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"Fulton, Benjamin"
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RadVel: The Radial Velocity Modeling Toolkit
by
Petigura, Erik A.
,
Fulton, Benjamin J.
,
Blunt, Sarah
in
(stars:) planetary systems
,
Bayesian analysis
,
Markov analysis
2018
RadVel is an open-source Python package for modeling Keplerian orbits in radial velocity (RV) timeseries. RadVel provides a convenient framework to fit RVs using maximum a posteriori optimization and to compute robust confidence intervals by sampling the posterior probability density via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). RadVel allows users to float or fix parameters, impose priors, and perform Bayesian model comparison. We have implemented real-time MCMC convergence tests to ensure adequate sampling of the posterior. RadVel can output a number of publication-quality plots and tables. Users may interface with RadVel through a convenient command-line interface or directly from Python. The code is object-oriented and thus naturally extensible. We encourage contributions from the community. Documentation is available at http://radvel.readthedocs.io.
Journal Article
Limits on Planetary Companions from Doppler Surveys of Nearby Stars
2016
Most of our knowledge of planets orbiting nearby stars comes from Doppler surveys. For spaced-based, high-contrast imaging missions, nearby stars with Doppler-discovered planets are attractive targets. The known orbits tell imaging missions where and when to observe, and the dynamically determined masses provide important constraints for the interpretation of planetary spectra. Quantifying the set of planet masses and orbits that could have been detected will enable more efficient planet discovery and characterization. We analyzed Doppler measurements from Lick and Keck Observatories by the California Planet Survey. We focused on stars that are likely targets for three space-based planet imaging mission concepts studied by NASA-WFIRST-AFTA, Exo-C, and Exo-S. The Doppler targets are primarily F8 and later main sequence stars, with observations spanning 1987-2014. We identified 76 stars with Doppler measurements from the prospective mission target lists. We developed an automated planet search and a methodology to estimate the pipeline completeness using injection and recovery tests. We applied this machinery to the Doppler data and computed planet detection limits for each star as a function of planet minimum mass and semimajor axis. For typical stars in the survey, we are sensitive to approximately Saturn-mass planets inside of 1 au, Jupiter-mass planets inside of ~3 au, and our sensitivity declines out to ~10 au. For the best Doppler targets, we are sensitive to Neptune-mass planets in 3 au orbits. Using an idealized model of Doppler survey completeness, we forecast the precision of future surveys of non-ideal Doppler targets that are likely targets of imaging missions.
Journal Article
The California Legacy Survey. III. On the Shoulders of (Some) Giants: The Relationship between Inner Small Planets and Outer Massive Planets
by
Knutson, Heather A
,
Howard, Andrew W
,
Fulton, Benjamin J
in
Gas giant planets
,
Jupiter
,
Metallicity
2022
We use a high-precision radial velocity survey of FGKM stars to study the conditional occurrence of two classes of planets: close-in small planets (0.023–1 au, 2–30 M ⊕) and distant giant planets (0.23–10 au, 30–6000 M ⊕). We find that 41−13+15% of systems with a close-in, small planet also host an outer giant, compared to 17.6−1.9+2.4% for stars irrespective of small planet presence. This implies that small planet hosts may be enhanced in outer giant occurrences compared to all stars with 1.7σ significance. Conversely, we estimate that 42−13+17% of cold giant hosts also host an inner small planet, compared to 27.6−4.8+5.8% of stars irrespective of cold giant presence. We also find that more massive and close-in giant planets are not associated with small inner planets. Specifically, our sample indicates that small planets are less likely to have outer giant companions more massive than approximately 120 M ⊕ and within 0.3–3 au, than to have less massive or more distant giant companions, with ∼2.2σ confidence. This implies that massive gas giants within 0.3–3 au may suppress inner small planet formation. Additionally, we compare the host-star metallicity distributions for systems with only small planets and those with both small planets and cold giants. In agreement with previous studies, we find that stars in our survey that only host small planets have a metallicity distribution that is consistent with the broader solar-metallicity-median sample, while stars that host both small planets and gas giants are distinctly metal rich with ∼2.3σ confidence.
Journal Article
The California Legacy Survey. IV. Lonely, Poor, and Eccentric: A Comparison between Solitary and Neighborly Gas Giants
by
Howard, Andrew W
,
Knutson, Heather A
,
Fulton, Benjamin J
in
Circular orbits
,
Extrasolar planets
,
Gas giant planets
2024
We compare systems with single giant planets to systems with multiple giant planets using a catalog of planets from a high-precision radial velocity survey of FGKM stars. Our comparison focuses on orbital properties, planet masses, and host-star properties. We use hierarchical methods to model the orbital eccentricity distributions of giant singles and giant multiples, and find that the distributions are distinct. The multiple giant planets typically have moderate eccentricities and their eccentricity distribution extends to e = 0.47 (90th percentile), while the single giant planets have a pileup of nearly circular orbits and a long tail that extends to e = 0.77. We determine that the stellar hosts of multiple giants are distinctly more metal rich than the hosts of solitary giants, with respective mean metallicities of 0.228 ± 0.027 versus 0.129 ± 0.019 dex. We measure the distinct occurrence distributions of single and multiple giants with respect to orbital separation, and find that single gas giants have a ∼2.3σ significant hot Jupiter (a < 0.06) pileup not seen among multigiant systems. We find that the median mass ( Msini ) of giants in multiples is nearly double that of single giants (1.71 M J versus 0.92 M J). We find that giant planets in the same system have correlated masses, analogous to the “peas in a pod” effect seen among less-massive planets.
