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Synthetic and External Controls in Clinical Trials – A Primer for Researchers
by
Park, Jay JH
,
Dron, Louis
,
Thorlund, Kristian
in
Alectinib
,
Cerliponase alfa
,
Clinical medicine
2020
There has been a rapid expansion in the use of non-randomized evidence in the regulatory approval of treatments globally. An emerging set of methodologies have been utilized to provide greater insight into external control data used for these purposes, collectively known as synthetic control methods. Through this paper, we provide the reader with a set of key questions to help assess the quality of literature publications utilizing synthetic control methodologies. Common challenges and real-life examples of synthetic controls are provided throughout, alongside a critical appraisal framework with which to assess future publications.
Journal Article
6-month versus 12-month or longer dual antiplatelet therapy after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with acute coronary syndrome (SMART-DATE): a randomised, open-label, non-inferiority trial
by
Cho, Deok-Kyu
,
Lee, Wang Soo
,
Yang, Jeong Hoon
in
Acute Coronary Syndrome - drug therapy
,
Acute Coronary Syndrome - surgery
,
Acute coronary syndromes
2018
Current guidelines recommend dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) of aspirin plus a P2Y12 inhibitor for at least 12 months after implantation of drug-eluting stents (DES) in patients with acute coronary syndrome. However, available data about the optimal duration of DAPT in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention are scant. We aimed to investigate whether a 6-month duration of DAPT would be non-inferior to the conventional 12-month or longer duration of DAPT in this population.
We did a randomised, open-label, non-inferiority trial at 31 centres in South Korea. Patients were eligible if they had unstable angina, non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, or ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, and underwent percutaneous coronary intervention. Enrolled patients were randomly assigned, via a web-based system by computer-generated block randomisation, to either the 6-month DAPT group or to the 12-month or longer DAPT group, with stratification by site, clinical presentation, and diabetes. Assessors were masked to treatment allocation. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke at 18 months after the index procedure in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary endpoints were the individual components of the primary endpoint; definite or probable stent thrombosis as defined by the Academic Research Consortium; and Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) type 2–5 bleeding at 18 months after the index procedure. The primary endpoint was also analysed per protocol. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01701453.
Between Sept 5, 2012, and Dec 31, 2015, we randomly assigned 2712 patients; 1357 to the 6-month DAPT group and 1355 to the 12-month or longer DAPT group. Clopidogrel was used as a P2Y12 inhibitor for DAPT in 1082 (79·7%) patients in the 6-month DAPT group and in 1109 (81·8%) patients in the 12-month or longer DAPT group. The primary endpoint occurred in 63 patients in the 6-month DAPT group and in 56 patients in the 12-month or longer DAPT group (cumulative event rate 4·7% vs 4·2%; absolute risk difference 0·5%; upper limit of one-sided 95% CI 1·8%; pnon-inferiority=0·03 with a predefined non-inferiority margin of 2·0%). Although all-cause mortality did not differ significantly between the 6-month DAPT group and the 12-month or longer DAPT group (35 [2·6%] patients vs 39 [2·9%]; hazard ratio [HR] 0·90 [95% CI 0·57–1·42]; p=0·90) and neither did stroke (11 [0·8%] patients vs 12 [0·9%]; 0·92 [0·41–2·08]; p=0·84), myocardial infarction occurred more frequently in the 6-month DAPT group than in the 12-month or longer DAPT group (24 [1·8%] patients vs ten [0·8%]; 2·41 [1·15–5·05]; p=0·02). 15 (1·1%) patients had stent thrombosis in the 6-month DAPT group compared with ten (0·7%) in the 12-month or longer DAPT group (HR 1·50 [95% CI 0·68–3·35]; p=0·32). The rate of BARC type 2–5 bleeding was 2·7% (35 patients) in the 6-month DAPT group and 3·9% (51 patients) in the 12-month or longer DAPT group (HR 0·69 [95% CI 0·45–1·05]; p=0·09). Results from the per-protocol analysis were similar to those from the intention-to-treat analysis.
The increased risk of myocardial infarction with 6-month DAPT and the wide non-inferiority margin prevent us from concluding that short-term DAPT is safe in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention with current-generation DES. Prolonged DAPT in patients with acute coronary syndrome without excessive risk of bleeding should remain the standard of care.
Abbott Vascular Korea, Medtronic Vascular Korea, Biosensors Inc, and Dong-A ST.
