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"Jacob, Robert L"
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The DOE E3SM Coupled Model Version 1: Overview and Evaluation at Standard Resolution
by
Wang, Shanlin
,
Shi, Xiaoying
,
Maltrud, Mathew E.
in
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)
,
Atmosphere
,
Biogeochemistry
2019
This work documents the first version of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) new Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1). We focus on the standard resolution of the fully coupled physical model designed to address DOE mission‐relevant water cycle questions. Its components include atmosphere and land (110‐km grid spacing), ocean and sea ice (60 km in the midlatitudes and 30 km at the equator and poles), and river transport (55 km) models. This base configuration will also serve as a foundation for additional configurations exploring higher horizontal resolution as well as augmented capabilities in the form of biogeochemistry and cryosphere configurations. The performance of E3SMv1 is evaluated by means of a standard set of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Characterization of Klima simulations consisting of a long preindustrial control, historical simulations (ensembles of fully coupled and prescribed SSTs) as well as idealized CO2 forcing simulations. The model performs well overall with biases typical of other CMIP‐class models, although the simulated Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is weaker than many CMIP‐class models. While the E3SMv1 historical ensemble captures the bulk of the observed warming between preindustrial (1850) and present day, the trajectory of the warming diverges from observations in the second half of the twentieth century with a period of delayed warming followed by an excessive warming trend. Using a two‐layer energy balance model, we attribute this divergence to the model's strong aerosol‐related effective radiative forcing (ERFari+aci = −1.65 W/m2) and high equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS = 5.3 K). Plain Language Summary The U.S. Department of Energy funded the development of a new state‐of‐the‐art Earth system model for research and applications relevant to its mission. The Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (E3SMv1) consists of five interacting components for the global atmosphere, land surface, ocean, sea ice, and rivers. Three of these components (ocean, sea ice, and river) are new and have not been coupled into an Earth system model previously. The atmosphere and land surface components were created by extending existing components part of the Community Earth System Model, Version 1. E3SMv1's capabilities are demonstrated by performing a set of standardized simulation experiments described by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Characterization of Klima protocol at standard horizontal spatial resolution of approximately 1° latitude and longitude. The model reproduces global and regional climate features well compared to observations. Simulated warming between 1850 and 2015 matches observations, but the model is too cold by about 0.5 °C between 1960 and 1990 and later warms at a rate greater than observed. A thermodynamic analysis of the model's response to greenhouse gas and aerosol radiative affects may explain the reasons for the discrepancy. Key Points This work documents E3SMv1, the first version of the U.S. DOE Energy Exascale Earth System Model The performance of E3SMv1 is documented with a set of standard CMIP6 DECK and historical simulations comprising nearly 3,000 years E3SMv1 has a high equilibrium climate sensitivity (5.3 K) and strong aerosol‐related effective radiative forcing (‐1.65 W/m2)
Journal Article
Statistical Emulation of Climate Model Projections Based on Precomputed GCM Runs
by
Crouch, Feifei Liu
,
Stein, Michael L.
,
Moyer, Elisabeth J.
in
Anomalies
,
Carbon dioxide
,
Carbon dioxide concentration
2014
The authors describe a new approach for emulating the output of a fully coupled climate model under arbitrary forcing scenarios that is based on a small set of precomputed runs from the model. Temperature and precipitation are expressed as simple functions of the past trajectory of atmospheric CO₂ concentrations, and a statistical model is fit using a limited set of training runs. The approach is demonstrated to be a useful and computationally efficient alternative to pattern scaling and captures the nonlinear evolution of spatial patterns of climate anomalies inherent in transient climates. The approach does as well as pattern scaling in all circumstances and substantially better in many; it is not computationally demanding; and, once the statistical model is fit, it produces emulated climate output effectively instantaneously. It may therefore find wide application in climate impacts assessments and other policy analyses requiring rapid climate projections.
