Journal Article

Forecasting high-dimensional spatio-temporal systems from sparse measurements

Song, Jialin, Song, Zezheng, Benjamin Erichson, N, Mahoney, Michael W, Li, Xiaoye S, Ren, Pu

2024

Overview

This paper introduces a new neural network architecture designed to forecast high-dimensional spatio-temporal data using only sparse measurements. The architecture uses a two-stage end-to-end framework that combines neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) with vision transformers. Initially, our approach models the underlying dynamics of complex systems within a low-dimensional space; and then it reconstructs the corresponding high-dimensional spatial fields. Many traditional methods involve decoding high-dimensional spatial fields before modeling the dynamics, while some other methods use an encoder to transition from high-dimensional observations to a latent space for dynamic modeling. In contrast, our approach directly uses sparse measurements to model the dynamics, bypassing the need for an encoder. This direct approach simplifies the modeling process, reduces computational complexity, and enhances the efficiency and scalability of the method for large datasets. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework through applications to various spatio-temporal systems, including fluid flows and global weather patterns. Although sparse measurements have limitations, our experiments reveal that they are sufficient to forecast system dynamics accurately over long time horizons. Our results also indicate that the performance of our proposed method remains robust across different sensor placement strategies, with further improvements as the number of sensors increases. This robustness underscores the flexibility of our architecture, particularly in real-world scenarios where sensor data is often sparse and unevenly distributed.

• Publisher: IOP Publishing
• Subject: Coders / Complex systems / Complexity / Differential equations / dynamic modeling / Dynamic models / Fluid flow / Neural networks / Ordinary differential equations / sparse measurements / spatio-temporal data / Spatiotemporal data / System dynamics / System effectiveness / vision transformers / Weather forecasting