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42 result(s) for "Barboza, Elgar"
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Spatio-temporal analysis of urban expansion and land use dynamics using google earth engine and predictive models
Urban expansion and changes in land use/land cover (LULC) have intensified in recent decades due to human activity, influencing ecological and developmental landscapes. This study investigated historical and projected LULC changes and urban growth patterns in the districts of Multan and Sargodha, Pakistan, using Landsat satellite imagery, cloud computing, and predictive modelling from 1990 to 2030. The analysis of satellite images was grouped into four time periods (1990–2000, 2000–2010, 2010–2020, and 2020–2030). The Google Earth Engine cloud-based platform facilitated the classification of Landsat 5 ETM (1990, 2000, and 2010) and Landsat 8 OLI (2020) images using the Random Forest model. A simulation model integrating Cellular Automata and an Artificial Neural Network Multilayer Perceptron in the MOLUSCE plugin of QGIS was employed to forecast urban growth to 2030. The resulting maps showed consistently high accuracy levels exceeding 92% for both districts across all time periods. The analysis revealed that Multan’s built-up area increased from 240.56 km 2 (6.58%) in 1990 to 440.30 km 2 (12.04%) in 2020, while Sargodha experienced more dramatic growth from 730.91 km 2 (12.69%) to 1,029.07 km 2 (17.83%). Vegetation cover remained dominant but showed significant variations, particularly in peri-urban areas. By 2030, Multan’s urban area is projected to stabilize at 433.22 km 2 , primarily expanding in the southeastern direction. Sargodha is expected to reach 1,404.97 km 2 , showing more balanced multi-directional growth toward the northeast and north. The study presents an effective analytical method integrating cloud processing, GIS, and change simulation modeling to evaluate urban growth spatiotemporal patterns and LULC changes. This approach successfully identified the main LULC transformations and trends in the study areas while highlighting potential urbanization zones where opportunities exist for developing planned and managed urban settlements.
Remote Sensing for Wildfire Mapping: A Comprehensive Review of Advances, Platforms, and Algorithms
The use of remote sensing technologies for mapping forest fires has experienced significant growth in recent decades, driven by advancements in remote sensors, processing platforms, and artificial intelligence algorithms. This study presents a review of 192 scientific articles published between 1990 and 2024, selected using PRISMA criteria from the Scopus database. Trends in the use of active and passive sensors, spectral indices, software, and processing platforms as well as machine learning and deep learning approaches are analyzed. Bibliometric analysis reveals a concentration of publications in Northern Hemisphere countries such as the United States, Spain, and China as well as in Brazil in the Southern Hemisphere, with sustained growth since 2015. Additionally, the publishers, journals, and authors with the highest scientific output are identified. The normalized burn ratio (NBR) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were the most frequently used indices in fire mapping, while random forest (RF) and convolutional neural networks (CNN) were prominent among the applied algorithms. Finally, the main technological and methodological limitations as well as emerging opportunities to enhance fire detection, monitoring, and prediction in various regions are discussed. This review provides a foundation for future research in remote sensing applied to fire management.
Monitoring Wildfires in the Northeastern Peruvian Amazon Using Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 Imagery in the GEE Platform
During the latest decades, the Amazon has experienced a great loss of vegetation cover, in many cases as a direct consequence of wildfires, which became a problem at local, national, and global scales, leading to economic, social, and environmental impacts. Hence, this study is committed to developing a routine for monitoring fires in the vegetation cover relying on recent multitemporal data (2017–2019) of Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 imagery using the cloud-based Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. In order to assess the burnt areas (BA), spectral indices were employed, such as the Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR), Normalized Burn Ratio 2 (NBR2), and Mid-Infrared Burn Index (MIRBI). All these indices were applied for BA assessment according to appropriate thresholds. Additionally, to reduce confusion between burnt areas and other land cover classes, further indices were used, like those considering the temporal differences between pre and post-fire conditions: differential Mid-Infrared Burn Index (dMIRBI), differential Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR), differential Normalized Burn Ratio 2 (dNBR2), and differential Near-Infrared (dNIR). The calculated BA by Sentinel-2 was larger during the three-year investigation span (16.55, 78.50, and 67.19 km2) and of greater detail (detected small areas) than the BA extracted by Landsat-8 (16.39, 6.24, and 32.93 km2). The routine for monitoring wildfires presented in this work is based on a sequence of decision rules. This enables the detection and monitoring of burnt vegetation cover and has been originally applied to an experiment in the northeastern Peruvian Amazon. The results obtained by the two satellites imagery are compared in terms of accuracy metrics and level of detail (size of BA patches). The accuracy for Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 in 2017, 2018, and 2019 varied from 82.7–91.4% to 94.5–98.5%, respectively.
