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Very few efforts have been undertaken to scale-up low-cost approaches to cervical cancer prevention in low-resource countries. In a public sector cervical cancer prevention program in Zambia, nurses provided visual-inspection with acetic acid (VIA) and cryotherapy in clinics co-housed with HIV/AIDS programs, and referred women with complex lesions for histopathologic evaluation. Low-cost technological adaptations were deployed for improving VIA detection, facilitating expert physician opinion, and ensuring quality assurance. Key process and outcome indicators were derived by analyzing electronic medical records to evaluate program expansion efforts. Between 2006-2013, screening services were expanded from 2 to 12 clinics in Lusaka, the most-populous province in Zambia, through which 102,942 women were screened. The majority (71.7%) were in the target age-range of 25-49 years; 28% were HIV-positive. Out of 101,867 with evaluable data, 20,419 (20%) were VIA positive, of whom 11,508 (56.4%) were treated with cryotherapy, and 8,911 (43.6%) were referred for histopathologic evaluation. Most women (87%, 86,301 of 98,961 evaluable) received same-day services (including 5% undergoing same-visit cryotherapy and 82% screening VIA-negative). The proportion of women with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 and worse (CIN2+) among those referred for histopathologic evaluation was 44.1% (1,735/3,938 with histopathology results). Detection rates for CIN2+ and invasive cervical cancer were 17 and 7 per 1,000 women screened, respectively. Women with HIV were more likely to screen positive, to be referred for histopathologic evaluation, and to have cervical precancer and cancer than HIV-negative women. We creatively disrupted the 'no screening' status quo prevailing in Zambia and addressed the heavy burden of cervical disease among previously unscreened women by establishing and scaling-up public-sector screening and treatment services at a population level. Key determinants for successful expansion included leveraging HIV/AIDS program investments, and context-specific information technology applications for quality assurance and filling human resource gaps.

A multiplex polymerase chain reaction panel facilitated the more rapid institution of appropriate antimicrobial therapy in patients with acute gastroenteritis compared to traditional diagnostic methods. Abstract Background Molecular syndromic diagnostic panels can enhance pathogen identification in the approximately 2-4 billion episodes of acute gastroenteritis that occur annually worldwide. However, the clinical utility of these panels has not been established. Methods We conducted a prospective, multi-center study to investigate the impact of the BioFire FilmArray Gastrointestinal polymerase chain reaction panel on clinical diagnosis and decision-making, and compared the clinical acuity of patients with positive results obtained exclusively with the FilmArray with those detected by conventional stool culture. A total of 1887 consecutive fecal specimens were tested in parallel by FilmArray and stool culture. Laboratory and medical records were reviewed to determine rates of detection, turnaround times, clinical features, and the nature and timing of clinical decisions. Results FilmArray detected pathogens in 35.3% of specimens, compared to 6.0% for culture. Median time from collection to result was 18 hours for FilmArray and 47 hours for culture. Median time from collection to initiation of antimicrobial therapy was 22 hours for FilmArray and 72 hours for culture. Patients diagnosed by FilmArray were more likely to receive targeted rather than empirical therapy, compared to those diagnosed by culture (P = .0148). Positive Shiga-like toxin-producing E. coli results were reported 47 hours faster with FilmArray and facilitated discontinuation of empirical antimicrobials. Patients diagnosed exclusively by FilmArray had clinical characteristics similar to those identified by culture. Conclusions FilmArray markedly improved clinical sensitivity in patients with acute diarrhea, identified cases with clinical acuity comparable to those identified by culture, and enabled clinicians to make more timely and targeted therapeutic decisions.

This study analyzes the hydro-morphological dynamics of the lower 40 km of the Magdalena River (Colombia), with particular emphasis on the reach between Malambo and the river mouth at Bocas de Ceniza. Bathymetric profiles obtained from three field campaigns conducted between 2017 and 2018 were used to characterize riverbed morphology and to quantify the evolution of subaqueous bedforms (dunes) under different flow conditions. The results reveal a systematic increase in dune height and wavelength with increasing discharge. The dominant discharge during the observation period was approximately 7400 m3/s, associated with a total measured sediment load of about 2000 kton/day, corresponding to a volumetric concentration of 0.12%. Variations in the Manning roughness coefficient were identified, ranging from 0.020 to 0.037, primarily driven by changes in discharge and, to a lesser extent, by spatial variability in hydraulic roughness, particularly in port areas. Bedforms exhibit significant growth during high-flow periods, consistent with findings reported in the literature. Analysis of mean velocity profiles indicates that the von Kármán coefficient varies with sediment concentration and turbulence intensity. Finally, a nature-based solution is proposed for the river mouth, consisting of reconfiguring the Thalweg in the final kilometers of the channel to replicate the meandering pattern of the adjacent bend. This intervention aims to enhance Thalweg stability, reduce saline wedge intrusion, promote sediment and flow dispersion toward the natural submarine canyon, and improve navigability at the river mouth.

