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result(s) for
"Hagmann, R. Keala"
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Wildfire and climate change adaptation of western North American forests
by
Prichard, Susan J.
,
Hessburg, Paul F.
,
Povak, Nicholas A.
in
Burning
,
Climate adaptation
,
Climate Change
2021
Forest landscapes across western North America (wNA) have experienced extensive changes over the last two centuries, while climatic warming has become a global reality over the last four decades. Resulting interactions between historical increases in forested area and density and recent rapid warming, increasing insect mortality, and wildfire burned areas, are now leading to substantial abrupt landscape alterations. These outcomes are forcing forest planners and managers to identify strategies that can modify future outcomes that are ecologically and/or socially undesirable. Past forest management, including widespread harvest of fire- and climate-tolerant large old trees and old forests, fire exclusion (both Indigenous and lightning ignitions), and highly effective wildfire suppression have contributed to the current state of wNA forests. These practices were successful at meeting short-term demands, but they match poorly to modern realities. Hagmann et al. review a century of observations and multiscale, multi-proxy, research evidence that details widespread changes in forested landscapes and wildfire regimes since the influx of European colonists. Over the preceding 10 millennia, large areas of wNA were already settled and proactively managed with intentional burning by Indigenous tribes. Prichard et al. then review the research on management practices historically applied by Indigenous tribes and currently applied by some managers to intentionally manage forests for resilient conditions. They address 10 questions surrounding the application and relevance of these management practices. Here, we highlight the main findings of both papers and offer recommendations for management. We discuss progress paralysis that often occurs with strict adherence to the precautionary principle; offer insights for dealing with the common problem of irreducible uncertainty and suggestions for reframing management and policy direction; and identify key knowledge gaps and research needs.
Journal Article
Too hot, too cold, or just right: Can wildfire restore dry forests of the interior Pacific Northwest?
by
Bailey, John D.
,
Hagmann, R. Keala
,
Johnston, James D.
in
Abies concolor
,
Biology and Life Sciences
,
Cold
2023
As contemporary wildfire activity intensifies across the western United States, there is increasing recognition that a variety of forest management activities are necessary to restore ecosystem function and reduce wildfire hazard in dry forests. However, the pace and scale of current, active forest management is insufficient to address restoration needs. Managed wildfire and landscape-scale prescribed burns hold potential to achieve broad-scale goals but may not achieve desired outcomes where fire severity is too high or too low. To explore the potential for fire alone to restore dry forests, we developed a novel method to predict the range of fire severities most likely to restore historical forest basal area, density, and species composition in forests across eastern Oregon. First, we developed probabilistic tree mortality models for 24 species based on tree characteristics and remotely sensed fire severity from burned field plots. We applied these estimates to unburned stands in four national forests to predict post-fire conditions using multi-scale modeling in a Monte Carlo framework. We compared these results to historical reconstructions to identify fire severities with the highest restoration potential. Generally, we found basal area and density targets could be achieved by a relatively narrow range of moderate-severity fire (roughly 365–560 RdNBR). However, single fire events did not restore species composition in forests that were historically maintained by frequent, low-severity fire. Restorative fire severity ranges for stand basal area and density were strikingly similar for ponderosa pine (
Pinus ponderosa
) and dry mixed-conifer forests across a broad geographic range, in part due to relatively high fire tolerance of large grand (
Abies grandis
) and white fir (
Abies concolor)
. Our results suggest historical forest conditions created by recurrent fire are not readily restored by single fires and landscapes have likely passed thresholds that preclude the effectiveness of managed wildfire alone as a restoration tool.