Land Suitability for Pitahaya (Hylocereus megalanthus) Cultivation in Amazonas, Perú: Integrated Use of GIS, RS, F-AHP, and PROMETHEE
Pitahaya (Hylocereus megalanthus), commonly known as dragon fruit, is grown in tropical areas and has a promising future in the world market. At present, it is a crop developed by small-scale farmers. However, finding optimal areas for installing this crop is a major challenge. In this study, we evaluated the suitability of land for pitahaya cultivation in the department of Amazonas using integrated multi-criteria techniques such as geographic information systems (GISs) and remote sensing (RS). The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method was used to select and rank the suitability criteria. The fuzzy-AHP (F-AHP) method was then applied to perform pairwise comparisons and determine the linguistic scaling of the requirements, and, using the Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluation (PROMETHEE), the requirements with the highest preference for land suitability were selected. The results reported that for pitahaya cultivation, the most important criterion was mean annual temperature (20.70%), followed by soil organic matter (11.8%), mean annual rainfall (9.50%), and proximity to roads (9.0%). The final suitability map indicated that 0.006% (2.39 km2) was very suitable, 4.60% (1661.97 km2) moderately suitable, 0.10% (34.65 km2) marginally suitable, and 95.30% (34,459.31 km2) of the study area was not suitable.
Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100
This research was funded by the following three research projects of the Peruvian Government: (i) “Creación del servicio de agricultura de precisión en los Departamentos de Lambayeque, Huancavelica, Ucayali y San Martín 4 Departamentos,” (ii) “Mejoramiento de los servicios de investigación y transferencia tecnológica en el manejo y recuperación de suelos agrícolas degradados y aguas para riego en la pequeña y mediana agricultura en los departamentos de Lima, Áncash, San Martín, Cajamarca, Lambayeque, Junín, Ayacucho, Arequipa, Puno y Ucayali,” and (iii) Creación del Servicio de laboratorio de Biología Molecular para la Investigación en la Universidad Nacional de Frontera–Distrito de Sullana, with grant numbers CUI 2449640, CUI 2487112, and CUI 2437731, respectively.
Land Suitability for Coffee (Coffea arabica) Growing in Amazonas, Peru: Integrated Use of AHP, GIS and RS
Peru is one of the world’s main coffee exporters, whose production is driven mainly by five regions and, among these, the Amazonas region. However, a combined negative factor, including, among others, climate crisis, the incidence of diseases and pests, and poor land-use planning, have led to a decline in coffee yields, impacting on the family economy. Therefore, this research assesses land suitability for coffee production (Coffea arabica) in Amazonas region, in order to support the development of sustainable agriculture. For this purpose, a hierarchical structure was developed based on six climatological sub-criteria, five edaphological sub-criteria, three physiographical sub-criteria, four socio-economic sub-criteria, and three restrictions (coffee diseases and pests). These were integrated using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS). Of the Amazonas region, 11.4% (4803.17 km2), 87.9% (36,952.27 km2) and 0.7% (295.47 km2) are “optimal”, “suboptimal” and “unsuitable” for the coffee growing, respectively. It is recommended to orient coffee growing in 912.48 km2 of territory in Amazonas, which presents “optimal” suitability for coffee and is “unsuitable” for diseases and pests. This research aims to support coffee farmers and local governments in the region of Amazonas to implement new strategies for land management in coffee growing. Furthermore, the methodology used can be applied to assess land suitability for other crops of economic interest in Andean Amazonian areas.
Yield predictions of four hybrids of maize (Zea mays) using multispectral images obtained from UAV in the Coast of Peru
Early assessment of crop development is a key aspect of precision agriculture. Shortening the time of response before a deficit of irrigation, nutrients and damage by diseases is one of the usual concerns in agriculture. Early prediction of crop yields can increase profitability for the farmer’s economy. In this study, we aimed to predict the yield of four maize commercial hybrids (Dekalb7508, Advanta9313, MH_INIA619 and Exp_05PMLM) using vegetation indices (VIs). A total of 10 VIs (NDVI, GNDVI, GCI, RVI, NDRE, CIRE, CVI, MCARI, SAVI, and CCCI) were considered for evaluating crop yield and plant cover at 31, 39, 42, 46 and 51 days after sowing (DAS). A multivariate analysis was applied using principal component analysis (PCA), linear regression, and r-Pearson correlation. Highly significant correlations were found between plant cover with VIs at 46 (GNDVI, GCI, RVI, NDRE, CIRE and CCCI) and 51 DAS (GNDVI, GCI, NDRE, CIRE, CVI, MCARI and CCCI). The PCA showed clear discrimination of the dates evaluated with VIs at 31, 39 and 51 DAS. The inclusion of the CIRE and NDRE in the prediction model contributed to estimating the performance, showing greater precision at 51 DAS. The use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to monitor crops allows us to optimize resources and helps in making timely decisions in agriculture in Peru.
