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result(s) for
"Ertem, Zeynep"
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The impact of school opening model on SARS-CoV-2 community incidence and mortality
by
Perencevich, Eli
,
Schechter-Perkins, Elissa M.
,
Oster, Emily
in
692/699/255/2514
,
692/700/1538
,
Adolescent
2021
The role that traditional and hybrid in-person schooling modes contribute to the community incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections relative to fully remote schooling is unknown. We conducted an event study using a retrospective nationwide cohort evaluating the effect of school mode on SARS-CoV-2 cases during the 12 weeks after school opening (July–September 2020, before the Delta variant was predominant), stratified by US Census region. After controlling for case rate trends before school start, state-level mitigation measures and community activity level, SARS-CoV-2 incidence rates were not statistically different in counties with in-person learning versus remote school modes in most regions of the United States. In the South, there was a significant and sustained increase in cases per week among counties that opened in a hybrid or traditional mode versus remote, with weekly effects ranging from 9.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.7–16.1) to 21.3 (95% CI = 9.9–32.7) additional cases per 100,000 persons, driven by increasing cases among 0–9 year olds and adults. Schools can reopen for in-person learning without substantially increasing community case rates of SARS-CoV-2; however, the impacts are variable. Additional studies are needed to elucidate the underlying reasons for the observed regional differences more fully.
Results from a nationwide cohort study in the United States indicates that schools can reopen for in-person learning without substantially increasing community case rates of SARS-CoV-2.
Journal Article
Optimal multi-source forecasting of seasonal influenza
by
Meyers, Lauren Ancel
,
Raymond, Dorrie
,
Ertem, Zeynep
in
Computer and Information Sciences
,
Data sources
,
Digital media
2018
Forecasting the emergence and spread of influenza viruses is an important public health challenge. Timely and accurate estimates of influenza prevalence, particularly of severe cases requiring hospitalization, can improve control measures to reduce transmission and mortality. Here, we extend a previously published machine learning method for influenza forecasting to integrate multiple diverse data sources, including traditional surveillance data, electronic health records, internet search traffic, and social media activity. Our hierarchical framework uses multi-linear regression to combine forecasts from multiple data sources and greedy optimization with forward selection to sequentially choose the most predictive combinations of data sources. We show that the systematic integration of complementary data sources can substantially improve forecast accuracy over single data sources. When forecasting the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) influenza-like-illness reports (ILINet) from week 48 through week 20, the optimal combination of predictors includes public health surveillance data and commercially available electronic medical records, but neither search engine nor social media data.
Journal Article
Mapping the Infodemic: Geolocating Reddit Users and Unsupervised Topic Modeling of COVID-19-Related Misinformation
2025
The problem of geolocating Reddit users without access to the author information API is tackled in this study. Using subreddit data, we analyzed and identified user location based on their interactions within location-specific subreddits. Using unsupervised learning methods such as Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and Non-Negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) algorithms, we examined conversations about COVID-19 and immunization across the U.S., focusing on COVID-19 vaccination. Our topic modeling identifies four themes: humor and sarcasm (e.g., jokes about microchips), conspiracy theories (e.g., tracking devices and microchips in the COVID-19 vaccine), public skepticism (e.g., debates over vaccine safety and freedom), and vaccine brand concerns (e.g., Pfizer, Moderna, and booster shots). Our geolocation analysis shows that regions with lower vaccination rates often exhibit a higher prevalence of misinformation-labeled comments. For example, counties such as Ada County (Idaho), Newton County (Missouri), and Flathead County (Montana) showed both a low vaccine uptake and a high rate of false information. This study provides useful information on the many different examples of misinformation that are disseminated online. It gives us a better understanding of how people in different parts of the U.S. think about getting a COVID-19 vaccine.
Journal Article
The maximum independent union of cliques problem: complexity and exact approaches
by
Butenko Sergiy
,
Lykhovyd Eugene
,
Ertem Zeynep
in
Branch & bound algorithms
,
Combinatorial analysis
,
Complexity
2020
Given a simple graph, the maximum independent union of cliques problem is to find a maximum-cardinality subset of vertices such that each connected component of the corresponding induced subgraph is a complete graph. This recently introduced problem allows both cliques and independent sets as feasible solutions and is of significant theoretical and applied interest. This paper establishes the complexity of the problem on several classes of graphs (planar, claw-free, and bipartite graphs), and develops an integer programming formulation and an exact combinatorial branch-and-bound algorithm for solving it. Results of numerical experiments with numerous benchmark instances are also reported.
