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"nomogram"
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Determination of the outlet diameter of the spray tip of the universal sprayer
2022
To eliminate the shortcomings of serial fan sprayers, the JV “Agrikhim” developed a universal sprayer that treats crops based on controlled airborne flows introduced simultaneously within ± 90
0
from the sprayer’s symmetry axis (a total of 180
0
) around the entire perimeter of the treatment area the entire width of the machine. The obtained dependences and the nomogram built on their basis allow setting the required rate of application of the working solution at a given speed and diameter of the spray tip of the sprayer by adjusting the pressure when the working solution enters the spray tip.
Journal Article
Prediction of tumor response via a pretreatment MRI radiomics-based nomogram in HCC treated with TACE
2021
Objectives
To develop and validate a pre-transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) MRI-based radiomics model for predicting tumor response in intermediate-advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.
Materials
Ninety-nine intermediate-advanced HCC patients (69 for training, 30 for validation) treated with TACE were enrolled. MRI examinations were performed before TACE, and the efficacy was evaluated according to the mRECIST criterion 3 months after TACE. A total of 396 radiomics features were extracted from T2-weighted pre-TACE images, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied to feature selection and model construction. The performance of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curves.
Results
The AFP value, Child-Pugh score, and BCLC stage showed a significant difference between the TACE response (TR) and non-TACE response (nTR) patients. Six radiomics features were selected by LASSO and the radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated as the sum of each feature multiplied by the non-zero coefficient from LASSO. The AUCs of the ROC curve based on Rad-score were 0.812 and 0.866 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. To improve the diagnostic efficiency, the Rad-score was further integrated with the above clinical indicators to form a novel predictive nomogram. Results suggested that the AUC increased to 0.861 and 0.884 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Decision curve analysis showed that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful.
Conclusion
The radiomics and clinical indicator-based predictive nomogram can well predict TR in intermediate-advanced HCC and can further be applied for auxiliary diagnosis of clinical prognosis.
Key Points
•
The therapeutic outcome of TACE varies greatly even for patients with the same clinicopathologic features
.
•
Radiomics showed excellent performance in predicting the TACE response
.
•
Decision curves demonstrated that the novel predictive model based on the radiomics signature and clinical indicators has great clinical utility
.
Journal Article
CT radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in gastric cancer
2020
PurposeTo investigate the role of computed tomography (CT) radiomics for the preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis in gastric cancer.Materials and methodsThis retrospective study included 247 consecutive patients (training cohort, 197 patients; test cohort, 50 patients) with surgically proven gastric cancer. Dedicated radiomics prototype software was used to segment lesions on preoperative arterial phase (AP) CT images and extract features. A radiomics model was constructed to predict the LN metastasis by using a random forest (RF) algorithm. Finally, a nomogram was built incorporating the radiomics scores and selected clinical predictors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to validate the capability of the radiomics model and nomogram on both the training and test cohorts.ResultsThe radiomics model showed a favorable discriminatory ability in the training cohort with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.844 (95% CI, 0.759 to 0.909), which was confirmed in the test cohort with an AUC of 0.837 (95% CI, 0.705 to 0.926). The nomogram consisted of radiomics scores and the CT-reported LN status showed excellent discrimination in the training and test cohorts with AUCs of 0.886 (95% CI, 0.808 to 0.941) and 0.881 (95% CI, 0.759 to 0.956), respectively.ConclusionsThe CT-based radiomics nomogram holds promise for use as a noninvasive tool in the individual prediction of LN metastasis in gastric cancer.Key Points• CT radiomics showed a favorable performance for the prediction of LN metastasis in gastric cancer.• Radiomics model outperformed the routine CT in predicting LN metastasis in gastric cancer.• The radiomics nomogram holds potential in the individualized prediction of LN metastasis in gastric cancer.
Journal Article
A nomogram for predicting overall survival in patients with low‐grade endometrial stromal sarcoma: A population‐based analysis
2020
Background
Low‐grade endometrial stromal sarcoma (LG‐ESS) is a rare tumor that lacks a prognostic prediction model. Our study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict overall survival of LG‐ESS patients.