The WHO recently released a BK virus (BKV) international standard. This study evaluated the WHO international standard and commercially available BKV standards by quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) and droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). WHO, Exact Diagnostics, Acrometrix, and Zeptometrix BKV standards were tested by qPCR and ddPCR. Two preparations of NIST BKV clones were also tested. Nucleic acid was extracted with the Roche MP96 and MPLC, followed by quantification in duplicate. To resolve discrepancies, we sequenced the WHO and NIST materials. Manufacturers' expected copies/mL were close to WHO IU/mL: linear regression of qPCR data revealed 1.12 Exact copies/IU, 0.76 Acrometrix copies/IU, and 0.70 Zeptometrix copies/IU. For ddPCR, similar concentrations were measured when either the VP1 region or the T region was targeted, and concentrations were almost 2-fold higher when both regions were targeted simultaneously. ddPCR results for the VP1 and T regions were similar for all commercial standards, but targeting the T region of the WHO standard led to a 4-fold lower result than the VP1 region. Next-generation sequencing revealed no primer or probe mismatches. However, large differences in coverage across the WHO standard and junctional reads were observed, indicating subpopulations of the WHO standard with deletions in the T region. BKV standards showed concordance among providers, but the WHO standard contains subpopulations of viruses with various deletions in the T region. PCR results will vary depending on which region of the WHO standard is targeted.

University settings have demonstrated potential for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreaks; they combine congregate living, substantial social activity, and a young population predisposed to mild illness. Using genomic and epidemiologic data, we describe a COVID-19 outbreak at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, USA. During August-October 2020, a total of 3,485 students, including 856/6,162 students living in dormitories, tested positive. Case counts began rising during move-in week, August 25-31, 2020, then rose rapidly during September 1-11, 2020. The university initiated multiple prevention efforts, including quarantining 2 dormitories; a subsequent decline in cases was observed. Genomic surveillance of cases from Dane County, in which the university is located, did not find evidence of transmission from a large cluster of cases in the 2 quarantined dorms during the outbreak. Coordinated implementation of prevention measures can reduce COVID-19 spread in university settings and may limit spillover to the surrounding community.

The SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant of Concern is highly transmissible and contains mutations that confer partial immune escape. The emergence of Delta in North America caused the first surge in COVID-19 cases after SARS-CoV-2 vaccines became widely available. To determine whether individuals infected despite vaccination might be capable of transmitting SARS-CoV-2, we compared RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) data from 20,431 test-positive anterior nasal swab specimens from fully vaccinated (n = 9,347) or unvaccinated (n = 11,084) individuals tested at a single commercial laboratory during the interval 28 June– 1 December 2021 when Delta variants were predominant. We observed no significant effect of vaccine status alone on Ct value, nor when controlling for vaccine product or sex. Testing a subset of low-Ct (<25) samples, we detected infectious virus at similar rates, and at similar titers, in specimens from vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals. These data indicate that vaccinated individuals infected with Delta variants are capable of shedding infectious SARS-CoV-2 and could play a role in spreading COVID-19.

FLATModel is a two-dimensional shallow-water approximation code with corrections and modifications that create a simulation tool adapted to debris-flows behaviour. FLATModel uses the finite volume method with the numerical implementation of the Godunov scheme and includes correction terms regarding the effect of flow over high slopes and curvature. Additionally, the stop-and-go phenomenon, the basal entrainment and a correction regarding the front inclination of the final deposit are incorporated into FLATModel. In addition, different flow resistance laws were integrated in the numerical code including Bingham, Herschel–Bulkley and Voellmy fluid model. Firstly, our numerical model was validated using analytical solutions of a dam-break scenario and published data on a laboratory experiment. Secondly, three real events, which occurred in the northeastern part of the Iberian Peninsula, were back-calculated. Although field observations of the three events are not very detailed, the back-analyses revealed interesting patterns on the flow dynamics, and the numerical results generally showed good agreement with field data. Comparing the different flow resistance laws, the Voellmy fluid model presents the best behaviour regarding both the flow behaviour and the deposit characteristics. Preliminary simulation runs incorporating the effect of basal entrainment offered satisfactory results, although the final volume is rather sensitive on the selected friction angle of channel-bed material. The outcomes regarding the correction of the calculated front inclination of the final deposit showed that this implementation strongly improves the simulation results and better represents steep fronts of final deposits.

