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result(s) for
"Adam, Atif"
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Evaluating select factors and mechanisms influencing meat consumption in Baltimore City: an agent-based modeling study
by
Clancy, Kate
,
Ramsing, Rebecca
,
Harding, Jamie
in
Adults
,
Agent-based model
,
Agent-based models
2026
Background
Reducing meat consumption has been identified as an effective strategy for protecting human and planetary health. Policies and programs to reduce meat consumption have produced inconsistent results given the complexities of human behavior and food consumption. In this study, we used a systems approach to develop an agent-based model (ABM), explored key factors and mechanisms influencing meat consumption, and tested potential scenarios to reduce meat consumption.
Methods
The ABM simulated food consumed at dinner, focusing on changes in meat consumption. For each simulated day, dinner decisions were driven based on individual characteristics, food environments, food preferences, and system-level driving factors. We selected Baltimore City, Maryland as a case study, to simulate virtual agents with independent decision-making abilities. Scenarios tested included the implementation of a non-meat marketing campaign, an increase in meat prices, an increase in the availability of non-meat options, and a combination of marketing and increased availability. Scenarios were also assessed by population sub-groups and geographic variability. The model simulated 596,377 adults (≥ 18 years) in Baltimore City (2019 ACS) and was parameterized using NHANES 2007–2018 (Cycles 2007–2008 to 2017–2018;
N
= 45,375 unique respondents) dinner recalls.
Results
The baseline scenario with no interventions showed that, on average, an agent’s dinner had a percent breakdown by weight as follows: 17.0% meat options, 79.8% non-meat options, and 3.1% fish. The largest reduction in meat consumption (12% decrease from baseline) was seen in the scenario where an increase in non-meat marketing and availability of non-meat options occurred. All scenarios showed the largest change in meat consumption among non-Hispanic White and Asian populations. Reduced meat consumption among Black individuals and individuals with a household income of $25k-$55k was relatively low across all scenarios. In each scenario, we observed significant variability in average meat consumption by zip code, with individuals living in higher income areas showing higher reductions in meat consumption.
Conclusion
Overall, combination interventions can have synergistic effects and were shown to be more beneficial than each intervention alone in reducing meat consumption. Continued systems work on meat consumption models will allow researchers and practitioners to better understand the potential strengths and weaknesses of programs and policies across different populations and environments.
Journal Article
Association of Cognitive Function and Retinal Neural and Vascular Structure in Type 1 Diabetes
2021
Abstract
Context
Cognitive dysfunction is a growing and understudied public health issue in the aging type 1 diabetic population and is difficult and time-consuming to diagnose. Studies in long duration type 1 diabetes have reported the presence of proliferative diabetic retinopathy was associated with cognitive dysfunction.
Objective
This study assessed whether structural and vascular abnormalities of the retina, representing an extension of the central nervous system, are associated with cognitive impairment and other complications of type 1 diabetes.
Methods
An observational cross-sectional study of individuals with 50 or more years of type 1 diabetes (Joslin Medalist Study) was conducted at a university hospital in the United States. The study included 129 participants with complete cognitive testing. Validated cognitive testing measures included psychomotor speed, and immediate, and delayed memory. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) were performed to obtain neural retinal layer thicknesses and vascular density for superficial (SCP) and deep retinal capillary plexus (DCP). Multivariable modeling was adjusted for potential confounders associated with outcomes in unadjusted analyses.
Results
Decreased vessel density of the SCP and DCP was associated with worse delayed memory (DCP: P = .002) and dominant hand psychomotor speed (SCP: P = .01). Thinning of the retinal outer nuclear layer was associated with worse psychomotor speed both in nondominant and dominant hands (P = .01 and P = .05, respectively). Outer plexiform layer thickness was associated with delayed memory (P = .04).
Conclusion
These findings suggest that noninvasive retinal imaging using OCT and OCTA may assist in estimating the risks for cognitive dysfunction in people with type 1 diabetes.
Journal Article
The potential epidemiologic, clinical, and economic impact of requiring schools to offer Physical Education (PE) classes in Mexico City
by
Scannell, Sheryl A.
,
Adam, Atif
,
Thomas, Diana M.
in
Adolescent
,
Biology and Life Sciences
,
Body mass index
2022
Many schools have been cutting physical education (PE) classes due to budget constraints, which raises the question of whether policymakers should require schools to offer PE classes. Evidence suggests that PE classes can help address rising physical inactivity and obesity prevalence. However, it would be helpful to determine if requiring PE is cost-effective.
