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"Guo Zizheng"
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Landslide Susceptibility Prediction Based on Remote Sensing Images and GIS: Comparisons of Supervised and Unsupervised Machine Learning Models
2020
Landslide susceptibility prediction (LSP) has been widely and effectively implemented by machine learning (ML) models based on remote sensing (RS) images and Geographic Information System (GIS). However, comparisons of the applications of ML models for LSP from the perspectives of supervised machine learning (SML) and unsupervised machine learning (USML) have not been explored. Hence, this study aims to compare the LSP performance of these SML and USML models, thus further to explore the advantages and disadvantages of these ML models and to realize a more accurate and reliable LSP result. Two representative SML models (support vector machine (SVM) and CHi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection (CHAID)) and two representative USML models (K-means and Kohonen models) are respectively used to scientifically predict the landslide susceptibility indexes, and then these prediction results are discussed. Ningdu County with 446 recorded landslides obtained through field investigations is introduced as case study. A total of 12 conditioning factors are obtained through procession of Landsat TM 8 images and high-resolution aerial images, topographical and hydrological spatial analysis of Digital Elevation Modeling in GIS software, and government reports. The area value under the curve of receiver operating features (AUC) is applied for evaluating the prediction accuracy of SML models, and the frequency ratio (FR) accuracy is then introduced to compare the remarkable prediction performance differences between SML and USML models. Overall, the receiver operation curve (ROC) results show that the AUC of the SVM is 0.892 and is slightly greater than the AUC of the CHAID model (0.872). The FR accuracy results show that the SVM model has the highest accuracy for LSP (77.80%), followed by the CHAID model (74.50%), the Kohonen model (72.8%) and the K-means model (69.7%), which indicates that the SML models can reach considerably better prediction capability than the USML models. It can be concluded that selecting recorded landslides as prior knowledge to train and test the LSP models is the key reason for the higher prediction accuracy of the SML models, while the lack of a priori knowledge and target guidance is an important reason for the low LSP accuracy of the USML models. Nevertheless, the USML models can also be used to implement LSP due to their advantages of efficient modeling processes, dimensionality reduction and strong scalability.
Journal Article
Landslide susceptibility prediction based on a semi-supervised multiple-layer perceptron model
by
Cao Zhongshan
,
Zhou Chuangbing
,
Huang, Jinsong
in
Cluster analysis
,
Clustering
,
Environmental factors
2020
Conventional supervised and unsupervised machine learning models used for landslide susceptibility prediction (LSP) have many drawbacks, such as an insufficient number of recorded landslide samples, and the subjective and random selection of non-landslide samples. To overcome these drawbacks, a semi-supervised multiple-layer perceptron (SSMLP) is innovatively proposed with several processes: (1) an initial landslide susceptibility map (LSM) is produced using the multiple-layer perceptron (MLP) based on the original recorded landslide samples and related environmental factors; (2) the initial LSM is respectively classified into five areas with very high, high, moderate, low and very low susceptible levels; (3) some reasonable grid units from the areas with very high susceptible level are selected as new landslide samples to expand the original landslide samples; (4) reasonable non-landslide samples are selected from the areas with very low susceptible level; and (5) the expanded landslide samples, reasonable selected non-landslide samples and related environmental factors are put into the MLP once again to predict the final LSM. The Xunwu County of Jiangxi Province in China is selected as the study area. Conventional supervised machine learning (i.e. MLP) and unsupervised machine learning (i.e. K-means clustering model) are selected for comparisons. The comparative results indicate that the SSMLP model has a considerably higher LSP performance than the MLP and K-means clustering in Xunwu County. The SSMLP model successfully addresses the drawbacks existed in the conventional machine learning for LSP.
