Catalogue Search | MBRL
Search Results Heading
Explore the vast range of titles available.
MBRLSearchResults
-
DisciplineDiscipline
-
Is Peer ReviewedIs Peer Reviewed
-
Reading LevelReading Level
-
Content TypeContent Type
-
YearFrom:-To:
-
More FiltersMore FiltersItem TypeIs Full-Text AvailableSubjectPublisherSourceDonorLanguagePlace of PublicationContributorsLocation
Done
Filters
Reset
496
result(s) for
"Doherty, Sarah"
Sort by:
Find me gone : a novel
\"1996. In a sleepy hamlet Belgian, residents are reeling from the disappearance of several young girls. Local students meet the devastating news with morbid fascination rather than fear--except for twelve-year-old Sophiewho has never truly felt safe. The only sense of security and belonging she has is when she's with her best friend Hannah. But when Hannah starts dating handsome Damiaan and drifting away, Sophie feels excluded and lashes out in panic. before the girls can reconcile, Sophie fails to return home after a school dance--and is never seen again. 2014. Hannah has become a successful columnist in New York City. But after years of documenting the revelries of the rich and famous, she craves a deeper subject. In an effort to reclaim herself and her writing, she gives up everything--her fiance, her job, her in-crowd friends--and retreats to Brooklyn to write a book about famous authors Agatha Christie, Barbara Follett, and Virginia Woolf, three women who struggled with family, loyalty, and ambition and each of whom vanished without a trace. Hannah's attempt to narrate these women's lives triggers memories she has long tried to surpress, and she's forced to confront the truth of what happened to Sophie all those years ago. Equal parts thriller and tender coming-of-age story, Find Me Gone takes the reader on a breathtaking journey from the Flemish countryside to the streets of New York. This debut crackles with suspense and will keep you on the edge of your seat until the very last page\"--Jkt.
Modeled and observed properties related to the direct aerosol radiative effect of biomass burning aerosol over the southeastern Atlantic
by
Painemal, David
,
Redemann, Jens
,
Pistone, Kristina
in
Absorption
,
Aerosol absorption
,
Aerosol effects
2022
Biomass burning smoke is advected over the southeastern Atlantic Ocean between July and October of each year. This smoke plume overlies and mixes into a region of persistent low marine clouds. Model calculations of climate forcing by this plume vary significantly in both magnitude and sign. NASA EVS-2 (Earth Venture Suborbital-2) ORACLES (ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLouds and their intEractionS) had deployments for field campaigns off the west coast of Africa in 3 consecutive years (September 2016, August 2017, and October 2018) with the goal of better characterizing this plume as a function of the monthly evolution by measuring the parameters necessary to calculate the direct aerosol radiative effect. Here, this dataset and satellite retrievals of cloud properties are used to test the representation of the smoke plume and the underlying cloud layer in two regional models (WRF-CAM5 and CNRM-ALADIN) and two global models (GEOS and UM-UKCA). The focus is on the comparisons of those aerosol and cloud properties that are the primary determinants of the direct aerosol radiative effect and on the vertical distribution of the plume and its properties. The representativeness of the observations to monthly averages are tested for each field campaign, with the sampled mean aerosol light extinction generally found to be within 20 % of the monthly mean at plume altitudes. When compared to the observations, in all models, the simulated plume is too vertically diffuse and has smaller vertical gradients, and in two of the models (GEOS and UM-UKCA), the plume core is displaced lower than in the observations. Plume carbon monoxide, black carbon, and organic aerosol masses indicate underestimates in modeled plume concentrations, leading, in general, to underestimates in mid-visible aerosol extinction and optical depth. Biases in mid-visible single scatter albedo are both positive and negative across the models. Observed vertical gradients in single scatter albedo are not captured by the models, but the models do capture the coarse temporal evolution, correctly simulating higher values in October (2018) than in August (2017) and September (2016). Uncertainties in the measured absorption Ångstrom exponent were large but propagate into a negligible (<4 %) uncertainty in integrated solar absorption by the aerosol and, therefore, in the aerosol direct radiative effect. Model biases in cloud fraction, and, therefore, the scene albedo below the plume, vary significantly across the four models. The optical thickness of clouds is, on average, well simulated in the WRF-CAM5 and ALADIN models in the stratocumulus region and is underestimated in the GEOS model; UM-UKCA simulates cloud optical thickness that is significantly too high. Overall, the study demonstrates the utility of repeated, semi-random sampling across multiple years that can give insights into model biases and how these biases affect modeled climate forcing. The combined impact of these aerosol and cloud biases on the direct aerosol radiative effect (DARE) is estimated using a first-order approximation for a subset of five comparison grid boxes. A significant finding is that the observed grid box average aerosol and cloud properties yield a positive (warming) aerosol direct radiative effect for all five grid boxes, whereas DARE using the grid-box-averaged modeled properties ranges from much larger positive values to small, negative values. It is shown quantitatively how model biases can offset each other, so that model improvements that reduce biases in only one property (e.g., single scatter albedo but not cloud fraction) would lead to even greater biases in DARE. Across the models, biases in aerosol extinction and in cloud fraction and optical depth contribute the largest biases in DARE, with aerosol single scatter albedo also making a significant contribution.
