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"Carrero, Juan-Jesus"
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Sex and gender: modifiers of health, disease, and medicine
by
Regitz-Zagrosek, Vera
,
Lonardo, Amedeo
,
Bairey Merz, Noel
in
Acute Disease - epidemiology
,
Behavior
,
Betacoronavirus
2020
Clinicians can encounter sex and gender disparities in diagnostic and therapeutic responses. These disparities are noted in epidemiology, pathophysiology, clinical manifestations, disease progression, and response to treatment. This Review discusses the fundamental influences of sex and gender as modifiers of the major causes of death and morbidity. We articulate how the genetic, epigenetic, and hormonal influences of biological sex influence physiology and disease, and how the social constructs of gender affect the behaviour of the community, clinicians, and patients in the health-care system and interact with pathobiology. We aim to guide clinicians and researchers to consider sex and gender in their approach to diagnosis, prevention, and treatment of diseases as a necessary and fundamental step towards precision medicine, which will benefit men's and women's health.
Journal Article
Stopping renin-angiotensin system inhibitors after hyperkalemia and risk of adverse outcomes
by
Xu, Yang
,
Carrero, Juan-Jesus
,
Fu, Edouard L.
in
Aged
,
Angiotensin
,
Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists - adverse effects
2022
Stopping renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASi) after an episode of hyperkalemia is common but may involve therapeutic compromises, in that the cessation of RASi deprives patients of their beneficial cardiovascular effects.
Observational study from the Stockholm Creatinine Measurements (SCREAM) project including patients initiating RASi in routine care and surviving a first-detected episode of hyperkalemia (potassium >5.0 mmol/L). We used target trial emulation techniques based on cloning, censoring and weighting to compare stopping vs. continuing RASi within 6 months after hyperkalemia. Outcomes were 3-year risks of mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE, composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction and stroke hospitalization) and recurrent hyperkalemia.
Of 5669 new users of RASi who developed hyperkalemia (median age 72 years, 44% women), 1425 (25%) stopped RASi therapy within 6 months. Compared with continuing RASi, stopping therapy was associated with a higher 3-year risk of death (absolute risk difference 10.8%; HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.34-1.64) and MACE (risk difference 4.7%; HR 1.29, 1.14-1.45), but a lower risk of recurrent hyperkalemia (risk difference -9.5%; HR 0.76, 0.69-0.84). Results were consistent for events following potassium of >5.0 or >5.5 mmol/L, after censoring when the treatment decision was changed, across prespecified subgroups, and after adjusting for albuminuria.
These findings suggest that stopping RASi after hyperkalemia may be associated with a lower risk of recurrence of hyperkalemia, but higher risk of death and cardiovascular events.
Journal Article
Adaptation of the Charlson Comorbidity Index for Register-Based Research in Sweden
by
Appelros, Peter
,
Ludvigsson, Jonas F
,
Hagström, Hannes
in
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
,
Adaptation
,
AIDS
2021
Comorbidity indices are often used to measure comorbidities in register-based research. We aimed to adapt the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) to a Swedish setting.
Four versions of the CCI were compared and evaluated by disease-specific experts.
We created a cohesive coding system for CCI to 1) harmonize the content between different international classification of disease codes (ICD-7,8,9,10), 2) delete incorrect codes, 3) enhance the distinction between mild, moderate or severe disease (and between diabetes with and without end-organ damage), 4) minimize duplication of codes, and 5) briefly explain the meaning of individual codes in writing.
This work may provide an integrated and efficient coding algorithm for CCI to be used in medical register-based research in Sweden.
Journal Article
Incidence of, Associations With and Prognostic Impact of Worsening Renal Function in Heart Failure With Different Ejection Fraction Categories
by
Carrero, Juan-Jesus
,
Lund, Lars H.
