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Coronary CT angiography (CCTA) in the emergency department reduced the length of hospital stay and allowed more patients to be discharged directly from the emergency department. However, CCTA resulted in more downstream testing and higher exposure to radiation. Treatment of patients with acute chest pain but an inconclusive initial evaluation with the use of biomarkers and electrocardiographic (ECG) testing is often diagnostically challenging and inefficient. The majority of patients with acute coronary syndromes have underlying coronary artery disease. 1 Contrast-enhanced coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) has high sensitivity and specificity for the detection of clinically significant coronary artery disease, as compared with invasive coronary angiography, in patients in stable condition with suspected or known coronary artery disease. 2 – 5 Rule Out Myocardial Infarction/Ischemia Using Computer Assisted Tomography (ROMICAT-I), 6 a blinded observational study involving patients in the emergency department with suspected . . .

Although early cardiac computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) might improve the management of emergency department (ED) patients with acute chest pain, it could also result in increased testing, costs, and radiation exposure. ROMICAT II was a randomized comparative effectiveness trial enrolling patients 40 to 74 years old without known coronary artery disease who presented to the ED with chest pain but without ischemic electrocardiographic (ECG) changes or elevated initial troponin and who required further risk stratification. Overall, 1000 patients at 9 sites within the United States were randomized to either CCTA as the first diagnostic test following serial biomarkers or to standard of care, which included no testing or functional testing such as exercise ECG, stress radionuclide imaging, or stress echocardiography. Test results were provided to ED physicians, yet patient management was not driven by a study protocol in either arm. Data were collected on diagnostic testing, cardiac events, and cost of medical care for the index hospitalization and during the following 28 days. The primary end point was length of hospital stay. Secondary end points were cumulative radiation exposure, resource utilization, and costs of competing strategies. Tertiary end points were institutional, physician, and patient characteristics associated with primary and secondary outcomes. Rate of missed acute coronary syndrome within 28 days was the safety end point. The ROMICAT II will provide rigorous data on whether CCTA is more efficient than standard of care in the management of patients with acute chest pain at intermediate risk for acute coronary syndrome.

Introduction Participation in antiretroviral therapy (ART) programmes has been associated with greater utilization of care for hypertension and diabetes in rural South Africa. The objective of this study was to assess whether people living with HIV on ART with comorbid hypertension or diabetes also have improved chronic disease management indicators. Methods The Health and Aging in Africa: a longitudinal study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) is a cohort of 5059 adults >40 years old. Enrollment took place between November 2014 and November 2015. The study collected population‐based data on demographics, healthcare utilization, height, weight, blood pressure (BP) and blood glucose as well as HIV infection, HIV‐1 RNA viral load (VL) and ART exposure. We used regression models to determine whether HIV care cascade stage (HIV‐negative, HIV+ /No ART, ART/Detected HIV VL, and ART/Undetectable VL) was associated with diagnosis or treatment of hypertension or diabetes, and systolic blood pressure and glucose among those with diagnosed hypertension or diabetes. ART use was measured from drug level testing on dried blood spots. Results and discussion Compared to people without HIV, ART/Undetectable VL was associated with greater awareness of hypertension diagnosis (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.18, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.28) and treatment of hypertension (aRR 1.24, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.41) among those who met hypertension diagnostic criteria. HIV care cascade stage was not significantly associated with awareness of diagnosis or treatment of diabetes. Among those with diagnosed hypertension or diabetes, ART/Undetectable VL was associated with lower mean systolic blood pressure (5.98 mm Hg, 95% CI: 9.65 to 2.32) and lower mean glucose (3.77 mmol/L, 95% CI: 6.85 to 0.69), compared to being HIV‐negative. Conclusions Participants on ART with an undetectable VL had lower systolic blood pressure and blood glucose than the HIV‐negative participants. HIV treatment programmes may provide a platform for health systems strengthening for cardiometabolic disease.

Abstract Background Obesity has been linked to severe clinical outcomes among people who are hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We tested the hypothesis that visceral adipose tissue (VAT) is associated with severe outcomes in patients hospitalized with COVID-19, independent of body mass index (BMI). Methods We analyzed data from the Massachusetts General Hospital COVID-19 Data Registry, which included patients admitted with polymerase chain reaction–confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection from March 11 to May 4, 2020. We used a validated, fully automated artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm to quantify VAT from computed tomography (CT) scans during or before the hospital admission. VAT quantification took an average of 2 ± 0.5 seconds per patient. We dichotomized VAT as high and low at a threshold of ≥100 cm2 and used Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression to assess the relationship between VAT and death or intubation over 28 days, adjusting for age, sex, race, BMI, and diabetes status. Results A total of 378 participants had CT imaging. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that participants with high VAT had a greater risk of the outcome compared with those with low VAT (P < .005), especially in those with BMI <30 kg/m2 (P < .005). In multivariable models, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for high vs low VAT was unchanged (aHR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.24–3.09), whereas BMI was no longer significant (aHR for obese vs normal BMI, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.71–1.82). Conclusions High VAT is associated with a greater risk of severe disease or death in COVID-19 and can offer more precise information to risk-stratify individuals beyond BMI. AI offers a promising approach to routinely ascertain VAT and improve clinical risk prediction in COVID-19.

