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Objective This study aimed to assess the minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) for the modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) using combined data from the Scleroderma Lung Studies (I and II). Methods MCID estimates for the mRSS at 12 months were calculated using three anchors: change in scores on the Health Assessment Questionnaire- Disability Index from baseline to 12 months, change in scores on the Patient Global Assessment from baseline to 12 months, and answer at 12 month for the Short Form-36 health transition question “Compared to one year ago, how would you rate your health in general now?” We determined the mRSS MCID estimates for all participants and for those with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc). We then assessed associations between MCID estimates of mRSS improvement and patient-reported outcomes, using Student’s t test to compare the mean differences in patient outcomes between those who met the MCID improvement criteria versus those who did not meet the improvement criteria. Results The mean (SD) mRSS at baseline was 14.75 (10.72) for all participants and 20.93 (9.61) for those with dcSSc. The MCID estimate for mRSS improvement at 12 months ranged from 3 to 4 units for the overall group (improvement of 20–27% from baseline) and was 5 units for those with dcSSc (improvement of 24% from baseline). Those who met the mRSS MCID improvement criteria had statistically significant improvements in scores on the Short Form-36 Physical Component Summary, the Transition Dyspnea Index, and joint contractures at 12 months. Conclusion MCID estimates for the mRSS were 3–4 units for all participants and 5 units for those with dcSSc. These findings are consistent with previously reported MCID estimates for systemic sclerosis.

Rationale FVC percent predicted (FVC%) is the primary outcome measure in clinical trials of systemic sclerosis interstitial lung disease. For interpretation of change in the FVC% over time, it is important to define whether these changes are clinically meaningful. Objectives To assess the reliability and the minimal clinically important differences (MCID) for FVC% in the Scleroderma Lung Study I and II (SLS-I and -II). Methods Using data from SLS-I and -II (N = 300), we evaluated the test-retest reliability for FVC% (screening vs. baseline) using intraclass correlation. MCID estimates at 12 months were calculated in the pooled cohort (SLS-I and -II) using two anchors: Transition Dyspnea Index (≥change of 1.5 units for improvement and worsening, respectively) and the Medical Outcomes Short Form-36 Health Transition question (“Compared with one year ago, how would you rate your health in general now”?), where “somewhat better” or “somewhat worse” were defined as the MCID estimates. We next assessed the association of MCID estimates for improvement and worsening of FVC% with patient-reported outcomes (PROs) and computer-assisted quantitation of extent of fibrosis (QLF) and of total interstitial lung disease (QILD) on high-resolution computed tomography. Student’s t test was used to compare the mean difference in outcomes between the MCID improvement/worsening and the “no change” group. Measurements and Main Results Reliability of FVC%, assessed at a mean of 34 days, intraclass correlation was 0.93 for the pooled cohort. The MCID estimates for the pooled cohort at 12 months for FVC% improvement ranged from 3.0% to 5.3% and for worsening from −3.0% to −3.3%. FVC% improvement by greater than or equal to MCID was associated with either statistically significant or numerical improvements in some PROs, QILD, and QLF, whereas FVC% worsening greater than or equal to MCID was associated with statistically significant or numerical worsening of PROs, QILD, and QLF. Conclusions FVC% has acceptable test-retest reliability, and we have provided the MCID estimates for FVC% in systemic sclerosis interstitial lung disease–based changes at 12 months from baseline in two clinical trials. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00004563 for SLS-I and NCT00883129 for SLS-II).