,
Jernberg, Tomas
in
Aged
,
Aged, 80 and over
,
Annual reports
2019
There are no studies of long-term worsening renal function (WRF) in heart failure (HF) with different ejection fraction (EF) groups. The aim was to compare incidence of, associations with and prognostic impact of WRF in HF with preserved (HFpEF), mid-range (HFmrEF), and reduced EF (HFrEF). The Swedish Heart Failure Registry (SwedeHF) was merged with the Stockholm Creatinine Measurement (SCREAM) registry 2006 to 2010. The associations between EF and WRF (≥25% decrease in eGFR) and the associations between WRF25-49% and WRF≥50% within year one and subsequent all-cause mortality were all assessed with multiadjusted Cox regression. Of 7,154 patients, 41.6% of HFpEF versus 34.5% and 35.4% of HFmrEF and HFrEF patients developed WRF≥25% during year one. The WRF risk was higher in HFpEF (reference) than in HFmrEF, hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 0.890 (0.794 to 0.997) and HFrEF 0.870 (0.784 to 0.965). WRF within year one was strongly associated with subsequent long-term mortality in all EF groups, yielding adjusted HRs with WRF25-49% and WRF≥50%: HFpEF, 1.101 (0.913 to 1.328) and 2.096 (1.652 to 2.659), in HFmrEF 1.654 (1.353 to 2.022) and 2.375 (1.807 to 3.122) and in HFrEF 1.212 (1.060 to 1.386) and 1.694 (1.412 to 2.033). In conclusion, the long-term WRF risk was high in HF and highest in HFpEF. WRF was strongly associated with mortality in all EF groups, although in HFpEF only with the most severe WRF.
Journal Article
Timing of dialysis initiation to reduce mortality and cardiovascular events in advanced chronic kidney disease: nationwide cohort study
2021
AbstractObjectiveTo identify the optimal estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at which to initiate dialysis in people with advanced chronic kidney disease.DesignNationwide observational cohort study.SettingNational Swedish Renal Registry of patients referred to nephrologists.ParticipantsPatients had a baseline eGFR between 10 and 20 mL/min/1.73 m2 and were included between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2016, with follow-up until 1 June 2017.Main outcome measuresThe strict design criteria of a clinical trial were mimicked by using the cloning, censoring, and weighting method to eliminate immortal time bias, lead time bias, and survivor bias. A dynamic marginal structural model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios and absolute risks for five year all cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or non-fatal stroke) for 15 dialysis initiation strategies with eGFR values between 4 and 19 mL/min/1.73 m2 in increments of 1 mL/min/1.73 m2. An eGFR between 6 and 7 mL/min/1.73 m2 (eGFR6-7) was taken as the reference.ResultsAmong 10 290 incident patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (median age 73 years; 3739 (36%) women; median eGFR 16.8 mL/min/1.73 m2), 3822 started dialysis, 4160 died, and 2446 had a major adverse cardiovascular event. A parabolic relation was observed for mortality, with the lowest risk for eGFR15-16. Compared with dialysis initiation at eGFR6-7, initiation at eGFR15-16 was associated with a 5.1% (95% confidence interval 2.5% to 6.9%) lower absolute five year mortality risk and 2.9% (0.2% to 5.5%) lower risk of a major adverse cardiovascular event, corresponding to hazard ratios of 0.89 (95% confidence interval 0.87 to 0.92) and 0.94 (0.91 to 0.98), respectively. This 5.1% absolute risk difference corresponded to a mean postponement of death of 1.6 months over five years of follow-up. However, dialysis would need to be started four years earlier. When emulating the intended strategies of the Initiating Dialysis Early and Late (IDEAL) trial (eGFR10-14v eGFR5-7) and the achieved eGFRs in IDEAL (eGFR7-10v eGFR5-7), hazard ratios for all cause mortality were 0.96 (0.94 to 0.99) and 0.97 (0.94 to 1.00), respectively, which are congruent with the findings of the randomised IDEAL trial.ConclusionsVery early initiation of dialysis was associated with a modest reduction in mortality and cardiovascular events. For most patients, such a reduction may not outweigh the burden of a substantially longer period spent on dialysis.
Journal Article
Contemporary management of anaemia, erythropoietin resistance and cardiovascular risk in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: a nationwide analysis
2020
Optimal management of chronic kidney disease (CKD) anaemia remains controversial and few studies have evaluated real-world management of anaemia in advanced CKD in the context of guideline recommendations.
We performed an observational study from the Swedish Renal Registry evaluating the epidemiology and treatment patterns of anaemia across Stages 3b-5 in non-dialysis (ND) and dialysis-dependent (DD) CKD patients during 2015. Logistic regression and Cox models explored the associations between anaemia treatments, inflammation, erythropoietin resistance index (ERI) and subsequent 1-year risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs).