We developed an agent-based model of youth in Mexico City and the impact of all schools offering PE classes on changes in weight, weight-associated health conditions and the corresponding direct and indirect costs over their lifetime.
If schools offer PE without meeting guidelines and instead followed currently observed class length and time active during class, overweight and obesity prevalence decreased by 1.3% (95% CI: 1.0%-1.6%) and was cost-effective from the third-party payer and societal perspectives ($5,058 per disability-adjusted life year [DALY] averted and $5,786/DALY averted, respectively, assuming PE cost $50.3 million). When all schools offered PE classes meeting international guidelines for PE classes, overweight and obesity prevalence decreased by 3.9% (95% CI: 3.7%-4.3%) in the cohort at the end of five years compared to no PE. Long-term, this averted 3,183 and 1,081 obesity-related health conditions and deaths, respectively and averted ≥$31.5 million in direct medical costs and ≥$39.7 million in societal costs, assuming PE classes cost ≤$50.3 million over the five-year period. PE classes could cost up to $185.5 million and $89.9 million over the course of five years and still remain cost-effective and cost saving respectively, from the societal perspective.
Requiring PE in all schools could be cost-effective when PE class costs, on average, up to $10,340 per school annually. Further, the amount of time students are active during class is a driver of PE classes' value (e.g., it is cost saving when PE classes meet international guidelines) suggesting the need for specific recommendations.
Journal Article
Characteristics and Outcomes for Recipients of NVX-CoV2373: A Real-World Retrospective Study in Germany
2024
Real-world evidence supports SARS-CoV-2 vaccination strategies during the COVID-19 pandemic. This real-world retrospective study utilized the German Disease Analyzer database to characterize recipients of NVX-CoV2373 and explore vaccination outcomes. Recipients (≥12 years) of NVX-CoV2373 as a primary series or booster in Germany were vaccinated between March and December 2022. Outcomes included demographics and clinical characteristics of recipients, tolerability/reactogenicity-related events within 7 and 14 days post-vaccination, and protection from COVID-19. Overall, there were 597 recipients (mean age ~60 years) of NVX-CoV2373; 81% were vaccinated by a general practitioner, and 68% had a Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO) high-risk factor. The most common baseline comorbidities were chronic neurological (36%) and chronic intestinal (21%) diseases. Among recipients with metabolic disease (~11%), 65% had diabetes. Tolerability/reactogenicity-related symptoms were recorded in ~1% of recipients. There were no sick-leave notes associated with NVX-CoV2373. After 10 months (median, 7 months) of follow-up, 95% (95% CI, 93–95) of recipients were estimated to be protected from COVID-19. Outcomes were similar across the primary series, booster, and STIKO populations. Tolerability and COVID-19 protection support the use of NVX-CoV2373 as a primary/booster vaccination for all authorized populations, including high-risk.
Journal Article
Characterization of cognitive decline in long-duration type 1 diabetes by cognitive, neuroimaging, and pathological examinations
2025
BACKGROUNDWe aimed to characterize factors associated with the under-studied complication of cognitive decline in aging people with long-duration type 1 diabetes (T1D).METHODSJoslin \"Medalists\" (n = 222; T1D ≥ 50 years) underwent cognitive testing. Medalists (n = 52) and age-matched nondiabetic controls (n = 20) underwent neuro- and retinal imaging. Brain pathology (n = 26) was examined. Relationships among clinical, cognitive, and neuroimaging parameters were evaluated.RESULTSCompared with controls, Medalists had worse psychomotor function and recall, which associated with female sex, lower visual acuity, reduced physical activity, longer diabetes duration, and higher inflammatory cytokines. On neuroimaging, compared with controls, Medalists had significantly lower total and regional brain volumes, equivalent to 9 years of accelerated aging, but small vessel disease markers did not differ. Reduced brain volumes associated with female sex, reduced psychomotor function, worse visual acuity, longer diabetes duration, and higher inflammation, but not with glycemic control. Worse cognitive function, lower brain volumes, and diabetic retinopathy correlated with thinning of the outer retinal nuclear layer. Worse baseline visual acuity associated with declining psychomotor function in longitudinal analysis. Brain volume mediated the association between visual acuity and psychomotor function by 57%. Brain pathologies showed decreased volumes, but predominantly mild vascular or Alzheimer's-related pathology.CONCLUSION To our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive study of cognitive function, neuroimaging, and pathology in aging T1D individuals demonstrated that cognitive decline was related to parenchymal rather than neurovascular abnormalities, unlike type 2 diabetes, suggestive of accelerated aging in T1D. Improving visual acuity could perhaps be an important preventive measure against cognitive decline in people with T1D.FUNDINGThe Beatson Foundation, NIH/NIDDK grants 3P30DK036836-34S1 and P30DK036836-37, and Mary Iacocca fellowships.
