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Background The faecal immunochemical test (FIT) was introduced to triage patients with low-risk symptoms of possible colorectal cancer in English primary care in 2017, underpinned by little primary care evidence. Methods All healthcare providers in the South West of England (population 4 million) participated in this evaluation. 3890 patients aged ≥50 years presenting in primary care with low-risk symptoms of colorectal cancer had a FIT from 01/06/2018 to 31/12/2018. A threshold of 10 μg Hb/g faeces defined a positive test. Results Six hundred and eighteen (15.9%) patients tested positive; 458 (74.1%) had an urgent referral to specialist lower gastrointestinal (GI) services within three months. Forty-three were diagnosed with colorectal cancer within 12 months. 3272 tested negative; 324 (9.9%) had an urgent referral within three months. Eight were diagnosed with colorectal cancer within 12 months. Positive predictive value was 7.0% (95% CI 5.1–9.3%). Negative predictive value was 99.8% (CI 99.5–99.9%). Sensitivity was 84.3% (CI 71.4–93.0%), specificity 85.0% (CI 83.8–86.1%). The area under the ROC curve was 0.92 (CI 0.86–0.96). A threshold of 37 μg Hb/g faeces would identify patients with an individual 3% risk of cancer. Conclusions FIT performs exceptionally well to triage patients with low-risk symptoms of colorectal cancer in primary care; a higher threshold may be appropriate in the wake of the COVID-19 crisis.

Background Black men have higher prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels and higher prostate cancer incidence and mortality than White men, while Asian men tend to have lower prostate cancer incidence and mortality than White men. Much of the evidence comes from the USA, and information from UK populations is limited. Methods This retrospective cohort study used data on patients registered at general practices in England contributing to the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum dataset. Those eligible were men aged 40 and over with a record of ethnicity and a PSA test result recorded between 2010 and 2017 with no prior cancer diagnosis. The aim was to assess the incidence of prostate cancer following a raised PSA test result in men from different ethnic groups. Additionally, incidence of advanced prostate cancer was investigated. Cancer incidence was estimated from multi-level logistic regression models adjusting for potential confounding factors. Results 730,515 men with a PSA test were included (88.9% White). Black men and men with mixed ethnicity had higher PSA values, particularly for those aged above 60 years. In the year following a raised PSA result (using age-specific thresholds), Black men had the highest prostate cancer incidence at 24.7% (95% CI 23.3%, 26.2%); Asian men had the lowest at 13.4% (12.2%, 14.7%); incidence for White men was 19.8% (19.4%, 20.2%). The peak incidence of prostate cancer for all groups was in men aged 70–79. Incidence of prostate cancer diagnosed at an advanced stage was similar between Black and White men. Conclusions More prostate cancer was diagnosed in Black men with a raised PSA result, but rates of advanced prostate cancer were not higher in this group. In this large primary care-based cohort, the incidence of prostate cancer in men with elevated PSA levels increases with increasing age, even when using age-adjusted thresholds, with Black men significantly more likely to be diagnosed compared to White or Asian men. The incidence of advanced stage prostate cancer at diagnosis was similar for Black and White men with a raised PSA result, but lower for Asian men.

Cancer is a leading cause of death worldwide. Early detection of cancer improves treatment options and patient survival but detecting cancer at the earliest stage presents challenges. Identification of circulating protein biomarkers for cancer risk stratification and early detection is an attractive avenue for potentially minimally invasive screening and early detection methods. This research aims to identify protein level changes that are downstream of genetic liability to lung cancer and colorectal cancer. PRS will be calculated using the PRS continuous shrinkage approach (PRS-CS and PRS-CSx) for colorectal and lung cancer risk. This methodology utilises effect sizes from summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) available for the cancers of interest to generate weights via the continuous shrinkage approach which incorporates the strengths of the GWAS associations into the shrinkage applied. This methodology both improves upon previous PRS methods in accuracy as well as improving cross-ancestry application in the PRS-CSx approach. GWAS summary statistics will be from the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium (GECCO) and the International Lung Cancer Consortium (ILCCO). The association between the polygenic risk scores and 2923 proteins measured by the Olink platform in UK Biobank (UKB) participants with protein measures available will be assessed using linear regression under the assumption of linearity in the proteomic data. The proteins identified could represent several different scenarios of association such as forward causation (protein causes cancer), reverse causation (cancer genetic liability causes protein level change), or horizontal pleiotropy bias (no causal relationship exists between the protein and cancer). Forward and reverse Mendelian randomization sensitivity analyses, as well as colocalization analysis, will be performed in efforts to distinguish between these three scenarios. Protein changes identified as causally downstream of genetic liability to cancer could reflect processes occurring prior to, or after, cancer onset. Due to individuals in the UKB having proteins measures at only one timepoint, and because UKB contains a mix of incident and prevalent cases, some protein measures will have been made prior to a cancer diagnosis while others will have been made after a cancer diagnosis. We will explore the strength of association in relation to the time between protein measurement and prevalent or incident cancer diagnosis.

BackgroundProstate cancer is highly heritable, with >250 common variants associated in genome-wide association studies. It commonly presents with non-specific lower urinary tract symptoms that are frequently associated with benign conditions.MethodsCohort study using UK Biobank data linked to primary care records. Participants were men with a record showing a general practice consultation for a lower urinary tract symptom. The outcome measure was prostate cancer diagnosis within 2 years of consultation. The predictor was a genetic risk score of 269 genetic variants for prostate cancer.ResultsA genetic risk score (GRS) is associated with prostate cancer in symptomatic men (OR per SD increase = 2.12 [1.86–2.41] P = 3.5e-30). An integrated risk model including age and GRS applied to symptomatic men predicted prostate cancer (AUC 0.768 [0.739–0.796]). Prostate cancer incidence was 8.1% (6.7–9.7) in the highest risk quintile. In the lowest quintile, prostate cancer incidence was <1%.ConclusionsThis study is the first to apply GRS in primary care to improve the triage of symptomatic patients. Men with the lowest genetic risk of developing prostate cancer could safely avoid invasive investigation, whilst those identified with the greatest risk could be fast-tracked for further investigation. These results show that a GRS has potential application to improve the diagnostic pathway of symptomatic patients in primary care.