Background The extent of lung involvement visualized by high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) is a predictor of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) in scleroderma–interstitial lung disease. Our objective was to evaluate the performance of three different HRCT-defined staging systems in the Scleroderma Lung Study I (SLS I) over a 1-year period. Methods We assessed two visual semiquantitative scores: the maximum fibrosis score (MaxFib, the fibrosis score in the zone of maximal lung involvement) and visual assessment of total lung involvement (TLI) as proposed by Goh and Wells. In addition, we evaluated the computer-aided diagnosis and calculated the quantitative percentage with fibrosis (QLF) and TLI. Results The mean duration of the disease was 3.2 years, and the mean FVC was 67.7 %. Regardless of the staging system used, a greater degree of fibrosis/TLI on HRCT scans was associated with a greater decline in FVC in the placebo group. Using the MaxFib and QLF, the mean absolute changes in FVC from baseline were 0.1 % and −1.4 %, respectively, in <25 % lung involvement vs. a change of −6.2 % and −6.9 %, respectively, with >25 % involvement (negative score denotes worsening in FVC). Conversely, cyclophosphamide was able to stabilize decline in FVC in subjects with greater degree of involvement detected by HRCT. Using the visual MaxFib and QLF, the mean absolute improvements in FVC were 1.2 and 1.1, respectively, with >25 % involvement. Conclusions HRCT-defined lung involvement was a predictor of decline in FVC in SLS I. The choice of staging system for cohort enrichment in a clinical trial depends on feasibility. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00004563 (Scleroderma Lung Study I) ISRCTN15982171. Registered 19 Aug 2015.

Objective The study objective was to examine alterations in gastrointestinal (GI) microbial composition in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) and to investigate the relationship between SSc features and GI microbiota using two independent, international cohorts. Methods Prospective patients with SSc from Lund University (LU), Sweden, from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), United States, and control subjects provided stool specimens for 16S ribosomal RNA sequencing. Alpha and beta diversity analyses were performed. Multivariate negative binomial models identified differentially abundant genera between groups. Results Patients from LU with SSc (n = 106) with recent SSc diagnosis (median disease duration 2.0 years) had lower abundance of commensal genera (eg, Faecalibacterium) and higher abundance of pathobiont genera (eg, Desulfovibrio) than LU‐controls (n = 85). Patients from UCLA with SSc (n = 71) had a similar prevalence of females, a similar body mass index, and similar age but an increased disease duration (median 7.1 years) compared with patients from LU with SSc. Factors associated with beta diversity in patients with SSc from both LU and UCLA included disease duration (P = 0.0016), interstitial lung disease (P = 0.003), small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (P = 0.002), and immunosuppression use (P = 0.014). In multivariable analysis, the UCLA‐SSc cohort had higher abundance of specific pathobiont genera (eg, Streptococcus) compared with the LU‐SSc cohort. Conclusion Enrichments and depletions in certain microbial genera were observed in patients recently diagnosed with SSc, suggesting that dysbiosis is present in early SSc. Specific disease features were independently associated with fecal microbial composition in both cohorts. After controlling for these factors, the abundance of several pathobiont bacteria differed between the cohorts, suggesting that environmental factors, along with disease manifestations, should be considered in future SSc studies.

Objective Our objective was to determine if treatment with cyclophosphamide (CYC) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) improves patient‐reported outcomes (PROs) among patients with systemic sclerosis‐related interstitial lung disease (SSc‐ILD). Methods This study examined PROs in patients with SSc‐ILD (N = 142) who participated in the Scleroderma Lung Study II, a randomized controlled trial comparing MMF for 2 years with oral CYC for 1 year followed by 1 year of a placebo. Joint models were created to evaluate the course of PROs over 2 years. The difference in PRO scores from baseline to 24 months was measured, and the percentage of patients meeting the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) was calculated. Correlations between PROs and SSc‐ILD disease severity measures were also examined. Results Treatment with CYC and MMF led to improvements in several PROs with no between‐treatment differences. Scores for the Transitional Dyspnea Index (TDI) and St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) improved significantly over 2 years, and 29%/24% and 28%/25% of participants in the CYC/MMF groups met or exceeded the MCID estimates for TDI and SGRQ, respectively. At baseline, the forced vital capacity (FVC) percentage predicted (FVC%‐predicted) did not correlate with the Baseline Dyspnea Index or SGRQ. However, improvements in the FVC%‐predicted were weakly associated with improvements in dyspnea (assessed by the TDI) and SGRQ scores. Conclusion Treatment with CYC and MMF improved overall health‐related quality of life in patients with SSc‐ILD. The relationship between PRO measures and the FVC was relatively weak, suggesting that PROs provide complementary information about treatment efficacy not captured by changes in the FVC alone in this patient population.