Methods
A total of 1172 patients confirmed to have LG‐ESS between 1988 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. They were further divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The Akaike information criterion was used to select variables for the nomogram. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated using concordance index (C‐index), area under time‐dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time‐dependent AUC), and calibration plots. The net benefits of the nomogram at different threshold probabilities were quantified and compared with those of the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) criteria‐based tumor staging using decision curve analysis (DCA). Net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were also used to compare the nomogram's clinical utility with that of the FIGO criteria‐based tumor staging. The risk stratifications of the nomogram and the FIGO criteria‐based tumor staging were compared.
Results
Seven variables were selected to establish the nomogram for LG‐ESS. The C‐index (0.814 for the training cohort and 0.837 for the validation cohort) and the time‐dependent AUC (> 0.7) indicated satisfactory discriminative ability of the nomogram. The calibration plots showed favorable consistency between the prediction of the nomogram and actual observations in both the training and validation cohorts. The NRI values (training cohort: 0.271 for 5‐year and 0.433 for 10‐year OS prediction; validation cohort: 0.310 for 5‐year and 0.383 for 10‐year OS prediction) and IDI (training cohort: 0.146 for 5‐year and 0.185 for 10‐year OS prediction; validation cohort: 0.177 for 5‐year and 0.191 for 10‐year OS prediction) indicated that the established nomogram performed significantly better than the FIGO criteria‐based tumor staging alone (P < 0.05). Furthermore, DCA showed that the nomogram was clinically useful and had better discriminative ability to recognize patients at high risk than the FIGO criteria‐based tumor staging.
Conclusions
A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated to assist clinicians in evaluating prognosis of LG‐ESS patients.
Journal Article
Ultrasound-based radiomics score: a potential biomarker for the prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma
2019
PurposeTo develop an ultrasound (US)-based radiomics score for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).MethodsBetween January 1, 2012, and October 31, 2017, a total of 482 HCC patients who underwent contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) were retrospectively reviewed. The study population was divided into a training cohort (n = 341) and a validation cohort (n = 141) based on a cutoff time of January 1, 2016. Radiomics features were extracted from the grayscale US images of HCC. After features selection, a radiomics score was developed from the training cohort. The incremental value of the radiomics score to the clinic-pathological factors for MVI prediction was assessed in the validation cohort with respect to discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness.ResultsThe US-based radiomics score consisted of six selected features. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the radiomics score, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and tumor size were independent predictors of MVI. The radiomics nomogram (based on the three factors) showed better performance for MVI detection (area under the curve [AUC] 0.731[0.647, 0.815] than the clinical nomogram (based on AFP and tumor size) (0.634 [0.543, 0.724]) (p = 0.015). Both nomograms showed good calibration. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that in terms of clinical usefulness, the radiomics nomogram outperformed the clinical nomogram.ConclusionThe US-based radiomics score was an independent predictor of MVI in HCC. Combining the radiomics score with clinical factors improved the prediction efficacy.Key points• Radiomics can be applied in US images.• US-based radiomics score was an independent predictor of MVI.• Radiomics nomogram incorporated with the radiomics score showed good performance for MVI prediction.
Journal Article
Enhancing prognostic accuracy: a SEER-based analysis for overall and cancer-specific survival prediction in cervical adenocarcinoma patients
2023
Background
Cervical adenocarcinoma (CA) is the second most prevalent histological subtype of cervical cancer, following cervical squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC). As stated in the guidelines provided by the National Comprehensive Cancer Network, they are staged and treated similarly. However, compared with CSCC patients, CA patients are more prone to lymph node metastasis and recurrence with a poorer prognosis. The objective of this research was to discover prognostic indicators and develop nomograms that can be utilized to anticipate the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients diagnosed with CA.
Methods
Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database, individuals with CA who received their diagnosis between 2004 and 2015 were identified. A total cohort (
n
= 4485) was randomly classified into two separate groups in a 3:2 ratio, to form a training cohort (
n
= 2679) and a testing cohort (
n
= 1806). Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome measure and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was the secondary outcome measure. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were employed to select significant independent factors and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis was utilized to develop predictive nomogram models. The predictive accuracy and discriminatory ability of the nomogram were assessed by employing metrics such as the calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the concordance index (C-index).
