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"Ihle-Hansen, Håkon"
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National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) on admission predicts severe disease and in-hospital mortality from Covid-19 – a prospective cohort study
2020
Background
There is a need for validated clinical risk scores to identify patients at risk of severe disease and to guide decision-making during the covid-19 pandemic. The National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is widely used in emergency medicine, but so far, no studies have evaluated its use in patients with covid-19. We aimed to study the performance of NEWS2 and compare commonly used clinical risk stratification tools at admission to predict risk of severe disease and in-hospital mortality in patients with covid-19.
Methods
This was a prospective cohort study in a public non-university general hospital in the Oslo area, Norway, including a cohort of all 66 patients hospitalised with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from the start of the pandemic; 13 who died during hospital stay and 53 who were discharged alive. Data were collected consecutively from March 9th to April 27th 2020. The main outcome was the ability of the NEWS2 score and other clinical risk scores at emergency department admission to predict severe disease and in-hospital mortality in covid-19 patients. We calculated sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for NEWS2 scores ≥5 and ≥ 6, quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score ≥ 2, ≥2 Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) criteria, and CRB-65 score ≥ 2. Areas under the curve (AUCs) for the clinical risk scores were compared using DeLong’s test.
Results
In total, 66 patients (mean age 67.9 years) were included. Of these, 23% developed severe disease. In-hospital mortality was 20%. Tachypnoea, hypoxemia and confusion at admission were more common in patients developing severe disease. A NEWS2 score ≥ 6 at admission predicted severe disease with 80.0% sensitivity and 84.3% specificity (Area Under the Curve (AUC) 0.822, 95% CI 0.690–0.953). NEWS2 was superior to qSOFA score ≥ 2 (AUC 0.624, 95% CI 0.446–0.810,
p
< 0.05) and other clinical risk scores for this purpose.
Conclusion
NEWS2 score at hospital admission predicted severe disease and in-hospital mortality, and was superior to other widely used clinical risk scores in patients with covid-19.
Journal Article
Impact of frailty on the performance of the National Early Warning Score 2 to predict poor outcome in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19
by
Ihle-Hansen, Håkon
,
Myrstad, Marius
,
Tveit, Arnljot
in
Activities of daily living
,
Aged
,
Aging
2023
Background
The National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is a scoring tool predictive of poor outcome in hospitalised patients. Older patients with COVID-19 have increased risk of poor outcome, but it is not known if frailty may impact the predictive performance of NEWS2. We aimed to investigate the impact of frailty on the performance of NEWS2 to predict in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19.
Methods
We included all patients admitted to a non-university Norwegian hospital due to COVID-19 from 9 March 2020 until 31 December 2021. NEWS2 was scored based on the first vital signs recorded upon hospital admission. Frailty was defined as a Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥ 4. The performance of a NEWS2 score ≥ 5 to predict in-hospital mortality was assessed with sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) according to frailty status.
Results
Out of 412 patients, 70 were aged ≥ 65 years and with frailty. They presented less frequently with respiratory symptoms, and more often with acute functional decline or new-onset confusion. In-hospital mortality was 6% in patients without frailty, and 26% in patients with frailty. NEWS2 predicted in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 86%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 64%-97% and AUROC 0.73, 95% CI 0.65–0.81 in patients without frailty. In older patients with frailty, sensitivity was 61%, 95% CI 36%-83% and AUROC 0.61, 95% CI 0.48–0.75.
Conclusion
A single NEWS2 score at hospital admission performed poorly to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with frailty and COVID-19 and should be used with caution in this patient group.
Graphical Abstract
Graphical abstract summing up study design, results and conclusion
Journal Article
Delirium screening in a stroke unit by nurses using 4AT: Results from a quality improvement project
by
Myrstad, Marius
,
Landgraff, Ida
,
Hagberg, Guri
in
Brief Report
,
Brief Reports
,
Cognitive ability
2023
To assess the feasibility of delirium screening with the screening tool 4AT conducted by stroke unit nurses.
