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Apolipoprotein E is a glycoprotein best known as a mediator and regulator of lipid transport and uptake. The APOE-ε4 allele has long been associated with increased risks of Alzheimer's disease and mortality, but the effect of the less prevalent APOE-ε2 allele on diseases in the elderly and survival remains elusive. We aggregated data of 38,537 individuals of European ancestry (mean age 65.5 years; 55.6% women) from six population-based cohort studies (Rotterdam Study, AGES-Reykjavik Study, Cardiovascular Health Study, Health-ABC Study, and the family-based Framingham Heart Study and Long Life Family Study) to determine the association of APOE, and in particular APOE-ε2, with survival in the population. During a mean follow-up of 11.7 years, 17,021 individuals died. Compared with homozygous APOE-ε3 carriers, APOE-ε2 carriers were at lower risk of death (hazard ratio,95% confidence interval: 0.94,0.90-0.99; P = 1.1*10-2), whereas APOE-ε4 carriers were at increased risk of death (HR 1.17,1.12-1.21; P = 2.8*10-16). APOE was associated with mortality risk in a dose-dependent manner, with risk estimates lowest for homozygous APOE-ε2 (HR 0.89,0.74-1.08), and highest for homozygous APOE-ε4 (HR 1.52,1.37-1.70). After censoring for dementia, effect estimates remained similar for APOE-ε2 (HR 0.95,0.90-1.01), but attenuated for APOE-ε4 (HR 1.07,1.01-1.12). Results were broadly similar across cohorts, and did not differ by age or sex. APOE genotype was associated with baseline lipid fractions (e.g. mean difference(95%CI) in LDL(mg/dL) for ε2 versus ε33: -17.1(-18.1-16.0), and ε4 versus ε33: +5.7(4.8;6.5)), but the association between APOE and mortality was unaltered after adjustment for baseline LDL or cardiovascular disease. Given the European ancestry of the study population, results may not apply to other ethnicities. Compared with APOE-ε3, APOE-ε2 is associated with prolonged survival, whereas mortality risk is increased for APOE-ε4 carriers. Further collaborative efforts are needed to unravel the role of APOE and in particular APOE-ε2 in health and disease.

Development of cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors for coronary heart disease (CHD) has yet to deliver licensed medicines. To distinguish compound from drug target failure, we compared evidence from clinical trials and drug target Mendelian randomization of CETP protein concentration, comparing this to Mendelian randomization of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9). We show that previous failures of CETP inhibitors are likely compound related, as illustrated by significant degrees of between-compound heterogeneity in effects on lipids, blood pressure, and clinical outcomes observed in trials. On-target CETP inhibition, assessed through Mendelian randomization, is expected to reduce the risk of CHD, heart failure, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease, while increasing the risk of age-related macular degeneration. In contrast, lower PCSK9 concentration is anticipated to decrease the risk of CHD, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, multiple sclerosis, and stroke, while potentially increasing the risk of Alzheimer’s disease and asthma. Due to distinct effects on lipoprotein metabolite profiles, joint inhibition of CETP and PCSK9 may provide added benefit. In conclusion, we provide genetic evidence that CETP is an effective target for CHD prevention but with a potential on-target adverse effect on age-related macular degeneration. Despite being studied in clinical trials, CETP inhibitors are not yet an approved treatment for coronary heart disease. Here, by analyzing results from clinical trials and drug target mendelian randomization studies, the authors demonstrate that previous failure of CETP inhibitors are likely compound and not drug target-related.

Polygenic risk score values vary with genetic ancestry due to differences in population-specific allele frequencies and linkage disequilibrium patterns. We present a framework to calibrate polygenic risk scores based on ancestral makeup. We propose the “expected polygenic risk score” or ePRS, defined as the expected value of a polygenic risk score based on one’s global or local admixture patterns. We further define the “residual polygenic risk score” or rPRS as measuring the deviation of the polygenic risk score from the ePRS. The ePRS reflects the baseline ancestry-driven component of genetic risk, whereas the rPRS isolates an ancestry-agnostic measure of genetic liability. Simulation studies confirm that it suffices to adjust for ePRS to obtain nearly unbiased estimates of the polygenic risk score-outcome association without further adjusting for principal components. Using the TOPMed and the All of Us datasets, effect size estimates for the rPRS (adjusted for ePRS) are similar to those obtained from polygenic risk scores adjusting for genetic principal components. The ePRS framework can protect from population stratification in association analysis and provide an equitable strategy to interpret genetic risk across diverse populations. Polygenic risk scores vary with genetic ancestry. Here, the authors develop a framework to calibrate for genetic ancestry in these scores that leverages admixture analysis, separating out the ancestry-specific component of polygenic risk scores.

