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result(s) for
"Crooks, Steve"
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Global seagrass carbon stock variability and emissions from seagrass loss
by
Krause, Johannes R.
,
Lim, Kiah Eng
,
Vanderklift, Mathew A.
in
631/158/2458
,
704/106/47/4113
,
704/106/694/682
2025
Seagrass ecosystems are recognized for their capacity to sequester and store organic carbon, but there is large variability in soil organic carbon stocks associated with plant traits and environmental conditions, making the quantification and scaling of carbon storage and fluxes needed to contribute to climate change mitigation highly challenging. Here, we provide estimates of carbon stocks associated with seagrass systems (biomass and soil) through analyses of a comprehensive global database including 2700+ seagrass soil cores. The median global soil C
org
stock estimate is 24.2 (12.4 – 44.9) Mg C
org
ha
−1
in the top 30 cm of soil, 27% lower than estimates from previous global syntheses, refining the IPCC Tier 1 soil C
org
stock currently used for carbon accounting in places without local data. We estimate that seagrass carbon stocks at risk of degradation could emit 1,154 Tg (665 – 1699) CO
2
with a social cost of $213 billion (2020 US dollars), if no action is taken to conserve these habitats.
Johannes Krause et al. synthesized seagrass carbon stock data from 2700+ soil cores to find that they vary by plant functional group and coastal setting, indicating where conservation efforts would most effectively avoid emissions from seagrass loss
Journal Article
ForestSplat: Proof-of-Concept for a Scalable and High-Fidelity Forestry Mapping Tool Using 3D Gaussian Splatting
2025
Accurate, scalable forestry insights are critical for implementing carbon credit-based reforestation initiatives and data-driven ecosystem management. However, existing forest quantification methods face significant challenges: hand measurement is labor-intensive, time-consuming, and difficult to trust; satellite imagery is not accurate enough; and airborne LiDAR remains prohibitively expensive at scale. In this work, we introduce ForestSplat: an accurate and scalable reforestation monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) system built from consumer-grade drone footage and 3D Gaussian Splatting. To evaluate the performance of our approach, we map and reconstruct a 200-acre mangrove restoration project in the Jobos Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve. ForestSplat produces an average mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.17 m and mean error (ME) of 0.007 m compared to canopy height maps derived from airborne LiDAR scans, using 100× cheaper hardware. We hope that our proposed framework can support the advancement of accurate and scalable forestry modeling with consumer-grade drones and computer vision, facilitating a new gold standard for reforestation MRV.
Journal Article
Uncertainty in United States coastal wetland greenhouse gas inventorying
by
Windham-Myers, Lisamarie
,
Knox, Sara H
,
Kroeger, Kevin D
in
carbon cycle
,
Carbon dioxide
,
coastal wetland
2018
Coastal wetlands store carbon dioxide (CO2) and emit CO2 and methane (CH4) making them an important part of greenhouse gas (GHG) inventorying. In the contiguous United States (CONUS), a coastal wetland inventory was recently calculated by combining maps of wetland type and change with soil, biomass, and CH4 flux data from a literature review. We assess uncertainty in this developing carbon monitoring system to quantify confidence in the inventory process itself and to prioritize future research. We provide a value-added analysis by defining types and scales of uncertainty for assumptions, burial and emissions datasets, and wetland maps, simulating 10 000 iterations of a simplified version of the inventory, and performing a sensitivity analysis. Coastal wetlands were likely a source of net-CO2-equivalent (CO2e) emissions from 2006-2011. Although stable estuarine wetlands were likely a CO2e sink, this effect was counteracted by catastrophic soil losses in the Gulf Coast, and CH4 emissions from tidal freshwater wetlands. The direction and magnitude of total CONUS CO2e flux were most sensitive to uncertainty in emissions and burial data, and assumptions about how to calculate the inventory. Critical data uncertainties included CH4 emissions for stable freshwater wetlands and carbon burial rates for all coastal wetlands. Critical assumptions included the average depth of soil affected by erosion events, the method used to convert CH4 fluxes to CO2e, and the fraction of carbon lost to the atmosphere following an erosion event. The inventory was relatively insensitive to mapping uncertainties. Future versions could be improved by collecting additional data, especially the depth affected by loss events, and by better mapping salinity and inundation gradients relevant to key GHG fluxes. Social Media Abstract: US coastal wetlands were a recent and uncertain source of greenhouse gasses because of CH4 and erosion.