Journal Article
Investigation of Ship‐Induced Mesoscale Circulation Mechanics and Aerosol Plume Spreading Rates
2025
Aerosol plumes emitted from ships can cause brightening of low clouds. The aerosol plume spreading rate controls what fraction of the cloud may experience brightening. Developing a deeper physical understanding of the mechanisms driving variations in spreading rate could inform the development of plume‐spreading parameterizations in global climate models, which may be relevant for assessing the feasibility of Marine Cloud Brightening. In this study, we employ large‐eddy simulations of two idealized precipitating stratocumulus cases to investigate the roles of collision‐coalescence, cloud droplet sedimentation, and droplet effective radius in the ship track and quantify their individual and combined effects on plume buoyancy anomalies and spreading rates. Our results indicate that cloud droplet sedimentation and collision‐coalescence are the primary mechanisms controlling buoyancy and horizontal spreading, whereas the influence of effective radius is negligible. Sensitivity tests indicate that mesoscale circulations can develop within the ship track even in the absence of precipitation suppression.
Journal Article
Building a comprehensive library of observed Lagrangian trajectories for testing modeled cloud evolution, aerosol–cloud interactions, and marine cloud brightening
by
Doherty, Sarah J.
,
Eastman, Ryan
,
Blossey, Peter
in
Aerosol-cloud interactions
,
Aerosols
,
Analysis
2025
As the evolution of marine low clouds is sensitive to the current state of the atmosphere and varying meteorological forcing, it is crucial to ascertain how cloud responses differ across a spectrum of those conditions. In this study, we introduce an innovative approach to encompass a wide array of conditions prevalent in low marine cloud regions by creating a comprehensive library of observed environmental conditions. Using reanalysis and satellite data, over 2200 Lagrangian trajectories are generated within the stratocumulus deck region of the Northeast Pacific during summer 2018–2021. By using eight important cloud-controlling factors (CCFs), we employ principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of data. This technique demonstrates that two principal components capture 43 % of the variability among CCFs. Notably, PCA facilitates the selection of a reduced number of trajectories (e.g., 54) that represent a diverse array of the observed CCF, aerosol, and cloud variability and co-variability. These trajectories can then be used for process model studies, e.g., with large-eddy simulations (LES), to evaluate the efficacy of marine cloud brightening. Two distinct cases are selected to initiate 2 d long, high-resolution, large-domain LES experiments. The results highlight the ability of our LES to simulate observed conditions. Although perturbed aerosols delay cloud breakup and enhance the cloud radiative effect, the strength of such effects is sensitive to “precipitation-aerosol feedback”. The first case is precipitating and shows the potential for “precipitation-driven” cloud breakup due to positive precipitation-aerosol feedback. The second case is non-precipitating with classic cloud breakup of the “deepening-warming” type, highlighting the impact of entrainment.
Journal Article
G6-1.5K-SAI: a new Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) experiment integrating recent advances in solar radiation modification studies
by
Séférian, Roland
,
Tilmes, Simone
,
Quaglia, Ilaria
in
Aerosols
,
Climate change
,
Climate models
2024
The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) has proposed multiple model experiments during phases 5 and 6 of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP), with the latest set of model experiments proposed in 2015. With phase 7 of CMIP in preparation and with multiple efforts ongoing to better explore the potential space of outcomes for different solar radiation modifications (SRMs) both in terms of deployment strategies and scenarios and in terms of potential impacts, the GeoMIP community has identified the need to propose and conduct a new experiment that could serve as a bridge between past iterations and future CMIP7 experiments. Here we report the details of such a proposed experiment, named G6-1.5K-SAI, to be conducted with the current generation of scenarios and models from CMIP6 and clarify the reasoning behind many of the new choices introduced. Namely, compared to the CMIP6 GeoMIP scenario G6sulfur, we decided on (1) an intermediate emission scenario as a baseline (the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5), (2) a start date set in the future that includes both considerations for the likelihood of exceeding 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels and some considerations for a likely start date for an SRM implementation, and (3) a deployment strategy for stratospheric aerosol injection that does not inject in the tropical pipe in order to obtain a more latitudinally uniform aerosol distribution. We also offer more details regarding the preferred experiment length and number of ensemble members and include potential options for second-tier experiments that some modeling groups might want to run. The specifics of the proposed experiment will further allow for a more direct comparison between results obtained from CMIP6 models and those obtained from future scenarios for CMIP7.
