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"Guo, Zhun"
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Emergent constraints on future projections of the western North Pacific Subtropical High
2020
The western North Pacific Subtropical High (WNPSH) is a key circulation system controlling the summer monsoon and typhoon activities over the western Pacific, but future projections of its changes remain hugely uncertain. Here we find two leading modes that account for nearly 80% intermodel spread in its future projection under a high emission scenario. They are linked to a cold-tongue-like bias in the central-eastern tropical Pacific and a warm bias beneath the marine stratocumulus, respectively. Observational constraints using sea surface temperature patterns reduce the uncertainties by 45% and indicate a robust intensification of the WNPSH due to suppressed warming in the western Pacific and enhanced land-sea thermal contrast, leading to 28% more rainfall projected in East China and 36% less rainfall in Southeast Asia than suggested by the multi-model mean. The intensification of the WNPSH implies more future monsoon rainfall and heatwaves but less typhoon landfalls over East Asia.
Model biases and internal variability are a cause for uncertainties in climate projections. Here, the authors show that 45% of projected uncertainty in the western Pacific Subtropical High can be reduced by correcting sea surface temperature biases in the equatorial Pacific and beneath marine stratocumulus clouds.
Journal Article
The diurnal cycle of East Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by the Met Office Unified Model at convection-permitting scales
by
Chan, Xiao
,
Chen, Haoming
,
Guo Zhun
in
Atmospheric precipitations
,
Computer simulation
,
Convection
2020
A limited area convection permitting model (CPM) based on the Met Office Unified Model, with a 0.04° (4.4 km) horizontal grid spacing, is used to simulate an entire warm-season of the East Asian monsoon (from April to September 2009). The simulations are compared to rain gauge observations, reanalysis and to a lower resolution regional model with a 0.12° (13.2 km) grid spacing that has a parametrization of subgrid-scale convective clouds and precipitation. The 13.2 km simulation underestimates precipitation intensity, produces rainfall too frequently, and shows evident biases in reproducing the diurnal cycle of precipitation and low-level wind fields. In comparison, the CPM shows significant improvements in the spatial distribution of precipitation intensity, although it overestimates the intensity magnitude and has a wet bias over central eastern China. The diurnal cycle of precipitation over Mei-yu region, southern China and the eastern periphery of the Tibetan Plateau, as well as the diurnal cycle of low-level winds over both the Mei-yu region and southern China are better simulated by the CPM. Over the Mei-yu region, in both simulations and observations, the local atmospheric instability in the afternoon is favorable for upward motion and rainfall. The CPM receives more sensible heat flux from the surface, has a stronger upward motion, and overestimates water vapor convergence based on moisture budget diagnosis. All these processes help explain the excessive late afternoon rainfall over the Mei-yu region in the CPM simulation.
Journal Article
Different Impacts of Northern, Tropical, and Southern Volcanic Eruptions on the Tropical Pacific SST in the Last Millennium
by
Man, Wenmin
,
Zhou, Tianjun
,
Zuo, Meng
in
Atmospheric sciences
,
Climate change
,
Computer simulation
2018
The impact of northern, tropical, and southern volcanic eruptions on the Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) and the different response mechanisms arising due to differences in the volcanic forcing structure are investigated using the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble (CESM-LME). Analysis of the simulations indicates that the Pacific features a significant El Niño–like SST anomaly 5–10 months after northern and tropical eruptions, and with a weaker such tendency after southern eruptions, possibly reflective of the weaker magnitude of these eruptions. The Niño-3 index peaks with a lag of one and a half years after northern and tropical eruptions. Two years after all three types of volcanic eruptions, a La Niña–like SST anomaly pattern over the equatorial Pacific is observed, which seems to form an El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. The westerly wind anomaly over the western to central Pacific plays an essential role in favoring the development of an El Niño following all three types of eruptions. Thus, the key point of the question is to find the causes of the westerly wind enhancement. The shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) can explain the El Niño–like response to northern eruptions, which is not applicable for tropical or southern eruptions. The ocean dynamical thermostat mechanism is the fundamental cause of the anomalous westerly wind for all three types of eruptions.