Journal Article
The Effect of Time Window Length on EEG-Based Emotion Recognition
by
Ouyang, Delin
,
Li, Guofa
,
Guo, Zizheng
in
Brain research
,
brain–computer interaction
,
Data processing
2022
Various lengths of time window have been used in feature extraction for electroencephalogram (EEG) signal processing in previous studies. However, the effect of time window length on feature extraction for the downstream tasks such as emotion recognition has not been well examined. To this end, we investigate the effect of different time window (TW) lengths on human emotion recognition to find the optimal TW length for extracting electroencephalogram (EEG) emotion signals. Both power spectral density (PSD) features and differential entropy (DE) features are used to evaluate the effectiveness of different TW lengths based on the SJTU emotion EEG dataset (SEED). Different lengths of TW are then processed with an EEG feature-processing approach, namely experiment-level batch normalization (ELBN). The processed features are used to perform emotion recognition tasks in the six classifiers, the results of which are then compared with the results without ELBN. The recognition accuracies indicate that a 2-s TW length has the best performance on emotion recognition and is the most suitable to be used in EEG feature extraction for emotion recognition. The deployment of ELBN in the 2-s TW can further improve the emotion recognition performances by 21.63% and 5.04% when using an SVM based on PSD and DE features, respectively. These results provide a solid reference for the selection of TW length in analyzing EEG signals for applications in intelligent systems.
Journal Article
Tempo-Spatial Landslide Susceptibility Assessment from the Perspective of Human Engineering Activity
2023
The expansion of mountainous urban areas and road networks can influence the terrain, vegetation, and material characteristics, thereby altering the susceptibility of landslides. Understanding the relationship between human engineering activities and landslide occurrence is of great significance for both landslide prevention and land resource management. In this study, an analysis was conducted on the landslide caused by Typhoon Megi in 2016. A representative mountainous area along the eastern coast of China—characterized by urban development, deforestation, and severe road expansion—was used to analyze the spatial distribution of landslides. For this purpose, high-precision Planet optical remote sensing images were used to obtain the landslide inventory related to the Typhoon Megi event. The main innovative features are as follows: (i) the newly developed patch generating land-use simulation (PLUS) model simulated and analyzed the driving factors of land-use land-cover (LULC) from 2010 to 2060; (ii) the innovative stacking strategy combined three strong ensemble models—Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM)—to calculate the distribution of landslide susceptibility; and (iii) distance from road and LULC maps were used as short-term and long-term dynamic factors to examine the impact of human engineering activities on landslide susceptibility. The results show that the maximum expansion area of built-up land from 2010 to 2020 was 13.433 km2, mainly expanding forest land and cropland land, with areas of 8.28 km2 and 5.99 km2, respectively. The predicted LULC map for 2060 shows a growth of 45.88 km2 in the built-up land, mainly distributed around government residences in areas with relatively flat terrain and frequent socio-economic activities. The factor contribution shows that distance from road has a higher impact than LULC. The Stacking RF-XGB-LGBM model obtained the optimal AUC value of 0.915 in the landslide susceptibility analysis in 2016. Furthermore, future road network and urban expansion have intensified the probability of landslides occurring in urban areas in 2015. To our knowledge, this is the first application of the PLUS and Stacking RF-XGB-LGBM models in landslide susceptibility analysis in international literature. The research results can serve as a foundation for developing land management guidelines to reduce the risk of landslide failures.
Journal Article
Landslide displacement prediction based on variational mode decomposition and WA-GWO-BP model
2020
Many models have been widely used in landslide displacement prediction. However, few studies have proposed quantitative prediction formulas. Thus, the variational mode decomposition (VMD) theory was applied to decompose the “step-like” displacement of landslides into trend displacement, periodic displacement, and random displacement. Then, a novel prediction model based on wavelet analysis (WA) and a back-propagation neural network (BPNN) optimized by the grey wolf optimizer (GWO) algorithm was proposed (the GWO-BP model) to obtain a prediction formula. In this model, a polynomial function was first used to predict the trend displacement. All the hidden periods of periodic displacement were calculated using the WA method, and a trigonometric function was applied to predict the periodic displacement. In addition, based on an analysis of the grey relational degree (GRD), the main triggering factors, which can affect the random displacement, were determined. Then, the mathematical connection between random displacement and triggering factors was obtained with the GWO-BP model. Finally, all the predicted values were superposed to achieve the prediction cumulative displacement based on the time series model. The Outang landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area, China, was taken as an example, and the displacement data of monitoring sites MJ01 and MJ02 from December 2010 to December 2016 were selected for analysis. The results indicated that the root mean square errors (RMSE) between the real displacement values and the prediction values obtained using the formula were 14.79 mm and 12.59 mm, respectively. The correlation coefficient R values were 0.99 and 0.93, respectively. This model can be used to obtain the landslide displacement formula and provide a solid basis for developing early warning systems for landslides.
