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"Ismail, Nazir"
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Population structure, biogeography and transmissibility of Mycobacterium tuberculosis
by
Vargas, Roger
,
Tahseen, Sabira
,
Cirillo, Daniela Maria
in
631/158/852
,
631/181/757
,
631/326/41/2530
2021
Mycobacterium tuberculosis
is a clonal pathogen proposed to have co-evolved with its human host for millennia, yet our understanding of its genomic diversity and biogeography remains incomplete. Here we use a combination of phylogenetics and dimensionality reduction to reevaluate the population structure of
M. tuberculosis
, providing an in-depth analysis of the ancient Indo-Oceanic Lineage 1 and the modern Central Asian Lineage 3, and expanding our understanding of Lineages 2 and 4. We assess sub-lineages using genomic sequences from 4939 pan-susceptible strains, and find 30 new genetically distinct clades that we validate in a dataset of 4645 independent isolates. We find a consistent geographically restricted or unrestricted pattern for 20 groups, including three groups of Lineage 1. The distribution of terminal branch lengths across the
M. tuberculosis
phylogeny supports the hypothesis of a higher transmissibility of Lineages 2 and 4, in comparison with Lineages 3 and 1, on a global scale. We define an expanded barcode of 95 single nucleotide substitutions that allows rapid identification of 69
M. tuberculosis
sub-lineages and 26 additional internal groups. Our results paint a higher resolution picture of the
M. tuberculosis
phylogeny and biogeography.
Mycobacterium tuberculosis
is a clonal pathogen that has co-evolved with humans for millennia. Here, Freschi et al. reevaluate the population structure of
M. tuberculosis
, providing an in-depth analysis of the ancient Indo-Oceanic Lineage 1 and the modern Central Asian Lineage 3, and expanding our understanding of Lineages 2 and 4.
Journal Article
The Epidemiology of Meningitis among Adults in a South African Province with a High HIV Prevalence, 2009-2012
2016
Meningitis is a major cause of mortality in southern Africa. We aimed to describe the aetiologies and frequencies of laboratory-confirmed fungal and bacterial meningitis among adults in a South African province with an 11% HIV prevalence, over 4 years.
We conducted a retrospective, observational study of secondary laboratory data, extracted on all cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) specimens submitted to public-sector laboratories in Gauteng province from 2009 through 2012. We calculated cause-specific incidence rates in the general and HIV-infected populations and used Poisson regression to determine if trends were significant.
We identified 11,891 (10.7%) incident cases of meningitis from 110,885 CSF specimens. Cryptococcal meningitis, tuberculous meningitis and pneumococcal meningitis accounted for 62.3% (n = 7,406), 24.6% (n = 2,928) and 10.1% (n = 1,197) of cases over the four-year period. The overall incidence (cases per 100,000 persons) of cryptococcal meningitis declined by 23% from 24.4 in 2009 to 18.7 in 2012 (p <0.001) and decreased by 19% among HIV-infected persons from 178.2 to 144.7 (p <0.001). Tuberculous meningitis decreased by 40% from 11.3 in 2009 to 6.8 in 2012 (p <0.001) and decreased by 36% among HIV-infected persons from 54.4 to 34.9 (p <0.001). Pneumococcal meningitis decreased by 41% from 4.2 in 2009 to 2.5 in 2012 (p <0.001) and decreased by 38% among HIV-infected persons from 28.0 to 17.5 (p <0.001). Among cases of other bacterial meningitis (248/11,891, 2.1%), Neisseria meningitidis (n = 93), Escherichia coli (n = 72) and Haemophilus influenzae (n = 20) were the most common organisms identified.
In this high HIV-prevalence province, cryptococcal meningitis was the leading cause of laboratory-confirmed meningitis among adults. Over a 4-year period, there was a significant decrease in incidence of cryptococcal, tuberculous and pneumococcal meningitis. This coincided with expansion of the national antiretroviral treatment programme, enhanced tuberculosis control programme and routine childhood immunisation with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines.
Journal Article
Nationwide and regional incidence of microbiologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis in South Africa, 2004–12: a time series analysis
2015
South Africa has the highest incidence of tuberculosis in the world, largely resulting from a high population prevalence of HIV infection. We investigated the incidence of microbiologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis, and new cases of pulmonary tuberculosis registered for treatment, nationally and provincially in South Africa from 2004 to 2012, during which time there were changes in antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage among individuals with HIV infection.