Journal Article
Reproduction number of monkeypox in the early stage of the 2022 multi-country outbreak
2022
Monkeypox, a fast-spreading viral zoonosis outside of Africa in May 2022, has put scientists on alert. We estimated the reproduction number to be 1.39 (95% CrI: 1.37, 1.42) by aggregating all cases in 70 countries as of 22 July 2022.
Journal Article
Editorial: Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Transmission Dynamics 2.0
by
Bai, Yuan
,
Wang, Lin
,
Diestra, Jose Luis Herrera
in
Communicable Diseases - epidemiology
,
Communicable Diseases - transmission
,
COVID-19 vaccines
2024
This Special Issue includes six original articles and one review article, all reflecting the unified scientific research endeavors and professional expertise for a shared objective, which were published between July 2023 and November 2023 [...]
Journal Article
The Interplay of Food Insecurity, Resilience, Stress Mindset, and Mental Distress: Insights From a Cross‐Sectional Study
2025
Background and Aims In the United States, food insecurity (FI) is a serious health issue potentially affecting brain function. While neuroimaging suggests that diet quality influences brain functions, gaps remain regarding its impact on resilience, stress mindset, and mental distress, particularly across age and gender. This cross‐sectional study investigated these relationships using data from 1099 participants, of whom 26.19% were females and 70.39% were males, with the majority (70%) being under 30 years. Methods A multi‐scale questionnaire assessing FI, resilience, stress mindset, and mental distress was distributed via social media. ANOVA and Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression were used to analyze the data in Python. Results FI was linked to reduced resilience and increased mental distress (p < 0.05), but did not produce an effect on stress mindset. Age, gender, education, and physical activity influenced neurobehaviors (p < 0.01), with physical activity showing the greatest improvement in resilience. Women exhibited stronger correlations between FI and neurobehaviors than men. Conclusion Encouraging physical activity and targeted mental health interventions can enhance resilience and reduce distress, particularly in women. Community‐based programs addressing gender and age disparities may be key to improving mental well‐being.
Journal Article
Inter-urban mobility via cellular position tracking in the southeast Songliao Basin, Northeast China
2019
Position tracking using cellular phones can provide fine-grained traveling data between and within cities on hourly and daily scales, giving us a feasible way to explore human mobility. However, such fine-grained data are traditionally owned by private companies and is extremely rare to be publicly available even for one city. Here, we present, to the best of our knowledge, the largest inter-city movement dataset using cellular phone logs. Specifically, our data set captures 3-million cellular devices and includes 70 million movements. These movements are measured at hourly intervals and span a week-long duration. Our measurements are from the southeast Sangliao Basin, Northeast China, which span three cities and one country with a collective population of 8 million people. The dynamic, weighted and directed mobility network of inter-urban divisions is released in simple formats, as well as divisions’ GPS coordinates to motivate studies of human interactions within and between cities.Design Type(s)time series design • source-based data analysis objective • behavioral data analysis objectiveMeasurement Type(s)movement qualityTechnology Type(s)digital curationFactor Type(s)geographic location • temporal_intervalSample Characteristic(s)Homo sapiens • China • populated placeMachine-accessible metadata file describing the reported data (ISA-Tab format)
Journal Article
Scale Reduction Techniques for Computing Maximum Induced Bicliques
by
Butenko, Sergiy
,
Shirvani, Shirin
,
Shahinpour, Shahram
in
biclustering
,
community detection
,
complex networks
2017
Given a simple, undirected graph G, a biclique is a subset of vertices inducing a complete bipartite subgraph in G. In this paper, we consider two associated optimization problems, the maximum biclique problem, which asks for a biclique of the maximum cardinality in the graph, and the maximum edge biclique problem, aiming to find a biclique with the maximum number of edges in the graph. These NP-hard problems find applications in biclustering-type tasks arising in complex network analysis. Real-life instances of these problems often involve massive, but sparse networks. We develop exact approaches for detecting optimal bicliques in large-scale graphs that combine effective scale reduction techniques with integer programming methodology. Results of computational experiments with numerous real-life network instances demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach.
Journal Article