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"Hale, Lyric"
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What's Next?
The world spins in economic turmoil, and who can tell what will happen next? Cold numbers and simple statistical projections don't take into account social, financial, or political factors that can dramatically alter the economic course of a nation or a region. In this unique book, more than twenty leading economists and experts render thorough, rigorously researched prognoses for the world's major economies over the next five years. Factoring in such varied issues as the price of oil, the strength of the U.S. dollar, geopolitics, tax policies, and new developments in investment decision making, the contributors ground their predictions in the realities of current events, political conditions, and the health of financial institutions in each national economy.
The most comprehensive volume on the global economy available today, this book presents up-to-date research on Russia, Australia, Europe, sub-Saharan and South Africa, the major Asian economies, North America, and the largest economies of Latin America. With unsurpassed expertise, the authors explain what's going on in individual countries, how important current global issues will impact them, and what economic scenarios they most likely will face in upcoming years.
eBook
What's next?: a view from the world's leading economists
A comprehensive volume on the global economy, this title presents up-to-date research on Russia, Australia, Europe, sub-Saharan and South Africa, the major Asian economies, North America and the largest economies of Latin America.
eBook
What's next?
Western hemisphere economies. The US recovery / David Hale ; The Canadian economy: prospects and challenges / Joshua Mendelsohn ; Mexico's interminable transition--2011 and beyond / Timothy Heyman ; Is Latin America changing? / Pedro Pablo Kuczynski -- Europe. The world bets on Europe, but the United States will probably win / Anatole Kaletsky -- Asia. Asia's paradigm shift / Louis-Vincent Gave ; Japan: return to normal / Robert Madsen ; Japan: the interregnum goes on / Richard B. Katz -- Southern hemisphere economies. Prospects for Sub-Saharan Africa in 2010-2011 / Keith Jefferis ; South Africa after 2010 / Iraj Abedian ; It didn't have to be that bad--the counterexample of Australia / Saul Eslake -- Reserve currencies. The future of the US dollar as a reserve currency / John Greenwood ; Will the gold rally continue? / David Hale -- The geopolitics of energy. In the shadow of peak oil, peak carbon, Iraqi nationalism, and paper barrels: the oil markets of the 2010s / Albert Bressand ; In the aftermath of Iran's latest revolution / Narimon Safavi ; Climate change: feasible policy and future carbon markets / Brian Fisher and Anna Matysek -- Crisis and reform. Were banks bust in 2009? And did they really need much more capital? / Tim Congdon ; The Tobin tax: creating a global fiscal system to fund global public goods / Andrew Sheng ; Fiscal imbalances, economic growth, and tax policy: plucking more feathers from the golden goose / Jack Mintz ; Dodd-Frank financial reforms have a broad scope, and will likely have a modest impact / Michael T. Lewis ; The future of corporate compliance / Carole Basri -- Neuroeconomics. The human side of investment decision-making / Thierry Malleret ; The diminishing returns of the information age / Mark Roeder
Book
Reconsidering Revaluation: The Wrong Approach to the U.S.-Chinese Trade Imbalance
Politicians in Washington are clamoring for currency revaluation in China to reverse China's trade surplus with the United States. But the trade imbalance is not the threat they make it out to be, and a stronger yuan is not the solution. Everybody should focus instead on properly integrating China into the global economy.
Magazine Article
China Takes Off
China has achieved stunning economic progress since the 1970s, thanks to aggressive liberalization, a commitment to exporting high-tech goods, and a massive injection of foreign investment. Although this unprecedented success is understandably unnerving to China's neighbors and trading partners, it should not be cause for worry; China, the United States, and the rest of the world still have lots of business to do.
Magazine Article
A two-way street with Syria ; An opportunity is rising out of the ashes in Iraq. The United States clearly could use Damascus' help. What's often overlooked is that Syria's stagnant economy needs a lift, too
President Bush and Syrian President Bashar Assad could not have chillier relations, but the political crisis in Iraq might finally force them to start talking, as the Iraq Study Group's report recommends. The United States and Syria, for different reasons, need each other right now. Bush needs Assad's help in Iraq and because of his close ties with Iran; Assad needs Bush to ease up on sanctions that have prevented Assad from implementing long overdue economic development and reforms at home. This will be hard to accomplish under current situations. In 2004, Bush signed the Syria Accountability Act of 2003, prohibiting the export to Syria of any U.S. products other than food and medicine. The sanctions were imposed by the Bush administration as leverage against Syria for its support of terrorist groups, its then- military presence in Lebanon, its pursuit of weapons of mass destruction, and its actions to undermine U.S. and international efforts to stabilize Iraq. Under a provision of the USA Patriot Act, U.S. financial institutions are banned from doing business in Syria, further dampening trade. The Bush administration should take advantage of Syria's ambition to become an emerging market by using economic incentives to gain support for a Middle Eastern peace effort. It should offer to remove economic sanctions and support Syrian membership in the World Trade Organization in return for Syria's help to steady Iraq. The United States needs to seize this historic moment to bring stability to the Middle East by capitalizing on Syria's desire and need to engage further with the global economy.
Newspaper Article