Journal Article
Northward Extension of East Asian Summer Monsoon Since the Miocene Set by the Uplift of Tibetan Plateau
2024
The modern East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) features an extension from tropical to subtropical areas. However, the fundamental process that determines the northward extension of EASM in the geological history remains unclear. Here, we showed evidence from proxy data, climate modeling, and theoretical solutions that the northward extension of EASM to today's boundary emerged no later than the Miocene. The extension was driven by the monsoon seasonal march which features stepwise northward rainfall stages. The seasonal progression of monsoon was determined by Rossby wave responses from early summer to late summer and caused by the weakening of westerly jet colliding with the Tibetan Plateau (TP). The Rossby wave responses further led to a northward migration of the western Pacific subtropical high and thereby monsoon precipitation. Our findings propose a novel physical linkage between the geological evolution of EASM and the TP uplift in the context of monsoon seasonal march. Plain Language Summary The seasonal march of the modern East Asian summer monsoon, characterized as stepwise northward rainfall stages, is one unique feature and the most fundamental process of northward extension of East Asian summer monsoon. However, its geological history and controlling processes remain unknown. Here, we found that the seasonal progression of the monsoon emerged no later than the Miocene and was driven by the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau. The emergence of the seasonality has pushed the East Asian summer monsoon northward to today's boundary. Our results provide an essential understanding of the northward extension of the East Asian monsoon climate in geological history, highlighting the role of monsoon seasonal march. Key Points A novel physical linkage established between the East Asian monsoon climate and Tibetan Plateau uplift on the geological scale Orographic forcing of the uplift of Tibetan Plateau determined the emergence of monsoon seasonal march The seasonal progression of the monsoon advanced further inland to the present boundary
Journal Article
Contribution of Mesoscale Convective Systems to Floods in the East Asian Summer Monsoon Region
2024
The quantitative relationship between Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) and floods over East Asia has not been established. In this study, MCSs are clustered into four types with Self‐Organizing Map approach. Floods in June‐August of 2000–2021 are linked with different types of MCS by automated algorithms we constructed. We find that among the major floods (potential flood peak periods), 91% (87%) are related to MCS, 65% (78%) are dominated by MCS, and 38% (20%) are dominated by multi‐types of MCS. Types 1 and 2 MCS have higher flood‐inducing efficiencies than common MCS (Type‐4). Type‐1 MCS, characterized by the least number (2% of the total number), the largest precipitation volume, longest lifetime, slowest moving, strongest precipitation, can most efficiently produce floods. Type‐2 MCS, characterized by the second largest precipitation volume, more numerous than Type‐1 particularly over land, can induce floods not only relatively efficiently but also more frequently than Type‐1. Plain Language Summary Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS) can cause large flood events but how they work in East Asia at climatic scale remains unexplored. In this study, we tracked MCS over the time period of 2000–2021 and grouped them into four types using the Self‐Organizing Map approach. We connected summer floods with the four types of MCS using automated algorithms. We found that most large flood events and potential flood peak periods are dominated by MCS. Type‐1 MCS, which features large land‐rain area, longest lifetime, slowest movement and strongest precipitation, is most efficient in inducing floods. A Longer lifetime not only contributes to greater total precipitation volume but also increases the overlap area, thereby enhancing the precipitation volume per area. The slow movement further increases the overlap area. The high overlap area helps reduce the proportion of precipitation absorbed by the soil. Type‐2 MCS, which features with the second largest precipitation volume, occurs more frequently than Type‐1 especially over land, and can cause floods more frequently than Type‐1. These findings can enhance our understanding of flood formation over East Asia. Key Points Among the major floods (potential flood peak periods) occurred in 2000–2021 summer, 91% (87%) are related to Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS), and 66% (78%) are dominated by MCS Type‐1 MCS is the most efficient among the four types in causing floods for its strongest precipitation rate, longest lifetime and slowest movement Long lifetime and slow movement increase the overlap area, boosting precipitation per area and reducing the proportion of rainfall absorbed by soil
Journal Article
TLINet: A defects detection method for insulators of overhead transmission lines using partially transformer block
2025
The defects of insulators exhibit characteristics such as complex backgrounds, multi-scale variations, and small object sizes. Therefore, accurately focusing on these defects in dynamic and complex natural environments while maintaining inference speed remains a pressing challenge. To address this issue, this paper proposes an innovative insulator defect detection network, TLINet. First, a Multi-Branch Partially Transformer Block (MBPTB) is designed to enhance the backbone’s capability in capturing global features. Next, a Dynamic Downsampling Module (DyDown) is introduced to mitigate the issue of small-scale defect information blurring. Furthermore, considering the multi-scale variations of insulator defects, this paper proposes a Context-Guided Feature Fusion Network (CGFFN). This module enables fine-grained fusion of features at different scales, allowing the model to generate adaptive responses to defects of various sizes. Compared to the baseline model, the proposed method improves mAP50 by 5.3% on our self-constructed Insulator-DET dataset. On CPLID-D and CPLID-N, it achieves mAP50-95 improvements of 7.9% and 12.1%, respectively. Additionally, to verify the robustness of the proposed algorithm, TLINet is evaluated on the VOC07 + 12 dataset. Compared to the baseline model, TLINet improves mAP50 by 0.4% while reducing the number of parameters by 1/6. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of TLINet in addressing the complexities of insulator defect detection in power transmission lines. The code is available at https://github.com/mazilishang/TLINet .