Journal Article
Identifying and filling critical knowledge gaps can optimize financial viability of blue carbon projects in tidal wetlands
2024
One of the world’s largest “blue carbon” ecosystems, Louisiana’s tidal wetlands on the US Gulf of Mexico coast, is rapidly being lost. Louisiana’s strong legal, regulatory, and monitoring framework, developed for one of the world’s largest tidal wetland systems, provides an opportunity for a programmatic approach to blue carbon accreditation to support restoration of these ecologically and economically important tidal wetlands. Louisiana’s coastal wetlands span ∼1.4 million ha and accumulate 5.5–7.3 Tg yr −1 of blue carbon (organic carbon), ∼6%–8% of tidal marsh blue carbon accumulation globally. Louisiana has a favorable governance framework to advance blue carbon accreditation, due to centralized restoration planning, long term coastal monitoring, and strong legal and regulatory frameworks around carbon. Additional restoration efforts, planned through Louisiana’s Coastal Master Plan, over 50 years are projected to create, or avoid loss of, up to 81,000 ha of wetland. Current restoration funding, primarily from Deepwater Horizon oil spill settlements, will be fully committed by the early 2030s and additional funding sources are required. Existing accreditation methodologies have not been successfully applied to coastal Louisiana’s ecosystem restoration approaches or herbaceous tidal wetland types. Achieving financial viability for accreditation of these restoration and wetland types will require expanded application of existing blue carbon crediting methodologies. It will also require expanded approaches for predicting the future landscape without restoration, such as numerical modeling, to be validated. Additional methodologies (and/or standards) would have many common elements with those currently available but may be beneficial, depending on the goals and needs of both the state of Louisiana and potential purchasers of Louisiana tidal wetland carbon credits. This study identified twenty targeted needs that will address data and knowledge gaps to maximize financial viability of blue carbon accreditation for Louisiana’s tidal wetlands. Knowledge needs were identified in five categories: legislative and policy, accreditation methodologies and standards, soil carbon flux, methane flux, and lateral carbon flux. Due to the large spatial scale and diversity of tidal wetlands, it is expected that progress in coastal Louisiana has high potential to be generalized to similar wetland ecosystems across the northern Gulf of Mexico and globally.
Journal Article
Pound dips against resurgent dollar on jobs news
An offsetting rise against the euro yesterday meant that the pound's exchange rate index against a trade-weighted basket of other currencies was unchanged, and more than 3 per cent higher than the level assumed by the Bank in its forecasts published last month. The euro also fell sharply against the dollar yesterday, losing 2 US cents to Dollars 1.2195, its lowest level since December. The rise in the euro almost to Dollars 1.30 had caused deep concern among eurozone policymakers about the threat to the competitiveness of their slowly recovering economy. Alan Greenspan, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, said the \"awesome\" scale of Japan's accumulation of dollar reserves in an attempt to hold the yen down could become \"problematic\" for the Japanese economy.
Newspaper Article
Iraq could have twice as much oil as estimated
2007
The study from IHS, a consultancy, also estimates that Iraq's production could be increased from its current rate of less than 2m barrels a day to 4m b/d in about five years, if international investment begins to flow. The IHS study is based on data collected in Iraq both before and after the invasion, showing the oilfields' reserves and production history. Its estimate of a further 100bn barrels of oil in the western desert is based on analysis of geological surveys. At least 166 people were killed yesterday in five co-ordinated car bomb attacks in Shia districts of Baghdad, the deadliest attacks the city has seen since US and Iraqi forces launched a security crackdown in February. The attacks came hours after Nouri al- Maliki, prime minister, said Iraqi forces would be in a position to take primary responsibility for security in all of Iraq's 18 provinces by the end of the year.
