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"Diver, W Ryan"
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Ischemic Heart Disease Mortality and Long-Term Exposure to Source-Related Components of U.S. Fine Particle Air Pollution
2016
Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) air pollution exposure has been identified as a global health threat. However, the types and sources of particles most responsible are not yet known.
We sought to identify the causal characteristics and sources of air pollution underlying past associations between long-term PM2.5 exposure and ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality, as established in the American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study-II cohort.
Individual risk factor data were evaluated for 445,860 adults in 100 U.S. metropolitan areas followed from 1982 through 2004 for vital status and cause of death. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we estimated IHD mortality hazard ratios (HRs) for PM2.5, trace constituents, and pollution source-associated PM2.5, as derived from air monitoring at central stations throughout the nation during 2000-2005.
Associations with IHD mortality varied by PM2.5 mass constituent and source. A coal combustion PM2.5 IHD HR = 1.05 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.08) per microgram/cubic meter, versus an IHD HR = 1.01 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.02) per microgram/cubic meter PM2.5 mass, indicated a risk roughly five times higher for coal combustion PM2.5 than for PM2.5 mass in general, on a per microgram/cubic meter PM2.5 basis. Diesel traffic-related elemental carbon (EC) soot was also associated with IHD mortality (HR = 1.03; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.06 per 0.26-μg/m3 EC increase). However, PM2.5 from both wind-blown soil and biomass combustion was not associated with IHD mortality.
Long-term PM2.5 exposures from fossil fuel combustion, especially coal burning but also from diesel traffic, were associated with increases in IHD mortality in this nationwide population. Results suggest that PM2.5-mortality associations can vary greatly by source, and that the largest IHD health benefits per microgram/cubic meter from PM2.5 air pollution control may be achieved via reductions of fossil fuel combustion exposures, especially from coal-burning sources.
Thurston GD, Burnett RT, Turner MC, Shi Y, Krewski D, Lall R, Ito K, Jerrett M, Gapstur SM, Diver WR, Pope CA III. 2016. Ischemic heart disease mortality and long-term exposure to source-related components of U.S. fine particle air pollution. Environ Health Perspect 124:785-794; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509777.
Journal Article
Ambient Air Pollution and Cancer Mortality in the Cancer Prevention Study II
by
Diver, W. Ryan
,
Burnett, Richard T.
,
Jerrett, Michael
in
Adult
,
Air Pollutants - analysis
,
Air pollution
2017
The International Agency for Research on Cancer classified both outdoor air pollution and airborne particulate matter as carcinogenic to humans (Group 1) for lung cancer. There may be associations with cancer at other sites; however, the epidemiological evidence is limited.
The aim of this study was to clarify whether ambient air pollution is associated with specific types of cancer other than lung cancer by examining associations of ambient air pollution with nonlung cancer death in the Cancer Prevention Study II (CPS-II).
Analysis included 623,048 CPS-II participants who were followed for 22 y (1982-2004). Modeled estimates of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5µm (PM
) (1999-2004), nitrogen dioxide (NO
) (2006), and ozone (O
) (2002-2004) concentrations were linked to the participant residence at enrollment. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate associations per each fifth percentile-mean increment with cancer mortality at 29 anatomic sites, adjusted for individual and ecological covariates.
We observed 43,320 nonlung cancer deaths. PM
was significantly positively associated with death from cancers of the kidney {adjusted hazard ratio (HR) per 4.4 μg/m
=1.14 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.27]} and bladder [HR=1.13 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.23)]. NO
was positively associated with colorectal cancer mortality [HR per 6.5 ppb=1.06 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.10). The results were similar in two-pollutant models including PM
and NO
and in three-pollutant models with O
. We observed no statistically significant positive associations with death from other types of cancer based on results from adjusted models.
The results from this large prospective study suggest that ambient air pollution was not associated with death from most nonlung cancers, but associations with kidney, bladder, and colorectal cancer death warrant further investigation. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP1249.