Soluble ICAM-1 (sICAM-1) is an endothelium-derived inflammatory marker that has been associated with diverse conditions such as myocardial infarction, diabetes, stroke, and malaria. Despite evidence for a heritable component to sICAM-1 levels, few genetic loci have been identified so far. To comprehensively address this issue, we performed a genome-wide association analysis of sICAM-1 concentration in 22,435 apparently healthy women from the Women's Genome Health Study. While our results confirm the previously reported associations at the ABO and ICAM1 loci, four novel associations were identified in the vicinity of NFKBIK (rs3136642, P = 5.4 × 10(-9)), PNPLA3 (rs738409, P  =  5.8 × 10(-9)), RELA (rs1049728, P =  2.7 × 10(-16)), and SH2B3 (rs3184504, P =  2.9 × 10(-17)). Two loci, NFKBIB and RELA, are involved in NFKB signaling pathway; PNPLA3 is known for its association with fatty liver disease; and SH3B2 has been associated with a multitude of traits and disease including myocardial infarction. These associations provide insights into the genetic regulation of sICAM-1 levels and implicate these loci in the regulation of endothelial function.

Santhi Ganesh and colleagues report meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies of six erythrocyte traits within the CHARGE consortium, with replication in cohorts of the HaemGen consortium. They report 23 loci associated with a range of clinically relevant red blood cell traits. Measurements of erythrocytes within the blood are important clinical traits and can indicate various hematological disorders. We report here genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for six erythrocyte traits, including hemoglobin concentration (Hb), hematocrit (Hct), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH), mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC) and red blood cell count (RBC). We performed an initial GWAS in cohorts of the CHARGE Consortium totaling 24,167 individuals of European ancestry and replication in additional independent cohorts of the HaemGen Consortium totaling 9,456 individuals. We identified 23 loci significantly associated with these traits in a meta-analysis of the discovery and replication cohorts (combined P values ranging from 5 × 10 −8 to 7 × 10 −86 ). Our findings include loci previously associated with these traits ( HBS1L-MYB , HFE , TMPRSS6 , TFR2 , SPTA1 ) as well as new associations ( EPO , TFRC , SH2B3 and 15 other loci). This study has identified new determinants of erythrocyte traits, offering insight into common variants underlying variation in erythrocyte measures.

Telomeres are engaged in a host of cellular functions, and their length is regulated by multiple genes. Telomere shortening, in the course of somatic cell replication, ultimately leads to replicative senescence. In humans, rare mutations in genes that regulate telomere length have been identified in monogenic diseases such as dyskeratosis congenita and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, which are associated with shortened leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and increased risk for aplastic anemia. Shortened LTL is observed in a host of aging-related complex genetic diseases and is associated with diminished survival in the elderly. We report results of a genome-wide association study of LTL in a consortium of four observational studies (n = 3,417 participants with LTL and genome-wide genotyping). SNPs in the regions of the oligonucleotide/oligosaccharide-binding folds containing one gene (OBFC1; rs4387287; P = 3.9 x 10⁻⁹) and chemokine (C-X-C motif) receptor 4 gene (CXCR4; rs4452212; P = 2.9 x 10⁻⁸) were associated with LTL at a genome-wide significance level (P < 5 x 10⁻⁸). We attempted replication of the top SNPs at these loci through de novo genotyping of 1,893 additional individuals and in silico lookup in another observational study (n = 2,876), and we confirmed the association findings for OBFC1 but not CXCR4. In addition, we confirmed the telomerase RNA component (TERC) as a gene associated with LTL (P = 1.1 x 10⁻⁵). The identification of OBFC1 through genome-wide association as a locus for interindividual variation in LTL in the general population advances the understanding of telomere biology in humans and may provide insights into aging-related disorders linked to altered LTL dynamics.

Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is a premalignant expansion of mutated hematopoietic stem cells. As CHIP-associated mutations are known to alter the development and function of myeloid cells, we hypothesized that CHIP may also be associated with the risk of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), a disease in which brain-resident myeloid cells are thought to have a major role. To perform association tests between CHIP and AD dementia, we analyzed blood DNA sequencing data from 1,362 individuals with AD and 4,368 individuals without AD. Individuals with CHIP had a lower risk of AD dementia (meta-analysis odds ratio (OR) = 0.64, P  = 3.8 × 10 −5 ), and Mendelian randomization analyses supported a potential causal association. We observed that the same mutations found in blood were also detected in microglia-enriched fraction of the brain in seven of eight CHIP carriers. Single-nucleus chromatin accessibility profiling of brain-derived nuclei in six CHIP carriers revealed that the mutated cells comprised a large proportion of the microglial pool in the samples examined. While additional studies are required to validate the mechanistic findings, these results suggest that CHIP may have a role in attenuating the risk of AD. Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) was found to be associated with a protective effect from Alzheimer’s disease (AD) in large population-based cohorts.

