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Background A trial performed among unvaccinated, high-risk outpatients with COVID-19 during the delta period showed remdesivir reduced hospitalization. We used our real-world data platform to determine the effectiveness of remdesivir on reducing 28-day hospitalization among outpatients with mild-moderate COVID-19 during an Omicron period including BQ.1/BQ.1.1/XBB.1.5. Methods We did a propensity-matched, retrospective cohort study of non-hospitalized adults with SARS-CoV-2 infection between April 7, 2022, and February 7, 2023. Electronic healthcare record data from a large health system in Colorado were linked to statewide vaccination and mortality data. We included patients with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or outpatient remdesivir administration. Exclusion criteria were other SARS-CoV-2 treatments or positive SARS-CoV-2 test more than seven days before remdesivir. The primary outcome was all-cause hospitalization up to day 28. Secondary outcomes included 28-day COVID-related hospitalization and 28-day all-cause mortality. Results Among 29,270 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, 1,252 remdesivir-treated patients were matched to 2,499 untreated patients. Remdesivir was associated with lower 28-day all-cause hospitalization (1.3% vs. 3.3%, adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.39 [95% CI 0.23–0.67], p  < 0.001) than no treatment. All-cause mortality at 28 days was numerically lower among remdesivir-treated patients (0.1% vs. 0.4%; aOR 0.32 [95% CI 0.03–1.40]). Similar benefit of RDV treatment on 28-day all-cause hospitalization was observed across Omicron periods, aOR (95% CI): BA.2/BA2.12.1 (0.77[0.19–2.41]), BA.4/5 (0.50[95% CI 0.50–1.01]), BQ.1/BQ.1.1/XBB.1.5 (0.21[95% CI 0.08–0.57]. Conclusion Among outpatients with SARS-CoV-2 during recent Omicron surges, remdesivir was associated with lower hospitalization than no treatment, supporting current National Institutes of Health Guidelines.

Background Effectiveness of remdesivir (RDV) treatment on short-term mortality and other outcomes has been well-studied, yet the impact of RDV on long-term outcomes is less well-known. The objective of this study was to determine if inpatient RDV use in survivors of COVID-19 hospitalization is associated with reduced mortality after discharge. Methods This is a retrospective observational cohort study of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between November 2020 and October 2022 in three health systems in Colorado and Utah. Real-world data were identified from electronic health records and state-level vaccination and mortality records. Our primary cohort were patients hospitalized with COVID-19, either treated or not treated with RDV, who survived to hospital discharge. Unadjusted and adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratio of all-cause mortality following hospital discharge for those administered vs. not administered inpatient RDV. Sensitivity analyses included propensity-matching the primary cohort with in-hospital mortality as a competing risk. Secondary outcomes, including hospital and ED readmissions respectively, within 28 days after index hospitalization discharge, were also evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. Results The primary cohort consisted of 9760 patients who survived index hospitalization and had between 6 and 29 months of post-hospital follow up. Of the primary cohort, 4771 (48.8%) were treated with inpatient RDV, inpatient RDV was associated with a decreased mortality hazard (aHR 0.73; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.61–0.87) among survivors with up to two and a half years of follow-up. Results from a sensitivity analysis using in-hospital mortality as a competing risk were similar to the primary model (aHR 0.76; CI 0.63–0.92). RDV treatment was also associated with decreased re-hospitalization (aHR 0.77; CI 0.67–0.89) and ED readmission rates (aHR 0.79; CI 0.67–0.92). Most subgroups appear to benefit from RDV, with possible exceptions for patients infected during the first Omicron wave, having received at least 1 vaccine dose, and those not requiring supplemental oxygen during index hospitalization. Conclusions In this real-world analysis of three large health systems in Colorado and Utah, RDV use was associated with decreased long-term mortality among survivors of initial COVID-19 hospitalization. Inpatient RDV treatment may provide a mortality benefit after COVID-19 hospitalization.

Background Neutralizing monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are highly effective in reducing hospitalization and mortality among early symptomatic COVID-19 patients in clinical trials and real-world data. While resistance to some mAbs has since emerged among new variants, characteristics associated with treatment failure of mAbs remain unknown. Methods This multicenter, observational cohort study included patients with COVID-19 who received mAb treatment between November 20, 2020, and December 9, 2021. We utilized electronic health records from a statewide health system plus state-level vaccine and mortality data. The primary outcome was mAb treatment failure, defined as hospitalization or death within 28 days of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test. Results COVID-19 mAb was administered to 7406 patients. Hospitalization within 28 days of positive SARS-CoV-2 test occurred in 258 (3.5%) of all patients who received mAb treatment. Ten patients (0.1%) died within 28 days, and all but one were hospitalized prior to death. Characteristics associated with treatment failure included having two or more comorbidities excluding obesity and immunocompromised status (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.52–5.56), lack of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination (OR 2.73, 95% CI 2.01–3.77), non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.20–3.82), obesity (OR 1.79, 95% CI 1.36–2.34), one comorbidity (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.11–2.57), age ≥ 65 years (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.13–2.35), and male sex (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.21–2.02). Immunocompromised status (none, mild, or moderate/severe), pandemic phase, and type of mAb received were not associated with treatment failure (all p > 0.05). Conclusions Comorbidities, lack of prior SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity, obesity, age ≥ 65 years, and male sex are associated with treatment failure of mAbs.

