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384 result(s) for "Franco, Guillermo"
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Improved cosmological constraints on the neutrino mass and lifetime
A bstract We present cosmological constraints on the sum of neutrino masses as a function of the neutrino lifetime, in a framework in which neutrinos decay into dark radiation after becoming non-relativistic. We find that in this regime the cosmic microwave background (CMB), baryonic acoustic oscillations (BAO) and (uncalibrated) luminosity distance to supernovae from the Pantheon catalog constrain the sum of neutrino masses ∑ m ν to obey ∑ m ν < 0 . 42 eV at (95% C.L.). While the bound has improved significantly as compared to the limits on the same scenario from Planck 2015, it still represents a significant relaxation of the constraints as compared to the stable neutrino case. We show that most of the improvement can be traced to the more precise measurements of low- ℓ polarization data in Planck 2018, which leads to tighter constraints on τ reio (and thereby on A s ), breaking the degeneracy arising from the effect of (large) neutrino masses on the amplitude of the CMB power spectrum.
A Review of Flood Loss Models as Basis for Harmonization and Benchmarking
Risk-based approaches have been increasingly accepted and operationalized in flood risk management during recent decades. For instance, commercial flood risk models are used by the insurance industry to assess potential losses, establish the pricing of policies and determine reinsurance needs. Despite considerable progress in the development of loss estimation tools since the 1980s, loss estimates still reflect high uncertainties and disparities that often lead to questioning their quality. This requires an assessment of the validity and robustness of loss models as it affects prioritization and investment decision in flood risk management as well as regulatory requirements and business decisions in the insurance industry. Hence, more effort is needed to quantify uncertainties and undertake validations. Due to a lack of detailed and reliable flood loss data, first order validations are difficult to accomplish, so that model comparisons in terms of benchmarking are essential. It is checked if the models are informed by existing data and knowledge and if the assumptions made in the models are aligned with the existing knowledge. When this alignment is confirmed through validation or benchmarking exercises, the user gains confidence in the models. Before these benchmarking exercises are feasible, however, a cohesive survey of existing knowledge needs to be undertaken. With that aim, this work presents a review of flood loss-or flood vulnerability-relationships collected from the public domain and some professional sources. Our survey analyses 61 sources consisting of publications or software packages, of which 47 are reviewed in detail. This exercise results in probably the most complete review of flood loss models to date containing nearly a thousand vulnerability functions. These functions are highly heterogeneous and only about half of the loss models are found to be accompanied by explicit validation at the time of their proposal. This paper exemplarily presents an approach for a quantitative comparison of disparate models via the reduction to the joint input variables of all models. Harmonization of models for benchmarking and comparison requires profound insight into the model structures, mechanisms and underlying assumptions. Possibilities and challenges are discussed that exist in model harmonization and the application of the inventory in a benchmarking framework.
The Value of Coastal Wetlands for Flood Damage Reduction in the Northeastern USA
As exposure to coastal hazards increases there is growing interest in nature-based solutions for risk reduction. This study uses high-resolution flood and loss models to quantify the impacts of coastal wetlands in the northeastern USA on (i) regional flood damages by Hurricane Sandy and (ii) local annual flood losses in Barnegat Bay in Ocean County, New Jersey. Using an extensive database of property exposure, the regional study shows that wetlands avoided $625 Million in direct flood damages during Hurricane Sandy. The local study combines these models with a database of synthetic storms in Ocean County and estimates a 16% average reduction in annual flood losses by salt marshes with higher reductions at lower elevations. Together, the studies quantify the risk reduction ecosystem services of marsh wetlands. Measuring these benefits in collaboration with the risk modelling industry is crucial for assessing risk accurately and, where appropriate, aligning conservation and risk reduction goals.