Observational.
Patients with confirmed acute stroke admitted to the stroke unit at Baerum Hospital, Norway, from March to October 2020, were consecutively recruited. Nurses performed delirium screening using the rapid screening tool 4AT within 24 h of admission, at discharge and when delirium was suspected, and filled out a questionnaire assessing their experiences with the delirium screening. A geriatrician validated the delirium diagnosis.
In all, 62 patients were included, mean age 73.3 years. 4AT was performed according to protocol in 49 (79.0%) and 39 (62.9%) patients at admission and discharge respectively. Lack of time (40%) was reported as the most common reason for not performing delirium screening. The nurses reported that the felt competent to carry out the 4AT screening, and did not experience it as significant extra workload. Five patients (8%) were diagnosed with delirium. Delirium screening performed by stroke unit nurses seemed feasible and the nurses experienced that 4AT was a useful tool for this purpose.
Journal Article
Applying the 2024 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines for the management of elevated blood pressure and hypertension to a Norwegian general population cohort from age 40: data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 study
by
Ihle-Hansen, Håkon
,
Røsjø, Helge
,
Lyngbakken, Magnus Nakrem
in
Adult
,
Aged
,
Antihypertensive Agents - therapeutic use
2025
BackgroundThe 2024 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Guidelines for hypertension introduced the ‘elevated BP’ (eBP) category (120–139/70–89 mm Hg). Individuals with persistent eBP (130–139/80–89 mm Hg), despite lifestyle intervention, may be recommended pharmacological treatment in case of concomitant elevated cardiovascular (CV) risk. We aimed to assess the impact of these updated recommendations on treatment eligibility at ages 40 and 62–65 and to examine the CV event rates over 30 years of follow-up, focusing on those with eBP (130–139/80–89 mm Hg) eligible for pharmacological treatment.MethodsData from individuals born in 1950 who participated in the Age 40 Programme and the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study was linked to national health registries. These data include BP measurements at age 40 (1990–1991) and 62–65 (2012–2015), assessment of elevated CV risk based on Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) and outcomes of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) tracked through 2022.ResultsAt age 40, 854 (32%) of 2688 individuals had eBP (130–139/80–89 mm Hg), but only 4 had elevated CV risk warranting pharmacological treatment. At age 62–65, 1657 (61%) were on BP-lowering medication or had a BP ≥140/90, while 64 (8%) out of 851 with eBP were eligible for drug treatment. Based on BP values at age 40, only 2 of the 93 MACEs in the eBP (130–139/80–89 mm Hg) category occurred among those eligible for pharmacological treatment.ConclusionsA single BP measurement at age 40 identified eBP (130–139/80–89 mm Hg) among one-third of the individuals, yet MACE cases within the eBP category occurred primarily in individuals who were not eligible for medical treatment.