Journal Article
The Kepler Giant Planet Search. I. A Decade of Kepler Planet-host Radial Velocities from W. M. Keck Observatory
by
Howard, Andrew W
,
Brinkman, Casey L
,
Turtelboom, Emma V
in
Extrasolar planets
,
Habitability
,
Jupiter
2024
Despite the importance of Jupiter and Saturn to Earth’s formation and habitability, there has not yet been a comprehensive observational study of how giant exoplanets correlate with the architectural properties of close-in, sub-Neptune-sized exoplanets. This is largely because transit surveys are particularly insensitive to planets at orbital separations ≳1 au, and so their census of Jupiter-like planets is incomplete, inhibiting our study of the relationship between Jupiter-like planets and the small planets that do transit. To investigate the relationship between close-in, small and distant, giant planets, we conducted the Kepler Giant Planet Survey (KGPS). Using the W. M. Keck Observatory High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer, we spent over a decade collecting 2844 radial velocities (RVs; 2167 of which are presented here for the first time) of 63 Sunlike stars that host 157 transiting planets. We had no prior knowledge of which systems would contain giant planets beyond 1 au, making this survey unbiased with respect to previously detected Jovians. We announce RV-detected companions to 20 stars from our sample. These include 13 Jovians ( 0.3MJ
Journal Article
Relative Occurrence Rate between Hot and Cold Jupiters as an Indicator to Probe Planet Migration
by
Wang, Sharon X
,
Mao, Shude
,
Guo, Kangrou
in
Accretion disks
,
Extrasolar planets
,
Gas giant planets
2024
We propose a second-order statistic parameter ε, the relative occurrence rate between hot Jupiters (HJs) and cold Jupiters (CJs) (ε = η HJ/η CJ), to probe the migration of gas giants. Since the planet occurrence rate is the combined outcome of the formation and migration processes, a joint analysis of HJ and CJ frequency may shed light on the dynamical evolution of giant planet systems. We first investigate the behavior of ε as the stellar mass changes observationally. Based on the occurrence rate measurements of HJs (η HJ) from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite survey and CJs (η CJ) from the California Legacy Survey, we find a tentative trend (97% confidence) that ε drops when the stellar mass rises from 0.8 to 1.4 M ⊙, which can be explained by different giant planet growth and disk migration timescales around different stars. We carry out planetesimal and pebble accretion simulations, both of which can reproduce the results of η HJ, η CJ, and ε. Our findings indicate that the classical core accretion + disk migration model can explain the observed decreasing trend of ε. We propose two ways to increase the significance of the trend and verify the anticorrelation. Future works are required to better constrain ε, especially for M dwarfs and for more massive stars.
Journal Article
The California-Kepler Survey. X. The Radius Gap as a Function of Stellar Mass, Metallicity, and Age
by
Howard, Andrew W
,
Isaacson, Howard
,
Behmard, Aida
in
Extrasolar planets
,
Metallicity
,
Neptune
2022
In 2017, the California-Kepler Survey (CKS) published its first data release (DR1) of high-resolution optical spectra of 1305 planet hosts. Refined CKS planet radii revealed that small planets are bifurcated into two distinct populations, super-Earths (smaller than 1.5 R ⊕) and sub-Neptunes (between 2.0 and 4.0 R ⊕), with few planets in between (the “radius gap”). Several theoretical models of the radius gap predict variation with stellar mass, but testing these predictions is challenging with CKS DR1 due to its limited M ⋆ range of 0.8–1.4 M ⊙. Here we present CKS DR2 with 411 additional spectra and derived properties focusing on stars of 0.5–0.8 M ⊙. We found that the radius gap follows R p ∝ P m with m = −0.10 ± 0.03, consistent with predictions of X-ray and ultraviolet- and core-powered mass-loss mechanisms. We found no evidence that m varies with M ⋆. We observed a correlation between the average sub-Neptune size and M ⋆. Over 0.5–1.4 M ⊙, the average sub-Neptune grows from 2.1 to 2.6 R ⊕, following Rp∝M⋆α with α = 0.25 ± 0.03. In contrast, there is no detectable change for super-Earths. These M ⋆–R p trends suggest that protoplanetary disks can efficiently produce cores up to a threshold mass of M c , which grows linearly with stellar mass according to M c ≈ 10 M ⊕(M ⋆/M ⊙). There is no significant correlation between sub-Neptune size and stellar metallicity (over −0.5 to +0.5 dex), suggesting a weak relationship between planet envelope opacity and stellar metallicity. Finally, there is no significant variation in sub-Neptune size with stellar age (over 1–10 Gyr), which suggests that the majority of envelope contraction concludes after ∼1 Gyr.