Journal Article
Microphysical, macrophysical, and radiative responses of subtropical marine clouds to aerosol injections
by
Doherty, Sarah J.
,
Blossey, Peter
,
Chun, Je-Yun
in
Aerosol concentrations
,
Aerosols
,
Analysis
2023
Ship tracks in subtropical marine low clouds are simulated and investigated using large-eddy simulations. Five variants of a shallow subtropical stratocumulus-topped marine boundary layer (MBL) are chosen to span a range of background aerosol concentrations and variations in free-tropospheric moisture. Idealized time-invariant meteorological forcings and approximately steady-state aerosol concentrations constitute the background conditions. We investigate processes controlling cloud microphysical, macrophysical, and radiative responses to aerosol injections. For the analysis, we use novel methods to decompose the liquid water path (LWP) adjustment into changes in cloud and boundary-layer properties and to decompose the cloud radiative effect (CRE) into contributions from cloud macro- and microphysics. The key results are that (a) the cloud-top entrainment rate increases in all cases, with stronger increases for thicker than thinner clouds; (b) the drying and warming induced by increased entrainment is offset to differing degrees by corresponding responses in surface fluxes, precipitation, and radiation; (c) MBL turbulence responds to changes caused by the aerosol perturbation, and this significantly affects cloud macrophysics; (d) across 2 d of simulation, clouds were brightened in all cases. In a pristine MBL, significant drizzle suppression by aerosol injections results not only in greater water retention but also in turbulence intensification, leading to a significant increase in cloud amount. In this case, Twomey brightening is strongly augmented by an increase in cloud thickness and cover. In addition, a reduction in the loss of aerosol through coalescence scavenging more than offsets the entrainment dilution. This interplay precludes estimation of the lifetime of the aerosol perturbation. The combined responses of cloud macro- and microphysics lead to 10–100 times more effective cloud brightening in these cases relative to those in the non-precipitating MBL cases. In moderate and polluted MBLs, entrainment enhancement makes the boundary layer drier, warmer, and more stratified, leading to a decrease in cloud thickness. This LWP response offsets the greatest fraction of the Twomey brightening in a moderately moist free troposphere. This finding differs from previous studies that found larger offsets in a drier free troposphere, and it results from a greater entrainment enhancement of initially thicker clouds, so the offsetting effects are weaker. The injected aerosol lifetime in cases with polluted MBLs is estimated to be 2–3 d, which is much longer than estimates of typical ship track lifetimes from satellite images.
Journal Article
Impact on the stratocumulus-to-cumulus transition of the interaction of cloud microphysics and macrophysics with large-scale circulation
by
Doherty, Sarah J.
,
Blossey, Peter N.
,
Chun, Je-Yun
in
Aerosols
,
Analysis
,
Atmospheric physics
2025
This study examines the impact of the interaction of cloud microphysics and macrophysics with the large-scale circulation on the stratocumulus-to-cumulus transition (SCT) using a large-eddy simulation (LES) combined with weak-temperature-gradient (WTG) parameterization. The WTG approximates large-scale circulation by inducing domain-mean subsidence to counter buoyancy perturbations relative to a reference thermodynamic profile. A stationary sea-salt sprayer perturbs transitioning clouds over a Lagrangian domain. Results show that the cloud response to aerosol injection differs significantly depending on whether stratified adjustments in the large-scale circulation in response to buoyancy perturbations are considered. Aerosol injection suppresses precipitation and enhances entrainment in both cases. Additionally, reduced surface sensible heat flux by precipitation suppression weakens boundary layer turbulence. Without the WTG, cloud-top height rises without a compensating adjustment in subsidence, delaying drizzle-induced stratocumulus thinning (“drizzle-depletion” feedback) by several days. With the WTG, intensified subsidence restrains cloud-top growth and accelerates stratocumulus thinning, leading to reduced boundary layer turbulence by weakened longwave cloud-top cooling and increased susceptibility to cloud breakup. For lightly precipitating clouds, aerosol injection accelerates the SCT by enhancing cloud thinning through warming driven by increased entrainment (“deepening–warming” mechanism). For heavily precipitating clouds, where the SCT is dominated by drizzle-depletion feedback, aerosol injection delays the SCT marginally as intensified subsidence amplifies the deepening–warming mechanism. These findings suggest that ignoring large-scale circulation adjustments in limited-domain models may overestimate aerosol cooling effects by ∼15–30 W m−2.