Results
Age, Tumor Node Metastasis stages (T, N, and M), SEER stage, grade, and tumor size were assessed as common independent predictors of both OS and CSS. The C-index value of the nomograms for predicting OS was 0.832 (95% CI 0.817–0.847) in the training cohort and 0.823 (95% CI 0.805–0.841) in the testing cohort.
Conclusion
We developed and verified nomogram models for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year OS and CSS among patients with cervical adenocarcinoma. These models exhibited excellent performance in prognostic prediction, providing support and assisting clinicians in assessing survival prognosis and devising personalized treatments for CA patients.
Journal Article
Noninvasive Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension in Patients With Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease
2021
We aimed to explore the prevalence of portal hypertension in the most common etiologies of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and develop classification rules, based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM), that could be readily used to diagnose or exclude clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in clinical practice.
This is an international cohort study including patients with paired LSM/hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), LSM ≥10 kPa, and no previous decompensation. Portal hypertension was defined by an HVPG >5 mm Hg. A positive predictive value ≥90% was considered to validate LSM cutoffs for CSPH (HVPG ≥10 mm Hg), whereas a negative predictive value ≥90% ruled out CSPH.
A total of 836 patients with hepatitis C (n = 358), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH, n = 248), alcohol use (n = 203), and hepatitis B (n = 27) were evaluated. Portal hypertension prevalence was >90% in all cACLD etiologies, except for patients with NASH (60.9%), being even lower in obese patients with NASH (53.3%); these lower prevalences of portal hypertension in patients with NASH were maintained across different strata of LSM values. LSM ≥25 kPa was the best cutoff to rule in CSPH in alcoholic liver disease, chronic hepatitis B, chronic hepatitis C, and nonobese patients with NASH, whereas in obese NASH patients, the positive predictive value was only 62.8%. A new model for patients with NASH (ANTICIPATE-NASH model) to predict CSPH considering body mass index, LSM, and platelet count was developed, and a nomogram was constructed. LSM ≤15 kPa plus platelets ≥150 × 10/L ruled out CSPH in most etiologies.
Patients with cACLD of NASH etiology, especially obese patients with NASH, present lower prevalences of portal hypertension compared with other cACLD etiologies. LSM ≥25 kPa is sufficient to rule in CSPH in most etiologies, including nonobese patients with NASH, but not in obese patients with NASH.
Journal Article
Identification of CDK2-Related Immune Forecast Model and ceRNA in Lung Adenocarcinoma, a Pan-Cancer Analysis
2021
Tumor microenvironment (TME) plays important roles in different cancers. Our study aimed to identify molecules with significant prognostic values and construct a relevant Nomogram, immune model, competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).BACKGROUNDTumor microenvironment (TME) plays important roles in different cancers. Our study aimed to identify molecules with significant prognostic values and construct a relevant Nomogram, immune model, competing endogenous RNA (ceRNA) in lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).\"GEO2R,\" \"limma\" R packages were used to identify all differentially expressed mRNAs from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases. Genes with P-value <0.01, LogFC>2 or <-2 were included for further analyses. The function analysis of 250 overlapping mRNAs was shown by DAVID and Metascape software. By UALCAN, Oncomine and R packages, we explored the expression levels, survival analyses of CDK2 in 33 cancers. \"Survival,\" \"survminer,\" \"rms\" R packages were used to construct a Nomogram model of age, gender, stage, T, M, N. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to establish prognosis-related immune forecast model in LUAD. CeRNA network was constructed by various online databases. The Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) database was used to explore correlations between CDK2 expression and IC50 of anti-tumor drugs.METHODS\"GEO2R,\" \"limma\" R packages were used to identify all differentially expressed mRNAs from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases. Genes with P-value <0.01, LogFC>2 or <-2 were included for further analyses. The function analysis of 250 overlapping mRNAs was shown by DAVID and Metascape software. By UALCAN, Oncomine and R packages, we explored the expression levels, survival analyses of CDK2 in 33 cancers. \"Survival,\" \"survminer,\" \"rms\" R packages were used to construct a Nomogram model of age, gender, stage, T, M, N. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to establish prognosis-related immune forecast model in LUAD. CeRNA network was constructed by various online databases. The Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) database was used to explore correlations between CDK2 expression and IC50 of anti-tumor drugs.A total of 250 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified to participate in many cancer-related pathways, such as activation of immune response, cell adhesion, migration, P13K-AKT signaling pathway. The target molecule CDK2 had prognostic value for the survival of patients in LUAD (P = 5.8e-15). Through Oncomine, TIMER, UALCAN, PrognoScan databases, the expression level of CDK2 in LUAD was higher than normal tissues. Pan-cancer analysis revealed that the expression, stage and survival of CDK2 in 33 cancers, which were statistically significant. Through TISIDB database, we selected 13 immunodepressants, 21 immunostimulants associated with CDK2 and explored 48 genes related to these 34 immunomodulators in cBioProtal database (P < 0.05). Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Metascape indicated that 49 mRNAs were involved in PUJANA ATM PCC NETWORK (ES = 0.557, P = 0, FDR = 0), SIGNAL TRANSDUCTION (ES = -0.459, P = 0, FDR = 0), immune system process, cell proliferation. Forest map and Nomogram model showed the prognosis of patients with LUAD (Log-Rank = 1.399e-08, Concordance Index = 0.7). Cox regression showed that four mRNAs (SIT1, SNAI3, ASB2, and CDK2) were used to construct the forecast model to predict the prognosis of patients (P < 0.05). LUAD patients were divided into two different risk groups (low and high) had a statistical significance (P = 6.223e-04). By \"survival ROC\" R package, the total risk score of this prognostic model was AUC = 0.729 (SIT1 = 0.484, SNAI3 = 0.485, ASB2 = 0.267, CDK2 = 0.579). CytoHubba selected ceRNA mechanism medicated by potential biomarkers, 6 lncRNAs-7miRNAs-CDK2. The expression of CDK2 was associated with IC50 of 89 antitumor drugs, and we showed the top 20 drugs with P < 0.05.RESULTSA total of 250 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified to participate in many cancer-related pathways, such as activation of immune response, cell adhesion, migration, P13K-AKT signaling pathway. The target molecule CDK2 had prognostic value for the survival of patients in LUAD (P = 5.8e-15). Through Oncomine, TIMER, UALCAN, PrognoScan databases, the expression level of CDK2 in LUAD was higher than normal tissues. Pan-cancer analysis revealed that the expression, stage and survival of CDK2 in 33 cancers, which were statistically significant. Through TISIDB database, we selected 13 immunodepressants, 21 immunostimulants associated with CDK2 and explored 48 genes related to these 34 immunomodulators in cBioProtal database (P < 0.05). Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Metascape indicated that 49 mRNAs were involved in PUJANA ATM PCC NETWORK (ES = 0.557, P = 0, FDR = 0), SIGNAL TRANSDUCTION (ES = -0.459, P = 0, FDR = 0), immune system process, cell proliferation. Forest map and Nomogram model showed the prognosis of patients with LUAD (Log-Rank = 1.399e-08, Concordance Index = 0.7). Cox regression showed that four mRNAs (SIT1, SNAI3, ASB2, and CDK2) were used to construct the forecast model to predict the prognosis of patients (P < 0.05). LUAD patients were divided into two different risk groups (low and high) had a statistical significance (P = 6.223e-04). By \"survival ROC\" R package, the total risk score of this prognostic model was AUC = 0.729 (SIT1 = 0.484, SNAI3 = 0.485, ASB2 = 0.267, CDK2 = 0.579). CytoHubba selected ceRNA mechanism medicated by potential biomarkers, 6 lncRNAs-7miRNAs-CDK2. The expression of CDK2 was associated with IC50 of 89 antitumor drugs, and we showed the top 20 drugs with P < 0.05.In conclusion, our study identified CDK2 related immune forecast model, Nomogram model, forest map, ceRNA network, IC50 of anti-tumor drugs, to predict the prognosis and guide targeted therapy for LUAD patients.CONCLUSIONIn conclusion, our study identified CDK2 related immune forecast model, Nomogram model, forest map, ceRNA network, IC50 of anti-tumor drugs, to predict the prognosis and guide targeted therapy for LUAD patients.
Journal Article