We identified cases of microbiologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis from 2004 to 2012 from the National Health Laboratory Service Corporate Data Warehouse. New cases registered for treatment were identified from National Department of Health electronic registries. A time series analysis, using autoregressive models, was undertaken on incidence of microbiologically confirmed pulmonary disease nationally and provincially; this trend was also examined relative to ART coverage of adults with HIV infection.
During the 9-year period, 3 523 371 cases of microbiologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis were recorded nationally. Annual incidence (per 100 000 population) increased from 650 (95% CI 648–652) in 2004 to 848 (845–850) in 2008, declining to 774 (771–776) by 2012 (9% decrease from 2008 to 2012). Incidence varied by age-group, sex, and province. There was an inverse association between incidence of microbiologically confirmed disease and ART coverage among HIV-infected individuals nationally and provincially. Trends in incidence of tuberculosis cases registered for treatment mirrored those of microbiologically confirmed cases nationally and provincially; however, incidence of microbiologically confirmed cases was consistently higher than cases registered for treatment nationally and in seven of nine provinces.
Since its peak in 2008, the incidence of microbiologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis in South Africa had declined by 2012; this decline is associated with an increase in ART coverage. Future integration of registries for microbiologically confirmed cases and new cases registered for treatment would improve the assessment of the burden of pulmonary tuberculosis in South Africa.
National Institute for Communicable Diseases: Division of the National Health Laboratory Service, South Africa.
Journal Article
Targeted next-generation sequencing for drug-resistant tuberculosis diagnosis: implementation considerations for bacterial load, regimen selection and diagnostic algorithm placement
by
Rodrigues, Camilla
,
Omar, Shaheed Vally
,
Suresh, Anita
in
Algorithms
,
Antitubercular Agents - pharmacology
,
Antitubercular Agents - therapeutic use
2025
IntroductionEarly and accurate diagnosis of drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) is essential for improving treatment outcomes. Phenotypic drug susceptibility testing (pDST) is comprehensive but slow, while rapid molecular assays provide resistance information for a limited number of drugs. Targeted next-generation sequencing (tNGS) offers the potential for broad and rapid resistance detection, but its integration into diagnostic algorithms has been hindered by uncertainty about its placement within existing workflows.MethodsThis study evaluated the extent to which two tNGS solutions—Deeplex Myc-TB (GenoScreen) and TB Drug Resistance Test (Oxford Nanopore Technologies, ONT)—provided interpretable drug resistance results that could inform regimen design, in comparison to other WHO-recommended molecular assays and pDST. Data were collected from three high-burden DR-TB settings under the Seq&Treat study. Sequencing success rates and drug resistance detection were analysed based on: (1) the initial Xpert MTB/RIF result (very low, low, medium, high), (2) resistance results for drugs in WHO-recommended regimens and (3) performance relative to other WHO-endorsed assays. The potential impact of different algorithms on the estimates was also considered. Key factors influencing successful tNGS adoption within diagnostic pathways were identified, leveraging insights from the Seq&Treat diagnostic accuracy study.ResultsSequencing success rates were 88.5% (GenoScreen) and 93.1% (ONT) across 763 samples. While tNGS provided complete resistance data for 73%–86% of drugs in recommended regimens, pDST achieved 92%–93%. Both tNGS solutions matched or exceeded the sensitivity of WHO-recommended molecular assays.ConclusionsThis study highlights the critical role of tNGS as a centralised tool for comprehensive drug resistance testing to inform DR-TB treatment decisions following initial screening assays. By complementing existing molecular tests with tNGS, diagnostic workflows can be optimised to ensure timely and comprehensive resistance detection. These findings support policy updates to integrate tNGS into global TB diagnostic algorithms.Trial registration number NCT04239326.
Journal Article
Bedaquiline-Resistant Tuberculosis Associated with Rv0678 Mutations
by
Ndjeka, Norbert
,
Kaniga, Koné
,
Ismail, Farzana
in
Antitubercular Agents - therapeutic use
,
Diarylquinolines - therapeutic use
,
Drug resistance
2022
Bedaquiline use began in 2015 in South Africa to treat drug-resistant tuberculosis. A non–target-based mutation in the
mmpR
(
Rv0678
) gene encoding an efflux pump repressor has been identified in the majority of bedaquiline-resistant isolates over the past 5 years.
Journal Article
A Novel Molecular Strategy for Surveillance of Multidrug Resistant Tuberculosis in High Burden Settings
by
Erasmus, Linda
,
Dreyer, Andries W.
