-based balancing strategy that allows the handling of different output loads while keeping the neutral-line voltage efficiently regulated with improved dynamic performance compared to a traditional controller. Stability and parameter robustness analyses are also performed for the control parameter selection. To ensure the performance of the proposed method, both simulation and experimental results are presented and compared with those obtained from the traditional methods.
Using EV charging control to provide building load flexibility
Buildings are responsible for a significant fraction of the overall electrical load. Given the increasing penetration of renewables into the generation mix, it is important to make building loads flexible, to better match the variability in generation. Of course, building loads can be made arbitrarily flexible using sufficient stationary storage, but this comes at considerable cost. In this paper, we investigate how to reduce this cost by exploiting electric vehicle (EV) charging control for unidirectional and bidirectional charging. Specifically, we design a model-predictive control algorithm to reshape building load to match a specified load shape. In realistic settings and for two use cases, we investigate the degree to which the amount of stationary storage is reduced using EV charging control. In both cases, we find that our controller reduces the need for stationary storage compared to existing solutions. Moreover, bidirectional EV charging control substantially reduces the required amount of stationary storage.
High-Efficiency Bidirectional DC–DC Converter Control for PV-Integrated EV Charging Stations: A Real-Time MBPC Approach
In recent years, the rapid expansion of electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure and the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources require highly efficient and dynamically robust power electronic interfaces. In photovoltaic (PV)-assisted EV charging stations and DC microgrids, bidirectional DC-DC converters (BDCs) are essential for managing power flow between PV arrays, battery energy storage systems, and the DC bus supplying EV chargers. This paper presents a novel voltage and current control design for a BDC operating in a PV-powered DC microgrid oriented to EV charging applications. Following a detailed mathematical model of the converter, a digital current controller and a predictive voltage regulator were developed using Model-Based Predictive Control (MBPC). The proposed cascade control structure enables accurate DC bus voltage regulation and seamless bidirectional power flow under dynamic load variations representative of EV charging and discharging scenarios. The control scheme was evaluated in MATLAB/SIMULINK® and experimentally validated through Field-Programmable Gate Array (FPGA)-based test benches using an OPAL-RT real-time (RT) simulator, integrating the RT-LAB and RT-eFPGAsim environments. The predictive controller achieved precise regulation in both buck and boost modes, reaching efficiencies of 97.07% and 98.57%, respectively. The results demonstrate that integrating MBPC with RT validation provides high performance, fast dynamic response, and computational efficiency, making the proposed approach suitable for renewable-integrated EV charging stations and next-generation DC microgrid-based mobility systems.
Multi-Objective Rolling Linear-Programming-Model-Based Predictive Control for V2G-Enabled Electric Vehicle Scheduling in Industrial Park Microgrids
With the rapid growth of electricity demand in industrial parks and the increasing penetration of renewable energy, vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology has become an important enabler for mitigating grid stress while improving charging economy. This paper proposes a multi-objective rolling linear-programming-model-based predictive control (LP-MPC) method for coordinated electric vehicle (EV) scheduling in industrial park microgrids. The model explicitly considers transformer capacity limits, EV state-of-charge (SOC) dynamics, bidirectional charging/discharging constraints, and photovoltaic (PV) generation uncertainty. By solving a linear programming problem in a receding horizon framework, the approach simultaneously achieves load peak shaving, valley filling, and EV revenue maximization with real-time feasibility. A simulation study involving 300 EVs, 100 kW PV, and a 1000 kW transformer over 24 h with 5-min intervals demonstrates that the proposed LP-MPC outperforms greedy and heuristic load-leveling strategies in peak load reduction, load variance minimization, and charging cost savings while meeting all SOC terminal requirements. These results validate the effectiveness, robustness, and economic benefits of the proposed method for V2G-enabled industrial park microgrids.
Research on Electric Vehicle Charging Optimization Strategy Based on Improved Crossformer for Carbon Emission Factor Prediction
To achieve low-carbon regulation of electric vehicle (EV) charging loads under the “dual carbon” goals, this paper proposes a coordinated scheduling strategy that integrates dynamic carbon factor prediction and multi-objective optimization. First, a dual-convolution enhanced improved Crossformer prediction model is constructed, which employs parallel 1 × 1 global and 3 × 3 local convolution modules (Integrated Convolution Block, ICB) for multi-scale feature extraction, combined with an Adaptive Spectral Block (ASB) to enhance time-series fluctuation modeling. Based on high-precision predictions, a carbon-electricity cost joint optimization model is further designed to balance economic, environmental, and grid-friendly objectives. The model’s superiority was validated through a case study using real-world data from a renewable-heavy grid. Simulation results show that the proposed multi-objective strategy demonstrated a superior balance compared to baseline and benchmark models, achieving a 15.8% reduction in carbon emissions and a 5.2% reduction in economic costs, while still providing a substantial 22.2% reduction in the peak-valley difference. Its balanced performance significantly outperformed both a single-objective strategy and a state-of-the-art Model Predictive Control (MPC) benchmark, highlighting the advantage of a global optimization approach. This study provides theoretical and technical pathways for dynamic carbon factor-driven EV charging optimization.
