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6
result(s) for
"Halder, Krishnagopal"
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Improving landslide susceptibility prediction through ensemble recursive feature elimination and meta-learning framework
2025
Landslides pose significant threats to ecosystems, lives, and economies, particularly in the geologically fragile Sub-Himalayan region of West Bengal, India. This study enhances landslide susceptibility prediction by developing an ensemble framework integrating Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) with meta-learning techniques. Seven advanced machine learning models- Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Extremely Randomized Trees (ET), Gradient Boosting (GB), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and a Meta Classifier (MC) were applied using Remote Sensing and GIS tools to identify key landslide-conditioning factors and classify susceptibility zones. Model performance was assessed through metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and AUC of the ROC curve. Among the models, the Meta Classifier (MC) achieved the highest accuracy (0.956) and AUC (0.987), demonstrating superior predictive ability. Gradient Boosting (GB), XGBoost, and RF also performed well, with accuracies of 0.943 and AUC values of 0.987 (GB and XGBoost) and 0.983 (RF). Extremely Randomized Trees (ET) exhibited the highest accuracy (0.946) among individual models and an AUC of 0.985. SVM and LR, while slightly less accurate (0.941 and 0.860, respectively), provided valuable insights, with SVM achieving an AUC of 0.972 and LR achieving 0.935. The models effectively delineated landslide susceptibility into five zones (very low, low, moderate, high, and very high), with high and very high susceptibility zones concentrated in Darjeeling and Kalimpong subdivisions. These zones are influenced by intense rainfall, unstable geological structures, and anthropogenic activities like deforestation and urbanization. Notably, ET, RF, GB, and XGBoost demonstrated efficiency in feature selection, requiring fewer input variables while maintaining high performance. This study establishes a benchmark for landslide susceptibility mapping, providing a scalable and adaptable framework for geospatial hazard prediction. The findings hold significant implications for land-use planning, disaster management, and environmental conservation in vulnerable regions worldwide.
Journal Article
Modelling mixed crop-livestock systems and climate impact assessment in sub-Saharan Africa
by
Ewert, Frank
,
Alsafadi, Karam
,
Rahimi, Jaber
in
631/449
,
704/106/694/2739
,
Africa South of the Sahara
2025
Climate change significantly challenges smallholder mixed crop-livestock (MCL) systems in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), affecting food and feed production. This study enhances the SIMPLACE modeling framework by incorporating crop-vegetation-livestock models, which contribute to the development of sustainable agricultural practices in response to climate change. Applying such a framework in a domain in West Africa (786,500 km
2
) allowed us to estimate the changes in crop (Maize, Millet, and Sorghum) yield, grass biomass, livestock numbers, and greenhouse gas emission in response to future climate scenarios. We demonstrate that this framework accurately estimated the key components of the domain for the past (1981–2005) and enables us to project their future changes using dynamically downscaled Global Circulation Model (GCM) projections (2020–2050). The results demonstrate that in the future, the northern part of the study area will likely experience a significant decline in crop biomass (up to -56%) and grass biomass (up to -57%) production leading to a decrease in livestock numbers (up to -43%). Consequently, this will impact total emissions (up to -47% CH
4
) and decrease of -41% in milk production, and − 47% in meat production concentrated in the Sahelian zone. Whereas, in pockets of the Sudanian zone, an increase in livestock population and CH
4
emission of about + 24% has been estimated, indicating that variability in climate change impact is amplifying with no consistent pattern evident across the study domain.
Journal Article
SAR-driven flood inventory and multi-factor ensemble susceptibility modelling using machine learning frameworks
by
Ewert, Frank
,
Halder, Krishnagopal
,
Bisai, Dipak
in
Climate change
,
Climate models
,
Disaster management
2024
Climate change has substantially increased both the occurrence and intensity of flood events, particularly in the Indian subcontinent, exacerbating threats to human populations and economic infrastructure. The present research employed novel ML models-LR, SVM, RF, XGBoost, DNN, and Stacking Ensemble-developed in the Python environment and leveraged 18 flood-influencing factors to delineate flood-prone areas with precision. A comprehensive flood inventory, obtained from Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, provided empirical data for entire model training and validation. Model performance was assessed using precision, recall, F1-score, accuracy, and ROC-AUC metrics. The results highlighted Stacking Ensemble's superior predictive ability (0.965), followed closely by, XGBoost (0.934), DNN (0.929), RF (0.925), LR (0.921), and SVM (0.920) respectively, establishing the feasibility of ML applications in disaster management. The maps depicting susceptibility to flooding generated by the current research provide actionable insights for decision-makers, city planners, and authorities responsible for disaster management, guiding infrastructural and community resilience enhancements against flood risks.
Journal Article
Highlighting the role of traditional paddy for sustainable agriculture and livelihood: issues, policy intervention and the pathways
by
Costache, Romulus
,
Islam, Md. Kamrul
,
Islam, Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul
in
Bibliometrics
,
Carbohydrates
,
Crops
2025
Traditional paddy cultivars (TPC) have a high nutritional and medicinal value and can survive severe stress conditions. TPCs are soil and region-specific, produced with organic manure, and free of pesticides or insecticides; as a result, they are more resistant to pests and naturally strong. TPCs are the best solution to the issues of unpredictable rainfall and aid in preventing pest infection since climate change does not affect them, such as increases or decreases in temperatures, humidity, and drought. TPCs are more valuable on the market than new high-yielding and improved varieties and need less labour to grow. Traditional rice has been used to treat various specific conditions, including high blood pressure, digestive system issues, skin inflammation, and blood sugar regulation. This review aims to educate farmers, seed growers, and researchers receiving valuable information regarding the importance of different TPC and cultivating more areas of suitable traditional cultivars of paddy for sustainable agriculture. Therefore, it is crucial to put policies in place to properly preserve farmers' variety if agriculture is to thrive sustainably.
Journal Article
Deep Learning Meets Process-Based Models: A Hybrid Approach to Agricultural Challenges
2025
Process-based models (PBMs) and deep learning (DL) are two key approaches in agricultural modelling, each offering distinct advantages and limitations. PBMs provide mechanistic insights based on physical and biological principles, ensuring interpretability and scientific rigour. However, they often struggle with scalability, parameterisation, and adaptation to heterogeneous environments. In contrast, DL models excel at capturing complex, nonlinear patterns from large datasets but may suffer from limited interpretability, high computational demands, and overfitting in data-scarce scenarios. This study presents a systematic review of PBMs, DL models, and hybrid PBM-DL frameworks, highlighting their applications in agricultural and environmental modelling. We classify hybrid PBM-DL approaches into DL-informed PBMs, where neural networks refine process-based models, and PBM-informed DL, where physical constraints guide deep learning predictions. Additionally, we conduct a case study on crop dry biomass prediction, comparing hybrid models against standalone PBMs and DL models under varying data quality, sample sizes, and spatial conditions. The results demonstrate that hybrid models consistently outperform traditional PBMs and DL models, offering greater robustness to noisy data and improved generalisation across unseen locations. Finally, we discuss key challenges, including model interpretability, scalability, and data requirements, alongside actionable recommendations for advancing hybrid modelling in agriculture. By integrating domain knowledge with AI-driven approaches, this study contributes to the development of scalable, interpretable, and reproducible agricultural models that support data-driven decision-making for sustainable agriculture.