Journal Article
Light-absorbing Particles in Snow and Ice: Measurement and Modeling of Climatic and Hydrological impact
by
Yun QIAN Teppei J.YASUNARI Sarah J.DOHERTY Mark G.FLANNER William K.M.LAU MING Jing Hailong WANG Mo WANG Stephen G.WARREN Rudong ZHANG
in
Albedo
,
Albedo (solar)
,
Atmospheric heating
2015
Light absorbing particles(LAP, e.g., black carbon, brown carbon, and dust) influence water and energy budgets of the atmosphere and snowpack in multiple ways. In addition to their effects associated with atmospheric heating by absorption of solar radiation and interactions with clouds, LAP in snow on land and ice can reduce the surface reflectance(a.k.a., surface darkening), which is likely to accelerate the snow aging process and further reduces snow albedo and increases the speed of snowpack melt. LAP in snow and ice(LAPSI) has been identified as one of major forcings affecting climate change, e.g.in the fourth and fifth assessment reports of IPCC. However, the uncertainty level in quantifying this effect remains very high. In this review paper, we document various technical methods of measuring LAPSI and review the progress made in measuring the LAPSI in Arctic, Tibetan Plateau and other mid-latitude regions. We also report the progress in modeling the mass concentrations, albedo reduction, radiative forcing, and climatic and hydrological impact of LAPSI at global and regional scales. Finally we identify some research needs for reducing the uncertainties in the impact of LAPSI on global and regional climate and the hydrological cycle.
Journal Article
Black carbon and other light-absorbing impurities in snow in the Chilean Andes
2019
Vertical profiles of black carbon (BC) and other light-absorbing impurities were measured in seasonal snow and permanent snowfields in the Chilean Andes during Austral winters 2015 and 2016, at 22 sites between latitudes 18°S and 41°S. The samples were analyzed for spectrally-resolved visible light absorption. For surface snow, the average mass mixing ratio of BC was 15 ng/g in northern Chile (18–33°S), 28 ng/g near Santiago (a major city near latitude 33°S, where urban pollution plays a significant role), and 13 ng/g in southern Chile (33–41°S). The regional average vertically-integrated loading of BC was 207 µg/m
2
in the north, 780 µg/m
2
near Santiago, and 2500 µg/m
2
in the south, where the snow season was longer and the snow was deeper. For samples collected at locations where there had been no new snowfall for a week or more, the BC concentration in surface snow was high (~10–100 ng/g) and the sub-surface snow was comparatively clean, indicating the dominance of dry deposition of BC. Mean albedo reductions due to light-absorbing impurities were 0.0150, 0.0160, and 0.0077 for snow grain radii of 100 µm for northern Chile, the region near Santiago, and southern Chile; respective mean radiative forcings for the winter months were 2.8, 1.4, and 0.6 W/m
2
. In northern Chile, our measurements indicate that light-absorption by impurities in snow was dominated by dust rather than BC.
Journal Article
Reduced aerosol pollution diminished cloud reflectivity over the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific
2025
Over the past several decades, the proportion of solar radiation reflected back into space has declined, accelerating the accumulation of heat within the Earth system. Here we show that the marine cloud reflectivity decreased on average by 2.8 ± 1.2% per decade in the combined North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific regions between 2003 and 2022. The majority of the Earth System Models we analyzed simulated a significantly weaker cloud reflectivity decrease and warming of the sea surface in these regions than observed. In contrast, our simulations using an improved aerosol-climate model reproduce the spatial extent and magnitude of the observed cloud reflectivity decrease. We show that reductions in sulfur dioxide and other aerosol precursors accounted for 69% (range 55−85%) of the cloud reflectivity decrease through aerosol-cloud interactions, consistent with the observed aerosol and cloud trends. This raises the prospect of a continuing cloud reflectivity decrease and an associated warming impact in these regions, given that the emission reductions are projected to persist over the next few decades. Further research is needed to assess whether near-term climate scenarios should be revised to account for the weak cloud reflectivity reductions in the Earth System Models.
Marine cloud reflectivity declined by 2.8%/decade (2003-2022) over the NE Pacific and North Atlantic, enhancing shortwave absorption beyond climate model projections. Here, the authors use an improved aerosol-climate model and show that aerosol reductions may account for 69% of the cloud reflectivity decline.
Journal Article