Nirmatrelvir is a protease inhibitor with in-vitro activity against SARS-CoV-2, and ritonavir-boosted nirmatrelvir can reduce the risk of progression to severe COVID-19 among individuals at high risk infected with delta and early omicron variants. However, less is known about the effectiveness of nirmatrelvir–ritonavir during more recent BA.2, BA2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5 omicron variant surges. We used our real-world data platform to evaluate the effect of nirmatrelvir–ritonavir treatment on 28-day hospitalisation, mortality, and emergency department visits among outpatients with early symptomatic COVID-19 during a SARS-CoV-2 omicron (BA.2, BA2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5) predominant period in Colorado, USA. We did a propensity-matched, retrospective, observational cohort study of non-hospitalised adult patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 between March 26 and Aug 25, 2022, using records from a statewide health system in Colorado. We obtained data from the electronic health records of University of Colorado Health, the largest health system in Colorado, with 13 hospitals and 141 000 annual hospital admissions, and with numerous ambulatory sites and affiliated pharmacies around the state. Included patients had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or nirmatrelvir–ritonavir medication order. Exclusion criteria were an order for or administration of other SARS-CoV-2 treatments within 10 days of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, hospitalisation at the time of positive SARS-CoV-2 test, and positive SARS-CoV-2 test more than 10 days before a nirmatrelvir–ritonavir order. We propensity score matched patients treated with nirmatrelvir–ritonavir with untreated patients. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause hospitalisation. Among 28 167 patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 between March 26 and Aug 25, 2022, 21 493 met the study inclusion criteria. 9881 patients received treatment with nirmatrelvir–ritonavir and 11 612 were untreated. Nirmatrelvir–ritonavir treatment was associated with reduced 28-day all-cause hospitalisation compared with no antiviral treatment (61 [0·9%] of 7168 patients vs 135 [1·4%] of 9361 patients, adjusted odds ratio (OR) 0·45 [95% CI 0·33–0·62]; p<0·0001). Nirmatrelvir–ritonavir treatment was also associated with reduced 28-day all-cause mortality (two [<0·1%] of 7168 patients vs 15 [0·2%] of 9361 patients; adjusted OR 0·15 [95% CI 0·03–0·50]; p=0·0010). Using subsequent emergency department visits as a surrogate for clinically significant relapse, we observed a decrease after nirmatrelvir–ritonavir treatment (283 [3·9%] of 7168 patients vs 437 [4·7%] of 9361 patients; adjusted OR 0·74 [95% CI 0·63–0·87]; p=0·0002). Real-world evidence reported during a BA.2, BA2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5 omicron surge showed an association between nirmatrelvir–ritonavir treatment and reduced 28-day all-cause hospitalisation, all-cause mortality, and visits to the emergency department. With results that are among the first to suggest effectiveness of nirmatrelvir–ritonavir for non-hospitalised patients during an omicron period inclusive of BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants, these data support nirmatrelvir–ritonavir as an ongoing first-line treatment for adults acutely infected with SARS-CoV-2. US National Institutes of Health.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the effective distribution of limited treatments became a crucial policy goal. Yet, limited research exists using electronic health record data and machine learning techniques, such as policy learning trees (PLTs), to optimize the distribution of scarce therapeutics. To evaluate whether a machine learning PLT-based method of scarce resource allocation optimizes the treatment benefit of COVID-19 neutralizing monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) during periods of resource constraint. This retrospective cohort study used electronic health record data from October 1, 2021, to December 11, 2021, for the training cohort and data from June 1, 2021, to October 1, 2021, for the testing cohort. The cohorts included patients who had positive test results for SARS-CoV-2 and qualified for COVID-19 mAb therapy based on the US Food and Drug Administration's emergency use authorization criteria, ascertained from the patient electronic health record. Only some of the qualifying candidates received treatment with mAbs. Data were analyzed between from January 2023 to May 2024. The primary outcome was overall expected hospitalization, assessed as the potential reduction in overall expected hospitalization if the PLT-based allocation system was used. This was compared to observed allocation using risk differences. Among 9542 eligible patients in the training cohort (5418 female [56.8%]; age distribution: 18-44 years, 4151 [43.5%]; 45-64 years, 3146 [33.0%]; and ≥65 years, 2245 [23.5%]), a total of 3862 (40.5%) received mAbs. Among 6248 eligible patients in the testing cohort (3416 female [54.7%]; age distribution: 18-44 years, 2827 [45.2%]; 45-64 years, 1927 [30.8%]; and ≥65 years, 1494 [23.9%]), a total of 1329 (21.3%) received mAbs. Treatment allocation using the trained PLT model led to an estimated 1.6% reduction (95% CI, -2.0% to -1.2%) in overall expected hospitalization compared to observed treatment allocation in the testing cohort. The visual assessment showed that the PLT-based point system had a larger reduction in 28-day hospitalization compared with the Monoclonal Antibody Screening Score (maximum overall hospitalization difference, -1.0% [95% CI, -1.3% to -0.7%]) in the testing cohort. This retrospective cohort study proposes and tests a PLT method, which can be linked to a electronic health record data platform to improve real-time allocation of scarce treatments. Use of this PLT-based allocation method would have likely resulted in fewer hospitalizations across a population than were observed in usual care, with greater expected reductions than a commonly used point system.