Journal Article
Characterizing Food Policy Councils’ Network Partnerships and COVID-19 Responses
2024
The COVID-19 pandemic pushed millions of Americans into food insecurity. Food policy councils (FPCs) across the country played a vital role in organizing coordinated food responses across multiple sectors. We used a social network analysis (SNA) approach to investigate: (1) the network of partnering organizations and agencies within FPCs; (2) how the characteristics of FPCs’ network partnerships (i.e., degree, coreness, and density) related to programmatic, policy, and advocacy actions in response to the pandemic; and (3) how FPCs’ use of a racial or social equity framework shifted their network partnerships and responses. Local government agencies and food supply chain actors were core in FPCs’ network partnerships, while public utilities, correctional facilities, social justice groups, and others were non-core partners. Network density was more likely to be associated with any action by FPCs, and it was especially pronounced for advocacy actions taken by FPCs; trends were similar among FPCs that reported using a racial or social equity framework. The findings begin to uncover core actors in FPCs’ partnerships and opportunities to establish new partnerships, particularly with social justice groups. The results also suggest that network density (interconnectedness) may be more important than other network characteristics when responding to food-related needs.
Journal Article
Ventriculoatrial versus ventriculoperitoneal shunt complications in idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus
2017
•Large study on patients with iNPH who received VA shunts.•Comparison of complication rates between VA and VP shunts.•Cardiopulmonary and renal complications are uncommon in VA shunts.•Revision rate is lower in iNPH patients treated with VA compared to VP shunts.
Idiopathic normal pressure hydrocephalus (iNPH) is a devastating condition that affects the elderly population. Although ventriculoatrial (VA) shunts can be used to manage iNPH, concerns for associated cardiopulmonary and renal complications have decreased their use. However, the rate of these complications is not well understood within this population of patients.
A retrospective review of the electronic medical records of patients diagnosed with iNPH by the senior author between 1993 and 2015 was performed. Demographic information and baseline symptoms were assessed. Complications including infection, shunt obstruction, overdrainage, cardiopulmonary events, renal dysfunction, and shunt revision were recorded. Complication rates were compared between VA and VP shunted patients. Statistical analysis using Chi-square test, Fisher’s exact test, logistic regression, Wald t-test, Poisson regression, ANOVA, and ANCOVA was performed.
496 Patients, including 150 receiving VA shunts and 346 receiving VP shunts, were included in the study. The median age was 74 and 73 for VA and VP shunted patients, respectively, with slight male predominance in both (58.0% and 58.4% for VA and VP groups, respectively). A total of 36.0% of VA shunted patients and 42.5% of VP shunted patients experienced at least one post-operative complication. Overdrainage was the most commonly experienced complication in both VA (27.4%) and VP patients (19.9%). Infection occurred in only 2.0% of patients, and renal complications occurred in 1.3%. No patients had cardiopulmonary complications. VA shunted patients were significantly less likely to experience shunt obstruction and require shunt revision compared to VP shunted patients (p=0.008 and <0.001, respectively). Only dizziness and gait disturbance at baseline were correlated with a shorter time to revision in VA shunted patients (p=0.002 for both).
Although cardiopulmonary and renal complications are serious concerns associated with VA shunt placement, they were uncommon in patients with iNPH. VA shunted patients were less likely to experience shunt obstruction and require shunt revision compared to VP shunted patients. Therefore, VA shunts should be considered as an alternative primary treatment option in the iNPH population.
Journal Article
Modeling The Economic And Health Impact Of Increasing Children’s Physical Activity In The United States
by
Adam, Atif
,
Wong, Michelle S.