Journal Article
The Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 3: 1. Overview of the Atmospheric Component
by
Chen, Chih‐Chieh‐Jack
,
Wu, Mingxuan
,
Guo, Zhun
in
aerosol and chemistry
,
aerosol effective radiative forcing
,
Aerosols
2025
This paper describes the atmospheric component of the US Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) version 3. Significant updates have been made to the atmospheric physics compared to earlier versions. Specifically, interactive gas chemistry has been implemented, along with improved representations of aerosols and dust emissions. A new stratiform cloud microphysics scheme more physically treats ice processes and aerosol‐cloud interactions. The deep convection parameterization has been largely improved with sophisticated microphysics for convective clouds, making model convection sensitive to large‐scale dynamics, and incorporating the dynamical and physical effects of organized mesoscale convection. Improvements in aerosol wet removal processes and parameter re‐tuning of key aerosol and cloud processes have improved model aerosol radiative forcing. The model's vertical resolution has increased from 72 to 80 layers with the extra eight layers added in the lower stratosphere to better simulate the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation. These improvements have enhanced E3SM's capability to couple aerosol, chemistry, and biogeochemistry and reduced some long‐standing biases in simulating tropical variability. Compared to its predecessors, the model shows a much stronger signal for the Madden‐Julian Oscillation, Kelvin waves, mixed Rossby‐gravity waves, and eastward inertia‐gravity waves. Aerosol radiative forcing has been considerably reduced and is now better aligned with community best estimates, leading to significantly improved skill in simulating historical temperature records. Its simulated mean‐state climate is largely comparable to E3SMv2, but with some notable degradation in shortwave cloud radiative effect, precipitable water, and surface wind stress, which will be addressed in future updates. Plain Language Summary This study is part of a series describing the newly released version 3 of the US Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv3), focusing on updates to its atmospheric component model (EAMv3). Substantial improvements have been made in representing atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, clouds, convective processes, and their interactions in the model. The model's vertical resolution in the lower stratosphere has increased to better simulate the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation. These updates strengthen E3SM's ability to model aerosol, chemistry, and biogeochemistry, and reduce biases in tropical variability. The model now shows stronger signals for phenomena like the Madden‐Julian Oscillation and Kelvin waves. Aerosol radiative forcing is better aligned with community estimates, improving the model's skill in simulating historical temperatures. The model's simulated mean‐state climate is largely comparable to its predecessor model EAMv2. Key Points Significant updates were made to Earth System Model version 3 atmospheric physics, including gas phase chemistry, aerosols, clouds, and convection Improved cloud, convection, and vertical resolution largely improved tropical variability simulation in troposphere and stratosphere Improved aerosol representation and aerosol‐cloud interactions have led to a much‐reduced and realistic aerosol radiative forcing
Journal Article
The DOE E3SM Model Version 2: Overview of the Physical Model and Initial Model Evaluation
by
Chen, Chih‐Chieh‐Jack
,
Wu, Mingxuan
,
Li, Qing
in
Aerosols
,
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)
,
Atmospheric variability
2022
This work documents version two of the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 is a significant evolution from its predecessor E3SMv1, resulting in a model that is nearly twice as fast and with a simulated climate that is improved in many metrics. We describe the physical climate model in its lower horizontal resolution configuration consisting of 110 km atmosphere, 165 km land, 0.5° river routing model, and an ocean and sea ice with mesh spacing varying between 60 km in the mid‐latitudes and 30 km at the equator and poles. The model performance is evaluated with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Characterization of Klima simulations augmented with historical simulations as well as simulations to evaluate impacts of different forcing agents. The simulated climate has many realistic features of the climate system, with notable improvements in clouds and precipitation compared to E3SMv1. E3SMv1 suffered from an excessively high equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) of 5.3 K. In E3SMv2, ECS is reduced to 4.0 K which is now within the plausible range based on a recent World Climate Research Program assessment. However, a number of important biases remain including a weak Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, deficiencies in the characteristics and spectral distribution of tropical atmospheric variability, and a significant underestimation of the observed warming in the second half of the historical period. An analysis of single‐forcing simulations indicates that correcting the historical temperature bias would require a substantial reduction in the magnitude of the aerosol‐related forcing. Plain Language Summary The U.S. Department of Energy recently released version two of its Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 experienced a significant evolution in many of its model components (most notably the atmosphere and sea ice models), and its supporting software infrastructure. In this work, we document the computational performance of E3SMv2 and analyze its ability to reproduce the observed climate. To accomplish this, we utilize the standard Diagnosis and Evaluation and Characterization of Klima experiments augmented with historical simulations for the period 1850–2015. We find that E3SMv2 is nearly twice as fast as its predecessor and more accurately reproduces the observed climate in a number of metrics, most notably clouds and precipitation. We also find that the model's simulated response to increasing carbon dioxide (the equilibrium climate sensitivity) is much more realistic. Unfortunately, E3SMv2 underestimates the global mean surface temperature compared to observations during the second half of historical period. Using sensitivity experiments, where forcing agents (carbon dioxide, aerosols) are selectively disabled in the model, we determine that correcting this problem would require a strong reduction in the impact of aerosols. Key Points E3SMv2 is nearly twice as fast as E3SMv1 with a simulated climate that is improved in many metrics (e.g., precipitation and clouds) Climate sensitivity is substantially lower with a more plausible equilibrium climate sensitivity of 4.0 K (compared to an unlikely value of 5.3 K in E3SMv1) E3SMv2 underestimates the warming in the late historical period due to excessive aerosol‐related forcing
