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result(s) for
"Fiorentini, Nicholas"
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Handling Imbalanced Data in Road Crash Severity Prediction by Machine Learning Algorithms
2020
Crash severity is undoubtedly a fundamental aspect of a crash event. Although machine learning algorithms for predicting crash severity have recently gained interest by the academic community, there is a significant trend towards neglecting the fact that crash datasets are acutely imbalanced. Overlooking this fact generally leads to weak classifiers for predicting the minority class (crashes with higher severity). In this paper, in order to handle imbalanced accident datasets and provide a better prediction for the minority class, the random undersampling the majority class (RUMC) technique is used. By employing an imbalanced and a RUMC-based balanced training set, we propose the calibration, validation, and evaluation of four different crash severity predictive models, including random tree, k-nearest neighbor, logistic regression, and random forest. Accuracy, true positive rate (recall), false positive rate, true negative rate, precision, F1-score, and the confusion matrix have been calculated to assess the performance. Outcomes show that RUMC-based models provide an enhancement in the reliability of the classifiers for detecting fatal crashes and those causing injury. Indeed, in imbalanced models, the true positive rate for predicting fatal crashes and those causing injury spans from 0% (logistic regression) to 18.3% (k-nearest neighbor), while for the RUMC-based models, it spans from 52.5% (RUMC-based logistic regression) to 57.2% (RUMC-based k-nearest neighbor). Organizations and decision-makers could make use of RUMC and machine learning algorithms in predicting the severity of a crash occurrence, managing the present, and planning the future of their works.
Journal Article
Road Detection, Monitoring, and Maintenance Using Remotely Sensed Data
2025
Roads are a form of critical infrastructure, influencing economic growth, mobility, and public safety. However, the management, monitoring, and maintenance of road networks remain a challenge, particularly given limited budgets and the complexity of assessing widespread infrastructure. This Special Issue on “Road Detection, Monitoring, and Maintenance Using Remotely Sensed Data” presents innovative strategies leveraging remote sensing technologies, artificial intelligence (AI), and non-destructive testing (NDT) to optimize road infrastructure assessment. The ten papers published in this issue explore diverse methodologies, including novel deep learning algorithms for road inventory, novel methods for pavement crack detection, AI-enhanced ground-penetrating radar (GPR) imaging for subsurface assessment, high-resolution optical satellite imagery for unpaved road assessment, and aerial orthophotography for road mapping. Collectively, these studies demonstrate the transformative potential of remotely sensed data for improving the efficiency, accuracy, and scalability of road monitoring and maintenance processes. The findings highlight the importance of integrating multi-source remote sensing data with advanced AI-based techniques to develop cost-effective, automated, and scalable solutions for road authorities. As the first edition of this Special Issue, these contributions lay the groundwork for future advancements in remote sensing applications for road network management.
Journal Article
Surface Motion Prediction and Mapping for Road Infrastructures Management by PS-InSAR Measurements and Machine Learning Algorithms
by
Fiorentini, Nicholas
,
Leandri, Pietro
,
Gerke, Markus
in
area
,
bayesian optimization algorithm
,
Bayesian theory
2020
This paper introduces a methodology for predicting and mapping surface motion beneath road pavement structures caused by environmental factors. Persistent Scatterer Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (PS-InSAR) measurements, geospatial analyses, and Machine Learning Algorithms (MLAs) are employed for achieving the purpose. Two single learners, i.e., Regression Tree (RT) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), and two ensemble learners, i.e., Boosted Regression Trees (BRT) and Random Forest (RF) are utilized for estimating the surface motion ratio in terms of mm/year over the Province of Pistoia (Tuscany Region, central Italy, 964 km2), in which strong subsidence phenomena have occurred. The interferometric process of 210 Sentinel-1 images from 2014 to 2019 allows exploiting the average displacements of 52,257 Persistent Scatterers as output targets to predict. A set of 29 environmental-related factors are preprocessed by SAGA-GIS, version 2.3.2, and ESRI ArcGIS, version 10.5, and employed as input features. Once the dataset has been prepared, three wrapper feature selection approaches (backward, forward, and bi-directional) are used for recognizing the set of most relevant features to be used in the modeling. A random splitting of the dataset in 70% and 30% is implemented to identify the training and test set. Through a Bayesian Optimization Algorithm (BOA) and a 10-Fold Cross-Validation (CV), the algorithms are trained and validated. Therefore, the Predictive Performance of MLAs is evaluated and compared by plotting the Taylor Diagram. Outcomes show that SVM and BRT are the most suitable algorithms; in the test phase, BRT has the highest Correlation Coefficient (0.96) and the lowest Root Mean Square Error (0.44 mm/year), while the SVM has the lowest difference between the standard deviation of its predictions (2.05 mm/year) and that of the reference samples (2.09 mm/year). Finally, algorithms are used for mapping surface motion over the study area. We propose three case studies on critical stretches of two-lane rural roads for evaluating the reliability of the procedure. Road authorities could consider the proposed methodology for their monitoring, management, and planning activities.