Supplemental oxygen is fundamental to caring for critically injured adults but can expose them to excess inspired oxygen. To determine the safety and effectiveness of targeting normoxemia in critically ill trauma patients. This multicenter, stepped-wedge, cluster randomized clinical trial compared targeted normoxemia (defined as a peripheral oxygen saturation [Spo2] of 90% to 96%) with usual care among adult trauma patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) at 8 level I trauma centers across the US. These trauma centers were randomized at 3-month intervals when they crossed over from usual care to targeting normoxemia. Eligible patients were enrolled between July 15, 2020, and November 14, 2022. All statistical analyses were performed from April 2023 to November 2024 according to intention-to-treat approach. In the usual care group, supplemental oxygen was determined by treating clinicians. In the targeted normoxemia group, a multimodal educational and informatics intervention encouraged decreasing the supplemental oxygen administered whenever Spo2 exceeded 96%. The primary outcome was supplemental oxygen-free days (SOFDs), defined as the number of days alive and not receiving supplemental oxygen through day 28. Safety outcomes included hypoxemia (defined as Spo2 <88%) during the ICU admission, in-hospital mortality, and adverse events. A total of 12 487 patients were enrolled (mean [SD] age, 51.7 [21.1] years; 8799 males [70.5%]; mean [SD] Injury Severity Score, 19.6 [12.0]). The proportion of ICU time spent in normoxemia increased from 56.2% in the usual care group to 71.6% in the targeted normoxemia group. Hyperoxemia (defined as Spo2 >96%) decreased from 42.4% in the usual care group to 26.7% in the targeted normoxemia group, and hypoxemia was similar between groups (1.1% vs 1.1%). The raw mean (SD) number of SOFDs was 19.6 (10.3) days for the targeted normoxemia group and 17.5 (10.4) days for the usual care group (adjusted mean difference [AMD], 0.32 [95% CI, -0.37 to 1.00] days; P = .30). Among patients not receiving mechanical ventilation at ICU admission, mean SOFDs were greater in the targeted normoxemia group than in the usual care group (22.6 [8.30] days vs 20.6 [8.86] days; AMD, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.00-1.50 days). The mean (SD) time for weaning to room air was 1.6 (3.2) days for the targeted normoxemia group and 2.7 (4.0) days for the usual care group (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.23; 95% CI, 1.13-1.33 days). In-hospital mortality to day 90 occurred in 563 patients (9.9%) in the targeted normoxemia and 732 patients (10.7%) in the usual care group (AHR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.83-1.33). No adverse events were reported in either group. This randomized clinical trial showed that targeting normoxemia did not increase the number of SOFDs but safely reduced supplemental oxygen use among critically ill trauma patients. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04534959.