Journal Article
Fast and Slow Responses of Atmospheric Energy Budgets to Perturbed Cloud and Convection Processes in an Atmospheric Global Climate Model
by
Zhou, Tianjun
,
Qian, Yun
,
Zhang, Yaocun
in
atmospheric energy and precipitation
,
Atmospheric models
,
Budgets
2023
Cloud and convection strongly modulate atmospheric energy budgets, but the latter's responses often vary across timescales because of complex interactions between fast and slow processes. Here, based on atmospheric model simulations at intermediate state between weather and climate timescales, we investigate how the responses in the global‐mean atmospheric energy budgets evolve over time after simultaneously perturbing various cloud‐scale processes. We find that the responses in radiative and sensible heat fluxes converge much more rapidly compared to condensation heat associated with precipitation, which is attributed to the compensating feedback effects of precipitation on longwave cooling and shortwave heating. Because of energy conservation, uncertainty in long‐term precipitation simulations can be substantially reduced by constraining the fast processes of radiative and sensible heat fluxes. These findings can help economize on computational resources required for model tuning and serve as a crucial link between the convective‐scale and equilibrium‐state outcomes within the model. Plain Language Summary Cloud and convection occurring on short timescales can interact with processes that require much longer time to respond to small perturbations in the climate system, making it extremely difficult to understand the sources of uncertainty in climate modeling. Here, with an atmospheric model, we investigate how the simulated global‐mean atmospheric energy budgets gradually evolve over time when various cloud‐scale processes are simultaneously perturbed. We find that the responses in radiative and sensible heat fluxes converge much more rapidly compared to condensation heat associated with precipitation. As a result, a substantial reduction in uncertainty regarding long‐term precipitation simulations can be achieved by constraining the radiative and sensible heat fluxes at shorter timescales, in accordance with energy conservation principles. Our results can help modelers economize on computational resources required for model tuning and serve as a crucial link between the model physics parameterization community and the model application community. Key Points The responses in radiative and sensible heat fluxes converge much more rapidly compared to precipitation The rapid radiative response is attributed to the compensating feedback effects of precipitation on longwave cooling and shortwave heating Constraining the fast processes of radiative and sensible heat fluxes can alleviate uncertainty in long‐term precipitation simulations
Journal Article
GURLKNet gated unified reparameterized large kernel network for insulator defect detection
2025
With the continuous advancement of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and computer vision technologies, UAV-based insulator defect detection has become a crucial approach to ensuring the safety of power systems. However, this task still faces multiple challenges, such as scale imbalance, blurred edges, and complex backgrounds. To address these issues, this paper proposes a Gated Unified Reparameterized Large Kernel Network (GURLKNet) to enhance insulator defect detection performance. Specifically, a Gated Unified Reparameterized Large Kernel Module (GUR-LKM) is designed to suppress redundant channels through a gating mechanism and introduce partial depthwise convolution structures, which significantly expand the receptive field. Furthermore, an Edge-Guided Feature Stem (EGFStem) is constructed by integrating the Sobel edge operator with a texture-guided mechanism to strengthen shallow features’ perception of structural boundaries. In addition, a Context-Interactive Fusion Network (CIFNet) is introduced, employing a multi-scale attention-guided strategy to alleviate semantic inconsistency and improve the semantic expression and localization accuracy of feature fusion. The experimental results on several insulator defect datasets show that the proposed method demonstrates strong overall accuracy while maintaining low computational cost, and outperforms mainstream object detection models on most evaluation metrics. Compared to the baseline model, GURLKNet achieves a mAP50 improvement of 3.5% on the Insulator-DET dataset and 0.9% on the IDID dataset. This study provides an efficient and reliable solution for intelligent insulator inspection, promoting the engineering application and deployment of object detection technology in low-altitude power system sensing.
