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"Decarli, A"
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Increased incidence of colon cancer among individuals younger than 50 years: A 17 years analysis from the cancer registry of the municipality of Milan, Italy
2019
•Increase in CRC incidence among individuals younger than 50 years of age is a current health issue.•Different epidemiological trends might stand for different etiologies of CRC among individuals younger than 50.•.This is the first European study, based on long-term and population-based Registry data, exploring trends in CRC incidence in young adults.•Differently from US, where rectal cancer incidence is increasing in both genders below 50 years, in our study it is reducing among young women.•The study documents a 2.6% annual increase in colon and a 5.3% decrease of rectal cancer incidence, particularly in females.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) overall incidence has been decreasing in the last decade. However, there is evidence of an increasing frequency of early-onset CRC in young individuals in several countries. The aim of this study is to evaluate the trends of CRC occurrence over 17 years in the municipality of Milan, Italy, focusing on early-onset CRC.
This retrospective study was performed using the Cancer Registry of the municipality of Milan, including all cases of CRC diagnosed 1999-2015. Incidence rates were stratified by age and anatomic subsite, and trends over time were measured using the estimated annual percentage change. Age-period-cohort modelling was used to disentangle the different effects.
18,783 cases of CRC were included. CRC incidence rates among individuals aged 50–60 years declined annually by 3% both in colon and in rectal cancer. Conversely, in adults younger than 50 years, overall CRC occurrence increased annually by 0.7%, with a diverging trend for colon (+2.6%) and rectal (−5.3%) cancer. Among individuals aged 60 years and older, CRC incidence rates increased by 1.0% annually up to 2007, and decrease thereafter by 4% per year, both for colon and rectal cancer. Age-period-cohort models showed a reduction of CRC risk for the cohorts born up to 1979, followed by an increase in younger cohorts. In contrast, rectal cancer among women showed a systematic risk decrease for all birth cohorts.
The study highlights increasing incidence of colon cancer in younger subjects and a decrease in incidence rates for rectal cancer in females.
Journal Article
Nutrient-based dietary patterns and nasopharyngeal cancer: evidence from an exploratory factor analysis
2015
Background:
To our knowledge, no study assessed the association between dietary patterns and nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in low-incidence areas.
Methods:
We examined this association in a hospital-based case–control study carried out in Italy between 1992 and 2008, including 198 incident NPC cases and 594 controls.
A posteriori
dietary patterns were identified through principal component factor analysis performed on 28 nutrients and minerals derived from a 78-item food-frequency questionnaire. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using unconditional multiple logistic regression models on tertiles of factor scores.
Results:
We identified five dietary patterns named
Animal products
,
Starch-rich
,
Vitamins and fibre
,
Animal unsaturated fatty acids (AUFAs)
, and
Vegetable unsaturated fatty acids (VUFAs)
. The
Animal product
(OR=2.62, 95% CI=1.67–4.13, for the highest
vs
lowest score tertile),
Starch-rich
(OR=2.05, 95% CI=1.27–3.33), and
VUFA
(OR=1.90, 95% CI=1.22–2.96) patterns were positively associated with NPC. The
AUFA
pattern showed a positive association of borderline significance, whereas the
Vitamins and fibre
pattern was nonsignificantly but inversely associated with NPC.
Conclusions:
These findings suggest that diets rich in animal products, starch, and fats are positively related to NPC risk in this low-incidence country.
Journal Article
Proanthocyanidins and other flavonoids in relation to endometrial cancer risk: a case–control study in Italy
2013
Background:
Because of their antioxidant and antimutagenic properties, flavonoids may reduce cancer risk. Some flavonoids have antiestrogenic effects that can inhibit the growth and proliferation of endometrial cancer cells.
Methods:
In order to examine the relation between dietary flavonoids and endometrial cancer, we analysed data from an Italian case–control study including 454 incident, histologically confirmed endometrial cancers and 908 hospital-based controls. Information was collected through a validated food-frequency questionnaire. We applied data on food and beverage composition to estimate the intake of flavanols, flavanones, flavonols, anthocyanidins, flavones, isoflavones, and proanthocyanidins. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated from multiple logistic regression models conditioned on age and study centre and adjusted for major confounding factors.
Results:
Women in the highest quartile category of proanthocyanidins with ⩾3 mers
vs
the first three quartile categories had an OR for endometrial cancer of 0.66 (95% CI=0.48–0.89). For no other class of flavonoids, a significant overall association was found. There was a suggestion of an inverse association for flavanones and isoflavones among women with body mass index <25 kg m
−2
, and, for flavanones, among parous or non-users of hormone-replacement therapy women.