Asymptotic Freedom and Vacuum Polarization Determine the Astrophysical End State of Relativistic Gravitational Collapse: Quark–Gluon Plasma Star Instead of Black Hole
A general relativistic model of an astrophysical hypermassive extremely magnetized ultra-compact self-bound quark–gluon plasma (QGP: ALICE/LHC) object that is supported against its ultimate gravitational implosion by the simultaneous action of the vacuum polarization driven by nonlinear electrodynamics (NLED: ATLAS/LHC: light-by-light scattering)—the vacuum “awakening”—and the asymptotic freedom, a key feature of quantum chromodynamics (QCD), is presented. These QCD stars can be the final figures of the equilibrium of collapsing stellar cores permeated by magnetic fields with strengths well beyond the Schwinger threshold due to being self-bound, and for which post-supernova fallback material pushes the nascent remnant beyond its stability, forcing it to collapse into a hybrid hypermassive neutron star (HHMNS). Hypercritical accretion can drive its innermost core to spontaneously break away color confinement, powering a first-order hadron-to-quark phase transition to a sea of ever-freer quarks and gluons. This core is hydro-stabilized by the steady, endlessly compression-admitting asymptotic freedom state, possibly via gluon-mediated enduring exchange of color charge among bound states, e.g., the odderon: a glueball state of three gluons, or either quark-pairing (color superconductivity) or tetraquark/pentaquark states (LHCb Coll.). This fast—at the QGP speed of sound—but incremental quark–gluon deconfinement unbinds the HHMNS’s baryons so catastrophically that transforms it, turning it inside-out, into a neat self-bound QGP star. A solution to the nonlinear Tolman–Oppenheimer–Volkoff (TOV) equation is obtained—that clarifies the nonlinear effects of both NLED and QCD on the compact object’s structure—which clearly indicates the occurrence of hypermassive QGP/QCD stars with a wide mass spectrum (0≲MStarQGP≲ 7 M⊙ and beyond), for star radii (0≲RStarQGP≲24 km and beyond) with B-fields (1014≤BStarQGP≤1016 G and beyond). This unexpected feature is described by a novel mass vs. radius relation derived within this scenario. Hence, endowed with these physical and astrophysical characteristics, such QCD stars can definitively emulate what the true (theoretical) black holes are supposed to gravitationally do in most astrophysical settings. This color quark star could be found through a search for its eternal “yo-yo” state gravitational-wave emission, or via lensing phenomena like a gravitational rainbow (quantum mechanics and gravity interaction), as in this scenario, it is expected that the light deflection angle—directly influenced by the larger effective mass/radius (MStarQGP(B), RStarQGP(B)) and magnetic field of the deflecting object—increases as the incidence angle decreases, in view of the lower values of the impact parameter. The gigantic—but not infinite—surface gravitational redshift, due to NLED photon acceleration, makes the object appear dark.
Assessment of vector control strategies based on mass Aedes (Stegomyia) mosquito trapping (AGOs traps) pilot study in a US-Mexico border region of South Texas
Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti and Ae. (Stegomyia) albopictus mosquitoes are major vectors of diseases including dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. The excessive use of chemical insecticides has caused resistance in mosquito populations, along with negative environmental impacts and harm to non-target organisms. In this regard, mosquito control strategies, such as passive mass trapping interventions with autocidal gravid ovitraps (AGO) offer a promising alternative. Here we report the results of a pilot study evaluating a passive mass trapping treatment using AGOs against Ae. aegypti in the city of Harlingen, Texas, USA, during the peak mosquito season. Three treatments were assessed on Aedes populations: AGO mass trapping, integrated vector management (IVM) consisting of source reduction together with larvicides and adulticides, and AGO + IVM. The study design included a control area with no treatments. Four neighborhoods were selected to evaluate the impact of treatments on Ae. Aegypti comparing female abundance between pre-treatment (10 weeks) and post-treatment (9 weeks) periods. All treatments were effective in significantly reducing Ae. aegypti females. IVM treatment reduced the number of females per trap per week from 3.29 ± 0.24 to 2.41 ± 0.20 (33.7% reduction), AGO from 1.58 ± 0.17 to 0.25 ± 0.05 (85.2% reduction), and AGO + IVM from 1.49 ± 0.17 to 0.53 ± 0.08 (67.78% reduction), based on Henderson's formula. We observed a non-significant increase in the control area (no treatment provided) in the mosquito populations, increasing from 2.94 ± 0.24 in the pretreatment period to 3.25 ± 0.28 of the post treatment period. Despite all treatments followed a reduction in mosquito populations, those that included AGO showed a greater decrease in post treatment populations than conventional control measures (IVM) alone. However, further studies with a larger number of replicates, conducted across different seasons and during peak abundance months are needed to fully assess their relative effectiveness for Ae. aegypti control. As this was a pilot study, these preliminary findings suggest that AGOs contribute to reducing Ae. aegypti populations and may serve as a complementary and useful tool in integrated vector management strategies. Nonetheless, further research is needed to verify and validate their effectiveness at larger operational scales.