Background Higher concentrations of cholesterol-containing low-density lipoprotein (LDL-C) increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The association of LDL-C with non-CVD traits remains unclear, as are the possible independent contributions of other cholesterol-containing lipoproteins and apolipoproteins. Methods Nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy was used to measure the cholesterol content of high density (HDL-C), very low-density (VLDL-C), intermediate-density (IDL-C), as well as low-density lipoprotein fractions, the apolipoproteins Apo-A1 and Apo-B, as well as total triglycerides (TG), remnant-cholesterol (Rem-Chol) and total cholesterol (TC). The causal effects of these exposures were assessed against 33 outcomes using univariable and multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR). Results The majority of cholesterol containing lipoproteins and apolipoproteins affect coronary heart disease (CHD), carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaque, C-reactive protein (CRP) and blood pressure. Multivariable MR indicated that many of these effects act independently of HDL-C, LDL-C and TG, the most frequently measured lipid fractions. Higher concentrations of TG, VLDL-C, Rem-Chol and Apo-B increased heart failure (HF) risk; often independently of LDL-C, HDL-C or TG. Finally, a subset of these exposures associated with non-CVD traits such as Alzheimer’s disease (AD: HDL-C, LDL-C, IDL-C, Apo-B), type 2 diabetes (T2DM: VLDL-C, IDL-C, LDL-C), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD: LDL-C, IDL-C). Conclusions The cholesterol content of a wide range of lipoprotein and apolipoproteins associate with measures of atherosclerosis, blood pressure, CRP, and CHD, with a subset affecting HF, T2DM, AD and IBD risk. Many of the observed effects appear to act independently of LDL-C, HDL-C, and TG, supporting the targeting of lipid fractions beyond LDL-C for disease prevention. Plain language summary It is known that increases in the amount of certain fats and proteins in the blood can lead to heart attacks. These increases are also found in people with other diseases. Here, we looked at inherited differences in some fats and proteins in blood to explore whether these could be associated with various diseases. We found that some fats and proteins in blood were associated with heart disease (including heart failure), blood pressure, blockages in blood vessels, and to a lesser extent with diabetes, Alzheimer’s disease, and inflammatory bowel disease. These findings suggest that changes to lipids and proteins in the blood might lead to various diseases, including some that are not normally associated with changes in the blood. Monitoring these changes could improve diagnosis and treatment of these diseases. Schmidt et al. evaluate the effects of elevated circulating concentrations of cholesterol-containing lipoproteins and apolipoproteins. Effects are seen on measures of atherosclerosis, blood pressure, c-reactive protein, coronary heart disease, heart failure, Alzheimer’s disease, type 2 diabetes and inflammatory bowel disease.

Background Systematic profiling of plasma proteins in population studies offers a complementary approach to discovery of novel risk factors and may provide new insights into the causes of coronary heart disease. Methods To explore relationships between the circulating proteome and coronary heart disease (CHD), we evaluated associations of 4780 plasma proteins with incident CHD in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS, N=2856, 575 CHD events) and replicated significant associations in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC, N = 10456; 1375 events). Results We find that 11 proteins significantly associate with incident CHD after adjusting for risk factors; and eight significantly replicated in ARIC. Several proteins correlate with carotid intimal medial thickness and CHD associations are attenuated in participants without subclinical atherosclerosis. Macrophage metalloelastase (MMP12) is the strongest observed association (Hazard Ratio, 1.31; 95% Confidence Interval, 1.19-1.44). Mendelian randomization (MR) identifies a causal relationship between higher MMP12 and lower CHD (Odds Ratio, OR 0.94) and ischemic stroke (OR 0.90) risk, while reverse MR found that genetic propensity to CHD increased MMP12. Taken together, multivariable MR confirms a direct protective effect of higher plasma MMP12 on CHD risk and a genetic effect of atherosclerosis and CHD on elevating MMP12. Conclusions Proteomic analyses reveal associations with incident CHD and genomic evidence suggests that therapeutic MMP12 inhibition may confer adverse cardiovascular effects. Plain Language Summary Measuring many protein levels in the blood may provide new insights into the causes of heart disease (CHD). We evaluated thousands of plasma proteins in a study of older adults to determine whether any predicted risk of heart attacks or heart-related deaths and confirmed the findings in a second study. Eleven proteins showed evidence of association with CHD; often with stronger effects among those with pre-existing atherosclerosis. The strongest finding was for macrophage metalloelastase (MMP12), an endopeptidase expressed in vascular tissue and atherosclerotic plaque with roles in tissue repair, vascular remodeling, and reduction of inflammation. Our findings point to a complex role for this protein in response to underlying heart disease risk factors. Huber et al. measure 4,780 plasma proteins in the Cardiovascular Health Study to examine the association with incident coronary heart disease. They identify 11 proteins using genomic analyses and show the complexity of MMP12 in response to atherosclerosis and development of heart disease.

In response, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) moved large-scale GWAS summary results under the institutional review board (IRB) protection of the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) database of Genotypes and Phenotypes (dbGaP)6. In summary, the CHARGE consortium has used meta-analysis to permit analysis of data across studies to adhere to limits for individual-level data sharing, an approach that improves statistical power to detect genomic regions associated with disease, biomarkers and risk factors.