Journal Article
Revisiting Orbital Evolution in HAT-P-2 b and Confirmation of HAT-P-2 c
2023
One possible formation mechanism for Hot Jupiters is that high-eccentricity gas giants experience tidal interactions with their host star that cause them to lose orbital energy and migrate inwards. We study these types of tidal interactions in an eccentric Hot Jupiter called HAT-P-2 b, which is a system where a long-period companion has been suggested and hints of orbital evolution were detected. Using 5 additional years of radial velocity (RV) measurements, we further investigate these phenomena. We investigated the long-period companion by jointly fitting RVs and Hipparcos-Gaia astrometry and confirmed this long-period companion, significantly narrowed down the range of possible periods ( P2=8500−1500+2600 days), and determined that it must be a substellar object ( 10.7−2.2+5.2 M j). We also developed a modular pipeline to simultaneously model rapid orbital evolution and the long-period companion. We find that the rate and significance of evolution are highly dependent on the long-period companion modeling choices. In some cases the orbital rates of change reached de/dt=3.28−1.72+1.75×10−3 yr−1, d ω/dt = 1.12° ± 0.22° yr−1, which corresponds to a ∼321 yr apsidal precession period. In other cases, the data is consistent with de/dt = 7.67 ± 18.6 × 10−4 yr−1, d ω/dt = 0.76° ± 0.24° yr−1. The most rapid changes found are significantly larger than the expected relativistic precession rate and could be caused by transient tidal planet–star interactions. To definitively determine the magnitude and significance of potential orbital evolution in HAT-P-2 b, we recommend further monitoring with RVs and precise transit and eclipse timings.
Journal Article
Discovery of a Jupiter Analog Misaligned to the Inner Planetary System in HD 73344
by
Saunders, Nicholas
,
Isaacson, Howard
,
MacDougall, Mason G
in
Extrasolar planets
,
Gas giant planets
,
Inclination
2025
We present the discovery of a Jupiter-like planet, HD 73344 d ( md=2.55−0.46+0.56MJ , ad=6.70−0.26+0.25 au, ed=0.18−0.12+0.14 ) based on 27 yr radial velocity (RV) observations from ELODIE, Lick/Hamilton, SOPHIE, APF, and HIRES. HD 73344 also hosts a compact inner planetary system, including a transiting sub-Neptune, HD 73344 b (Pb = 15.61 days, rb=2.88−0.07+0.08R⊕ ), and a nontransiting Saturn-mass planet (Pc = 65.936 days, mcsinic=0.367−0.021+0.022MJ ). By analyzing TESS light curves, we identified a stellar rotation period of 9.03 ± 1.3 days. Combining this with vsini* measurements from stellar spectra, we derived a stellar inclination of 63.6∘−16.5+17.4 . Furthermore, by combining RVs and Hipparcos–Gaia astrometric acceleration, we characterized the three-dimensional orbit of the outer giant planet and constrained its mutual inclination relative to the innermost transiting planet to be 46° < ΔIbd < 134° (1σ) and 20° < ΔIbd < 160° (2σ), strongly disfavoring coplanar architectures. Our analytical calculations and N-body simulations reveal that the two inner planets are strongly coupled with each other and undergo nodal precession together around the orbital axis of the giant planet. During nodal precession, the orbital inclinations of inner planets oscillate with time and therefore become misaligned relative to the stellar spin axis. The formation of such systems suggests a history of planet–planet scattering or misalignment between the inner and outer components of protoplanetary disks. The upcoming release of Gaia Data Release 4 will uncover more systems similar to HD 73344, and enable the study of the flatness of exoplanet systems with a mixture of inner and outer planetary systems on a statistical level.
Journal Article
The True Stellar Obliquity of a Sub-Saturn Planet from the Tierras Observatory and the Keck Planet Finder
2025
We measure the true obliquity of TOI-2364, a K dwarf with a sub-Saturn-mass (Mp = 0.18 MJ) transiting planet on the upper edge of the hot-Neptune desert. We used new Rossiter–McLaughlin observations gathered with the Keck Planet Finder to measure the sky-projected obliquity λ = 7° + 10°–11°. Combined with a stellar rotation period of 23.47 ± 0.29 days measured with photometry from the Tierras Observatory, this yields a stellar inclination of 90° ± 13° and a true obliquity ψ = 15 .° 6 + 7 .° 7–7 .° 3, indicating that the planet’s orbit is well aligned with the rotation axis of its host star. The determination of ψ is important for investigating a potential bimodality in the orbits of short-period sub-Saturns around cool stars, which tend to be either aligned with or perpendicular to their host stars’ spin axes.
Journal Article
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