Effectiveness of mass trapping interventions using autocidal gravid ovitraps (AGO) for the control of the dengue vector, Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti, in Northern Mexico
Background Mosquito-borne diseases, such as malaria, dengue, Zika and chikungunya, pose significant public health threats in tropical and subtropical regions worldwide. To mitigate the impact of these diseases on human health, effective vector surveillance and control strategies are necessary. Traditional vector control methods, which rely on chemical agents such as insecticides and larvicides, face challenges such as resistance and environmental concerns. Consequently, there has been a push to explore novel surveillance and control tools. Mass trapping interventions have emerged as a promising and environmentally friendly approach to reducing the burden of mosquito-borne diseases. This study assessed mass-trapping interventions using autocidal gravid ovitraps (AGOs) on Aedes aegypti populations in Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico. Methods Four neighborhoods were selected to evaluate the effects of three treatments: AGO mass-trapping, integrated vector control (IVC), which included source reduction and the application of chemical larvicide and adulticide, and AGO + IVC on Ae. aegypti populations. A control area with no interventions was also included. The effectiveness of the interventions was evaluated by comparing Ae. aegypti abundance between the pre-treatment period (9 weeks) and the post-treatment period (11 weeks) for each treatment. Results Only treatment using AGO mass trapping with an 84% coverage significantly reduced Ae. aegypti female populations by 47%, from 3.75 ± 0.32 to 1.96 ± 0.15 females/trap/week. As expected, the abundance of Ae. aegypti in the control area did not differ from the pre- and post-treatment period (range of 4.97 ± 0.59 to 5.78 ± 0.53); Ae. aegypti abundance in the IVC treatment was 3.47 ± 0.30 before and 4.13 ± 0.35 after, which was not significantly different. However, Ae. aegypti abundance in the AGO + IVC treatment increased from 1.43 ± 0.21 before to 2.11 ± 0.20 after interventions; this increase may be explained in part by the low AGO (56%) coverage. Conclusions This is the first report to our knowledge on the effectiveness of mass-trapping interventions with AGOs in Mexico, establishing AGOs as a potential tool for controlling Ae . aegypti in Northeastern Mexico when deployed with sufficient coverage. Graphical Abstract
Which League Turns Its Home into a Fortress? Analysis of Home Advantage in the Top European Men’s Handball Leagues
This study aimed to (1) analyse home advantage (HA) and home winning percentage (HW), and (2) examine the impact of team level on HA and HW across major European men’s handball leagues from 2021–2022 to 2024–2025. Match data from 6028 games across seven elite leagues—ASOBAL (Spain), Starligue (France), Bundesliga (Germany), Herre Handbold (Denmark), NB I (Hungary), Superliga (Poland), and Andebol I (Portugal)—were analysed, involving 423 team-seasons. Teams were grouped into three competitive levels using hierarchical clustering: high (HLT), medium (MLT), and low (LLT). Differences between leagues were significant for HA, with the Portuguese league showing the lowest values and falling below those of Denmark and Hungary, while the remaining competitions presented comparable results. Team level displayed a clear gradient, with LLT showing the greatest HA and HLT the smallest. Interaction effects were particularly evident for LLT, which recorded reduced HA in Portugal and France compared with Spain, Denmark, and Hungary. For HW, Portugal again recorded the lowest value, and the pattern across team levels was consistent (high > medium > low). Overall, the findings show that the local performance advantage in men’s elite handball is shaped by both competitive level and league-specific contexts, reflecting structural, organisational, and cultural characteristics of each competition.