Background Morbidity and mortality from respiratory infections are higher in resource-limited countries than developed countries, but limited studies have been conducted in resource-limited settings to examine pathogens from patients with acute respiratory infections. Influenza surveillance has been conducted in Zambia since 2008; however, only 4.3% of patients enrolled in 2011–2012 were positive for influenza. Therefore, we examined non-influenza respiratory pathogens in children with severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) in Zambia, to estimate the scope of disease burden and determine commonly-identified respiratory pathogens. Methods Two reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) methods (single and multiplex) were used to analyze nasopharyngeal and throat swabs collected from SARI cases under five years of age from January 2011 through December 2012. All specimens were negative for influenza by rRT-PCR. The panel of singleplex reactions targeted seven viruses, while the multiplex assay targeted thirty-three bacteria, fungi, and viruses. Results A set of 297 specimens were tested by singleplex rRT-PCR, and a different set of 199 were tested by multiplex rRT-PCR. Using the singleplex assay, 184/297 (61.9%) specimens were positive for one or more viruses. The most prevalent viruses were human rhinovirus (57/297; 19.2%), human adenovirus (50/297; 16.8%), and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) (45/297; 15.2%). Using multiplex PCR, at least one virus was detected from 167/199 (83.9%) specimens, and at least one bacteria was detected from 197/199 (99.0%) specimens. Cytomegalovirus (415/199; 208.5%) and RSV (67/199; 33.7%) were the most commonly detected viruses, while Streptococcus pneumonie (109/199; 54.8%) and Moraxella catarrhalis (92/199; 46.2%) were the most commonly detected bacteria. Conclusions Single infections and co-infections of many viruses and bacteria were identified in children with SARI. These results provide an estimate of the prevalence of infection and show which respiratory pathogens are commonly identified in patients. Further studies should investigate causal associations between individual pathogens and SARI.

Background To improve understanding of the antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 infection, we examined seroprevalence, incidence of infection, and seroconversion among a cohort of young adults living on university campuses during the fall of 2020. Methods At the beginning (semester start) and end (semester end) of an 11-week period, serum collected from 107 students was tested using the qualitative Abbott Architect SARS-CoV-2 IgG and AdviseDx SARS-CoV-2 IgG II assays. Results were matched to interim weekly surveillance viral testing and symptom data. Results With the SARS-CoV-2 IgG assay, 15 (14.0%) students were seropositive at semester start; 29 (27.1%) students were seropositive at semester end; 10 (9.3%) were seropositive at both times. With the AdviseDx SARS-CoV-2 IgG II assay, 17 (16.3%) students were seropositive at semester start, 37 (35.6%) were seropositive at semester end, and 16 (15.3%) were seropositive at both times. Overall, 23 students (21.5%) had positive viral tests during the semester. Infection was identified by serial testing in a large majority of individuals who seroconverted using both assays. Those seropositive at semester end more frequently reported symptomatic infections (56.5%) than asymptomatic infections (30.4%). Conclusion Differences between antibody targets were observed, with more declines in antibody index values below the threshold of positivity with the anti-nucleocapsid assay compared to the anti-spike assay. Serology testing, combined with serial viral testing, can detect seroconversions, and help understand the potential correlates of protection provided by antibodies to SARS-CoV-2.

There is emerging evidence that esophageal cancer occurs in younger adults in sub‐Saharan Africa than in Europe or North America. The burden of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is also high in this region. We postulated that HIV and human papillomavirus (HPV) infections might contribute to esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) risk. This was a case–control study based at the University Teaching Hospital in Lusaka, Zambia. Cases were patients with confirmed OSCC and controls had completely normal upper endoscopic evaluations. A total of 222 patients were included to analyze the influence of HIV infection; of these, 100 patients were used to analyze the influence of HPV infection, alcohol, smoking, and exposure to wood smoke. The presence of HIV infection was determined using antibody kits, and HPV infection was detected by polymerase chain reaction. HIV infection on its own conferred increased risk of developing OSCC (odds ratio [OR] 2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0–5.1; P = 0.03). The OR was stronger when only people under 60 years were included (OR 4.3; 95% CI 1.5–13.2; P = 0.003). Cooking with charcoal or firewood, and cigarette smoking, both increased the odds of developing OSCC ([OR 3.5; 95% CI 1.4–9.3; P = 0.004] and [OR 9.1; 95% CI 3.0–30.4; P < 0.001], respectively). There was no significant difference in HPV detection or alcohol intake between cases and controls. We conclude that HIV infection and exposure to domestic and cigarette smoke are risk factors for OSCC, and HPV immunization unlikely to reduce OSCC incidence in Zambia. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and exposure to domestic and cigarette smoke are risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection does not appear to explain this relationship with HIV. HPV immunization is unlikely to prevent the apparent increase in esophageal cancers in young Zambian adults.