Preoperative chemo(radio)therapy is increasingly used in patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma, leading to pathological complete response (pCR) in a small subset of patients. However, multicenter studies with in-depth data about pCR are lacking. To investigate the incidence, outcome, and risk factors of pCR after preoperative chemo(radio)therapy. This observational, international, multicenter cohort study assessed all consecutive patients with pathology-proven localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma who underwent resection after 2 or more cycles of chemotherapy (with or without radiotherapy) in 19 centers from 8 countries (January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2018). Data collection was performed from February 1, 2020, to April 30, 2022, and analyses from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2023. Median follow-up was 19 months. Preoperative chemotherapy (with or without radiotherapy) followed by resection. The incidence of pCR (defined as absence of vital tumor cells in the sampled pancreas specimen after resection), its association with OS from surgery, and factors associated with pCR. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) and pCR were investigated with Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models, respectively. Overall, 1758 patients (mean [SD] age, 64 [9] years; 879 [50.0%] male) were studied. The rate of pCR was 4.8% (n = 85), and pCR was associated with OS (hazard ratio, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.26-0.83). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 95%, 82%, and 63% in patients with pCR vs 80%, 46%, and 30% in patients without pCR, respectively (P < .001). Factors associated with pCR included preoperative multiagent chemotherapy other than (m)FOLFIRINOX ([modified] leucovorin calcium [folinic acid], fluorouracil, irinotecan hydrochloride, and oxaliplatin) (odds ratio [OR], 0.48; 95% CI, 0.26-0.87), preoperative conventional radiotherapy (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.00-4.10), preoperative stereotactic body radiotherapy (OR, 8.91; 95% CI, 4.17-19.05), radiologic response (OR, 13.00; 95% CI, 7.02-24.08), and normal(ized) serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 after preoperative therapy (OR, 3.76; 95% CI, 1.79-7.89). This international, retrospective cohort study found that pCR occurred in 4.8% of patients with resected localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma after preoperative chemo(radio)therapy. Although pCR does not reflect cure, it is associated with improved OS, with a doubled 5-year OS of 63% compared with 30% in patients without pCR. Factors associated with pCR related to preoperative chemo(radio)therapy regimens and anatomical and biological disease response features may have implications for treatment strategies that require validation in prospective studies because they may not universally apply to all patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

BackgroundThe objective of this study was to compare postoperative complication rates and healthcare charges between patients who underwent coordinated versus staged breast surgery and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (BSO).Patients and MethodsThe MarketScan administrative database was used to identify adult female patients with invasive breast cancer or BRCA1/BRCA2 mutations who underwent BSO and breast surgery (lumpectomy or mastectomy with or without reconstruction) between 2010 and 2015. Patients were assigned to the coordinated group if a breast operation and BSO were performed simultaneously or assigned to the staged group if BSO was performed separately. Primary outcomes were (1) incidence of 90-day postoperative complications and (2) 2-year aggregate perioperative healthcare charges. Fisher’s exact tests, Wilcoxon rank-sum tests, and multivariable regression analyses were performed.ResultsOf the 4228 patients who underwent breast surgery and BSO, 412 (9.7%) were in the coordinated group and 3816 (90.3%) were in the staged group. The coordinated group had a higher incidence of postoperative complications (24.0% vs. 17.7%, p < 0.01), higher risk-adjusted odds of postoperative complications [odds ratio (OR) 1.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06–1.76, p = 0.02], and similar aggregate healthcare charges before (median charges: $106,500 vs. $101,555, p = 0.96) and after risk-adjustment [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.00, 95% CI 0.93–1.07; p = 0.95]. In a subgroup analysis, incidence of postoperative complications (12.9% for coordinated operations vs. 11.7% for staged operation, p = 0.73) was similar in patients whose breast operation was a lumpectomy.ConclusionsWhile costs were similar, coordinating breast surgery with BSO was associated with more complications in patients who underwent mastectomy, but not in patients who underwent lumpectomy. These data should inform shared decision-making in high-risk patients.

To evaluate whether subcutaneous neutralizing monoclonal antibody (mAb) treatment given in the emergency department (ED) setting was associated with reduced hospitalizations, mortality, and severity of disease when compared to nontreatment among mAb‐eligible patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19). This retrospective observational cohort study of ED patients utilized a propensity score‐matched analysis to compare patients who received subcutaneous casirivimab and imdevimab mAb to nontreated COVID‐19 control patients in November–December 2021. The primary outcome was all‐cause hospitalization within 28 days, and secondary outcomes were 90‐day hospitalization, 28‐ and 90‐day mortality, and ED length of stay (LOS). Of 1340 patients included in the analysis, 490 received subcutaneous casirivimab and imdevimab, and 850 did not received them. There was no difference observed for 28‐day hospitalization (8.4% vs. 10.6%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.79, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.53–1.17) or 90‐day hospitalization (11.6% vs. 12.5%; aOR 0.93, 95% CI 0.65–1.31). However, mortality at both the 28‐day and 90‐day timepoints was substantially lower in the treated group (28‐day 0.6% vs. 3.1%; aOR 0.18, 95% CI 0.08–0.41; 90‐day 0.6% vs. 3.9%; aOR 0.14, 95% CI 0.06–0.36). Among hospitalized patients, treated patients had shorter hospital LOS (5.7 vs. 11.4 days; adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 0.47, 95% CI 0.33–0.69), shorter intensive care unit LOS (3.8 vs. 10.2 days; aRR 0.22, 95% CI 0.14–0.35), and the severity of hospitalization was lower (aOR 0.45, 95% CI 0.21–0.97) compared to untreated. Among ED patients who presented for symptomatic COVID‐19 during the Delta variant phase, ED subcutaneous casirivimab/imdevimab treatment was not associated with a decrease in hospitalizations. However, treatment was associated with lower mortality at 28 and 90 days, hospital LOS, and overall severity of illness.