Typology and Design of Parametric Cat-in-a-Box and Cat-in-a-Grid Triggers for Tropical Cyclone Risk Transfer
The insurance industry has used parametric solutions to transfer catastrophe risks since the 1990s. Instead of relying on a lengthy process to assess a claim, these products pay the insured a pre-agreed amount if the physical characteristics of the event fulfill pre-defined conditions. Cat-in-a-box or cat-in-a-circle triggers, commonly used tools for tropical cyclone risk transfer, provide a payout to the insured if the track of a hurricane crosses the perimeter of a geographic area defined by a polygon or a circle with a certain intensity. Cat-in-a-grid solutions are novel and more sophisticated. They rely on a set of multiple cat-in-a-box triggers arranged on an orthogonal grid. The consideration of multiple geographic domains instead of a single box or circle is helpful to reduce basis risk, i.e., the difference between the parametric loss estimate and the target loss. In the case study for Miami presented here, for instance, a cat-in-a-grid solution showed 18.5% less basis risk than a typical cat-in-a-box alternative. To organize the different types of triggers within a common framework, we classify the existing alternatives based on whether they use a single geographic domain (like a box or a circle) or multiple domains (like a grid). We discuss their advantages and disadvantages and describe the process required to calibrate any one solution with the help of a catastrophe-risk model. We focus, in particular, on the analysis and construction of cat-in-a-grid triggers, the alternative that we believe offers the greatest potential for global standardization and adoption.
Neutralizing Antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 Ancestral Strain and Omicron BA.1 Subvariant in Dogs and Cats in Mexico
SARS-CoV-2 mainly affects humans; however, it is important to monitor the infection of companion and wild animals as possible reservoirs of this virus. In this sense, seroprevalence studies in companion animals, such as dogs and cats, provide important information about the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2. This study aimed to evaluate the seroprevalence of neutralizing antibodies (nAbs) against the ancestral strain and the Omicron BA.1 subvariant in dogs and cats in Mexico. Six hundred and two samples were obtained from dogs (n = 574) and cats (n = 28). These samples were collected from the end of 2020 to December 2021 from different regions of Mexico. The presence of nAbs was evaluated using a plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT) and microneutralization (MN) assays. The results showed that 14.2% of cats and 1.5% of dogs presented nAbs against the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2. The analysis of nAbs against Omicron BA.1 in cats showed the same percentage of positive animals but a reduced titer. In dogs, 1.2% showed nAbs against Omicron BA.1. These results indicate that nAbs were more frequent in cats than in dogs and that these nAbs have a lower capacity to neutralize the subvariant Omicron BA.1.
Multi-Scale PbSe Structures: A Complete Transformation Using a Biphasic Mixture of Precursors
With the recently acquired knowledge of the use of a multiphase mixture of precursors under electron beam irradiation (EBI), new possibilities were opened for this technique. In the present work, we obtained quantum dots, nanocrystals, nanoparticles, and grains of PbSe with a sintered appearance using a biphasic mixture of PbSe and PbSeO3 under EBI. High-energy milling was used to obtain the biphasic mixture of precursors, which is composed of agglomerates with sizes ranging from ~400 to ~1700 nm, but nanoparticles were also present. The structural details of the biphasic mixture were studied using X-ray diffraction and the Rietveld method. The driving force of the EBI caused instantaneous physical and chemical changes due to the high internal energy of the biphasic mixture of precursors. The abrupt release of high internal energy, due to localized heating effects during EBI, gave way to the formation of multi-scale PbSe structures. Large particles with a sintered appearance formed near the electron beam impact point and in regions between ~800 nm and ~1400 nm, while well-defined faceted nanostructures were predominantly observed beyond ~1400 nm. The latter tended to be surrounded by 200 facets as the main growth direction. Furthermore, coalescence was anticipated to occur during EBI. It occurred simultaneously with the sublimation mechanism when the particle size was below the critical size of 10 nm. Multi-scale PbSe structures, obtained via EBI, are promising for developing thermoelectric devices due to their crystallinity and nanostructured features.