Data from 14 415 (ND, 11 370; DD, 3045) patients were included. Anaemia occurred in 60% of ND and 93% of DD patients. DD patients used more erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs; 82% versus 24%) and iron (62% versus 21%) than ND patients. All weekly ESA doses were converted to a weight-adjusted weekly epoetin equivalent dose. The prescribed ESA doses were low to moderate [median 48.2 IU/kg/week (ND), 78.6 IU/kg/week (DD)]. Among ESA-treated patients, 6-21% had haemoglobin (Hb) >13 g/dL and 2-6% had Hb <9 g/dL. Inflammation (C-reactive protein >5 mg/L) was highly prevalent and associated with ERI and higher ESA doses. Higher (>88 IU/kg/week) versus lower (<44 IU/kg/week) ESA doses were associated with a higher risk of MACEs [{ND hazard ratio [HR] 1.36 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.86]; DD HR 1.60 [95% CI 1.24-2.06]}. There was no association between iron use and inflammation or MACEs.
Anaemia remains highly prevalent in advanced CKD. Patients with anaemia received moderate ESA doses with a relatively low prevalence of iron use. Higher doses of ESA were associated with inflammation and a higher risk of MACE.
Journal Article
Validation of an interactive process mining methodology for clinical epidemiology through a cohort study on chronic kidney disease progression
by
Carrero, Juan-Jesus
,
Fernandez-Llatas, Carlos
,
Xu, Hong
in
631/114/2164
,
631/114/2415
,
692/308/174
2024
Process mining holds promise for analysing longitudinal data in clinical epidemiology, yet its application remains limited. The objective of this study was to propose and evaluate a methodology for applying process mining techniques in observational clinical epidemiology. We propose a methodology that integrates a cohort study design with data-driven process mining, with an eight-step approach, including data collection, data extraction and curation, event-log generation, process discovery, process abstraction, hypothesis generation, statistical testing, and prediction. These steps facilitate the discovery of disease progression patterns. We implemented our proposed methodology in a cohort study comparing new users of proton pump inhibitors (PPI) and H2 blockers (H2B). PPI usage was associated with a higher risk of disease progression compared to H2B usage, including a greater than 30% decline in estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) (Hazard Ratio [HR] 1.6, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.4–1.8), as well as increased all-cause mortality (HR 3.0, 95% CI 2.1–4.4). Furthermore, we investigated the associations between each transition and covariates such as age, gender, and comorbidities, offering deeper insights into disease progression dynamics. Additionally, a risk prediction tool was developed to estimate the transition probability for an individual at a future time. The proposed methodology bridges the gap between process mining and epidemiological studies, providing a useful approach to investigating disease progression and risk factors. The synergy between these fields enhances the depth of study findings and fosters the discovery of new insights and ideas.
Journal Article
Outcomes in patients treated with ticagrelor versus clopidogrel after acute myocardial infarction stratified by renal function
by
Renlund, Henrik
,
Carrero, Juan-Jesus
,
Edfors, Robert
in
Acute coronary syndromes
,
acute myocardial infarction
,
Aged
2018
ObjectivesWe aimed to analyse outcomes of ticagrelor and clopidogrel stratified by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in a large unselected cohort of patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI).MethodsWe used follow-up data in MI survivors discharged on ticagrelor or clopidogrel enrolled in the Swedish Web-System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies registry. The association between ticagrelor versus clopidogrel and the primary composite outcome of death, MI or stroke and the secondary outcome rehospitalisation with bleeding diagnosis at 1 year, was studied using adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, stratifying after eGFR levels.ResultsIn total, 45 206 patients with MI discharged on clopidogrel (n=33 472) or ticagrelor (n=11 734) were included. The unadjusted 1-year event rate for the composite endpoint of death, MI or stroke was 7.0%, 18.0% and 48.0% for ticagrelor treatment and 11.0%, 33.0% and 64.0% for clopidogrel treatment in patients with eGFR>60 (n=33 668), eGFR30–60 (n=9803) and eGFR<30 (n=1735), respectively. After adjustment, ticagrelor as compared with clopidogrel was associated with a lower 1-year risk of the composite outcome (eGFR>60: HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76 to 99, eGFR30–60: 0.82 (0.70 to 0.97), eGFR<30: 0.95 (0.69 to 1.29), P for interaction=0.55) and a higher risk of bleeding (eGFR>60: HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.35, eGFR30–60: 1.13 (0.84 to 1.51), eGFR<30: 1.79 (1.00 to 3.21), P for interaction=0.30) across the eGFR strata.ConclusionsTreatment with ticagrelor as compared with clopidogrel in patients with MI was associated with lower risk for the composite of death, MI or stroke and a higher bleeding risk across all strata of eGFR. Of caution, bleeding events were more abundant in patients with eGFR<30.