Journal Article
Palbociclib plus exemestane with gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist versus capecitabine in premenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer (KCSG-BR15-10): a multicentre, open-label, randomised, phase 2 trial
Endocrine treatment is recommended by clinical guidelines as the preferred treatment option for premenopausal as well as postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer. In real-world clinical practice, however, a substantial number of patients are treated with chemotherapy. We aimed to compare the clinical antitumour activity and safety of palbociclib plus endocrine therapy with that of capecitabine chemotherapy in premenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer.
This multicentre, open-label, randomised, phase 2 study was done in 14 academic institutions in South Korea. Premenopausal women aged 19 years or older with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer that had relapsed or progressed during previous tamoxifen therapy and with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0–2 were included. One line of previous chemotherapy for metastatic breast cancer was allowed. Patients were randomly assigned, using a random permuted block design (with a block size of two), to receive palbociclib plus combination endocrine therapy (oral exemestane 25 mg per day for 28 days and oral palbociclib 125 mg per day for 21 days every 4 weeks plus leuprolide 3·75 mg subcutaneously every 4 weeks) or chemotherapy (oral capecitabine 1250 mg/m2 twice daily for 2 weeks every 3 weeks). Randomisation was stratified by previous chemotherapy for metastatic breast cancer and visceral metastasis. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival. All analyses were done in a modified intention-to-treat population that excluded patients who did not receive study medication. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02592746, and is ongoing for follow-up of overall survival.
Between June 15, 2016, and Dec 10, 2018, 189 patients were enrolled, of whom 184 were randomly assigned to the palbociclib plus endocrine therapy group (n=92) or the capecitabine group (n=92). Six patients in the capecitabine group withdrew from the study before drug administration; therefore, 92 patients in the palbociclib plus endocrine therapy group and 86 patients in the capecitabine group were included in the modified intention-to-treat analyses. 46 (50%) of 92 patients in the palbociclib plus endocrine therapy group and 45 (51%) of 92 in the capecitabine group were treatment naive for metastatic breast cancer. During a median follow-up of 17 months (IQR 9–22), median progression-free survival was 20·1 months (95% CI 14·2–21·8) in the palbociclib plus endocrine therapy group versus 14·4 months (12·1–17·0) in the capecitabine group (hazard ratio 0·659 [95% CI 0·437–0·994], one-sided log-rank p=0·0235). Treatment-related grade 3 or worse neutropenia was more common in the palbociclib plus endocrine therapy group than in the capecitabine group (69 [75%] of 92 vs 14 [16%] of 86 patients). 2 (2%) patients in the palbociclib plus endocrine therapy group and 15 (17%) patients in the capecitabine group had treatment-related serious adverse events. No treatment-related deaths occurred.
Exemestane plus palbociclib with ovarian function suppression showed clinical benefit compared with capecitabine in terms of improved progression-free survival in premenopausal patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer. Palbociclib plus exemestane with ovarian suppression is an active treatment option in premenopausal patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer who have been pretreated with tamoxifen.
Pfizer, Shinpoong, and Daewoong Korea and Takeda.
Journal Article
An open cortico-basal ganglia loop allows limbic control over motor output via the nigrothalamic pathway
by
Smith, Jared B
,
Yan, Xunyi
,
Li, Hao
in
Animals
,
Basal ganglia
,
Basal Ganglia - anatomy & histology
2019
Cortico-basal ganglia-thalamocortical loops are largely conceived as parallel circuits that process limbic, associative, and sensorimotor information separately. Whether and how these functionally distinct loops interact remains unclear. Combining genetic and viral approaches, we systemically mapped the limbic and motor cortico-basal ganglia-thalamocortical loops in rodents. Despite largely closed loops within each functional domain, we discovered a unidirectional influence of the limbic over the motor loop via ventral striatum-substantia nigra (SNr)-motor thalamus circuitry. Slice electrophysiology verifies that the projection from ventral striatum functionally inhibits nigro-thalamic SNr neurons. In vivo optogenetic stimulation of ventral or dorsolateral striatum to SNr pathway modulates activity in medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) and motor cortex (M1), respectively. However, whereas the dorsolateral striatum-SNr pathway exerts little impact on mPFC, activation of the ventral striatum-SNr pathway effectively alters M1 activity. These results demonstrate an open cortico-basal ganglia loop whereby limbic information could modulate motor output through ventral striatum control of M1.