,
Said, Halima M.
in
Cluster Analysis
,
Clustering
,
Cost of Illness
2016
In South Africa and other high prevalence countries, transmission is a significant contributor to rising rates of multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). Thus, there is a need to develop an early detection system for transmission clusters suitable for high burden settings. We have evaluated the discriminatory power and clustering concordance of a novel and simple genotyping approach, combining spoligotyping with pncA sequencing (SpoNC), against two well-established methods: IS6110-RFLP and 24-loci MIRU-VNTR.
A total of 216 MDR-TB isolates collected from January to June 2010 from the NHLS Central TB referral laboratory in Braamfontein, Johannesburg, representing a diversity of strains from South Africa, were included. The isolates were submitted for genotyping, pncA sequencing and analysis to the Centre for Tuberculosis in South Africa and the Public Health Research Institute Tuberculosis Center at Rutgers University in the United States. Clustering rates, Hunter-Gaston Discriminatory Indexes (HGI) and Wallace coefficients were compared between the methods.
Overall clustering rates were high by both IS6110-RFLP (52.8%) and MIRU-VNTR (45.8%), indicative of on-going transmission. Both 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and IS6110-RFLP had similar HGI (0.972 and 0.973, respectively), with close numbers of unique profiles (87 vs. 70), clustered isolates (129 vs. 146), and cluster sizes (2 to 26 vs. 2 to 25 isolates). Spoligotyping alone was the least discriminatory (80.1% clustering, HGI 0.903), with 28 unique types. However, the discriminatory power of spoligotyping was improved when combined with pncA sequencing using the SpoNC approach (61.8% clustering, HGI 0.958). A high proportion of MDR-TB isolates had mutations in pncA (68%, n = 145), and pncA mutations were significantly associated with clustering (p = 0.007 and p = 0.0013 by 24-loci MIRU-VNTR and IS6110-RFLP, respectively), suggesting high rates of resistance to pyrazinamide among all MDR-TB cases and particularly among clustered cases.
We conclude that SpoNC provides good discrimination for MDR-TB surveillance and early identification of outbreaks in South Africa, with 24-loci MIRU-VNTR applied for pncA wild-type strains as needed.
Journal Article
Implementation strategies to increase the uptake and impact of molecular WHO-recommended rapid diagnostic tests: evidence from a mixed-methods systematic review
by
Edwards, Matthew
,
Pearl, Abarna
,
Delrooz, Naveed
in
Diagnostic tests
,
Diagnostic Tests, Routine - statistics & numerical data
,
Diagnostics and tools
2025
IntroductionFewer than 50% of people with tuberculosis receive a molecular WHO-recommended rapid diagnostic test (mWRD). We performed a mixed-methods systematic review to categorise barriers and enablers that affect mWRD use and impact and evaluate mWRD implementation strategies. Parts of this review informed the WHO standard: Universal Access to Tuberculosis Diagnostics.MethodsWe searched multiple databases without language restrictions until 29 July 2022. We included studies that used qualitative, quantitative or mixed methods study designs. Four reviewers independently screened studies and extracted data. We categorised studies as thick or thin depending on whether authors analysed findings beyond a descriptive list of barriers or enablers and demonstrated insights into participants’ perspectives. We appraised study quality by adapting the Standards for Reporting Implementation Studies statement. We synthesised data using a thematic approach and used GRADE-CERQual to assess confidence in the findings.ResultsWe identified 54 high-thickness studies from 18 countries, including public and private healthcare settings. Implementation strategies included engaging patients, training and supporting clinicians, building infrastructure and interactive assistance. Examples included remote outreach programmes, community testing, longitudinal clinician engagement, auxiliary workers, multicomponent strategies, performance feedback, improving health information management to strengthen care linkage and diagnostic network improvement. We had high or moderate confidence in our findings.ConclusionInnovative and contextually relevant implementation strategies are needed for tuberculosis programmes to realise the benefits of improved accuracy and diagnostic expediency that mWRDs offer. Multicomponent strategies that centre equity and longitudinal health worker training across the diagnostic cascade must be prioritised.
Journal Article
Transmission of Extensively Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis in South Africa
by
Moodley, Pravi
,
Auld, Sara C
,
Omar, Shaheed V
in
Adolescent
,
Adult
,
AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections - drug therapy
2017
This study from South Africa showed that extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis, an emerging global public health threat, is largely associated with transmission of drug-resistant strains rather than new emergence of drug resistance.
Drug-resistant tuberculosis is a major global epidemic, with a half million cases occurring each year.