PurposeTo compare detection rates of NET liver metastases of MRI and Ga-68-DOTATATE PET/CT to provide more clarity when selecting diagnostic imaging tests for NET staging.MethodsIn this IRB-approved single-institution retrospective study, all patients with pathology-proven NET who underwent Ga-68-DOTATATE and MRI scans within 8 weeks of each other (3/2017–2/2020) were reviewed. Number of metastases for each patient on diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI, and Ga-68 DOTATATE were recorded by two blinded radiologists, followed by consensus review with two separate blinded readers for MRI and nuclear medicine. Per-lesion and -modality scoring at each lesion location were then performed in consensus. Per-patient linear regression was performed comparing MRI and Ga-68 DOTATATE detection rates for each reader and in consensus, and per-lesion-matched pair difference means were used to compare detection frequency between modalities.Results32 patients (mean age 59 years, 59.4% male) and 90 liver metastases were analyzed. Intraclass coefficients (ICC) [95% CI] between the two readers were 0.97 [0.95, 0.99], 0.89 [0.82, 0.94], and 0.98 [0.97, 0.99] for Ga-68 DOTATATE, DWI, and DCE, respectively. Matched per-lesion mean differences were + 0.17 ± 0.07 (p = 0.01) and + 0.22 ± 0.06 (p =  < 0.001) for DWI versus Ga-68 DOTATATE and DCE vs Ga-68 DOTATATE, respectively, favoring MRI. Case-based linear regressions estimate that DWI and DCE detect 1.28 [1.07, 1.49] and 1.33 [1.12, 1.54] lesions, respectively, for each one detected on Ga-68 DOTATATE.ConclusionMRI detects more hepatic NET metastasis in comparison to Ga-68 DOTATATE. Liver MRI should be performed in concert with Ga-68 DOTATATE in NET staging.Graphic abstract

Background Recent studies suggest a rising rate of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in HIV-infected subjects. Although most countries have an aging HIV-infected population, there remains a lack of knowledge about associated cardiovascular diseases. Methods This ongoing prospective multicentre observational cohort study aims to elucidate CVD prevalence in HIV-infected outpatients by standardized non-invasive cardiovascular screening. Cardiovascular and coronary risk was calculated using Framingham risk scores. Results 803 HIV-infected subjects (mean age 44.2 years, female 16.6 %) were included. The prevalence of CVD in HIV-infected subjects was 10.1 % (95 % CI 8.0–12.2 %). Aging HIV-infected patients (≥45 years, N  = 348) exhibited significantly increased rates of CVD, including an elevated frequency of coronary artery disease (7.5 vs. 1.8 %, p  < 0.001), myocardial infarction (6.0 vs. 1.8 %, p  = 0.002) and peripheral arterial diseases (4.6 vs. 1.5 %, p  < 0.017). Furthermore, aging patients exhibited a higher rate of chronic heart failure (5.2 vs. 1.5 %, p  < 0.001), predominantly of ischemic etiology. In multivariate analyses, age (OR 2.05 per decade, 95 % CI 1.64–2.56), smoking (OR 5.96 per decade, 95 % CI 2.31–15.38) and advanced symptomatic HIV infection (OR 2.60 per decade, 95 % CI 1.31–5.15), were significantly associated with the prevalence of CVD. Based on the 10-year cardiovascular risk estimation, a disproportionate increase in cardiac events has to be expected in aging HIV-infected subjects in the next decades (≥45 years/<45 years 16.4 vs. 4.2 %, p  < 0.001). Conclusion CVD in aging HIV-infected population is an increasing medical challenge. In the era of antiretroviral therapy, prevention and diagnostic strategies are essential to reduce the prevalence of CVD in HIV-infected patients.

Participation in antiretroviral therapy (ART) programmes has been associated with greater utilization of care for hypertension and diabetes in rural South Africa. The objective of this study was to assess whether people living with HIV on ART with comorbid hypertension or diabetes also have improved chronic disease management indicators. The Health and Aging in Africa: a longitudinal study of an INDEPTH Community in South Africa (HAALSI) is a cohort of 5059 adults >40 years old. Enrollment took place between November 2014 and November 2015. The study collected population?based data on demographics, healthcare utilization, height, weight, blood pressure (BP) and blood glucose as well as HIV infection, HIV?1 RNA viral load (VL) and ART exposure. We used regression models to determine whether HIV care cascade stage (HIV?negative, HIV+ /No ART, ART/Detected HIV VL, and ART/Undetectable VL) was associated with diagnosis or treatment of hypertension or diabetes, and systolic blood pressure and glucose among those with diagnosed hypertension or diabetes. ART use was measured from drug level testing on dried blood spots. Compared to people without HIV, ART/Undetectable VL was associated with greater awareness of hypertension diagnosis (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 1.18, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.28) and treatment of hypertension (aRR 1.24, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.41) among those who met hypertension diagnostic criteria. HIV care cascade stage was not significantly associated with awareness of diagnosis or treatment of diabetes. Among those with diagnosed hypertension or diabetes, ART/Undetectable VL was associated with lower mean systolic blood pressure (5.98 mm Hg, 95% CI: 9.65 to 2.32) and lower mean glucose (3.77 mmol/L, 95% CI: 6.85 to 0.69), compared to being HIV?negative.

