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High-efficacy therapies in multiple sclerosis are traditionally used after unsuccessful treatment with first-line disease modifying therapies. We hypothesised that early commencement of high-efficacy therapy would be associated with reduced long-term disability. We therefore aimed to compare long-term disability outcomes between patients who started high-efficacy therapies within 2 years of disease onset with those who started 4–6 years after disease onset. In this retrospective international observational study, we obtained data from the MSBase registry and the Swedish MS registry, which prospectively collect patient data that are specific to multiple sclerosis as part of routine clinical care. We identified adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, with at least 6 years of follow-up since disease onset, and who started the high-efficacy therapy (rituximab, ocrelizumab, mitoxantrone, alemtuzumab, or natalizumab) either 0–2 years (early) or 4–6 years (late) after clinical disease onset. We matched patients in the early and late groups using propensity scores calculated on the basis of their baseline clinical and demographic data. The primary outcome was disability, measured with the Expanded Disability Status Score (EDSS; an ordinal scale of 0–10, with higher scores indicating increased disability), at 6–10 years after disease onset, assessed with a linear mixed-effects model. We identified 6149 patients in the MSBase registry who had been given high-efficacy therapy, with data collected between Jan 1, 1975, and April 13, 2017, and 2626 patients in the Swedish MS Registry, with data collected between Dec 10, 1997, and Sept 16, 2019. Of whom, 308 in the MSBase registry and 236 in the Swedish MS registry were eligible for inclusion. 277 (51%) of 544 patients commenced therapy early and 267 (49%) commenced therapy late. For the primary analysis, we matched 213 patients in the early treatment group with 253 in the late treatment group. At baseline, the mean EDSS score was 2·2 (SD 1·2) in the early group and 2·1 (SD 1·2) in the late group. Median follow-up time for matched patients was 7·8 years (IQR 6·7–8·9). In the sixth year after disease onset, the mean EDSS score was 2·2 (SD 1·6) in the early group compared with 2·9 (SD 1·8) in the late group (p<0·0001). This difference persisted throughout each year of follow-up until the tenth year after disease onset (mean EDSS score 2·3 [SD 1·8] vs 3·5 [SD 2·1]; p<0·0001), with a difference between groups of −0·98 (95% CI −1·51 to −0·45; p<0·0001, adjusted for proportion of time on any disease-modifying therapy) across the 6–10 year follow-up period. High-efficacy therapy commenced within 2 years of disease onset is associated with less disability after 6–10 years than when commenced later in the disease course. This finding can inform decisions regarding optimal sequence and timing of multiple sclerosis therapy. National Health and Medical Research Council Australia and MS Society UK.

Background and aims: No consensus exists on how aggressively to treat relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) nor on the timing of the treatment. The objective of this study was to evaluate disability trajectories in RRMS patients treated with an early intensive treatment (EIT) or with a moderate-efficacy treatment followed by escalation to higher-efficacy disease modifying therapy (ESC). Methods: RRMS patients with ⩾5-year follow-up and ⩾3 visits after disease modifying therapy (DMT) start were selected from the Italian MS Registry. EIT group included patients who received as first DMT fingolimod, natalizumab, mitoxantrone, alemtuzumab, ocrelizumab, cladribine. ESC group patients received the high efficacy DMT after ⩾1 year of glatiramer acetate, interferons, azathioprine, teriflunomide or dimethylfumarate treatment. Patients were 1:1 propensity score (PS) matched for characteristics at the first DMT. The disability trajectories were evaluated by applying a longitudinal model for repeated measures. The effect of early versus late start of high-efficacy DMT was assessed by the mean annual Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) changes compared with baseline values (delta-EDSS) in EIT and ESC groups. Results: The study cohort included 2702 RRMS patients. The PS matching procedure produced 363 pairs, followed for a median (interquartile range) of 8.5 (6.5–11.7) years. Mean annual delta-EDSS values were all significantly (p < 0.02) higher in the ESC group compared with the EIT group. In particular, the mean delta-EDSS differences between the two groups tended to increase from 0.1 (0.01–0.19, p = 0.03) at 1 year to 0.30 (0.07–0.53, p = 0.009) at 5 years and to 0.67 (0.31–1.03, p = 0.0003) at 10 years. Conclusion: Our results indicate that EIT strategy is more effective than ESC strategy in controlling disability progression over time.