1
Extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis — the most severe form of drug resistance — has been reported worldwide and involves resistance to at least four first-line and second-line drugs for tuberculosis. This high degree of resistance severely limits treatment options, necessitating the use of complex, toxic, and costly regimens. Rates of treatment success are less than 40% in most patient populations, and rates of death are 50 to 80%.
2
–
6
Drug-resistant tuberculosis has traditionally been thought to develop as a result of selection pressure that occurs . . .
Journal Article
Genome-wide association studies of global Mycobacterium tuberculosis resistance to 13 antimicrobials in 10,228 genomes identify new resistance mechanisms
by
The CRyPTIC Consortium Membership of The CRyPTIC Consortium is provided in Supporting information fileS1 Acknowledgments
in
Anti-Infective Agents - pharmacology
,
Antimicrobial agents
,
Antimicrobial resistance
2022
The emergence of drug-resistant tuberculosis is a major global public health concern that threatens the ability to control the disease. Whole-genome sequencing as a tool to rapidly diagnose resistant infections can transform patient treatment and clinical practice. While resistance mechanisms are well understood for some drugs, there are likely many mechanisms yet to be uncovered, particularly for new and repurposed drugs. We sequenced 10,228 Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) isolates worldwide and determined the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) on a grid of 2-fold concentration dilutions for 13 antimicrobials using quantitative microtiter plate assays. We performed oligopeptide- and oligonucleotide-based genome-wide association studies using linear mixed models to discover resistance-conferring mechanisms not currently catalogued. Use of MIC over binary resistance phenotypes increased sample heritability for the new and repurposed drugs by 26% to 37%, increasing our ability to detect novel associations. For all drugs, we discovered uncatalogued variants associated with MIC, including in the Rv1218c promoter binding site of the transcriptional repressor Rv1219c (isoniazid), upstream of the vapBC20 operon that cleaves 23S rRNA (linezolid) and in the region encoding an α-helix lining the active site of Cyp142 (clofazimine, all p < 10 −7.7 ). We observed that artefactual signals of cross-resistance could be unravelled based on the relative effect size on MIC. Our study demonstrates the ability of very large-scale studies to substantially improve our knowledge of genetic variants associated with antimicrobial resistance in M . tuberculosis .
Journal Article
Whole-genome sequencing for prediction of Mycobacterium tuberculosis drug susceptibility and resistance: a retrospective cohort study
by
Del Ojo Elias, Carlos
,
Drobniewski, Francis A
,
Diel, Roland
in
Antitubercular Agents - pharmacology
,
Biomedical research
,
Deoxyribonucleic acid
2015
Diagnosing drug-resistance remains an obstacle to the elimination of tuberculosis. Phenotypic drug-susceptibility testing is slow and expensive, and commercial genotypic assays screen only common resistance-determining mutations. We used whole-genome sequencing to characterise common and rare mutations predicting drug resistance, or consistency with susceptibility, for all first-line and second-line drugs for tuberculosis.
Between Sept 1, 2010, and Dec 1, 2013, we sequenced a training set of 2099 Mycobacterium tuberculosis genomes. For 23 candidate genes identified from the drug-resistance scientific literature, we algorithmically characterised genetic mutations as not conferring resistance (benign), resistance determinants, or uncharacterised. We then assessed the ability of these characterisations to predict phenotypic drug-susceptibility testing for an independent validation set of 1552 genomes. We sought mutations under similar selection pressure to those characterised as resistance determinants outside candidate genes to account for residual phenotypic resistance.
We characterised 120 training-set mutations as resistance determining, and 772 as benign. With these mutations, we could predict 89·2% of the validation-set phenotypes with a mean 92·3% sensitivity (95% CI 90·7–93·7) and 98·4% specificity (98·1–98·7). 10·8% of validation-set phenotypes could not be predicted because uncharacterised mutations were present. With an in-silico comparison, characterised resistance determinants had higher sensitivity than the mutations from three line-probe assays (85·1% vs 81·6%). No additional resistance determinants were identified among mutations under selection pressure in non-candidate genes.
A broad catalogue of genetic mutations enable data from whole-genome sequencing to be used clinically to predict drug resistance, drug susceptibility, or to identify drug phenotypes that cannot yet be genetically predicted. This approach could be integrated into routine diagnostic workflows, phasing out phenotypic drug-susceptibility testing while reporting drug resistance early.
Wellcome Trust, National Institute of Health Research, Medical Research Council, and the European Union.
Journal Article