Journal Article
Alterations of Fatty Acid Profile May Contribute to Dyslipidemia in Chronic Kidney Disease by Influencing Hepatocyte Metabolism
by
Carrero, Juan-Jesus
,
Sikorska-Wisniewska, Malgorzata
,
Chmielewski, Michal
in
Apolipoproteins
,
Fatty acids
,
Gene expression
2019
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with atherogenic dyslipidemia. Our aim was firstly to investigate patterns of fatty acids (FA) composition through various stages of CKD, and secondly, to evaluate the effect of CKD-specific FA disturbances on the expression of genes related to lipid metabolism at a cellular level. Serum FA composition was analyzed in 191 patients with consecutive severity stages of CKD, and 30 healthy controls free from CKD. Next, HepG2 human hepatic cells were treated with major representatives of various FA groups, as well as with FA extracted from a mix of serums of controls and of CKD stage 5 patients. Across worsening stages of CKD severity, there was an increasing monounsaturated FA (MUFA) content. It was associated with a concomitant decrease in n-3 and n-6 polyunsaturated FA. The incubation of hepatocytes with FA from CKD patients (compared to that of healthy subjects), resulted in significantly higher mRNA levels of genes involved in FA synthesis (fatty acid synthase (FASN) increased 13.7 ± 3.5 times, stearoyl-CoA desaturase 1 (SCD1) increased 4.26 ± 0.36 times), and very low density lipoprotein (VLDL) formation (apolipoprotein B (ApoB) increased 7.35 ± 1.5 times, microsomal triacylglycerol transfer protein (MTTP) increased 2.74 ± 0.43 times). In conclusion, there were progressive alterations in serum FA composition of patients with CKD. These alterations may partly contribute to CKD hypertriglyceridemia by influencing hepatocyte expression of genes of lipid synthesis and release.
Journal Article
Multiplex proteomics for prediction of major cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes
by
Juan-Jesus Carrero
,
Hedberg, Pär
,
Cordeiro, Antonio C
in
Apoptosis
,
Biomarkers
,
Cardiovascular diseases
2018
Aims/hypothesisMultiplex proteomics could improve understanding and risk prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetes. This study assessed 80 cardiovascular and inflammatory proteins for biomarker discovery and prediction of MACE in type 2 diabetes.MethodsWe combined data from six prospective epidemiological studies of 30–77-year-old individuals with type 2 diabetes in whom 80 circulating proteins were measured by proximity extension assay. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was used in a discovery/replication design to identify biomarkers for incident MACE. We used gradient-boosted machine learning and lasso regularised Cox regression in a random 75% training subsample to assess whether adding proteins to risk factors included in the Swedish National Diabetes Register risk model would improve the prediction of MACE in the separate 25% test subsample.ResultsOf 1211 adults with type 2 diabetes (32% women), 211 experienced a MACE over a mean (±SD) of 6.4 ± 2.3 years. We replicated associations (<5% false discovery rate) between risk of MACE and eight proteins: matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-12, IL-27 subunit α (IL-27a), kidney injury molecule (KIM)-1, fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-23, protein S100-A12, TNF receptor (TNFR)-1, TNFR-2 and TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand receptor (TRAIL-R)2. Addition of the 80-protein assay to established risk factors improved discrimination in the separate test sample from 0.686 (95% CI 0.682, 0.689) to 0.748 (95% CI 0.746, 0.751). A sparse model of 20 added proteins achieved a C statistic of 0.747 (95% CI 0.653, 0.842) in the test sample.Conclusions/interpretationWe identified eight protein biomarkers, four of which are novel, for risk of MACE in community residents with type 2 diabetes, and found improved risk prediction by combining multiplex proteomics with an established risk model. Multiprotein arrays could be useful in identifying individuals with type 2 diabetes who are at highest risk of a cardiovascular event.
Journal Article