Background Non-pharmacological treatment programmes are being developed, in which specialised nurses take care of heart failure (HF) patients. Such disease management programmes might increase survival and quality of life in HF patients, but evidence on their cost-effectiveness remains limited. Methods and results A prospective economic evaluation piggy-backed onto the randomised controlled Interdisciplinary Network for Heart Failure (INH) Study weighted costs of the intervention HeartNetCare -HF™ (HNC) regarding effectiveness, mortality and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). To consider uncertainty sensitivity analyses were performed. Compared to usual care (UC), HNC revealed 8,284 € per death avoided within the 6 month study follow-up period. The cost-utility analysis showed additional costs of 49,335 € per QALY. Conclusion Although HNC did not reduce short-term re-admission rates of HF patients hospitalised for cardiac decompensation within the first 180 days after discharge, HNC might reduce mortality and increase quality of life in these patients at reasonable costs. Therefore, long-term HNC-effects deserve further evaluation.

Chronic heart failure (CHF) is a critical public health issue with increasing effect on the healthcare budgets of developed countries. Various decisionanalytic modelling approaches exist to estimate the cost effectiveness of health technologies for CHF. We sought to systematically identify these models and describe their structures. We performed a systematic literature review in MEDLINE/PreMEDLINE, EMBASE, EconLit and the Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry using a combination of search terms for CHF and decision-analytic models. The inclusion criterion required ‘use of a mathematical model evaluating both costs and health consequences for CHF management strategies’. Studies that were only economic evaluations alongside a clinical trial or that were purely descriptive studies were excluded. We identified 34 modelling studies investigating different interventions including screening (n = 1), diagnostics (n = 1), pharmaceuticals (n = 15), devices (n = 13), disease management programmes (n = 3) and cardiac transplantation (n = 1) in CHF. The identified models primarily focused on middle-aged to elderly patients with stable but progressed heart failure with systolic left ventricular dysfunction. Modelling approaches varied substantially and included 27 Markov models, three discrete-event simulation models and four mathematical equation sets models; 19 studies reported QALYs. Three models were externally validated. In addition to a detailed description of study characteristics, the model structure and output, the manuscript also contains a synthesis and critical appraisal for each of the modelling approaches. Well designed decision models are available for the evaluation of different CHF health technologies. Most models depend on New York Heart Association (NYHA) classes or number of hospitalizations as proxy for disease severity and progression. As the diagnostics and biomarkers evolve, there is the hope for better intermediate endpoints for modelling disease progression as those that are currently in use all have limitations.

Background and purpose Prolonged Holter monitoring of patients with cerebral ischemia increases the detection rate of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF); this leads to improved antithrombotic regimens aimed at preventing recurrent ischemic strokes. The aim of this study was to compare a 7-day-Holter monitoring (7-d-Holter) alone or in combination with prior selection via transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) to a standard 24-h-Holter using a cost-utility analysis. Methods Lifetime cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were estimated for a cohort of patients with acute cerebral ischemia and no contraindication to oral anticoagulation. A Markov model was developed to simulate the long-term course and progression of cerebral ischemia considering the different diagnostic algorithms (24-h-Holter, 7-d-Holter, 7-d-Holter after preselection by TTE). Clinical data for these algorithms were derived from the prospective observational Find-AF study (ISRCTN 46104198). Results Predicted lifelong discounted costs were 33,837 € for patients diagnosed by the 7-d-Holter and 33,852 € by the standard 24-h-Holter. Cumulated QALYs were 3.868 for the 7-d-Holter compared to 3.844 for the 24-h-Holter. The 7-d-Holter dominated the 24-h-Holter in the base-case scenario and remained cost-effective in extensive sensitivity analysis of key input parameter with a maximum of 8,354 €/QALY gained. Preselecting patients for the 7-d-Holter had no positive effect on the cost-effectiveness. Conclusions A 7-d-Holter to detect PAF in patients with cerebral ischemia is cost-effective. It increases the detection which leads to improved antithrombotic regimens; therefore, it avoids recurrent strokes, saves future costs, and decreases quality of life impairment. Preselecting patients by TTE does not improve cost-effectiveness.