Conclusion:
High consumption of selected proanthocyanidins may reduce endometrial cancer risk.
Journal Article
Vitamin E intake from natural sources and head and neck cancer risk: a pooled analysis in the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology consortium
by
Olshan, A F
,
Decarli, A
,
Ferraroni, M
in
692/4028/67/1536
,
692/4028/67/2324
,
692/700/459/1994
2015
Background:
Evidence for the possible effect of vitamin E on head and neck cancers (HNCs) is limited.
Methods:
We used individual-level pooled data from 10 case–control studies (5959 cases and 12 248 controls) participating in the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology (INHANCE) consortium to assess the association between vitamin E intake from natural sources and cancer of the oral cavity/pharynx and larynx. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using unconditional logistic regression models applied to quintile categories of nonalcohol energy-adjusted vitamin E intake.
Results:
Intake of vitamin E was inversely related to oral/pharyngeal cancer (OR for the fifth
vs
the first quintile category=0.59, 95% CI: 0.49–0.71;
P
for trend <0.001) and to laryngeal cancer (OR=0.67, 95% CI: 0.54–0.83,
P
for trend <0.001). There was, however, appreciable heterogeneity of the estimated effect across studies for oral/pharyngeal cancer. Inverse associations were generally observed for the anatomical subsites of oral and pharyngeal cancer and within covariate strata for both sites.
Conclusion:
Our findings suggest that greater vitamin E intake from foods may lower HNC risk, although we were not able to explain the heterogeneity observed across studies or rule out certain sources of bias.
Journal Article
Strategy to identify priority groups for COVID-19 vaccination: A population based cohort study
by
Valsecchi, Maria Grazia
,
Russo, Antonio Giampiero
,
Decarli, Adriano
in
Adolescent
,
adolescents
,
Adult
2021
Evidence from COVID-19 outbreak shows that individuals with specific chronic diseases are at higher risk of severe prognosis after infection. Public health authorities are developing vaccination programmes with priorities that minimize the risk of mortality and severe events in individuals and communities. We propose an evidence-based strategy that targets the frailest subjects whose timely vaccination is likely to minimize future deaths and preserve the resilience of the health service by preventing infections.
The cohort includes 146,087 cases with COVID-19 diagnosed in 2020 in Milan (3.49 million inhabitants). Individual level data on 42 chronic diseases and vital status updated as of January 21, 2021, were available in administrative data. Analyses were performed in three sub-cohorts of age (16–64, 65–79 and 80+ years) and comorbidities affecting mortality were selected by means of LASSO cross-validated conditional logistic regression. Simplified models based on previous results identified high-risk categories worth targeting with highest priority. Results adjusted by age and gender, were reported in terms of odds ratios and 95%CI.
The final models include as predictors of mortality (7,667 deaths, 5.2%) 10, 12, and 5 chronic diseases, respectively. The older age categories shared, as risk factors, chronic renal failure, chronic heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, Parkinson disease and psychiatric diseases. In the younger age category, predictors included neoplasm, organ transplantation and psychiatric conditions. Results were consistent with those obtained on mortality at 60 days from diagnosis (6,968 deaths).
This approach defines a two-level stratification for priorities in the vaccination that can easily be applied by health authorities, eventually adapted to local results in terms of number and types of comorbidities, and rapidly updated with current data. After the early phase of vaccination, data on effectiveness and safety will give the opportunity to revise prioritization and discuss the future approach in the remaining population.
Journal Article
The Mesothelioma epidemic in Western Europe: an update
2004
The number of male deaths from pleural cancer in France, Germany and Italy increased from about 8750 in 1990–1994 to 9550 in 1995–1999, suggesting that mesothelioma deaths in males may be levelling off in most of Western Europe.