Yield prediction of four bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) cultivars using vegetation indices based on multispectral images from UAV in an arid zone of Peru
In Peru, common bean varieties adapt very well to arid zones, and it is essential to strengthen their evaluations accurately during their phenological stage by using remote sensors and UAV. However, this technology has not been widely adopted in the Peruvian agricultural system, causing a lack of information and precision data on this crop. Here, we predicted the yield of four beans cultivars by using multispectral images, vegetation indices (VIs) and multiple linear correlations (with 11 VIs) in 13 different periods of their phenological development. The multispectral images were analyzed with two methods: (1) a mask of only the crop canopy with supervised classification constructed with QGIS software; and (2) the grids corresponding to each plot (n = 48) without classification. The prediction models can be estimated with higher accuracy when bean plants reached maximum canopy cover (vegetative and reproductive stages), obtaining higher R2 for the c2000 cultivar (0.942) with the CIG, PCB, DVI, EVI and TVI indices with method 2. Similarly, with five VIs, the camanejo cultivar showed the highest R2 for both methods 1 and 2 (0.89 and 0.837) in the reproductive stage. The models better predicted the yield in the phenological stages V3–V4 and R6–R8 for all bean cultivars. This work demonstrated the utility of UAV tools and the use of multispectral images to predict yield before harvest under the Peruvian arid ecosystem.
Distribution Models of Timber Species for Forest Conservation and Restoration in the Andean-Amazonian Landscape, North of Peru
The Andean-Amazonian landscape has been universally recognized for its wide biodiversity, and is considered as global repository of ecosystem services. However, the severe loss of forest cover and rapid reduction of the timber species seriously threaten this ecosystem and biodiversity. In this study, we have modeled the distribution of the ten most exploited timber forest species in Amazonas (Peru) to identify priority areas for forest conservation and restoration. Statistical and cartographic protocols were applied with 4454 species records and 26 environmental variables using a Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt). The result showed that the altitudinal variable was the main regulatory factor that significantly controls the distribution of the species. We found that nine species are distributed below 1000 m above sea level (a.s.l.), except Cedrela montana, which was distributed above 1500 m a.s.l., covering 40.68%. Eight of 10 species can coexist, and the species with the highest percentage of potential restoration area is Cedrela montana (14.57% from Amazonas). However, less than 1.33% of the Amazon has a potential distribution of some species and is protected under some category of conservation. Our study will contribute as a tool for the sustainable management of forests and will provide geographic information to complement forest restoration and conservation plans.
Predictive Modelling of Current and Future Potential Distribution of the Spectacled Bear (Tremarctos ornatus) in Amazonas, Northeast Peru
The spectacled, or Andean, bear (Tremarctos ornatus) is classified as vulnerable by the IUCN due to climate change and human-induced habitat fragmentation. There is an urgent need for the conservation of spectacled bear at real time. However, the lack of knowledge about the distribution of this species is considered as one of the major limitations for decision-making and sustainable conservation. In this study, 92 geo-referenced records of the spectacled bear, 12 environmental variables and the MaxEnt entropy modelling have been used for predictive modelling for the current and future (2050 and 2070) potential distribution of the spectacled bear in Amazonas, northeastern Peru. The areas of “high”, “moderate” and “low” potential habitat under current conditions cover 1.99% (836.22 km2), 14.46% (6081.88 km2) and 20.73% (8718.98 km2) of the Amazon, respectively. “High” potential habitat will increase under all climate change scenarios, while “moderate” and “low” potential habitat, as well as total habitat, will decrease over the time. The “moderate”, “low” and total potential habitat are distributed mainly in Yunga montane forest, combined grasslands/rangelands and secondary vegetation and Yunga altimontane (rain) forest, while “high” potential habitat is also concentrated in the Jalca. The overall outcome showed that the most of the important habitats of the spectacled bear are not part of the protected natural areas of Amazonas, under current as well as under future scenarios.