Abstract Rationale The Scleroderma Lung Study II (SLS II) demonstrated significant improvements in pulmonary function and dyspnea at 24 months compared with baseline when patients with symptomatic scleroderma–related interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) were treated with either cyclophosphamide for 1 year (followed for another year on placebo) or mycophenolate mofetil for 2 years in a randomized, double-blind clinical trial. Physiologic and clinical outcomes of SLS II have been published previously. Objectives The aim of the study was to assess changes from baseline in the extent of SSc-ILD on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) measured in the SLS II participants using quantitative image analysis after 2 years and to determine whether these HRCT changes were correlated with the changes in physiologic and clinical measures over the same time interval. Methods Ninety-seven of the 142 randomized subjects (cyclophosphamide group, 47 subjects; mycophenolate mofetil group, 50 subjects) participating in SLS II underwent thoracic volumetric thin-section HRCT at both baseline and 24 months. Quantitative computer-aided diagnosis scores using volumetric HRCT scans were obtained using a previously developed computer-aided system. The scores were quantitative lung fibrosis, quantitative ground glass, quantitative honeycomb, and quantitative interstitial lung disease (QILD), the latter representing the sum of quantitative lung fibrosis, quantitative ground glass, and quantitative honeycomb. These scores were obtained both for the whole lung and for individual lobes. Paired t tests were used for the combined (pooled) cyclophosphamide and mycophenolate mofetil groups to compare 24-month changes from baseline in both the whole lung and the lobe of maximal involvement as determined at baseline (worst lobe). Results At the end of the 24-month trial, QILD in the whole lung was significantly reduced by a mean of 2.51% in the pooled groups (adjusted 95% confidence interval, −4.00 to −1.03%; P = 0.001). There was no significant difference in the QILD score improvement between the cyclophosphamide (−2.66%) and mycophenolate (−2.38%) groups when assessed separately (P = 0.88). For the pooled group, the 24-month changes in QILD scores in the whole lung correlated significantly with other outcomes, including 24-month changes in forced vital capacity (ρ = −0.37), single-breath diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (ρ = −0.22), and breathlessness as measured by the Transition Dyspnea Index (ρ = −0.26). Conclusions Treatment of SSc-ILD with either cyclophosphamide for 1 year, followed by placebo for a second year, or mycophenolate for 2 years was associated with a significant reduction (improvement) in the extent of HRCT SSc-ILD assessed by computer-aided diagnosis scores, which correlated well with one or more other measures of treatment response. These findings demonstrate that actual changes in lung structure accompany improvements in physiologic and/or symptomatic measures in SSc-ILD.

ObjectivesExtent of systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD) assessed from thoracic high-resolution CT (HRCT) predicts disease course, mortality and treatment response. While quantitative HRCT analyses of extent of lung fibrosis (QLFib) or total interstitial lung disease (QILD) are more sensitive and reproducible than visual HRCT assessments of SSc-ILD, these analyses are not widely available. This study evaluates the relationship between clinical disease parameters and QLFib and QILD scores to identify potential surrogate measures of radiographic extent of ILD.MethodsUsing baseline data from the Scleroderma Lung Study I (SLS I; N=158), multivariate regression analyses were performed using the best subset selection method to identify one to five variable models that best correlated with QLFib and QILD scores in both whole lung (WL) and the zone of maximal involvement (ZM). These models were subsequently validated using baseline data from SLS II (N=142). Bivariate analyses of the radiographic and clinical variables were also performed using pooled data. SLS I and II did not include patients with clinically significant pulmonary hypertension (PH).ResultsDiffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) was the single best predictor of both QLF and QILD in the WL and ZM in all of the best subset models. Adding other disease parameters to the models did not substantially improve model performance. Forced vital capacity (FVC) did not predict QLF or QILD scores in any of the models.ConclusionsIn the absence of PH, DLCO provides the best overall estimate of HRCT-measured lung disease in patients from two large SSc cohorts. FVC, although commonly used, may not be the best surrogate measure of extent of SSc-ILD at any point in time.Trial registration numbersSLS I: www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT 00000-4563; SLS II: www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT 00883129.