Journal Article
Burden of atherosclerosis, cardiovascular risk factors and atrial fibrillation in individuals with covert brain infarcts in late midlife: the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study
by
Røsjø, Helge
,
Lyngbakken, Magnus Nakrem
,
Vigen, Thea
in
Aged
,
Atherosclerosis
,
Atherosclerosis - complications
2026
BackgroundCurrent expert consensus statements generally suggest cardiovascular risk assessment, including atrial fibrillation (AF) screening, on detection of covert brain infarctions (CBIs). However, evidence to guide management of CBI remains limited. In the absence of randomised clinical trials specifically targeting CBI populations, observational studies comparing individuals with and without CBI can provide insights into the prevalence and burden of cardiovascular risk factors.ObjectivesWe aimed to compare the burden of atherosclerosis and cardiovascular risk factors in participants with CBI to those without, and to explore the yield of AF screening in individuals with CBI.DesignA prospective population-based birth cohort study including men and women born in 1950 and resident in Akershus County, Norway.SettingThe two hospitals serving the population of Akershus county, Norway.ParticipantsParticipants included in the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 study who also underwent a subsequent MRI examination were eligible for this study.Outcome measuresCardiovascular risk assessment was performed at study inclusion (2012–2015). Carotid ultrasound was used to quantify atherosclerosis through a carotid plaque score, and CHA₂DS₂-VA and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation 2 (SCORE2) scores were calculated to estimate cardiovascular risk. Brain MRI was performed in a randomly selected, blood pressure-stratified subset of participants (2016–2024). CBI was defined as focal lesions consistent with ischaemia in the absence of clinical stroke. Participants with CBI were offered 72-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring for AF detection.ResultsMRI was performed in 414 of 3706 (11%) participants in the ACE 1950 Study. The mean age at the time of the MRI examination was 70.2±2.3 years, and 165 (41%) were women. CBI was identified in 54 participants (13%), of whom 45 (83%) completed 72-hour ambulatory ECG monitoring. There were no differences in mean carotid plaque score, SCORE2 or CHA₂DS₂-VA score between participants with CBI compared with those with normal MRI findings. AF was detected in one (2%) participant with CBI.ConclusionsIn this community-based cohort of individuals in late midlife, individuals with CBI did not have an increased cardiovascular risk compared with those without, as indicated by SCORE2, CHA₂DS₂-VA score, age-appropriate carotid plaque burden and a low prevalence of AF.Trial registration numberURL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01555411.
Journal Article
No evidence for amyloid pathology as a key mediator of neurodegeneration post-stroke - a seven-year follow-up study
by
Ihle-Hansen, Håkon
,
Müller, Ebba Gløersen
,
Hagberg, Guri
in
Activities of daily living
,
Atrophy
,
Biomarkers
2020
Background
Cognitive impairment (CI) with mixed vascular and neurodegenerative pathologies after stroke is common. The role of amyloid pathology in post-stroke CI is unclear. We hypothesize that amyloid deposition, measured with Flutemetamol (
18
F-Flut) positron emission tomography (PET), is common in seven-year stroke survivors diagnosed with CI and, further, that quantitatively assessed
18
F-Flut-PET uptake after 7 years correlates with amyloid-β peptide (Aβ
42
) levels in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) at 1 year, and with measures of neurodegeneration and cognition at 7 years post-stroke.
Methods
208 patients with first-ever stroke or transient Ischemic Attack (TIA) without pre-existing CI were included during 2007 and 2008. At one- and seven-years post-stroke, cognitive status was assessed, and categorized into dementia, mild cognitive impairment or normal. Etiologic sub-classification was based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings, CSF biomarkers and clinical cognitive profile. At 7 years, patients were offered
18
F-Flut-PET, and amyloid-positivity was assessed visually and semi-quantitatively. The associations between
18
F-Flut-PET standardized uptake value ratios (SUVr) and measures of neurodegeneration (medial temporal lobe atrophy (MTLA), global cortical atrophy (GCA)) and cognition (Mini-Mental State Exam (MMSE), Trail-making test A (TMT-A)) and CSF Aβ
42
levels were assessed using linear regression.
Results
In total, 111 patients completed 7-year follow-up, and 26 patients agreed to PET imaging, of whom 13 had CSF biomarkers from 1 year. Thirteen out of 26 patients were diagnosed with CI 7 years post-stroke, but only one had visually assessed amyloid positivity. CSF Aβ
42
levels at 1 year, MTA grade, GCA scale, MMSE score or TMT-A at 7 years did not correlate with
18
F-Flut-PET SUVr in this cohort.
Conclusions
Amyloid binding was not common in 7-year stroke survivors diagnosed with CI. Quantitatively assessed, cortical amyloid deposition did not correlate with other measures related to neurodegeneration or cognition. Therefore, amyloid pathology may not be a key mediator of neurodegeneration 7 years post-stroke.
Trial registration
Clinicaltrials.gov
(
NCT00506818
). July 23, 2007. Inclusion from February 2007, randomization and intervention from May 2007 and trial registration in July 2007.