Journal Article
Historical patterns of fire severity and forest structure and composition in a landscape structured by frequent large fires: Pumice Plateau ecoregion, Oregon, USA
by
Reilly, Matthew J
,
R Keala Hagmann
,
Merschel, Andrew G
in
Composition
,
Coniferous forests
,
Coniferous trees
2019
ContextLack of quantitative observations of extent, frequency, and severity of large historical fires constrains awareness of departure of contemporary conditions from those that demonstrated resistance and resilience to frequent fire and recurring drought.ObjectivesCompare historical and contemporary fire and forest conditions for a dry forest landscape with few barriers to fire spread.MethodsQuantify differences in (1) historical (1700–1918) and contemporary (1985–2015) fire extent, fire rotation, and stand-replacing fire and (2) historical (1914–1924) and contemporary (2012) forest structure and composition. Data include 85,750-ha tree-ring reconstruction of fire frequency and extent; > 375,000-ha timber inventory following > 78,900-ha fires in 1918; and remotely-sensed maps of contemporary fire effects and forest conditions.ResultsHistorically, fires > 20,000 ha occurred every 9.5 years; fire rotation was 14.9 years; seven fires > 40,469 ha occurred during extreme drought (PDSI < − 4.0); and stand-replacing fire occurred primarily in lodgepole (Pinus contorta var. murrayana). In contemporary fires, only 5% of the ecoregion burned in 30 years, and stand-replacing fire occurred primarily in ponderosa (Pinus ponderosa) and mixed-conifer. Historically, density of conifers > 15 cm dbh exceeded 120 trees/ha on < 5% of the area compared to 95% currently.ConclusionsFrequent, large, low-severity fires historically maintained open-canopy ponderosa and mixed-conifer forests in which large fire- and drought-tolerant trees were prevalent. Stand-replacing patches in ponderosa and mixed-conifer were rare, even in fires > 40,469 ha (minimum size of contemporary “megafires”) during extreme drought. In this frequent-fire landscape, mixed-severity fire historically influenced lodgepole and adjacent forests. Lack of large, frequent, low-severity fires degrades contemporary forest ecosystems.
Journal Article
Average Stand Age from Forest Inventory Plots Does Not Describe Historical Fire Regimes in Ponderosa Pine and Mixed-Conifer Forests of Western North America
by
Swetnam, Thomas W.
,
Falk, Donald A.
,
Miller, Jay D.
in
Analysis
,
Animal behavior
,
Biology and Life Sciences
2016
Quantifying historical fire regimes provides important information for managing contemporary forests. Historical fire frequency and severity can be estimated using several methods; each method has strengths and weaknesses and presents challenges for interpretation and verification. Recent efforts to quantify the timing of historical high-severity fire events in forests of western North America have assumed that the \"stand age\" variable from the US Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program reflects the timing of historical high-severity (i.e. stand-replacing) fire in ponderosa pine and mixed-conifer forests. To test this assumption, we re-analyze the dataset used in a previous analysis, and compare information from fire history records with information from co-located FIA plots. We demonstrate that 1) the FIA stand age variable does not reflect the large range of individual tree ages in the FIA plots: older trees comprised more than 10% of pre-stand age basal area in 58% of plots analyzed and more than 30% of pre-stand age basal area in 32% of plots, and 2) recruitment events are not necessarily related to high-severity fire occurrence. Because the FIA stand age variable is estimated from a sample of tree ages within the tree size class containing a plurality of canopy trees in the plot, it does not necessarily include the oldest trees, especially in uneven-aged stands. Thus, the FIA stand age variable does not indicate whether the trees in the predominant size class established in response to severe fire, or established during the absence of fire. FIA stand age was not designed to measure the time since a stand-replacing disturbance. Quantification of historical \"mixed-severity\" fire regimes must be explicit about the spatial scale of high-severity fire effects, which is not possible using FIA stand age data.
Journal Article
Adapting western North American forests to climate change and wildfires
by
Huffman, David W.
,
Hessburg, Paul F.
,
Kobziar, Leda N.
in
Adaptation
,
adaptive management
,
Allocations
2021
We review science-based adaptation strategies for western North American (wNA) forests that include restoring active fire regimes and fostering resilient structure and composition of forested landscapes. As part of the review, we address common questions associated with climate adaptation and realignment treatments that run counter to a broad consensus in the literature. These include the following: (1) Are the effects of fire exclusion overstated? If so, are treatments unwarranted and even counterproductive? (2) Is forest thinning alone sufficient to mitigate wildfire hazard? (3) Can forest thinning and prescribed burning solve the problem? (4) Should active forest management, including forest thinning, be concentrated in the wildland urban interface (WUI)? (5) Can wildfires on their own do the work of fuel treatments? (6) Is the primary objective of fuel reduction treatments to assist in future firefighting response and containment? (7) Do fuel treatments work under extreme fire weather? (8) Is the scale of the problem too great? Can we ever catch up? (9) Will planting more trees mitigate climate change in wNA forests? And (10) is post-fire management needed or even ecologically justified? Based on our review of the scientific evidence, a range of proactive management actions are justified and necessary to keep pace with changing climatic and wildfire regimes and declining forest heterogeneity after severe wildfires. Science-based adaptation options include the use of managed wildfire, prescribed burning, and coupled mechanical thinning and prescribed burning as is consistent with land management allocations and forest conditions. Although some current models of fire management in wNA are averse to short-term risks and uncertainties, the long-term environmental, social, and cultural consequences of wildfire management primarily grounded in fire suppression are well documented, highlighting an urgency to invest in intentional forest management and restoration of active fire regimes.