Background Increased circulatory levels of the chemokine CXCL4 have been associated with the presence of interstitial lung disease (ILD) in an observational study of patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the relationship between baseline CXCL4 level and extent of ILD in the context of a randomized controlled trial and to determine whether changes in CXCL4 levels in response to immunosuppression are associated with future progression of SSc-ILD. Methods A total of 142 SSc-ILD patients from Scleroderma Lung Study (SLS) II were randomized in a double-blind, parallel-arm trial, to receive mycophenolate (MMF) for 2 years or oral cyclophosphamide (CYC) for 1 year followed by 1 year of placebo. Plasma CXCL4 levels were measured at baseline, 12 months, and 24 months in SLS II participants ( N  = 136) and at a single time point in healthy controls ( N  = 67). A mixed-effects model evaluated the relationship between change in CXCL4 levels and SSc-ILD progression. The primary outcome was the course of the forced vital capacity. Results Baseline CXCL4 levels were significantly higher in SSc-ILD patients compared with healthy controls (2699 ± 1489 ng/ml vs 2233 ± 1351 ng/ml (mean ± SD); P  = 0.019). However, no significant correlations were identified between CXCL4 levels and extent of ILD at baseline, as measured by the forced vital capacity, diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide, or radiographic extent of ILD. Plasma CXCL4 decreased significantly from baseline to 12 months in all patients (CYC: P  < 0.001; MMF: P  = 0.006) with no between-treatment differences (CYC vs MMF). Patients with the largest decline in CXCL4 levels during the first 12 months had an improved course of forced vital capacity %-predicted from 12 to 24 months ( P  = 0.040), even after adjusting for baseline disease severity and treatment arm assignment. Conclusions Levels of CXCL4 were higher in patients with SSc-ILD compared with controls and decreased in all patients treated with immunosuppressive therapy. While CXCL4 levels were not correlated with extent of ILD at baseline, changes in CXCL4 at 12 months predicted future progression of SSc-ILD from 12 to 24 months. These findings suggest that intermediate-term changes in CXCL4 may have predictive significance for long-term progression of SSc-ILD in patients receiving immunosuppressive therapy. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00883129 . Registered 16 April 2009.

Objective To evaluate short‐ and long‐term outcomes of African American (AA) participants of Scleroderma Lung Studies (SLS) I and II. Methods SLS I randomized 158 participants with systemic sclerosis‐interstitial lung disease (SSc‐ILD) to 1 year of oral cyclophosphamide (CYC) versus placebo. SLS II randomized 142 participants with SSc‐ILD to 1 year of oral CYC followed by 1 year of placebo versus 2 years of mycophenolate (MMF). Joint models compared the course of forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) between AA and non‐AA, and Cox proportional hazard models assessed long‐term morbidity and mortality outcomes. Results In SLS I, there was no difference in the course of the FVC or DLCO between AA and non‐AA in either treatment arm. In SLS II, AA had an improved course of the FVC compared with non‐AA in the CYC arm; in the MMF arm, there was no difference in FVC course. There was no difference in DLCO course in either arm. Time to death and respiratory failure were similar for AA and non‐AA in SLS I. There was a trend for improved survival and time to respiratory failure in AA compared with non‐AA in SLS II. AA race was not independently associated with mortality in the SLS I or II in the Cox models. Conclusion Data from two randomized controlled trials demonstrated that AA patients with SSc‐ILD have similar morbidity and mortality outcomes compared with non‐AA patients. These findings contrast with the racial disparities described in prior observational studies and warrant further investigation.