Journal Article
Can Machine Learning and PS-InSAR Reliably Stand in for Road Profilometric Surveys?
2021
This paper proposes a methodology for correlating products derived by Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) measurements and laser profilometric road roughness surveys. The procedure stems from two previous studies, in which several Machine Learning Algorithms (MLAs) have been calibrated for predicting the average vertical displacement (in terms of mm/year) of road pavements as a result of exogenous phenomena occurrence, such as subsidence. Such algorithms are based on surveys performed with Persistent Scatterer Interferometric SAR (PS-InSAR) over an area of 964 km2 in the Tuscany Region, Central Italy. Starting from this basis, in this paper, we propose to integrate the information provided by these MLAs with 10 km of in situ profilometric measurements of the pavement surface roughness and relative calculation of the International Roughness Index (IRI). Accordingly, the aim is to appreciate whether and to what extent there is an association between displacements estimated by MLAs and IRI values. If a dependence exists, we may argue that road regularity is driven by exogenous phenomena and MLAs allow for the replacement of in situ surveys, saving considerable time and money. In this research framework, results reveal that there are several road sections that manifest a clear association among these two methods, while others denote that the relationship is weaker, and in situ activities cannot be bypassed to evaluate the real pavement conditions. We could wrap up that, in these stretches, the road regularity is driven by endogenous factors which MLAs did not integrate during their training. Once additional MLAs conditioned by endogenous factors have been developed (such as traffic flow, the structure of the pavement layers, and material characteristics), practitioners should be able to estimate the quality of pavement over extensive and complex road networks quickly, automatically, and with relatively low costs.
Journal Article
A New Region-Based Minimal Path Selection Algorithm for Crack Detection and Ground Truth Labeling Exploiting Gabor Filters
by
de León, Gonzalo
,
Fiorentini, Nicholas
,
Leandri, Pietro
in
Algorithms
,
automatic crack detection
,
Comparative analysis
2023
Cracks are fractures or breaks that occur in materials such as concrete, metals, rocks, and other solids. Various methods are used to detect and monitor cracks; among many of them, image-based methodologies allow fast identification of the distress and easy quantification of the percentage of cracks in the scene. Two main categories can be identified: classical and deep learning approaches. In the last decade, the tendency has moved towards the use of the latter. Even though they have proven their outstanding predicting performance, they suffer some drawbacks: a “black-box” nature leaves the user blind and without the possibility of modifying any parameters, a huge amount of labeled data is generally needed, a process that requires expert judgment is always required, and, finally, they tend to be time-consuming. Accordingly, the present study details the methodology for a new algorithm for crack segmentation based on the theory of minimal path selection combined with a region-based approach obtained through the segmentation of texture features extracted using Gabor filters. A pre-processing step is described, enabling the equalization of brightness and shadows, which results in better detection of local minima. These local minimal are constrained by a minimum distance between adjacent points, enabling a better coverage of the cracks. Afterward, a region-based segmentation technique is introduced to determine two areas that are used to determine threshold values used for rejection. This step is critical to generalize the algorithm to images presenting close-up scenes or wide cracks. Finally, a geometrical thresholding step is presented, allowing the exclusion of rounded areas and small isolated cracks. The results showed a very competitive F1-score (0.839), close to state-of-the-art values achieved with deep learning techniques. The main advantage of this approach is the transparency of the workflow, contrary to what happens with deep learning frameworks. In the proposed approach, no prior information is required; however, the statistical parameters may have to be adjusted to the particular case and requirements of the situation. The proposed algorithm results in a useful tool for researchers and practitioners needing to validate their results against some reference or needing labeled data for their models. Moreover, the current study could establish the grounds to standardize the procedure for crack segmentation with a lower human bias and faster results. The direct application of the methodology to images obtained with any low-cost sensor makes the proposed algorithm an operational support tool for authorities needing crack detection systems in order to monitor and evaluate the current state of the infrastructures, such as roads, tunnels, or bridges.