Journal Article
Blood pressure at age 40 and key features of cerebral small vessel disease at age 70: data from the ACE 1950 Study
2025
Background
The separate effects of systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) on cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) development needs elucidation. We investigated the association between SBP and DBP at age 40 and two selected brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features of cSVD (lacunes and white matter hyperintensities [WMHs]) at age 70 in a general Norwegian population cohort.
Methods
We included individuals from the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study (2012–2015) who had previously participated in the Age 40 Program (1990–1993).
A random subset of participants with SBP in the categories of non-elevated (< 120 mmHg), high elevated (130–139 mmHg) or hypertension (≥ 140 mmHg) at age 40 were invited to perform brain MRI for assessment of cSVD (lacunes and WMHs) at age 70 (2016–2024). DBP was categorized as non-elevated (< 70 mmHg), low elevated (70–79 mmHg), high elevated (80–89 mmHg) and hypertension (≥ 90 mmHg). Logistic and ordinal regressions assessed the association between SBP and DBP and lacunes and severity of WMHs (measured with Fazekas scale), adjusting for sex, total cholesterol, smoking, physical activity, diabetes, education, and age at MRI, with non-elevated BP as the reference category.
Results
A total of 414 participants (167 [40%] women) were included. Participants were 70.2 ± 2.3 years when undergoing brain MRI. Mean Fazekas scale was 1.3 ± 0.8, and 54 (13%) had lacunes. SBP and DPB were not associated with lacunes. DPB of 80–89 mmHg (adjusted OR [95% CI], 1.91 [1.01–3.62]) and ≥ 90 mmHg (2.11 [1.06–4.19]) at age 40 were associated with WMHs.
Conclusions
Elevated DBP (80–89 mmHg) and diastolic hypertension (> 90 mmHg) at age 40 were associated with WMH burden at age 70, suggesting a long-term association between midlife DBP and cerebrovascular health.
Trial registration
ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT01555411. 15 March 2012.
Graphical Abstract
Figure developed by the authors using venngage.com with a license to use, reproduce and distribute worldwide. ACE, Akershus Cardiac Examination. BP, blood pressure. DBP, diastolic blood pressure. MRI, magnetic resonance imaging. WMHs, white matter hyperintensities.
Journal Article
Association between socioeconomic variables and carotid plaque in middle-aged adults: data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study
by
Bratholm, Åsmund Olaf
,
Ihle-Hansen, Håkon
,
Lyngbakken, Magnus Nakrem
in
Aged
,
Atherosclerosis
,
Blood pressure
2026
BackgroundLow socioeconomic status (SES) is linked to increased cardiovascular risk, but its association with carotid atherosclerosis in the general population is less well studied. We examined associations between individual-level and area-level SES and carotid plaque burden and explored potential sex differences.MethodsIn this cross-sectional analysis from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study, individual-level SES was defined by educational attainment, and area-level SES by urban versus rural residence and median household income of municipality. Carotid ultrasound was used to quantify plaque burden with a plaque score (0–3 per segment; maximum 24), where >3 indicates elevated cardiovascular risk. Associations between SES and plaque score were estimated using Poisson regression in crude and adjusted models.ResultsWe included 3673 participants (48.8% women; mean age 63.9 years). The prevalence of elevated plaque score (>3) was 23.3% in tertiary, 28.2% in secondary and 31.4% in primary education groups (p for trend <0.001). Women and men with primary education had 32% and 24% higher plaque scores than those with tertiary education (p<0.001). After adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, excess atherosclerotic burden remained 22% in women and 12% in men (p<0.001). No significant associations were observed for area-level SES, and no sex interactions were detected.ConclusionLower educational attainment is associated with higher carotid atherosclerotic burden in both sexes, independent of cardiovascular risk factors, while area-level SES shows no clear association. These findings suggest that educational disparities contribute to atherosclerotic disease burden and merit further investigation in longitudinal studies.