Journal Article
Outdoor air pollution and cancer: An overview of the current evidence and public health recommendations
2020
Outdoor air pollution is a major contributor to the burden of disease worldwide. Most of the global population resides in places where air pollution levels, because of emissions from industry, power generation, transportation, and domestic burning, considerably exceed the World Health Organization's health‐based air‐quality guidelines. Outdoor air pollution poses an urgent worldwide public health challenge because it is ubiquitous and has numerous serious adverse human health effects, including cancer. Currently, there is substantial evidence from studies of humans and experimental animals as well as mechanistic evidence to support a causal link between outdoor (ambient) air pollution, and especially particulate matter (PM) in outdoor air, with lung cancer incidence and mortality. It is estimated that hundreds of thousands of lung cancer deaths annually worldwide are attributable to PM air pollution. Epidemiological evidence on outdoor air pollution and the risk of other types of cancer, such as bladder cancer or breast cancer, is more limited. Outdoor air pollution may also be associated with poorer cancer survival, although further research is needed. This report presents an overview of outdoor air pollutants, sources, and global levels, as well as a description of epidemiological evidence linking outdoor air pollution with cancer incidence and mortality. Biological mechanisms of air pollution‐derived carcinogenesis are also described. This report concludes by summarizing public health/policy recommendations, including multilevel interventions aimed at individual, community, and regional scales. Specific roles for medical and health care communities with regard to prevention and advocacy and recommendations for further research are also described.
Journal Article
Long-Term Ozone Exposure and Mortality in a Large Prospective Study
2016
Tropospheric ozone (O3) is potentially associated with cardiovascular disease risk and premature death. Results from long-term epidemiological studies on O3 are scarce and inconclusive.
In this study, we examined associations between chronic ambient O3 exposure and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large cohort of U.S. adults.
Cancer Prevention Study II participants were enrolled in 1982. A total of 669,046 participants were analyzed, among whom 237,201 deaths occurred through 2004. We obtained estimates of O3 concentrations at the participant's residence from a hierarchical Bayesian space-time model. Estimates of fine particulate matter (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of up to 2.5 μm [PM2.5]) and NO2 concentrations were obtained from land use regression. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine mortality associations adjusted for individual- and ecological-level covariates.
In single-pollutant models, we observed significant positive associations between O3, PM2.5, and NO2 concentrations and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. In two-pollutant models adjusted for PM2.5, significant positive associations remained between O3 and all-cause (hazard ratio [HR] per 10 ppb, 1.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.04), circulatory (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05), and respiratory mortality (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.08-1.16) that were unchanged with further adjustment for NO2. We also observed positive mortality associations with both PM2.5 (both near source and regional) and NO2 in multipollutant models.
Findings derived from this large-scale prospective study suggest that long-term ambient O3 contributes to risk of respiratory and circulatory mortality. Substantial health and environmental benefits may be achieved by implementing further measures aimed at controlling O3 concentrations.
Journal Article
Comparing the Health Effects of Ambient Particulate Matter Estimated Using Ground-Based versus Remote Sensing Exposure Estimates
by
Coogan, Patricia F.
,
Diver, W. Ryan
,
Burnett, Richard T.
in
Air Pollutants - analysis
,
Air pollution
,
Air Pollution - statistics & numerical data
2017
Remote sensing (RS) is increasingly used for exposure assessment in epidemiological and burden of disease studies, including those investigating whether chronic exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM
) is associated with mortality.
We compared relative risk estimates of mortality from diseases of the circulatory system for PM
modeled from RS with that for PM
modeled using ground-level information.
We geocoded the baseline residence of 668,629 American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study II (CPS-II) cohort participants followed from 1982 to 2004 and assigned PM
levels to all participants using seven different exposure models. Most of the exposure models were averaged for the years 2002-2004, and one RS estimate was for a longer, contemporaneous period. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate relative risks (RRs) for the association of PM
with circulatory mortality and ischemic heart disease.
Estimates of mortality risk differed among exposure models. The smallest relative risk was observed for the RS estimates that excluded ground-based monitors for circulatory deaths [RR = 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.00, 1.04 per 10 μg/m
increment in PM
]. The largest relative risk was observed for the land-use regression model that included traffic information (RR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.17 per 10 μg/m
increment in PM
).