Journal Article
Comparing the Performance of Historical and Regular Stone Pavement Structures in Urban Trafficked Areas through the Finite Element Method (FEM)
by
Cuciniello, Giacomo
,
Fiorentini, Nicholas
,
Huang, Jiandong
in
Aesthetics
,
Analysis
,
Architecture
2023
Stone pavement structures (SPS), also known as stone roads or stone-paved roads, are road pavements constructed using stones as the primary surface material. Different types of SPS exist; historically, irregular-shaped stones with downward protrusions have been often exploited since regular-shaped stones were difficult to be produced. More recently, regular cuboid stones can be also used. Accordingly, in new construction and renovations of SPS, pavement designers must take an essential decision concerning the adoption of historical or regular stones. Nonetheless, it is often confusing which of the two types of stones should be employed, considering that historical and regular SPS follow the same theory and pavement design methods. Therefore, a comparison between the performance of these two types of SPS is required to support their design and maintenance. Moreover, SPS are limitedly investigated and, to the best of our knowledge, there are no research contributions that address this specific task. Accordingly, in the present study, after conducting a laboratory characterization and in situ structural survey by Falling Weight Deflectometer (FWD) on a SPS, a comparative analysis based on the Finite Element Method (FEM) was carried out for investigating the structural performance of the historical (H-SPS) and regular SPS (R-SPS) in urban trafficked areas, where SPS must withstand heavy traffic loads. Specifically, considering both typologies of SPS, the paper aims to model and investigate: (a) the mechanical behavior under loading (displacements, stress, and strain distribution), (b) failure criteria (stone warpage and separation between the stones and the mortar joint), (c) the joint efficiency between stones, and (d) to which extent the road subgrade stiffness may influence the performance of SPS. In addition to the pavement design perspective, the research also provides a short glance at the strengths and weaknesses of R-SPS and H-SPS from other sides, such as functionality, ease of maintenance, construction techniques, and cultural and historical values.
Journal Article
Long-Term-Based Road Blackspot Screening Procedures by Machine Learning Algorithms
2020
Screening procedures in road blackspot detection are essential tools for road authorities for quickly gathering insights on the safety level of each road site they manage. This paper suggests a road blackspot screening procedure for two-lane rural roads, relying on five different machine learning algorithms (MLAs) and real long-term traffic data. The network analyzed is the one managed by the Tuscany Region Road Administration, mainly composed of two-lane rural roads. An amount of 995 road sites, where at least one accident occurred in 2012–2016, have been labeled as “Accident Case”. Accordingly, an equal number of sites where no accident occurred in the same period, have been randomly selected and labeled as “Non-Accident Case”. Five different MLAs, namely Logistic Regression, Classification and Regression Tree, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naïve Bayes, have been trained and validated. The output response of the MLAs, i.e., crash occurrence susceptibility, is a binary categorical variable. Therefore, such algorithms aim to classify a road site as likely safe (“Accident Case”) or potentially susceptible to an accident occurrence (“Non-Accident Case”) over five years. Finally, algorithms have been compared by a set of performance metrics, including precision, recall, F1-score, overall accuracy, confusion matrix, and the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic. Outcomes show that the Random Forest outperforms the other MLAs with an overall accuracy of 73.53%. Furthermore, all the MLAs do not show overfitting issues. Road authorities could consider MLAs to draw up a priority list of on-site inspections and maintenance interventions.