Journal Article
Plasma linoleic acid levels and cardiovascular risk factors: results from the Norwegian ACE 1950 Study
by
Lyngbakken, Magnus Nakrem
,
Røsjø Helge
,
Rønning, Ole Morten
in
Blood pressure
,
Body mass index
,
Body size
2020
BackgroundA high intake of linoleic acid (LA), the major dietary polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA), has previously been associated with reduced cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality in observational studies. However, recent secondary analyses from clinical trials of LA-rich diet suggest harmful effects of LA on CV health.MethodsA total of 3706 participants, all born in 1950, were included in this cross-sectional study. We investigated associations between plasma phospholipid levels of LA and CV risk factors in a Norwegian general population, characterized by a relative low LA and high marine n-3 PUFA intake. The main statistical approach was multivariable linear regression.ResultsPlasma phospholipid LA levels ranged from 11.4 to 32.0 wt%, with a median level of 20.8 wt% (interquartile range 16.8–24.8 wt%). High plasma LA levels were associated with lower serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels (standardized regression coefficient [Std. β-coeff.] −0.04, p = 0.02), serum triglycerides (Std. β-coeff. −0.10, p < 0.001), fasting plasma glucose (Std. β-coeff. −0.10, p < 0.001), body mass index (Std. β-coeff. −0.13, p < 0.001), systolic and diastolic blood pressure (Std. β-coeff. −0.04, p = 0.03 and Std. β-coeff. −0.02, p = 0.02, respectively) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (Std. β-coeff. −0.09, p < 0.001). We found no association between plasma LA levels and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, glycated hemoglobin, carotid intima-media thickness, or C-reactive protein.ConclusionHigh plasma LA levels were favorably associated with several CV risk factors in this study of a Norwegian general population.
Journal Article
Prevalence of atrial fibrillation and cardiovascular risk factors in a 63–65 years old general population cohort: the Akershus Cardiac Examination (ACE) 1950 Study
by
Lyngbakken, Magnus Nakrem
,
Røsjø, Helge
,
Vigen, Thea
in
Blood pressure
,
Body mass index
,
Cardiac arrhythmia
2018
ObjectivesTo investigate the sex-specific prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), including subclinical AF found by screening in a general population aged 63–65 years. The prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and their association with AF will also be investigated.DesignCross-sectional analysis of an observational, prospective, longitudinal, population-based cohort study.SettingGeneral population in Akershus county, Norway.ParticipantsWomen and men born in 1950. We included 3706 of 5827 eligible individuals (63.6%); 48.8% were women.MethodsAll participants underwent extensive cardiovascular examinations, including 12-lead ECG. History of AF and other cardiovascular diseases were self-reported. Subsequent validation of all reported or detected AF diagnoses was performed.ResultsMean age was 63.9±0.7 years. Prevalence of ECG-verified AF was 4.5% (women 2.4%, men 6.4%; p<0.001), including screen-detected AF in 0.3% (women 0.1%, men 0.6%; p<0.01). Hypertension was found in 62.0% (women 57.8%, men 66.0%; p<0.001). Overweight or obesity was found in 67.6% (women 59.8%, men 74.9%; p<0.001). By multivariate logistic regression, risk factors associated with AF were height (OR 1.67 per 10 cm; 95% CI 1.26 to 2.22; p<0.001), weight (OR 1.15 per 10 kg; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.30; p=0.03), hypertension (OR 2.49; 95% CI 1.61 to 3.86; p<0.001), heart failure (OR 3.51; 95% CI 1.71 to 7.24; p=0.001), reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR 2.56; 95% CI 1.42 to 4.60; p<0.01) and at least one first-degree relative with AF (OR 2.32; 95% CI 1.63 to 3.31; p<0.001), whereas male sex was not significantly associated (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.59 to 1.68; p=0.99).ConclusionIn this cohort from the general population aged 63–65 years, we found a higher prevalence of known AF than previously reported below the age of 65 years. The additional yield of single time point screening for AF was low. Body size and comorbidity may explain most of the sex difference in AF prevalence at this age.Trial registration number NCT01555411; Results.
Journal Article