Journal Article
Commentary: Large Trees Dominate Carbon Storage in Forests East of the Cascade Crest in the United States Pacific Northwest
by
Johnston, James D.
,
Seager, S. Trent
,
Franklin, Jerry F.
in
Carbon
,
Carbon sequestration
,
carbon storage
2021
Change 3:594274. doi: 10.3389/ffgc.2020.594274 Introduction The U.S. Forest Service (USFS) recently made revisions to an interim prohibition on cutting trees ≥53 cm diameter at breast height (DBH) in seasonally dry, fire-prone forests of eastern Oregon. Without any analysis of tree-, stand-, or landscape-scale carbon fluxes, Mildrexler et al. argue that forest-based climate change mitigation goals can best be served by maintaining prohibitions on cutting young trees ≥53 cm or even extending prohibitions to include trees as small as 30 cm DBH. [...]relative to the old pine and larch they endanger, large young fir that were off-limits to removal are far more prone to heart rot, which results in significant greenhouse gas emissions (Aho, 1977; Covey et al., 2012). [...]the literature cited in support of these claims either speaks to management of old-growth trees in highly productive mesic forests of western Oregon or actually makes the case for the USFS's proposal to remove large but young fir to reduce competition with fire- and drought-tolerant old-growth pine and larch.
Journal Article
Wildfire, Smoke Exposure, Human Health, and Environmental Justice Need to be Integrated into Forest Restoration and Management
2022
Purpose of Review
Increasing wildfire size and severity across the western United States has created an environmental and social crisis that must be approached from a transdisciplinary perspective. Climate change and more than a century of fire exclusion and wildfire suppression have led to contemporary wildfires with more severe environmental impacts and human smoke exposure. Wildfires increase smoke exposure for broad swaths of the US population, though outdoor workers and socially disadvantaged groups with limited adaptive capacity can be disproportionally exposed. Exposure to wildfire smoke is associated with a range of health impacts in children and adults, including exacerbation of existing respiratory diseases such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, worse birth outcomes, and cardiovascular events. Seasonally dry forests in Washington, Oregon, and California can benefit from ecological restoration as a way to adapt forests to climate change and reduce smoke impacts on affected communities.
Recent Findings
Each wildfire season, large smoke events, and their adverse impacts on human health receive considerable attention from both the public and policymakers. The severity of recent wildfire seasons has state and federal governments outlining budgets and prioritizing policies to combat the worsening crisis. This surging attention provides an opportunity to outline the actions needed now to advance research and practice on conservation, economic, environmental justice, and public health interests, as well as the trade-offs that must be considered.
Summary
Scientists, planners, foresters and fire managers, fire safety, air quality, and public health practitioners must collaboratively work together. This article is the result of a series of transdisciplinary conversations to find common ground and subsequently provide a holistic view of how forest and fire management intersect with human health through the impacts of smoke and articulate the need for an integrated approach to both planning and practice.
Journal Article
Vegetation type conversion in the US Southwest: frontline observations and management responses
by
Huffman, David
,
Marks, Christopher
,
Lynch, Ann M.
in
Adaptive management
,
Biomedical and Life Sciences
,
Chaparral
2022
Background
Forest and nonforest ecosystems of the western United States are experiencing major transformations in response to land-use change, climate warming, and their interactive effects with wildland fire. Some ecosystems are transitioning to persistent alternative types, hereafter called “vegetation type conversion” (VTC). VTC is one of the most pressing management issues in the southwestern US, yet current strategies to intervene and address change often use trial-and-error approaches devised after the fact. To better understand how to manage VTC, we gathered managers, scientists, and practitioners from across the southwestern US to collect their experiences with VTC challenges, management responses, and outcomes.