The main aim of the study is to evaluate the efficacy and safety profile of ocrelizumab (OCR), rituximab (RTX), and cladribine (CLA), employed as natalizumab (NTZ) exit strategies in relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients at high-risk for progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). This is a multicentre, retrospective, real-world study on consecutive RRMS patients from eleven tertiary Italian MS centres, who switched from NTZ to OCR, RTX, and CLA from January 1st, 2019, to December 31st, 2019. The primary study outcomes were the annualized relapse rate (ARR) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) outcome. Treatment effects were estimated by the inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW), based on propensity-score (PS) approach. Additional endpoint included confirmed disability progression (CDP) as measured by Expanded Disability Status Scale and adverse events (AEs). Patients satisfying predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria were 120; 64 switched to OCR, 36 to RTX, and 20 to CLA. Patients from the 3 groups did not show differences for baseline characteristics, also after post hoc analysis. The IPTW PS-adjusted models revealed that patients on OCR had a lower risk for ARR than patients on CLA (ExpBOCR 0.485, CI 95% 0.264–0.893, p = 0.020). This result was confirmed also for 12-month MRI activity (ExpBOCR 0.248 CI 95% 0.065–0.948, p = 0.042). No differences were found in other pairwise comparisons (OCR vs RTX and RTX vs CLA) for the investigated outcomes. AEs were similar among the 3 groups. Anti-CD20 drugs were revealed to be effective and safe options as NTZ exit strategies. All investigated DMTs showed a good safety profile.

BackgroundThree decades have passed since the initial approval of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). Ongoing discussion is focused on fundamental aspects of the disease, highlighting a growing division between successes in managing relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) and the persistent challenges posed by disease progression.MethodsA cohort study on prospectively acquired data from the Italian MS register. The primary outcome was to describe the MS disease course from onset to secondary progression (SP) defined according to a data-driven algorithm over 30 years follow-up and according to five different eras of disease onset.ResultsA total cohort of 9958 patients was analysed; 1364 converted to SP after a mean of 8.5 (SD 5.5) years. A higher rate of patients converting to SP had never been exposed to DMTs (135, 9.9% vs 424, 5.2%) than non-converting ones. The treatment coverage was also lower in patients converting to SP than non-converting ones 58.4 (SD 31.5) vs 73.6 (SD 27.6).The SP incidence rate was 1.26 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.32) overall. The rates showed a downward trend among the different eras: from 1st era 1.98 (95% CI 1.73 to 2.27) to 5th era 1.15 (95% CI 0.97 to 1.35).In the multivariable Cox model, 10% increase of treatment coverage was associated to 19% lower risk to convert to SP (10%, HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.90).ConclusionsThis 30-year analysis suggests that SP conversion rates have decreased over time, partially explained by improvements in therapeutic coverage. Future research should adopt a multifaceted approach to develop more comprehensive models of disease progression.

Objectives Gray matter (GM) damage is well known as a fundamental aspect of multiple sclerosis (MS). Above all, cortical lesions (CLs) burden, detectable at MRI with double inversion recovery (DIR) sequences, has been demonstrated to correlate with cognitive impairment (CI). The aim of this study was to investigate the role of CLs number in predicting CI in a cohort of patients with MS in a clinical practice setting. Materials and methods Thirty consecutive patients with MS presenting CLs (CL+) at high‐field (3.0 T) MRI 3D‐DIR sequences and an even group of MS patients without CLs (CL‐) as a control, were investigated with the Rao Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological Tests (BRB), Version A. Total and lobar CLs number were computed in CL+ patients. Results Among the sixty patients with MS enrolled, forty‐seven (78.3%) had a relapsing‐remitting course, while thirteen (21.7%) a progressive one, eleven secondary progressive, and two primary progressive. Compared to CL−, CL+ patients had a greater proportion of progressive forms (p = .03). The most affected region was the frontal lobe (73.3% of patients), followed by temporal and parietal ones (both 60.0%). Multivariate (logistic regression) analysis revealed a significant correlation between total CLs number and the presence of mild cognitive impairment defined as pathologic score in at least one BRB test (p = .04); it was also correlated with deficit at PASAT 3 (p = .05) and Stroop Test (p = .02). Conclusions We confirmed CLs number, evaluated with a technique quite commonly available in clinical practice, as a predictive factor of CI in patients with MS, in order to improve the diagnosis and management of CI and monitor potential neuroprotective effects of therapies. Gray matter disease is a fundamental aspect of multiple sclerosis (MS), and cognitive impairment (CI) is an important component of MS‐related disability, even though both of them, often, are not properly investigated in clinical practice. In this study, conducted in a clinical practice setting in a cohort of relapsing–remitting and progressive patients with MS investigated with the Rao Brief Repeatable Battery of Neuropsychological Tests (BRB), Version A and with high‐field (3.0) MRI and double inversion recovery (3D‐DIR) sequences, we found a significant correlation between the cognitive domains most affected in MS and cortical lesions number, a parameter easily achievable also outside research setting and useful for the clinical management of MS‐related CI.

