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"Green, P."
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The contact hypothesis re-evaluated
This paper evaluates the state of contact hypothesis research from a policy perspective. Building on Pettigrew and Tropp's (2006) influential meta-analysis, we assemble all intergroup contact studies that feature random assignment and delayed outcome measures, of which there are 27 in total, nearly two-thirds of which were published following the original review. We find the evidence from this updated dataset to be consistent with Pettigrew and Tropp's (2006) conclusion that contact “typically reduces prejudice.” At the same time, our meta-analysis suggests that contact's effects vary, with interventions directed at ethnic or racial prejudice generating substantially weaker effects. Moreover, our inventory of relevant studies reveals important gaps, most notably the absence of studies addressing adults' racial or ethnic prejudices, an important limitation for both theory and policy. We also call attention to the lack of research that systematically investigates the scope conditions suggested by Allport (1954) under which contact is most influential. We conclude that these gaps in contact research must be addressed empirically before this hypothesis can reliably guide policy.
Journal Article
Is Voting Habit Forming? New Evidence from Experiments and Regression Discontinuities
Field experiments and regression discontinuity designs test whether voting is habit forming by examining whether a random shock to turnout in one election affects participation in subsequent elections. We contribute to this literature by offering a vast amount of new statistical evidence on the long-term consequences of random and quasi-random inducements to vote. The behavior of millions of voters confirms the persistence of voter turnout and calls attention to theoretically meaningful nuances in the development and expression of voting habits. We suggest that individuals become habituated to voting in particular types of elections. The degree of persistence appears to vary by electoral context and by the attributes of those who comply with an initial inducement to vote.
Journal Article
Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity
Protecting the world’s freshwater resources requires diagnosing threats over a broad range of scales, from global to local. Here we present the first worldwide synthesis to jointly consider human and biodiversity perspectives on water security using a spatial framework that quantifies multiple stressors and accounts for downstream impacts. We find that nearly 80% of the world’s population is exposed to high levels of threat to water security. Massive investment in water technology enables rich nations to offset high stressor levels without remedying their underlying causes, whereas less wealthy nations remain vulnerable. A similar lack of precautionary investment jeopardizes biodiversity, with habitats associated with 65% of continental discharge classified as moderately to highly threatened. The cumulative threat framework offers a tool for prioritizing policy and management responses to this crisis, and underscores the necessity of limiting threats at their source instead of through costly remediation of symptoms in order to assure global water security for both humans and freshwater biodiversity.
Dual threat to river biodiversity and water security
Access to fresh water is essential for all life forms, but water security for humans and biodiversity are often seen as competing priorities. A new analysis of the threats to the world's rivers breaks new ground by accounting for a broad array of stressors and their downstream effects, from both human and biodiversity perspectives. A subsequent analysis of investments in water resources offers insights into the sources of global disparities in human water security that separate rich from poor. The authors conclude that rivers are in a state of crisis, and that nearly 80% of humanity lives in areas where threat levels are relatively high. River-dwelling species face similarly great challenges around the world. Achieving a sustainable solution to these problems, the authors say, will require creative solutions that jointly address water security for humans and biodiversity, and that treat underlying causes rather than merely symptoms.
Water security affects human wellbeing both directly and indirectly, through its effects on biodiversity. Here, a global map has been generated that shows threats to both direct and indirect water security from a full range of potential stressors. Technological investments have also been incorporated. The map shows that nearly 80% of the world's population is exposed to high levels of threat to water security. Investment enables rich nations to offset high stressor levels, but less wealthy nations remain vulnerable.
Journal Article
Bayesian and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for identifying nonlinear systems in the presence of uncertainty
In this paper, the authors outline the general principles behind an approach to Bayesian system identification and highlight the benefits of adopting a Bayesian framework when attempting to identify models of nonlinear dynamical systems in the presence of uncertainty. It is then described how, through a summary of some key algorithms, many of the potential difficulties associated with a Bayesian approach can be overcome through the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. The paper concludes with a case study, where an MCMC algorithm is used to facilitate the Bayesian system identification of a nonlinear dynamical system from experimentally observed acceleration time histories.
Journal Article
PACAP activates MRGPRX2 on meningeal mast cells to drive migraine-like pain
Migraine ranks among the most prevalent disorders worldwide, leading to disability and decreased quality of life in patients. Recently, neurogenic inflammation has been recognized as a potential underlying pathology contributing to the migraine pain pathway. Mast cells reside in the meninges and have been implicated in contributing to the pathophysiology of migraine. Here we report for the first time that the mouse Mas-Related G-protein-coupled Receptor B2 (MrgprB2), is expressed on meningeal connective tissue mast cells and contributes to Pituitary Adenylate Cyclase Activating Peptide (PACAP)-induced migraine-like pain behavior. We also found that PACAP was able to dose-dependently lead to enzyme release from human mast cells via activation of MRGPRX2; the human homolog of MrgprB2. Using a transgenic MRGPRX2 mouse, we observed significant increases in PACAP-induced migraine-like pain behavior in MRGPRX2
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mice vs mice lacking the receptor. These results reveal both MrgprB2 and MRGPRX2 as important contributors to neuropeptide-induced migraine pain.
Journal Article