,
Lee, Bruce Y.
in
Body mass index
,
Body weight
,
Cardiovascular disease
2017
Increasing physical activity among children is a potentially important public health intervention. Quantifying the economic and health effects of the intervention would help decision makers understand its impact and priority. Using a computational simulation model that we developed to represent all US children ages 8-11 years, we estimated that maintaining the current physical activity levels (only 31.9 percent of children get twenty-five minutes of high-calorie-burning physical activity three times a week) would result each year in a net present value of $1.1 trillion in direct medical costs and $1.7 trillion in lost productivity over the course of their lifetimes. If 50 percent of children would exercise, the number of obese and overweight youth would decrease by 4.18 percent, averting $8.1 billion in direct medical costs and $13.8 billion in lost productivity. Increasing the proportion of children who exercised to 75 percent would avert $16.6 billion and $23.6 billion, respectively.
Journal Article
Efficacy of Liraglutide to Prevent Weight Regain After Retrieval of an Adjustable Intra-gastric Balloon—a Case-Matched Study
by
Adam, Atif
,
Barrichello Sergio
,
Abbarh Shahem
in
Antidiabetics
,
Body fat
,
GLP-1 receptor agonists
2021
PurposeWeight regain after balloon retrieval is a concern with all intra-gastric balloons (IGBs). The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of liraglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) agonist, to prevent weight regain following IGB retrieval.Materials and MethodsThis was a case-matched study of patients undergoing Spatz3 adjustable IGB (Spatz FGIA, Inc. NY, USA) at three outpatient clinics in Brazil between November 2015 and January 2019. Seventy-seven patients that opted to take liraglutide following IGB retrieval (IGB-L) were matched 1:1 to 198 patients that declined the medication—IGB-Alone (IGB-A). Propensity score adjustment was performed at the time of balloon retrieval on factors known to influence the choice of liraglutide. Weight and percent body fat (%BF) was measured at baseline and 9 months after IGB retrieval. % BF is defined as the total mass of fat divided by total body mass, multiplied by 100. The primary outcome was weight regain, and the secondary outcome was change in %BF 9 months after IGB retrieval.ResultsPropensity score matching yielded 53 matched pairs. Weight regain to the starting point was not observed in either group. There was significantly less weight regain in IGB-L compared to IGB-A, − 1.15 ± 0.94 kg versus − 0.66 ± 0.99 kg (p = 0.010) 9 months after balloon retrieval. Additionally, %BF decline in IGB-L was superior to IGB-A − 10.83 ± 1.50 versus − 7.94 ± 2.02 (p < 0.01). There was no difference in weight regain or decline in %BF based on liraglutide dose.ConclusionLiraglutide has an additive benefit with respect to efficacy and a reduction in body fat when commenced after IGB retrieval. Future randomized control studies will be needed to determine the optimal dose and duration of liraglutide to achieve superior outcomes.
Journal Article
The potential epidemiologic, clinical, and economic impact of requiring schools to offer Physical Education
by
O'Shea, Kelly J
,
Adam, Atif
,
Ferguson, Marie C
in
Economic aspects
,
Evaluation
,
Medical economics
2022
Many schools have been cutting physical education (PE) classes due to budget constraints, which raises the question of whether policymakers should require schools to offer PE classes. Evidence suggests that PE classes can help address rising physical inactivity and obesity prevalence. However, it would be helpful to determine if requiring PE is cost-effective. We developed an agent-based model of youth in Mexico City and the impact of all schools offering PE classes on changes in weight, weight-associated health conditions and the corresponding direct and indirect costs over their lifetime. If schools offer PE without meeting guidelines and instead followed currently observed class length and time active during class, overweight and obesity prevalence decreased by 1.3% (95% CI: 1.0%-1.6%) and was cost-effective from the third-party payer and societal perspectives ( 5,058 per disability-adjusted life year [DALY] averted and 5,786/DALY averted, respectively, assuming PE cost50.3 million). When all schools offered PE classes meeting international guidelines for PE classes, overweight and obesity prevalence decreased by 3.9% (95% CI: 3.7%-4.3%) in the cohort at the end of five years compared to no PE. Long-term, this averted 3,183 and 1,081 obesity-related health conditions and deaths, respectively and averted [greater than or equal to] 31.5 million in direct medical costs and [greater than or equal to] 39.7 million in societal costs, assuming PE classes cost [less than or equal to] 50.3 million over the five-year period. PE classes could cost up to185.5 million and 89.9 million over the course of five years and still remain cost-effective and cost saving respectively, from the societal perspective. Requiring PE in all schools could be cost-effective when PE class costs, on average, up to 10,340 per school annually. Further, the amount of time students are active during class is a driver of PE classes' value (e.g., it is cost saving when PE classes meet international guidelines) suggesting the need for specific recommendations.
Journal Article