Results
Participants in two workshops provided 11 descriptive case studies and 61 examples of VTC from their own field observations. These experiences demonstrate the extent and complexity of ecological reorganization across the region. High-severity fire was the predominant driver of VTC in semi-arid coniferous forests. By a large margin, these forests converted to shrubland, with fewer conversions to native or non-native herbaceous communities. Chaparral and sagebrush areas nearly always converted to non-native grasses through interactions among land use, climate, and fire. Management interventions in VTC areas most often attempted to reverse changes, although we found that these efforts cover only a small portion of high-severity burn areas undergoing VTC. Some areas incurred long (>10 years) observational periods prior to initiating interventions. Efforts to facilitate VTC were rare, but could cover large spatial areas.
Conclusions
Our findings underscore that type conversion is a common outcome of high-severity wildland fire in the southwestern US. Ecosystem managers are frontline observers of these far-reaching and potentially persistent changes, making their experiences valuable in further developing intervention strategies and research agendas. As its drivers increase with climate change, VTC appears increasingly likely in many ecological contexts and may require management paradigms to transition as well. Approaches to VTC potentially include developing new models of desired conditions, the use of experimentation by managers, and broader implementation of adaptive management strategies. Continuing to support and develop science-manager partnerships and peer learning groups will help to shape our response to ongoing rapid ecological transformations.
Journal Article
Interactions between societal goals and restoration of dry forest landscapes in western North America
by
Franklin, Jerry F
,
Hagmann, R. Keala
,
Urgenson, Lauren S
in
Biodiversity
,
Biomedical and Life Sciences
,
Drought
2014
Millions of acres of dry, frequent-fire woodlands and forests in western North America are the focus of multi-million dollar ecosystem restoration and fuel treatment activities. Societal awareness and engagement with these ecosystems has intensified due to recent mega fires and projections for increased vulnerability of these systems to fire, insects, and drought-related stressors. Also, the importance of goods and services provided by dry forests has expanded to include many values, such as watershed protection, habitat for biodiversity, and recreation as well as timber. Public awareness of fire and other risks associated with current conditions in dry forests generally is high and broad support exists for active management over passive alternatives. Efforts to integrate scientific principles with societal goals in dry forest restoration programs are encouraging but significant social barriers remain related to funding, conflicting goals (e.g., smoke vs. human health and restoration vs. preservation of species habitat), and stakeholder trust. The limited area restored relative to the extensive vulnerable area suggests that the seriousness and complexity of the threats are not fully appreciated or not given sufficient priority for funding, despite stated preferences for restorative management. Hence, challenges remain. Societal choices ultimately determine the goals, extent, and methodology of dry forest restoration programs with science stimulating and informing policy and management decisions.
Journal Article
Improving the use of early timber inventories in reconstructing historical dry forests and fire in the western United States: Comment
by
Hessburg, Paul F.
,
Stephens, Scott L.
,
Stevens, Jens T.
in
Accuracy
,
Archives & records
,
Bias
2018
Knowledge of historical forest conditions and disturbance regimes improves our understanding of landscape dynamics and provides a frame of reference for evaluating modern patterns, processes, and their interactions. In the western United States, understanding historical fire regimes is particularly important given ongoing climatic changes and their effects on fire regimes (Miller and Safford , Westerling , Abatzoglou et al. ). Yet, all methods used to reconstruct historical forest conditions have limitations. Confidence in the results generated by any single method increases when multiple studies, using diverse methods, converge on comparable results. Early timber inventories in western ponderosa pine and mixed‐conifer forests (Collins et al. , Hagmann et al. , , Collins et al. , Stephens et al. , Hagmann et al. ) document forest conditions that are consistent with other records and reconstructions of historical vegetation patterns and fire regimes on landscapes that experienced frequent low‐ to moderate‐severity fires. In a recent assessment of early timber inventories, Baker and Hanson () (hereafter B&H) concluded that these inventories of large forest landscapes in the Central and Southern Sierra Nevada in California and the eastern slopes and foothills of the Cascade Range in Oregon systematically underestimated historical tree density and were biased toward areas of large, merchantable trees. Here, we document serious errors in B&H due to the following: (1) biased estimates of historical tree density from land‐survey data; (2) incorrect assumptions about the accuracy of early timber inventories; (3) inappropriate comparisons of studies of vastly different spatial scales, forest types, and diameter limits; (4) unsubstantiated criticism of bias in early timber inventories; and (5) inappropriate cross‐referencing and misrepresentation of high‐severity fire in historical records.
Journal Article