Journal Article
Research Progress on Intrinsically Conductive Polymers and Conductive Polymer-Based Composites for Electromagnetic Shielding
by
Zhang, Huimin
,
Zhao, Yuzhen
,
Lang, Tingting
in
conductive polymer-based composites
,
Copper
,
Electric fields
2023
Electromagnetic shielding materials are special materials that can effectively absorb and shield electromagnetic waves and protect electronic devices and electronic circuits from interference and damage by electromagnetic radiation. This paper presents the research progress of intrinsically conductive polymer materials and conductive polymer-based composites for electromagnetic shielding as well as an introduction to lightweight polymer composites with multicomponent systems. These materials have excellent electromagnetic interference shielding properties and have the advantages of electromagnetic wave absorption and higher electromagnetic shielding effectiveness compared with conventional electromagnetic shielding materials, but these materials still have their own shortcomings. Finally, the paper also discusses the future opportunities and challenges of intrinsically conductive polymers and composites containing a conductive polymer matrix for electromagnetic shielding applications.
Journal Article
Enhanced “Wind‐Evaporation Effect” Drove the “Deep‐Tropical Contraction” in the Early Eocene
2024
The equatorward contraction of tropical precipitation, commonly referred to as the “deep‐tropical contraction”, is witnessed in the paleoclimate simulations of the early Eocene. However, the mechanism driving this contraction is still unclear. Based on the energetics framework of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and the decomposition method of the latent heat flux along with the simulations of a climate system model, CESM1.2, we proposed a novel mechanism responsible for the “deep‐tropical contraction” in the early Eocene. The greenhouse gases‐induced sea surface warming amplifies the sensitivity of evaporation to surface wind speed changes through Clausius‐Clapeyron scaling, leading to an interhemispheric asymmetric enhancement of the latent heat flux. To maintain hemispheric energy balance, the cross‐equatorial atmospheric energy transport must be reduced during the solstice seasons. As a result, the solstitial location of the ITCZ shifts equatorward, causing the “deep‐tropical contraction” in the early Eocene. Plain Language Summary The early Eocene is the warmest epoch in the last 65 million years, with a global mean temperature 9°C–23°C higher than the preindustrial period. According to state‐of‐the‐art climate models, the tropical rainfall contracted toward the equator during this extremely warm period. However, the physical mechanism causing this phenomenon remains unclear. In this study, we examined the hemispheric energy balance in the early Eocene that causes the equatorward contraction of tropical precipitation. A novel mechanism underlying this phenomenon is revealed. Based on the climate modeling of CESM1.2, we show that the GHG‐induced warmth enhances the sensitivity of evaporation to surface wind speed changes in the early Eocene. Thus, the stronger tropical trade wind in the winter hemisphere will drive out stronger latent heat flux than in the summer hemisphere. This interhemispheric asymmetric response reduces the interhemispheric heating contrast in the solstice seasons. As a result, the ascending motion in the tropical atmosphere migrates toward the equator, finally decreases the width of tropical precipitation in the early Eocene. Key Points The “deep tropical contraction” in the early Eocene is caused by the equatorward migration of the seasonal ITCZ The equatorward migration of the solstitial ITCZ location in the early Eocene is due to decreased cross‐equatorial energy transport The enhanced wind‐evaporation effect in the early Eocene reduces the cross‐equatorial atmospheric energy transport in the solstitial seasons
Journal Article