Journal Article
The fully coupled regionally refined model of E3SM version 2: overview of the atmosphere, land, and river results
2023
This paper provides an overview of the United States (US) Department of Energy's (DOE's) Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2 (E3SMv2) fully coupled regionally refined model (RRM) and documents the overall atmosphere, land, and river results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) DECK (Diagnosis, Evaluation, and Characterization of Klima) and historical simulations – a first-of-its-kind set of climate production simulations using RRM. The North American (NA) RRM (NARRM) is developed as the high-resolution configuration of E3SMv2 with the primary goal of more explicitly addressing DOE's mission needs regarding impacts to the US energy sector facing Earth system changes. The NARRM features finer horizontal resolution grids centered over NA, consisting of 25→100 km atmosphere and land, a 0.125∘ river-routing model, and 14→60 km ocean and sea ice. By design, the computational cost of NARRM is ∼3× of the uniform low-resolution (LR) model at 100 km but only ∼ 10 %–20 % of a globally uniform high-resolution model at 25 km.A novel hybrid time step strategy for the atmosphere is key for NARRM to achieve improved climate simulation fidelity within the high-resolution patch without sacrificing the overall global performance. The global climate, including climatology, time series, sensitivity, and feedback, is confirmed to be largely identical between NARRM and LR as quantified with typical climate metrics. Over the refined NA area, NARRM is generally superior to LR, including for precipitation and clouds over the contiguous US (CONUS), summertime marine stratocumulus clouds off the coast of California, liquid and ice phase clouds near the North Pole region, extratropical cyclones, and spatial variability in land hydrological processes. The improvements over land are related to the better-resolved topography in NARRM, whereas those over ocean are attributable to the improved air–sea interactions with finer grids for both atmosphere and ocean and sea ice. Some features appear insensitive to the resolution change analyzed here, for instance the diurnal propagation of organized mesoscale convective systems over CONUS and the warm-season land–atmosphere coupling at the southern Great Plains. In summary, our study presents a realistically efficient approach to leverage the fully coupled RRM framework for a standard Earth system model release and high-resolution climate production simulations.
Journal Article
The Energy Exascale Earth System Model Version 3: 2. Overview of the Coupled System
2026
The Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 3 (E3SMv3) represents the latest advancement in Earth system modeling developed by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Building upon previous versions, E3SMv3 introduces significant updates across its coupled components to enhance capability and improve fidelity. The atmosphere component incorporates advancements in chemistry, aerosol‐cloud interactions, convection, and microphysics. The ocean features a new time‐stepping scheme and a higher‐resolution unstructured mesh with sub‐ice‐shelf cavities, while the sea ice model integrates advanced snow and ice physics for more realistic cryospheric simulations. The land model introduces prognostic vegetation dynamics and a new sub‐grid topographic treatment of solar radiation. A new tri‐grid configuration harmonizes the horizontal grids of the land and river components for improved process coupling. It is enabled by a new non‐linear remapping between the atmosphere and land. E3SMv3 underwent extensive testing through a comprehensive simulation campaign, including pre‐industrial control, idealized CO2${\\text{CO}}_{2}$experiments, and historical simulations spanning 1850–2024. The model demonstrates significant improvements in simulating the evolution of the historical surface temperature, particularly addressing the “pothole cooling” bias in earlier versions. Reduced aerosol‐related forcing contributes to more realistic radiative forcing and better alignment with the observational record. Ocean heat content (OHC) and sea ice trends are also improved as a result. Plain Language Summary The Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 3 (E3SMv3), developed by the U.S. Department of Energy, is a state‐of‐the‐science tool designed to advance our understanding of the Earth and energy systems. This model simulates interactions between the atmosphere, land, rivers, oceans, and sea ice to predict Earth system changes and their impacts. E3SMv3 includes major improvements, such as enhanced representations of atmospheric chemistry, clouds, aerosols, sea ice, and vegetation dynamics. It also introduces refined marine and land grids to improve the accuracy of how these components interact. E3SMv3 was evaluated through simulations of past and historical conditions, totaling over 5,000 years. The model successfully resolved a major issue leading to unrealistic cooling trends during the mid‐20th century. E3SMv3 now provides more accurate predictions of surface temperatures, ocean heat content, and sea ice changes, closely matching observed data. Key Points E3SMv3 introduces major updates to the atmosphere, sea ice, and land components, enhancing capability and improving fidelity E3SMv3 increases resolution in the ocean‐sea ice mesh and unifies land and river grids for tighter coupling within and between components Reduced aerosol forcing in E3SMv3 resolves mid‐20th century cooling biases, aligning historical temperature trends with observations
Journal Article
Small Mammal Prey Base for American Marten (Martes americana) within the Manistee National Forest of Michigan
by
Jacquot, Joseph J.