Journal Article
Quantification of the pace of biological aging in humans through a blood test, the DunedinPoAm DNA methylation algorithm
2020
Biological aging is the gradual, progressive decline in system integrity that occurs with advancing chronological age, causing morbidity and disability. Measurements of the pace of aging are needed as surrogate endpoints in trials of therapies designed to prevent disease by slowing biological aging. We report a blood-DNA-methylation measure that is sensitive to variation in pace of biological aging among individuals born the same year. We first modeled change-over-time in 18 biomarkers tracking organ-system integrity across 12 years of follow-up in n = 954 members of the Dunedin Study born in 1972–1973. Rates of change in each biomarker over ages 26–38 years were composited to form a measure of aging-related decline, termed Pace-of-Aging. Elastic-net regression was used to develop a DNA-methylation predictor of Pace-of-Aging, called DunedinPoAm for Dunedin(P)ace(o)f(A)ging(m)ethylation. Validation analysis in cohort studies and the CALERIE trial provide proof-of-principle for DunedinPoAm as a single-time-point measure of a person’s pace of biological aging. People’s bodies age at different rates. Age-related biological changes that increase the risk of disease and disability progress rapidly in some people. In others, these processes occur at a slower pace, allowing those individuals to live longer, healthier lives. This observation has led scientists to try to develop therapies that slow aging. The hope is that such treatments could prevent or delay diseases like heart disease or dementia, for which older age is the leading risk factor. Studies in animals have identified treatments that extend the creatures’ lives and slow age-related disease. But testing these treatments in humans is challenging. Our lives are much longer than the worms, flies or mice used in the experiments. Scientists would have to follow human study participants for decades to detect delays in disease onset or an extension of their lives. An alternative approach is to try to develop a test that measures the pace of aging, or essentially “a speedometer for aging”. This would allow scientists to more quickly determine if treatments slow the aging process. Now, Belsky et al. show a blood test designed to measure the pace of aging predicts which people are at increased risk of poor health, chronic disease and an earlier death. First, data about chemical changes to an individual’s DNA, called DNA methylation, were analyzed from white blood cell samples collected from 954 people in a long-term health study known as “The Dunedin Study”. Using the data, Belsky et al. then developed an algorithm – named “DunedinPoAm” – that identified people with an accelerated or slowed pace of aging based on a single blood test. Next, they used the algorithm on samples from participants in three other long-term studies. This verified that those people the algorithm identified as aging faster had a greater risk of poor health, developing chronic diseases or dying earlier. Similarly, those identified as aging more slowly performed better on tests of balance, strength, walking speed and mental ability, and they also looked younger to trained raters. Additionally, Belsky et al. used the test on participants in a randomized trial testing whether restricting calories had potential to extend healthy lifespan. The results suggested that the calorie restriction could counter the effects of an accelerated pace of aging. The test developed by Belsky et al. may provide an alternate way of measuring whether age-slowing treatments work. This would allow faster testing of treatments that can extend the healthy lifespan of humans. The test may also help identify individuals with accelerated aging. This might help public health officials test whether policies or programs can help people lead longer, healthier lives.
Journal Article
Immediate versus staged complete revascularisation during index admission in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and multivessel disease (OPTION–STEMI): a multicentre, non-inferiority, open-label, randomised trial
2025
The optimal timing of complete revascularisation for patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and multivessel coronary artery disease remains unclear. We aimed to assess whether immediate complete revascularisation was non-inferior to staged complete revascularisation during the index admission.
We conducted an open-label, randomised, non-inferiority trial at 14 hospitals in South Korea. Patients aged 19 years or older with STEMI and multivessel disease who had undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for a culprit lesion were randomly assigned 1:1 to immediate complete revascularisation (PCI for non-culprit lesions during the index procedure) or staged complete revascularisation (non-culprit PCI on another day during the index admission). Web-based, permuted-block randomisation (using mixed block sizes of two or four) was implemented at each participating centre to allocate patients. Non-culprit lesions with 50–69% stenosis were evaluated by fractional flow reserve. Study participants and study investigators were aware of treatment allocation, but members of the independent clinical committee reviewing primary and secondary endpoints were masked to treatment allocation. The primary endpoint was a composite of death from any cause, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or any unplanned revascularisation at 1 year in the intention-to-treat population, and the non-inferiority margin was set at a hazard ratio (HR) of 1·42; if the upper boundary of the one-sided 97·5% CI of the HR was less than 1·42, immediate complete revascularisation would be considered non-inferior to staged complete revascularisation. Reported adverse events consisted of procedural complications, other complications during admission, and in-hospital clinical events occurring during the index admission. This trial is registered with the Clinical Research Information Service (KCT0004457) and ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04626882). Long-term follow-up is ongoing.
Between Dec 30, 2019, and Jan 15, 2024, 994 patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to immediate revascularisation (n=498; immediate group) or staged revascularisation (n=496; staged group). The primary endpoint occurred at 1 year in 65 patients (13%) in the immediate group and 53 patients (11%) in the staged group (HR 1·24 [95% CI 0·86–1·79]; pnon-inferiority=0·24). Rates of stroke, major bleeding, and contrast-induced nephropathy did not differ significantly between the two groups. Cardiogenic shock during the index hospitalisation occurred in 18 (4%) of 498 patients in the immediate group and nine (2%) of 496 patients in the staged complete revascularisation group.