Journal Article
The influence of land use and land cover change on landslide susceptibility: a case study in Zhushan Town, Xuan'en County (Hubei, China)
by
Shrestha, Dhruba Pikha
,
Guo, Zizheng
,
Yin, Kunlong
in
Aerial photographs
,
Aerial photography
,
Aerial surveys
2019
Land use and land cover change can increase or decrease landslide susceptibility (LS) in the mountainous areas. In the hilly and mountainous part of southwestern China, land use and land cover change (LUCC) has taken place in the last decades due to infrastructure development and rapid economic activities. This development and activities can worsen the slope susceptible to sliding due to mostly the cutting of slopes. This study, taking Zhushan Town, Xuan'en County, as the study area, aims to evaluate the influence of land use and land cover change on landslide susceptibility at a regional scale. Spatial distribution of landslides was determined in terms of visual interpretation of aerial photographs and remote sensing images, supported by field surveys. Two types of land use and land cover (LUC) maps, with a time interval covering 21 years (1992–2013), were prepared: the first was obtained by the neural net classification of images acquired in 1992 and the second by the object-oriented classification of images in 2002 and 2013. Landslide-susceptible areas were analyzed using the logistic regression model (LRM) in which six influencing factors were chosen as the landslide susceptibility indices. In addition, the hydrologic analysis method was applied to optimize the partitioning of the terrain. The results indicated that the LUCC in the region was mainly the transformation from the grassland and arable land to the forest land, which is increased by 34.3 %. An increase of 1.9 % is shown in the area where human engineering activities concentrate. The comparison of landslide susceptibility maps among different periods revealed that human engineering activities were the most important factor in increasing LS in this region. Such results emphasize the requirement of a reasonable land use planning activity process.
Journal Article
The impairing effects of mental fatigue on response inhibition: An ERP study
2018
Mental fatigue is one of the main reasons for the decline of response inhibition. This study aimed to explore the impairing influence of mental fatigue on a driver's response inhibition. The effects of mental fatigue on response inhibition were assessed by comparing brain activity and behavioral indices when performing a Go/NoGo task before and after a 90-min fatigue manipulation task. Participants in the driving group performed a simulated driving task, while individuals in the control group spent the same time watching movies. We found that participants in the driving group reported higher levels of mental fatigue and had a higher percentage of eye closure and larger lateral deviations from their lane positions, which indicated there was effective manipulation of mental fatigue through a prolonged simulated driving task. After manipulation of mental fatigue, we observed increased reaction time and miss rates, delayed NoGo-N2 latency and Go-P3 latency, and decreased NoGo-P3 amplitude, which indicated that mental fatigue may slow down the speed of the inhibition process, delay the evaluation of visual stimuli and reduce the availability of attentional resources. These findings revealed the underlying neurological mechanisms of how mental fatigue impaired response inhibition.