,
Unger, David E.
,
Haskins, David L.
in
American marten
,
Animal behavior
,
BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
2020
American martens (Martes americana) are typically found in late-successional forests with closed canopy cover and high structural diversity. Reintroduced populations of martens in the Northern Lower Peninsula of Michigan inhabit areas that are devoid of many of these features, which may impact their prey base. The goal of our study was to evaluate the small mammal prey base available to martens in the Northern Lower Peninsula. To assess prey availability, diversity, and composition, as well as effects of trap type and habitat features on trapping success, we sampled 24 study plots within the Manistee National Forest for small mammals in 2013 (n=24) and 2014 (n=20). Study plots were situated in four habitat types: conifer, deciduous, mixed conifer-deciduous, and mixed oak. Total capture rates were significantly and positively associated with relative deciduous tree cover. This result highlights how managing tracts of land for small mammal prey base may overlap with goals set forth by researchers for marten habitat needs (e.g., resting site preferences). We found large Sherman traps had significantly higher total capture rates than other trap types (medium Sherman and pitfall traps), and we recommend researchers use a variety of trap types to maximize detectability of small mammal species diversity and richness.
Journal Article
Simulated and Observed Preindustrial to Modern Vegetation and Climate Changes
by
Kutzbach, John E.
,
Notaro, Michael
,
Prentice, I. Colin
in
Animal and plant ecology
,
Animal, plant and microbial ecology
,
Biological and medical sciences
2005
Rising levels of carbon dioxide since the preindustrial era have likely contributed to an observed warming of the global surface, and observations show global greening and an expansion of boreal forests. This study reproduces observed climate and vegetation trends associated with rising CO₂ using a fully coupled atmosphere–ocean–land surface GCM with dynamic vegetation and decomposes the effects into physiological and radiative components. The simulated warming trend, strongest at high latitudes, was dominated by the radiative effect, although the physiological effect of CO₂ on vegetation (CO₂ fertilization) contributed to significant wintertime warming over northern Europe and central and eastern Asia. The net global greening of the model was primarily due to the physiological effect of increasing CO₂, while the radiative and physiological effects combined to produce a poleward expansion of the boreal forests. Observed and simulated trends in tree ring width are consistent with the enhancement of vegetation growth by the physiological effect of rising CO₂.
Journal Article
Strongly Coupled Data Assimilation Using Leading Averaged Coupled Covariance (LACC). Part II: CGCM Experiments
2015
This paper uses a fully coupled general circulation model (CGCM) to study the leading averaged coupled covariance (LACC) method in a strongly coupled data assimilation (SCDA) system. The previous study in a simple coupled climate model has shown that, by calculating the coupled covariance using the leading averaged atmospheric states, the LACC method enhances the signal-to-noise ratio and improves the analysis quality of the slow model component compared to both the traditional weakly coupled data assimilation without cross-component adjustments (WCDA) and the regular SCDA using the simultaneous coupled covariance (SimCC). Here in Part II, the LACC method is tested with a CGCM in a perfect-model framework. By adding the observational adjustments from the low-level atmosphere temperature to the sea surface temperature (SST), the SCDA using LACC significantly reduces the SST error compared to WCDA over the globe; it also improves from the SCDA using SimCC, which performs better than the WCDA only in the deep tropics. The improvement in SST analysis is a result of the enhanced signal-to-noise ratio in the LACC method, especially in the extratropical regions. The improved SST analysis also benefits the subsurface ocean temperature and low-level atmosphere temperature analyses through dynamic and statistical processes.
Journal Article
Mass-Conserving Implicit-Explicit Methods for Coupled Compressible Navier-Stokes Equations
by
Zhang, Hong
,
Constantinescu, Emil M
,
Jacob, Robert L
in
Atmospheric models
,
Compressibility
,
Computational fluid dynamics
2021
Earth system models are composed of coupled components that separately model systems such as the global atmosphere, ocean, and land surface. While these components are well developed, coupling them in a single system can be a significant challenge. Computational efficiency, accuracy, and stability are principal concerns. In this study, we focus on these issues. In particular, implicit-explicit (IMEX) tight and loose coupling strategies are explored for handling different time scales. For a simplified model for the air-sea interaction problem, we consider coupled compressible Navier-Stokes equations with an interface condition. Under the rigid-lid assumption, horizontal momentum and heat flux are exchanged through the interface. Several numerical experiments are presented to demonstrate the stability of the coupling schemes. We show both numerically and theoretically that our IMEX coupling methods are mass conservative for a coupled compressible Navier-Stokes system with the rigid-lid condition.