We found significant associations between PM
and mortality in every model; however, relative risks estimated from exposure models using ground-based information were generally larger than those estimated using RS alone.
Journal Article
An Integrated Risk Function for Estimating the Global Burden of Disease Attributable to Ambient Fine Particulate Matter Exposure
by
Anderson, H. Ross
,
Singh, Gitanjali
,
Diver, W. Ryan
in
Air pollution
,
Cancer
,
Cardiovascular diseases
2014
Estimating the burden of disease attributable to long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ambient air requires knowledge of both the shape and magnitude of the relative risk (RR) function. However, adequate direct evidence to identify the shape of the mortality RR functions at the high ambient concentrations observed in many places in the world is lacking.
We developed RR functions over the entire global exposure range for causes of mortality in adults: ischemic heart disease (IHD), cerebrovascular disease (stroke), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and lung cancer (LC). We also developed RR functions for the incidence of acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) that can be used to estimate mortality and lost-years of healthy life in children < 5 years of age.
We fit an integrated exposure-response (IER) model by integrating available RR information from studies of ambient air pollution (AAP), second hand tobacco smoke, household solid cooking fuel, and active smoking (AS). AS exposures were converted to estimated annual PM2.5 exposure equivalents using inhaled doses of particle mass. We derived population attributable fractions (PAFs) for every country based on estimated worldwide ambient PM2.5 concentrations.
The IER model was a superior predictor of RR compared with seven other forms previously used in burden assessments. The percent PAF attributable to AAP exposure varied among countries from 2 to 41 for IHD, 1 to 43 for stroke, < 1 to 21 for COPD, < 1 to 25 for LC, and < 1 to 38 for ALRI.
We developed a fine particulate mass-based RR model that covered the global range of exposure by integrating RR information from different combustion types that generate emissions of particulate matter. The model can be updated as new RR information becomes available.
Journal Article
Performance of Common Genetic Variants in Breast-Cancer Risk Models
by
Cox, David G
,
Wacholder, Sholom
,
Jackson, Rebecca D
in
Aged
,
Area Under Curve
,
Biological and medical sciences
2010
The principal tool used to estimate a woman's risk of breast cancer is the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool, or the Gail model, which includes the number of first-degree relatives with breast cancer, age at menarche, age at first live birth, and number of previous breast biopsies. In this study, the addition of data on genetic variants associated with breast cancer yielded only a minor improvement in the performance of the model.
The Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool includes the number of first-degree relatives with breast cancer, age at menarche, age at first live birth, and number of previous breast biopsies. In this study, the addition of data on genetic variants associated with breast cancer yielded only a minor improvement in the performance of the model.
Personalized medicine, the assignment of preventive measures or treatment interventions on the basis of individual characteristics, can result in better outcomes than the use of the same strategy for everyone. Recent changes in the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force guidelines
1
for mammographic screening raise the question of whether recommendations about age at the onset of screening and the frequency of screening can be calibrated to an individual woman's risk of breast cancer. Clinicians already use guidelines in making decisions about assessments to identify carriers of rare
BRCA1
and
BRCA2
mutations, which confer very high risks of breast cancer and ovarian . . .
Journal Article
Lung cancer metabolomics: a pooled analysis in the Cancer Prevention Studies
by
Sarnat, Jeremy A.
,
Diver, W. Ryan
,
Liang, Donghai
in
Aged
,
Amino acid metabolism
,
Amino acids
2024
Background
A better understanding of lung cancer etiology and the development of screening biomarkers have important implications for lung cancer prevention.
Methods
We included 623 matched case–control pairs from the Cancer Prevention Study (CPS) cohorts. Pre-diagnosis blood samples were collected between 1998 and 2001 in the CPS-II Nutrition cohort and 2006 and 2013 in the CPS-3 cohort and were sent for metabolomics profiling simultaneously. Cancer-free controls at the time of case diagnosis were 1:1 matched to cases on date of birth, blood draw date, sex, and race/ethnicity. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using conditional logistic regression, controlling for confounders. The Benjamini–Hochberg method was used to correct for multiple comparisons.