Data-Driven AI Modeling of Renewable Energy-Based Smart EV Charging Stations Using Historical Weather and Load Data
The trend of the world to electric mobility and the inclusion of renewable energy requires complex control and predictive models of Smart Electric Vehicle Charging Stations (SEVCSs). The paper describes an experimental artificial intelligence (AI) model that can be used to optimize EV charging in New York City based on ten years of historical load and weather information. Nonlinear environmental relationships with urban energy demand and the use of Neural Fitting and Regression Learner models in MATLAB were used to explore the nonlinear relationships between the environment and energy demand. The quality of the input data was maintained with a lot of preprocessing, such as outlier removal, smoothing, and time alignment. The performance measurements showed that there was a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 4.9, and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.93, meaning that there was a high level of concordance between the predicted and measured load profiles. Such findings indicate that AI-based models can be used to replicate load dynamics during renewable energy variability. The research combines the findings of long-term and multi-source data with the short-term forecasting to address the research gaps of past studies that were limited to a few small datasets or single-variable-based time series, which will provide a replicable base to develop energy-efficient and intelligent EV charging networks in line with future grid decarbonization goals. The proposed neural network had an R2 = 0.93 and RMSE = 36.4 MW. The Neural Fitting model led to less RMSE than linear regression and lower MAPE than the persistence method by a factor of about 15 and 22 percent, respectively.
A Bi-Level Optimization Approach to Charging Load Regulation of Electric Vehicle Fast Charging Stations Based on a Battery Energy Storage System
Fast charging stations enable the high-powered rapid recharging of electric vehicles. However, these stations also face challenges due to power fluctuations, high peak loads, and low load factors, affecting the reliable and economic operation of charging stations and distribution networks. This paper introduces a battery energy storage system (BESS) for charging load control, which is a more user-friendly approach and is more robust to perturbations. With the goals of peak-shaving, total electricity cost reduction, and minimization of variation in the state-of-charge (SOC) range, a BESS-based bi-level optimization strategy for the charging load regulation of fast charging stations is proposed in this paper. At the first level, a day-ahead optimization strategy generates the optimal planned load curve and the deviation band to be used as a reference for ensuring multiple control objectives through linear programming, and even for avoiding control failure caused by insufficient BESS energy. Based on this day-ahead optimal plan, at a second level, real-time rolling optimization converts the control process to a multistage decision-making problem. The predictive control-based real-time rolling optimization strategy in the proposed model was used to achieve the above control objectives and maintain battery life. Finally, through a horizontal comparison of two control approaches in each case study, and a longitudinal comparison of the control robustness against different degrees of load disturbances in three cases, the results indicated that the proposed control strategy was able to significantly improve the charging load characteristics, even with large disturbances. Meanwhile, the proposed approach ensures the least amount of variation in the range of battery SOC and reduces the total electricity cost, which will be of a considerable benefit to station operators.
Two cases studies of Model Predictive Control approach for hybrid Renewable Energy Systems
This work presents a load frequency control scheme in Renewable Energy Sources(RESs) power system by applying Model Predictive Control(MPC). The MPC is designed depending on the first model parameter and then investigate its performance on the second model to confirm its robustness and effectiveness over a wide range of operating conditions. The first model is 100% RESs system with Photovoltaic generation(PV), wind generation(WG), fuel cell, seawater electrolyzer, and storage battery. From the simulation results of the first case, it shows the control scheme is efficiency. And base on the good results of the first case study, to propose a second case using a 10-bus power system of Okinawa island, Japan, to verify the efficiency of proposed MPC control scheme again. In addition, in the second case, there also applied storage devices, demand-response technique and RESs output control to compensate the system frequency balance. Last, there have a detailed results analysis to compare the two cases simulation results, and then to Prospects for future research. All the simulations of this work are performed in Matlab®/Simulink®.
Physics-Informed Neural Network-Based Intelligent Control for Photovoltaic Charge Allocation in Multi-Battery Energy Systems
The rapid integration of photovoltaic (PV) generation into modern power networks introduces significant operational challenges, including intermittent power production, uneven charge distribution, and reduced system reliability in multi-battery energy storage systems. Addressing these challenges requires intelligent, adaptive, and physically consistent control strategies capable of operating under uncertain environmental and load conditions. This study proposes a Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN)-based charge allocation framework that explicitly embeds physical constraints—namely charge conservation and State-of-Charge (SoC) equalization—directly into the learning process, enabling real-time adaptive control under varying irradiance and load conditions. The proposed controller exploits real-time measurements of PV voltage, current, and irradiance to achieve optimal charge distribution while ensuring converter stability and balanced battery operation. The framework is implemented and validated in MATLAB/Simulink under Standard Test Conditions of 1000 W·m−2 irradiance and 25 °C ambient temperature. Simulation results demonstrate stable PV voltage regulation within the 230–250 V range, an average PV power output of approximately 95 kW, and effective duty-cycle control within the range of 0.35–0.45. The system maintains balanced three-phase grid voltages and currents with stable sinusoidal waveforms, indicating high power quality during steady-state operation. Compared with conventional Proportional–Integral–Derivative (PID) and Model Predictive Control (MPC) methods, the PINN-based approach achieves faster SoC equalization, reduced transient fluctuations, and more than 6% improvement in overall system efficiency. These results confirm the strong potential of physics-informed intelligent control as a scalable and reliable solution for smart PV–battery energy systems, with direct relevance to renewable microgrids and electric vehicle charging infrastructures.