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The optimal transition to a stationary population for concentrated vitality rates
by
Wrzaczek, Stefan
, Feichtinger, Gustav
in
Adaptation
/ adaptation of net reproduction rate
/ Age
/ Age composition
/ age-structured optimal control theory
/ Analysis
/ Below replacement level
/ Birth control
/ Birth rate
/ Childbirth & labor
/ Control theory
/ Costs
/ Demographic transition
/ Fertility
/ Formal Relationship
/ Growth
/ Infants
/ Mortality
/ Neonates
/ Newborn babies
/ Optimal control
/ Ordinary differential equations
/ Partial differential equations
/ Planning
/ Population
/ Population decline
/ Population growth
/ Replacement level
/ Salvage value
/ Shadow prices
/ stationary population
/ transitional path
/ Variables
2024
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The optimal transition to a stationary population for concentrated vitality rates
by
Wrzaczek, Stefan
, Feichtinger, Gustav
in
Adaptation
/ adaptation of net reproduction rate
/ Age
/ Age composition
/ age-structured optimal control theory
/ Analysis
/ Below replacement level
/ Birth control
/ Birth rate
/ Childbirth & labor
/ Control theory
/ Costs
/ Demographic transition
/ Fertility
/ Formal Relationship
/ Growth
/ Infants
/ Mortality
/ Neonates
/ Newborn babies
/ Optimal control
/ Ordinary differential equations
/ Partial differential equations
/ Planning
/ Population
/ Population decline
/ Population growth
/ Replacement level
/ Salvage value
/ Shadow prices
/ stationary population
/ transitional path
/ Variables
2024
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Do you wish to request the book?
The optimal transition to a stationary population for concentrated vitality rates
by
Wrzaczek, Stefan
, Feichtinger, Gustav
in
Adaptation
/ adaptation of net reproduction rate
/ Age
/ Age composition
/ age-structured optimal control theory
/ Analysis
/ Below replacement level
/ Birth control
/ Birth rate
/ Childbirth & labor
/ Control theory
/ Costs
/ Demographic transition
/ Fertility
/ Formal Relationship
/ Growth
/ Infants
/ Mortality
/ Neonates
/ Newborn babies
/ Optimal control
/ Ordinary differential equations
/ Partial differential equations
/ Planning
/ Population
/ Population decline
/ Population growth
/ Replacement level
/ Salvage value
/ Shadow prices
/ stationary population
/ transitional path
/ Variables
2024
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The optimal transition to a stationary population for concentrated vitality rates
Journal Article
The optimal transition to a stationary population for concentrated vitality rates
2024
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Overview
Several countries nowadays and in the past face a birth rates below replacement level. To what extent should the fertility of this shrinking population be increased during a given planning period such that it approaches stationarity at the end as close as possible? Both immediate adaptation to the replacement level as well as delaying it to the end of the planning period are suboptimal. Distributed parameter optimal control theory provides an appropriate tool to ascertain the efficient intertemporal trade-off between costly birth control and zero population growth. It turns out that the optimal adaptation rate of the net reproduction rate (NRR) balances between unacceptable adjustment costs for fertility and huge deviations of the terminal age composition from the desired stationary one. The optimal adaptation rate is monotonically increasing with a curvature that depends on the growth rates of the NRR, the fertile population, and the value of newborns.
Publisher
Max-Planck-Gesellschaft zur Foerderung der Wissenschaften,Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research,Max Planck Institut für Demografische Forschung
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