Among patients with STEMI and multivessel disease, immediate complete revascularisation was not shown to be non-inferior to staged complete revascularisation during the index admission in terms of incidence of a composite of death from any cause, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or any unplanned revascularisation at 1 year. This finding might inform future clinical guidelines on the role and optimal use of immediate complete revascularisation during the index admission.
Boston Scientific.
Journal Article
Optical coherence tomography-guided versus angiography-guided percutaneous coronary intervention for patients with complex lesions (OCCUPI): an investigator-initiated, multicentre, randomised, open-label, superiority trial in South Korea
2024
Despite the detailed imaging information provided by optical coherence tomography (OCT) during percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), clinical benefits of this imaging technique in this setting remain uncertain. The aim of the OCCUPI trial was to compare the clinical benefits of OCT-guided versus angiography-guided PCI for complex lesions, assessed as the rate of major adverse cardiac events at 1 year.
This investigator-initiated, multicentre, randomised, open-label, superiority trial conducted at 20 hospitals in South Korea enrolled patients aged 19–85 years for whom PCI with drug-eluting stents was clinically indicated. After diagnostic angiography, clinical and angiographic findings were assessed to identify patients who met the criterion of having one or more complex lesions. Patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to receive PCI with OCT guidance (OCT-guidance group) or angiography guidance without OCT (angiography-guidance group). Web-response permuted-block randomisation (mixed blocks of four or six) was used at each participating site to allocate patients. The allocation sequence was computer-generated by an external programmer who was not involved in the rest of the trial. Outcome assessors were masked to group assignment. Patients, follow-up health-care providers, and data analysers were not masked. PCI was done according to conventional standard methods with everolimus-eluting stents. The primary endpoint was major adverse cardiac events (a composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, or ischaemia-driven target-vessel revascularisation), 1 year after PCI. The primary analysis was done in the intention-to-treat population. The margin used to establish superiority was 1·0 as a hazard ratio. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03625908) and is completed.
Between Jan 9, 2019, and Sept 22, 2022, 1604 patients requiring PCI with drug-eluting stents for complex lesions were randomly assigned to receive either OCT-guided PCI (n=803) or angiography-guided PCI (n=801). 1290 (80%) of 1604 patients were male and 314 (20%) were female. The median age of patients at randomisation was 64 years (IQR 57–70). 1588 (99%) patients completed 1-year follow-up. The primary endpoint occurred in 37 (5%) of 803 patients in the OCT-guided PCI group and 59 (7%) of 801 patients in the angiography-guided PCI group (absolute difference –2·8% [95% CI –5·1 to –0·4]; hazard ratio 0·62 [95% CI 0·41 to 0·93]; p=0·023). Rates of stroke, bleeding events, and contrast-induced nephropathy were not significantly different across the two groups.
Among patients who required drug-eluting stent implantation for complex lesions, OCT guidance resulted in a lower incidence of major adverse cardiac events at 1 year compared with angiography guidance. These findings indicate the existence of a therapeutic benefit of OCT as an intravascular imaging technique for PCI guidance in patients with complex coronary lesions.
Abbott Vascular and Cardiovascular Research Center.
For the Korean translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
Journal Article
Efficacy and safety of clopidogrel versus aspirin monotherapy in patients at high risk of subsequent cardiovascular event after percutaneous coronary intervention (SMART-CHOICE 3): a randomised, open-label, multicentre trial
2025
The optimal strategy for long-term antiplatelet maintenance for patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remains uncertain. This study aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of clopidogrel versus aspirin monotherapy in patients who completed a standard duration of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) following PCI with drug-eluting stents.
In this multicentre, randomised, open-label trial, patients aged 19 years or older at high risk of recurrent ischaemic events (previous myocardial infarction at any time before enrolment, medication-treated diabetes, or complex coronary lesions) who completed a standard duration of DAPT after PCI were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive clopidogrel (75 mg once a day) or aspirin (100 mg once a day) oral monotherapy at 26 sites in South Korea. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of a composite of death from any cause, myocardial infarction, or stroke, assessed in the intention-to-treat population. Adverse events were captured as part of the secondary endpoints. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04418479). It is closed to accrual and extended follow-up is ongoing.