Journal Article
Landslide hazard assessment of rainfall-induced landslide based on the CF-SINMAP model: a case study from Wuling Mountain in Hunan Province, China
2021
The traditional Stability INdex MAPping (SINMAP) model does not perform detailed divisions of study areas and neglects differences caused by the asymmetrical spatial distribution of geotechnical parameters; thus, the accuracy of the evaluation results is insufficient. In this study, the evaluation results of the SINMAP model were improved based on a combination with the certainty factor (CF) model, and the proposed method is referred to as the CF-SINMAP model. The Wuling Mountain area in Cili County of Hunan Province (China) was selected to verify the CF-SINMAP model. First, eight geological environmental factors in the region were analyzed by the CF method, including the slope, distance from fault, slope direction, distance from water, rock and soil type, elevation, distance from road and vegetation coverage. The rock and soil type, vegetation coverage and human engineering activities were determined as the key factors underlying landslide hazards. Then, the study area was divided into six regions based on the key factors, and the physical and mechanical parameters of each region were refined by the natural environment, formation lithology and human activities. Finally, the CF-SINMAP model was used to calculate and analyze the landslide hazard assessment results under different rainfall conditions. The results show that the CF-SINMAP model is more sensitive to rainfall compared with the traditional method and the unstable areas are mainly distributed along river valleys, reservoir banks and areas with continual human engineering activities. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve values was 0.75 and 0.61 for the CF-SINMAP and SINMAP models, respectively. Compared with the traditional SINMAP model, the CF-SINMAP model produces more reliable results. The rainfall threshold that induced the landslide disaster in Cili County, Hunan Province, was 90 mm/d. In summary, the CF-SINMAP model provides new ideas for the prediction of regional rainfall-induced landslides.
Journal Article
Groundwater level prediction based on a combined intelligence method for the Sifangbei landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area
2022
The monitoring and prediction of the groundwater level (GWL) significantly influence the landslide kinematics. Based on the long-term fluctuation characteristics of the GWL and the time lag of triggering factors, a dynamic prediction model of the GWL based on the Maximum information coefficient (MIC) algorithm and the long-term short-term memory (LSTM) model was proposed. The Sifangbei landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area (TGRA) in China, wherein eight GWL monitoring sensors were installed in different locations, was taken as a case study. The monitoring data represented that the fluctuation of the GWL has a specific time lag concerning the accumulated rainfall (AR) and the reservoir water level (RWL). In addition, there were spatial differences in the fluctuation of the GWL, which was controlled by the elevation and the micro landform. From January 19, 2015, to March 6, 2017, the measured data were used to set up the predicted models. The MIC algorithm was adopted to calculate the lag time of the GWL, the RWL, and the AR. The LSTM model is a time series prediction algorithm that can transmit historical information. The Gray wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm was used to seek the most suitable hyperparameter of the LSTM model under the specific prediction conditions. The single-factor GWO-LSTM model without considering triggering factors and the support vector machine regression (SVR) model were considered to compare the prediction results. The results indicate that the MIC-GWO-LSTM model reached the highest accuracy and improved the prediction accuracy by considering the factor selection process with the learner training process. The proposed MIC-GWO-LSTM model combines the advantages of each algorithm and effectively constructs the response relationship between the GWL fluctuation and triggering factors; it also provides a new exploration for the GWL prediction, monitoring, and early warning system in the TGRA.
Journal Article
The Impairing Effect of Mental Fatigue on Visual Sustained Attention under Monotonous Multi-Object Visual Attention Task in Long Durations: An Event-Related Potential Based Study
by
Wu, Jianhui
,
Guo, Zizheng
,
Chen, Ruiya
in
Accuracy
,
Attention task
,
Biology and Life Sciences
2016
The impairing effects of mental fatigue on visual sustained attention were assessed by event-related potentials (ERPs). Subjects performed a dual visual task, which includes a continuous tracking task (primary task) and a random signal detection task (secondary task), for 63 minutes nonstop in order to elicit ERPs. In this period, the data such as subjective levels of mental fatigue, behavioral performance measures, and electroencephalograms were recorded for each subject. Comparing data from the first interval (0-25 min) to that of the second, the following phenomena were observed: the subjective fatigue ratings increased with time, which indicates that performing the tasks leads to increase in mental fatigue levels; reaction times prolonged and accuracy rates decreased in the second interval, which indicates that subjects' sustained attention decreased.; In the ERP data, the P3 amplitudes elicited by the random signals decreased, while the P3 latencies increased in the second interval. These results suggest that mental fatigue can modulate the higher-level cognitive processes, in terms of less attentional resources allocated to the random stimuli, which leads to decreased speed in information evaluating and decision making against the stimuli. These findings provide new insights into the question that how mental fatigue affects visual sustained attention and, therefore, can help to design countermeasures to prevent accidents caused by low visual sustained attention.
Journal Article