Results
Sphingomyelin (d18:0/22:0) (OR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.15, 1.53, FDR = 0.15) and taurodeoxycholic acid 3-sulfate (OR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.14, 1.55, FDR = 0.15) were positively associated with lung cancer risk. Participants diagnosed within 3 years of blood draw had a 55% and 48% higher risk of lung cancer per standard deviation increase in natural log-transformed sphingomyelin (d18:0/22:0) and taurodeoxycholic acid 3-sulfate level, while 26% and 28% higher risk for those diagnosed beyond 3 years, compared to matched controls. Lipid and amino acid metabolism accounted for 47% to 80% of lung cancer-associated metabolites at
P
< 0.05 across all participants and subgroups. Notably, ever-smokers exhibited a higher proportion of lung cancer-associated metabolites (
P
< 0.05) in xenobiotic- and lipid-associated pathways, whereas never-smokers showed a more pronounced involvement of amino acid- and lipid-associated metabolic pathways.
Conclusions
This is the largest prospective study examining untargeted metabolic profiles regarding lung cancer risk. Sphingomyelin (d18:0/22:0), a sphingolipid, and taurodeoxycholic acid 3-sulfate, a bile salt, may be risk factors and potential screening biomarkers for lung cancer. Lipid and amino acid metabolism may contribute significantly to lung cancer etiology which varied by smoking status.
Journal Article
Association of menthol-flavoured cigarette smoking with all-cause and cause-specific mortality risk
2025
IntroductionMenthol-flavoured cigarettes remain unregulated in the USA and in many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) despite their known impacts on smoking uptake and reduced cessation. Yet, evidence about whether menthol cigarettes are associated with higher disease risks than non-menthol cigarettes is inconclusive, and the industry has used this argument to lobby against regulation.MethodsAll-cause and cause-specific mortality risk was assessed according to baseline smoking status (current, former and never) and menthol flavour status (menthol and non-menthol) of the cigarette brand smoked for the longest period among 969 349 persons from Cancer Prevention Study-II, a population-based prospective cohort study enrolled in 1982–1983 with mortality follow-up of 6 years.Results73 486 and 281 680 persons reported menthol brands and non-menthol brands, respectively, among whom 4071 and 20 738 deaths occurred, respectively. Currently smoking cigarettes, whether menthol or non-menthol brands, was associated with highest mortality risks (eg, all causes: about two times higher risk vs never smoking) but quitting substantially reduced risks for both types. Among persons who formerly smoked, menthol versus non-menthol smoking was associated with an elevated mortality risk of 12% from all-causes, 16% from all cardiovascular diseases, 13% from ischaemic heart disease, and 43% from other heart diseases Among individuals currently smoking, there was no difference in mortality risks for menthol versus non-menthol cigarettes except for elevated risk among those smoking≥40 cigarettes per day. Black persons currently smoking menthol versus non-menthol brands had an 88% elevated mortality risk for other heart diseases.ConclusionFindings of a unique excess mortality risk associated with menthol cigarettes provide additional scientific evidence—apart from their known impacts on initiation and cessation—in support of menthol flavour regulation in the USA and similar policies in LMICs. Public communication efforts must reiterate that quitting all cigarette types is the only safe option to reduce disease risk.
Journal Article
Identification of a new prostate cancer susceptibility locus on chromosome 8q24
by
Wacholder, Sholom
,
Ciampa, Julia
,
Gonzalez-Bosquet, Jesus
in
Agriculture
,
Animal Genetics and Genomics
,
Biological and medical sciences
2009
Meredith Yeager and colleagues with the Cancer Genetics Markers of Susceptibility (CGEMS) initiative report a new association to prostate cancer at chromosome 8q24. This defines a new locus, region 4, which shows association to prostate cancer susceptibility independent of previously reported associations at 8q24.
We report a genome-wide association study in 10,286 cases and 9,135 controls of European ancestry in the Cancer Genetic Markers of Susceptibility (CGEMS) initiative. We identify a new association with prostate cancer risk on chromosome 8q24 (rs620861,
P
= 1.3 × 10
−10
, heterozygote OR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.10–1.24; homozygote OR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.21–1.45). This defines a new locus associated with prostate cancer susceptibility on 8q24.
Journal Article