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This book examines the strategic choices that American and Chinese decisionmakers face regarding sea power in the Western Pacific, shaped by geography, history, technology, and politics. In particular, the author explores the potential for cooperation on maritime security in the Western Pacific, and how the United States might pursue such cooperation as part of a broader strategy to advance its interests in the region.

Current U.S. counterinsurgency strategy is in need of stronger cognitive capabilities that will enable the United States to \"fight smarter.\" These include comprehension, reasoning, and decisionmaking, the components that are most effective against an enemy that is quick to adapt, transform, and regenerate. This paper offers concrete ideas for gaining the cognitive advantage in anticipating and countering the new global insurgency.

The history of wars caused by misjudgments, from Napoleon’s invasion of Russia to America’s invasion of Iraq, reveals that leaders relied on cognitive models that were seriously at odds with objective reality. Blinders, Blunders, and Wars analyzes eight historical examples of strategic blunders regarding war and peace and four examples of decisions that turned out well, and then applies those lessons to the current Sino-American case.

U.S. withdrawal could affect Iraq's internal security and stability, which could, in turn, affect U.S. strategic interests and the safety of U.S. troops and civilians in Iraq. U.S. policy-makers need a dynamic analytic framework with which to examine the shifting motivations and capabilities of the actors that affect Iraq's security. Within this framework, the United States should be able to contribute to continued strengthening of the internal security and stability of Iraq even as it withdraws its forces.

The American Civil War brought about a significant revolution in naval warfare, with both the Union and the Confederacy adapting to the challenges of the conflict. The Union, with its ambitious naval strategy and superior technological and industrial capabilities, drove the revolution by replacing old wooden-hulled warships with new metal-clad ones propelled by steam and armed with more accurate guns. The Confederacy, despite being overmatched, improvised tactics and weapons that were also revolutionary. This revolution was a result of the strategic need and emerging technology, with strategy and technology influencing each other. The Northern strategy, prompted by the threat of secession, called for new tasks and concepts of operations, which in turn required better capabilities such as steam-driven ironclads. The Northern industrial mobilization enabled the development of these capabilities, allowing for effective naval operations across vast distances. The Civil War's revolution in naval affairs set the stage for subsequent revolutions and remains relevant today.

450-character abstract: Current U.S. counterinsurgency strategy is in need of stronger cognitive capabilities that will enable the United States to fight smarter. These include comprehension, reasoning, and decisionmaking, the components that are most effective against an enemy that is quick to adapt, transform, and regenerate. This paper offers concrete ideas for gaining the cognitive advantage in anticipating and countering the new global insurgency.