Between Aug 10, 2020, and July 31, 2023, 5542 patients were assessed for eligibility and 5506 were randomly assigned (2752 to clopidogrel monotherapy and 2754 to aspirin monotherapy). The median time between PCI and randomisation was 17·5 months (IQR 12·6–36·1 months). During a median follow-up period of 2·3 years (IQR 1·6–3·0), the primary endpoint occurred in 92 patients in the clopidogrel group and 128 patients in the aspirin group (Kaplan–Meier estimated 3-year incidence 4·4% [95% CI 3·4–5·4] vs 6·6% [5·4–7·8]; hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·54–0·93]; p=0·013). Death from any cause occurred in 50 patients in the clopidogrel group and 70 in the aspirin group (2·4% [1·6–3·1] vs 4·0% [2·9–5·0] at 3 years; 0·71 [0·49–1·02]); myocardial infarction in 23 patients in the clopidogrel group and 42 in the aspirin group (1·0% [0·6–1·4] vs 2·2% [1·4–2·9] at 3 years; 0·54 [0·33–0·90]); and stroke in 23 in the clopidogrel group and 29 in the aspirin group (1·3% [0·7–2·0] vs 1·3% [0·8–1·7] at 3 years; 0·79 [0·46–1·36]). There was no difference in the risk of bleeding between the clopidogrel and aspirin groups (3·0% [2·0–3·9] vs 3·0% [2·2–3·9] at 3 years; 0·97 [0·67–1·42]). Clopidogrel was not associated with a higher incidence of any adverse event compared with aspirin.
Among patients who were at high risk of recurrent ischaemic events and who completed the standard duration of DAPT following PCI, clopidogrel monotherapy, compared with aspirin monotherapy, significantly reduced the cumulative incidence of a composite of death from any cause, myocardial infarction, and stroke, without an apparent increase in the risk of bleeding.
Dong-A ST.
Journal Article
New tools for automated high-resolution cryo-EM structure determination in RELION-3
by
Forsberg, Björn O
,
Kimanius, Dari
,
Zivanov, Jasenko
in
Automation
,
Automation, Laboratory - methods
,
Bayesian analysis
2018
Here, we describe the third major release of RELION. CPU-based vector acceleration has been added in addition to GPU support, which provides flexibility in use of resources and avoids memory limitations. Reference-free autopicking with Laplacian-of-Gaussian filtering and execution of jobs from python allows non-interactive processing during acquisition, including 2D-classification, de novo model generation and 3D-classification. Per-particle refinement of CTF parameters and correction of estimated beam tilt provides higher resolution reconstructions when particles are at different heights in the ice, and/or coma-free alignment has not been optimal. Ewald sphere curvature correction improves resolution for large particles. We illustrate these developments with publicly available data sets: together with a Bayesian approach to beam-induced motion correction it leads to resolution improvements of 0.2–0.7 Å compared to previous RELION versions.
Journal Article
Timing of fractional flow reserve-guided complete revascularization in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction with multivessel disease: Rationale and design of the OPTION-STEMI trial
by
Kim, Weon
,
Hong, Young Joon
,
Ahn, Youngkeun
in
Acute coronary syndromes
,
Angioplasty
,
Blood clots
2024
Current guidelines recommend complete revascularization (CR) in hemodynamically stable patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and multivessel coronary artery disease (MVD). With regard to the timing of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for non-infarct-related artery (non-IRA), recent randomized clinical trials have revealed that immediate CR was non-inferior to staged CR. However, the optimal timing of CR remains uncertain. The OPTION-STEMI trial compared immediate CR and in-hospital staged CR guided by fractional flow reserve (FFR) for intermediate stenosis of the non-IRA.
The OPTION-STEMI is a multicenter, investigator-initiated, prospective, open-label, non-inferiority randomized clinical trial. The study included patients with at least 1 non-IRA lesion with ≥50% stenosis by visual estimation. Patients fulfilling the inclusion criteria were randomized into 2 groups at a 1:1 ratio: immediate CR (i.e., PCI for the non-IRA performed during primary angioplasty) or in-hospital staged CR. In the in-hospital staged CR group, PCI for non-IRA lesions was performed on another day during the index hospitalization. Non-IRA lesions with 50%−69% stenosis by visual estimation were evaluated by FFR, whereas those with ≥70% stenosis was revascularized without FFR. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and all unplanned revascularization at 1 year after randomization. Enrolment began in December 2019 and was completed in January 2024. The follow-up for the primary endpoint will be completed in January 2025, and primary results will be available in the middle of 2025.
The OPTION-STEMI is a multicenter, non-inferiority, randomized trial that evaluated the timing of in-hospital CR with the aid of FFR in patients with STEMI and MVD.
URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT04626882; and URL: https://cris.nih.go.kr. Unique identifier: KCT0004457.
Journal Article