Thrombocytosis is a risk marker for lung cancer in primary care. We investigated whether thrombocytosis presents pre-diagnostically for all the histological subtypes of lung cancer and its association with the stage at diagnosis. A matched cohort study used English electronic primary care data linked to the national cancer registry. Patients diagnosed with lung cancer aged ≥40 years with no prior history of malignancy were matched by age, sex, and general practice to five controls without lung cancer. Multivariable logistic regression models quantified the incidence of pre-diagnostic thrombocytosis and advanced-stage diagnoses, adjusting for COPD diagnosis, smoking status, and anti-platelet drug prescriptions. A total of 9504 cases were matched to 45,647 controls, consisting of 3260 (34%) adenocarcinomas (ADC), 2020 (21%) squamous cell carcinomas (SCC), 70 (<1%) large-cell carcinomas (LCC), and 1089 (12%) small-cell lung cancers (SCLC). The patients with lung cancer were 8.9 (95% CI 8.0–9.9) times more likely to exhibit pre-diagnostic thrombocytosis than the controls. The odds ratios were highest for the comparison between SCC and ADC (1.8, 95% CI 1.5–2.1). Thrombocytosis is associated with advanced-stage ADC and SCC but presented equally for early- and advanced-stage SCLC. Pre-diagnostic thrombocytosis may aid in the detection of all the histological subtypes in primary care.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. Accurate cancer risk assessment approaches could increase rates of early CRC diagnosis, improve health outcomes for patients and reduce pressure on diagnostic services. The faecal immunochemical test (FIT) for blood in stool is widely used in primary care to identify symptomatic patients with likely CRC. However, there is a 6–16% noncompliance rate with FIT in clinic and ~90% of patients over the symptomatic 10 µg/g test threshold do not have CRC. A polygenic risk score (PRS) quantifies an individual’s genetic risk of a condition based on many common variants. Existing PRS for CRC have so far been used to stratify asymptomatic populations. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 50,387 UK Biobank participants with a CRC symptom in their primary care record at age 40+. A PRS based on 201 variants, 5 genetic principal components and 22 other risk factors and markers for CRC were assessed for association with CRC diagnosis within 2 years of first symptom presentation using logistic regression. Associated variables were included in an integrated risk model and trained in 80% of the cohort to predict CRC diagnosis within 2 years. An integrated risk model combining PRS, age, sex, and patient-reported symptoms was predictive of CRC development in a testing cohort (receiver operating characteristic area under the curve, ROCAUC: 0.76, 95% confidence interval: 0.71–0.81). This model has the potential to improve early diagnosis of CRC, particularly in cases of patient noncompliance with FIT.

Objectives: This study aimed to assess any ethnic differences in blood calcium and albumin levels for patients receiving these tests in primary care, and to investigate how this affects the use of these markers in assessing cancer risk. Methods: The analysis was based on a primary care dataset comprising patients in England. Multilevel logistic regression was used to investigate the relationship between blood test results and cancer risk by ethnic group. Results: A total of 4,632,856 patients were eligible for the albumin analysis, and 1,979,763 for the calcium analysis. Raised calcium levels were indicative of an increased risk of cancer, with diagnostic odds ratios (ORs) ranging from 2.0 to 2.7 for the different ethnic groups. ORs for myeloma were between 6.6 and 13.6. Similarly, low albumin was associated with an increased risk of cancer with an OR of between 3.2 and 3.8, myeloma (OR between 8.7 and 10.0), and liver cancer (OR between 9.2 and 15.7). Conclusions: Albumin and corrected calcium were effective indicators of cancer risk, and more specifically of risk of myeloma. Albumin levels were also linked with liver cancer risk. While there are some differences in typical corrected calcium and albumin levels between ethnic groups, there was no evidence that this had an effect on the usefulness of these markers to infer cancer risk.

Kappa opioid receptors (KOPr) are involved in the response to stress. KOPr are also targets for the treatment of stress-related psychiatric disorders including depression, anxiety, and addiction although effects of KOPr are often sex-dependent. Here we investigated c-Fos expression in a range of brain regions in male and female mice following an acute stressor, and a single injection of KOPr agonist. Using adult C57BL/6 c-Fos-GFP transgenic mice and quantitative fluorescence microscopy, we identified brain regions activated in response to a challenge with the KOPr agonist U50,488 (20 mg/kg) or an acute stress (15 min forced swim stress, FSS). In male mice, U50,488 increased expression of c-Fos in the prelimbic area of the prefrontal cortex (PFCx), nucleus accumbens (NAcc), and basolateral nuclei of the amygdala (BLA). In contrast, in female mice U50,488 only activated the BLA but not the PFCx or the NAcc. FSS increased activation of PFCx, NAcc, and BLA in males while there was no activation of the PFCx in female mice. In both sexes, the KOPr antagonist norBNI significantly blocked U50,488-induced, but not stress-induced activation of brain regions. In separate experiments, activated cells were confirmed as non-GABAergic neurons in the PFCx and NAcc. Together these data demonstrate sex differences in activation of brain regions that are key components of the ‘reward’ circuitry. These differential responses may contribute to sex differences in stress-related psychiatric disorders and in the treatment of depression, anxiety, and addiction.