Journal Article
Crumb Rubber Modifier in Road Asphalt Pavements: State of the Art and Statistics
by
Fiorentini, Nicholas
,
Bressi, Sara
,
Huang, Jiandong
in
Asphalt pavements
,
Consumption
,
Data analysis
2019
Tire rubber recycling for civil engineering applications and products is developing faster, achieving increasingly higher levels of maturation. The improvements in the material circle, where crumb rubber, generated as a by-product of the tire rubber making process, becomes the resource used for the construction of road asphalt pavement, is absolutely necessary for increasing the sustainability of the entire supply chain. The paper reports the results of an accurate data analysis derived from an extensive literature review of existing processes, technologies, and materials within construction of infrastructure. The current position, the direction, and rate of progress of the scientific efforts towards the reuse and recycling of tire rubber worldwide have been shown. Furthermore, an in-depth analysis of a set of important properties of Crumb Rubber Modified Asphalt has been carried out—fabrication parameters, standard properties, high and low-temperature performance, and rheological properties. Statistics over a sample of selected publications have been presented to understand the main processes adopted, rubber particle size, temperatures, and possible further modifications of crumb rubber modified binder.
Journal Article
Ensemble learning models to predict the compressive strength of geopolymer concrete: a comparative study for geopolymer composition design
by
Su, Zhanlin
,
Fiorentini, Nicholas
,
Xu, Xingquan
in
Characterization and Evaluation of Materials
,
Engineering
,
Mathematical Applications in the Physical Sciences
2024
Currently, single machine learning models are mostly used for predicting the compressive strength of geopolymer concrete, but the use of single models has limitations. This study proposes the use of an integrated model to predict the compressive strength of geopolymer concrete. However, there are few applications of ensemble learning model and lack of model optimization. In this study, an improved beetle antennae search (IBAS) algorithm was proposed to tune the hyperparameters of decision tree (DT). random forest (RF), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) models to predict the compressive strength of geo-polymer concrete. The focus of this paper is to compare the reliability and efficiency of IBAS algorithm applied to three integrated learning models for the prediction of geopolymer concrete compressive strength. The test results show that the corresponding R values are 0.9043, 0.6866, 0.9024, respectively. Therefore, it can be judged that the DT-IBAS integrated model has the worst prediction effect in these three models. In addition, the minimum RMSE values obtained by RF-IBAS and KNN-IBAS models in the ten-fold verification were 5.9 and 7.1, respectively. Therefore, RF-IBAS has the best predictive performance in comparison. On the other hand, the molar concentration of NaOH is the most important factor affecting the compressive strength of geopolymer concrete. Through the importance score test, the importance score of NaOH molar concentration (4.2981) far exceeds that of other input variables. Therefore, it is necessary to focus on the molar concentration of NaOH when making geopolymer concrete.
Graphical abstract
Journal Article
Data-Driven Road Traffic Safety Modeling: A Comprehensive Literature Review
2026
This review examines data-driven road traffic safety modeling, aiming to provide a comprehensive overview of the state-of-the-art and persistent research gaps. The study is structured around data sources, influencing factors, reactive and proactive modeling approaches, and key challenges. Data sources, including crashes, trajectories, traffic, roadway geometry, and environmental data, are first reviewed in the context of reactive and proactive safety analysis. To address the substantial heterogeneity across studies, a vote-counting strategy is adopted to aggregate directional evidence reported in the literature. The synthesis indicates that traffic demand variables exhibit consistently positive associations with crash occurrence, while speed-related effects are strongly context-dependent. Road geometry and surface conditions have largely consistent directional impacts on safety outcomes. From a methodological perspective, reactive approaches remain dominant, while proactive approaches exhibit potential for early risk identification but remain insufficiently validated due to data quality constraints. In addition, empirical evidence on conflict–crash relationships is still limited. Notably, model performance varies substantially across safety tasks, with algorithm effectiveness primarily driven by data structure, outcome definition, and aggregation level, rather than by the intrinsic superiority of any single approach. Overall, this review highlights challenges related to data integration, spatio-temporal modeling, interpretability, and transferability, and provides practical guidance for model selection in operational road safety analysis.
Journal Article