ObjectiveTo evaluate variability and predictability of disability trajectories in moderately advanced and advanced multiple sclerosis (MS), and their modifiability with immunomodulatory therapy.MethodsThe epochs between Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) steps 3–6, 4–6 and 6–6.5 were analysed. Patients with relapse-onset MS and having reached 6-month confirmed baseline EDSS step (3/4/6) were identified in MSBase, a global observational MS cohort study. We used multivariable survival models to examine the impact of disease-modifying therapy, clinical and demographic factors on progression to the outcome EDSS step (6/6.5). Sensitivity analyses with varying outcome definitions and inclusion criteria were conducted.ResultsFor the EDSS 3–6, 4–6 and 6–6.5 epochs, 1560, 1504 and 1231 patients were identified, respectively. Disability trajectories showed large coefficients of variance prebaseline (0.92–1.11) and postbaseline (2.15–2.50), with no significant correlations. The probability of reaching the outcome step was not associated with prebaseline variables, but was increased by higher relapse rates during each epoch (HRs 1.58–3.07; p<0.001). A greater proportion of each epoch treated with higher efficacy therapies was associated with lower risk of reaching the outcome disability step (HRs 0.72–0.91 per 25%; p≤0.02). 3 sensitivity analyses confirmed these results.ConclusionsDisease progression during moderately advanced and advanced MS is highly variable and amnesic to prior disease activity. Lower relapse rates and greater time on higher efficacy immunomodulatory therapy after reaching EDSS steps 3, 4 and 6 are associated with a decreased risk of accumulating further disability. Highly effective immunomodulatory therapy ameliorates accumulation of disability in moderately advanced and advanced relapse-onset MS.

Objective No direct comparisons of the effect of natalizumab and ocrelizumab on progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) and relapse‐associated worsening (RAW) events are currently available. We aimed to compare the risk of achieving first 6 months confirmed PIRA and RAW events and irreversible Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 4.0 and 6.0 in a cohort of naïve patients treated with natalizumab or ocrelizumab from the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Register. Methods Patients with a first visit within 1 year from onset, treated with natalizumab or ocrelizumab, and ≥3 visits were extracted. Pairwise propensity score‐matched analyses were performed. Risk of reaching the first PIRA, RAW, and EDSS 4.0 and 6.0 events were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to show cumulative probabilities of reaching outcomes. Results In total, 770 subjects were included (natalizumab = 568; ocrelizumab = 212) and the propensity score‐matching retrieved 195 pairs. No RAW events were found in natalizumab group and only 1 was reported in ocrelizumab group. A first PIRA event was reached by 23 natalizumab and 25 ocrelizumab exposed patients; 7 natalizumab‐ and 10 ocrelizumab‐treated patients obtained an irreversible EDSS 4.0, while 13 natalizumab‐ and 15 ocrelizumab‐treated patients reached an irreversible EDSS 6.0. No differences between the two groups were found in the risk (HR, 95%CI) of reaching a first PIRA (1.04, 0.59–1.84; p = 0.88) event, an irreversible EDSS 4.0 (1.23, 0.57–2.66; p = 0.60) and 6.0 (0.93, 0.32–2.68; p = 0.89). Interpretation Both medications strongly suppress RAW events and, in the short term, the risk of achieving PIRA events, EDSS 4.0 and 6.0 milestones is not significantly different.

Immunosuppressive agents (ISA) have been used in multiple sclerosis (MS) for decades, frequently as off label licensed therapies. Given the new MS treatment landscape, what place do ISA have in combating MS? We conducted a retrospective multicentre study to investigate the frequency of ISA prescription in 17 Italian MS centres, and to describe the clinical factors related to ISA use. Out of 6,447 MS patients, 2,034 (31.6%) were treated with ISA, with Azathioprine being the most frequently used ISA overall. MS patients treated with ISA alone were more frequently affected by the progressive course (both primary and secondary) of the disease (RRR 5.82, 95% CI 4.14-8.16, p<0.0001), had higher EDSS (RRR 3.69, 95% CI 2.61-5.21, p<0.0001), higher assignment age (RRR 1.04, 95% CI 1.03-1.06, p<0.0001) than patients treated with only disease modifying drugs (DMDs). Progressive course, higher EDSS, higher assignment age were the strongest predictors of ISA prescription and use in our population.

The aim of the study was to estimate the rate of conversion from clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) to multiple sclerosis (MS) and to investigate variables predicting conversion in a cohort of patients presenting with symptoms suggestive of MS. Patients with a first symptom suggestive of MS in the preceding 6 months and exclusion of other diseases were enrolled in an observational prospective study from December 2004 through June 2007. Conversion from CIS to MS according to both McDonald and Clinically Defined Multiple Sclerosis (CDMS) criteria was prospectively recorded until March 2010. The multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the best predictive factors of conversion from CIS to MS. Among 168 patients included in the analysis, 122 converted to MS according to McDonald criteria whereas 81 converted to MS according to CDMS criteria. The 2-year probability of conversion was 57 % for McDonald Criteria and 36 % for CDMS criteria. Variables at enrolment significantly associated with conversion according to McDonald criteria were age and positivity for Barkhof criteria, and according to Poser’s CDMS criteria, age, positivity for Barkhof criteria and no disease modifying therapy. In this large prospective cohort study the conversion rate from CIS to MS in patients presenting with recent symptoms suggestive of MS was within the range of previous observational studies and lower than that reported in the placebo arm of randomized trials. We confirm the prognostic value of MRI in addition to the previous experimental data on the protective role of disease-modifying therapies.