Journal Article
Dietary Patterns, Nutrient Intake and Gastric Cancer in a High-Risk Area of Italy
2001
Objectives: To better understand the role of overall dietary patterns and major energy-providing components in gastric cancer etiology. Methods: In a population-based case-control study conducted in a high-risk area in central Italy, 382 gastric cancer cases and 561 controls were available for analysis. Multivariate models based on energy-adjusted residuals and completely partitioned logistic models were used; dietary patterns were evaluated by factor analysis and multiple correspondence analysis. Results: Gastric cancer risk was inversely related to high energy-adjusted intakes of vegetable fat, sugar, beta-carotene, vitamin C, alpha-tocopherol, and nitrates. In contrast, significant positive associations emerged with high intake of protein, nitrite, and sodium. According to energy decomposition models, gastric cancer risk increased with increasing intake of protein and decreased with increasing intake of sugar and total fat. The pattern analysis identified four dietary profiles, overall explaining 75% of total dietary variability. Two patterns, named \"traditional\" and \"vitamin-rich\", were strongly associated with gastric cancer risk and overall accounted for 44% of estimated gastric cancer attributable risk. The other two patterns, \"refined\" and \"fat-rich\", were not consistently associated with gastric cancer. Conclusion: Innovative methodological approaches may contribute to better evaluation of the complex relationship between diet and cancer risk and to planning dietary interventions.
Journal Article
Adherence to the European food safety authority's dietary recommendations and colorectal cancer risk
2012
Background/Objective:
The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) recently published dietary guidelines for the intakes of carbohydrates, fiber, fats and water. We evaluated their role on the risk of a specific disease, known to be related to diet.
Subjects/Methods:
We used data from an Italian case-control study including 1953 colorectal cancer (CRC) cases and 4154 controls. We developed a so-called EFSA index summing up 1 point for adherence to each EFSA guideline. Odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CRC and its subsites were derived from unconditional multiple logistic regression models, for both the index and its components.
Results:
When each EFSA index component was analyzed separately, we found significant increased risks of CRC for non adherence to the guidelines on linoleic (OR=1.20, 95% CI, 1.07–1.36) and alpha-linolenic fatty acids (OR=1.19, 95% CI, 1.06–1.34). When all the guidelines were included in the same model, no significant association emerged. Compared with minimal adherence, the ORs of CRC for subsequent EFSA index scores were 1.03 (95% CI, 0.72–1.47), 1.05 (95% CI, 0.75–1.48), 1.04 (95% CI, 0.81–1.60), 0.99 (95% CI, 0.69–1.43), and 1.04 (95% CI, 0.67–1.61). No significant association emerged for colon and rectal cancer separately, and for males and females.
Conclusions:
Overall adherence to the EFSA dietary guidelines is not associated to colorectal, colon and rectal cancer risk in our population. Adherence to guidelines on linoleic and alpha-linolenic fatty acids may have a modest beneficial role on CRC risk.
Journal Article
Anthropometric measures at different ages and endometrial cancer risk
2011
Background:
Endometrial cancer is strongly associated with body mass index (BMI), but the influence of BMI history and of different types of obesity is uncertain.
Ethods:
M A case–control study was carried out in Italy including 454 cases and 908 controls admitted to hospital for acute non-hormone-related conditions. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed using multivariate logistic and spline regression models.
Results:
The OR for BMI >30 at diagnosis compared with 20 to <25 kg m
−2
was 4.08 (95% CI: 2.90–5.74). The association for BMI was monotonic with a possible steeper increase for BMI above 28. Conversely, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) showed a bell shaped curve with increased OR (2.10; 95% CI: 1.43–3.09) in the intermediate tertile only. After stratification by BMI at diagnosis, history of weight loss and BMI at age 30 did not influence endometrial cancer risk. History of obesity in middle age had a weak and not significant adverse effect among obese women (OR=1.60; 95% CI: 0.52–4.96).
Conclusion:
The predominant importance of recent weight compared to lifetime history, justifies encouraging weight reduction in women at any age.
Journal Article
Reproducibility and validity of coffee and tea consumption in Italy
2004
Objective: The reproducibility and validity of coffee, decaffeinated coffee and tea intake has not been adequately studied, particularly in Italy, where coffee drinking is peculiar in terms of type and amount of coffee consumed. Design: We compared coffee and tea consumption, measured by two interviewer-administered food frequency questionnaires (FFQ), with average intake derived from two 7-day dietary (DD) records (the reference method) on 395 volunteers. The Pearson correlation coefficients (r) were used to assess both reproducibility and validity of information on coffee intake. Results: A satisfactory level of reproducibility and validity of the pattern consumption was observed for coffee, decaffeinated coffee and tea. The reproducibility for both sex combined showed r of 0.74-0.78 for coffee, 0.57-0.65 for decaffeinated coffee and 0.61-0.67 for tea. The validity was about 0.70 for coffee, around 0.58 for decaffeinated coffee and 0.56-0.60 for tea intake. Conclusions: The FFQ is a satisfactorily reliable and valid instrument for collecting information on coffee, decaffeinated coffee and tea intake.
Journal Article