Newspaper Article
Pirfenidone in fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis: a double-blind, randomised clinical trial of efficacy and safety
by
Humphries, Stephen M
,
Crooks, James L
,
Lynch, David A
in
Antigens
,
Clinical outcomes
,
COVID-19
2023
BackgroundFibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (FHP) is an irreversible lung disease with high morbidity and mortality. We sought to evaluate the safety and effect of pirfenidone on disease progression in such patients.MethodsWe conducted a single-centre, randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial in adults with FHP and disease progression. Patients were assigned in a 2:1 ratio to receive either oral pirfenidone (2403 mg/day) or placebo for 52 weeks. The primary end point was the mean absolute change in the per cent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%). Secondary end points included progression-free survival (PFS, time to a relative decline ≥10% in FVC and/or diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO), acute respiratory exacerbation, a decrease of ≥50 m in the 6 min walk distance, increase or introduction of immunosuppressive drugs or death), change in FVC slope and mean DLCO%, hospitalisations, radiological progression of lung fibrosis and safety.ResultsAfter randomising 40 patients, enrolment was interrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic. There was no significant between-group difference in FVC% at week 52 (mean difference −0.76%, 95% CI −6.34 to 4.82). Pirfenidone resulted in a lower rate of decline in the adjusted FVC% at week 26 and improved PFS (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.12 to 0.60). Results for other secondary end points showed no significant difference between groups. No deaths occurred in the pirfenidone group and one death (respiratory) occurred in the placebo group. There were no treatment-emergent serious adverse events.ConclusionsThe trial was underpowered to detect a difference in the primary end point. Pirfenidone was found to be safe and improved PFS in patients with FHP.Trial registration mumber NCT02958917.
Journal Article
Shifts in the distribution and abundance of coastal marine species along the eastern Pacific Ocean during marine heatwaves from 2013 to 2018
by
Lorda, Julio
,
Beas-Luna, Rodrigo
,
Jeppesen, Rikke
in
Earth and Environmental Science
,
Ecology
,
Environment
2019
Background
Ongoing global ocean warming and a recent increase in the frequency and duration of marine heatwaves have demonstrably impacted marine ecosystems. Growing evidence points to both short- and long-term biological changes, across several levels of organization. While range shifts are among the predicted responses, few studies are focused solely on documenting such changes. Here we report ecological changes in response to marine heatwaves across multiple taxa in the eastern Pacific from central California to Baja California.
Methods
Sea surface temperature data from two estuaries and one coastal site were analyzed to define the number, duration, and intensity of marine heatwaves occurring in central and southern California from 2013 to 2018. Long-term monitoring programs and short-term research projects in coastal and estuarine ecosystems serendipitously collected specimens or photographs of extralimital species from central California to the Baja California Peninsula. Spatial and temporal sampling protocols and the targeted species for six unrelated programs varied greatly, from annual to monthly at both fixed and variable locations. In addition, anomalous occurrences were reported to staff at local and regional marine and estuarine protected areas and noted in local news and social media outlets. Anomalous range detections were categorized as range expansions and extensions, reappearances, abundance increases, shifts into new habitats, and range contractions.
Results
Multiple marine heatwaves occurred from 2014 to 2018, peaking in 2015. Marine heatwaves were more intense and longer in the estuaries, with a maximum duration of 109 days in 2015. We observed 29 species that had responded to the warm water anomalies of 2014–2018 along the eastern Pacific Ocean between central California and the Baja California Peninsula: 7 expansions, 2 extensions, 10 reappearances, 7 increases, 2 shifts into new habitats, and 1 apparent contraction. These shifts included algae, invertebrates and fishes. Twenty species were observed by professional biologists involved both in long-term monitoring programs and short-term studies, 6 by amateur naturalists as part of community-based science programs in the field, and 3 through a combination of all three.
Conclusions
Increased warm waters, sustained for an unprecedented 4 of 5 years, facilitated the northward redistribution of multiple species from several taxonomic groups. Species shifting northward were from warm-temperate and subtropical ecosystems to the south. In the absence of programs designed to detect range shifts, we must rely on the serendipitous observations of biologists conducting both long-term monitoring and short-term research, and the growing wealth of information from community-based science programs made available via online databases.
Journal Article