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32 result(s) for "John Freeze"
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Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015–2016
Since 2013, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has hosted an annual influenza season forecasting challenge. The 2015–2016 challenge consisted of weekly probabilistic forecasts of multiple targets, including fourteen models submitted by eleven teams. Forecast skill was evaluated using a modified logarithmic score. We averaged submitted forecasts into a mean ensemble model and compared them against predictions based on historical trends. Forecast skill was highest for seasonal peak intensity and short-term forecasts, while forecast skill for timing of season onset and peak week was generally low. Higher forecast skill was associated with team participation in previous influenza forecasting challenges and utilization of ensemble forecasting techniques. The mean ensemble consistently performed well and outperformed historical trend predictions. CDC and contributing teams will continue to advance influenza forecasting and work to improve the accuracy and reliability of forecasts to facilitate increased incorporation into public health response efforts.
1881.--MOTHER SHIPTON'S PROPHECY
All ages and countries have had their seers, prophets, wise men, magicians, augurs and sybillae. We hear of such characters and professors among the Egyptians in the time of Moses; men so skilled in their occult sciences and legerdemain as almost to rival the wonder-worker of the Hebrews. \"And Aaron cast down his rod before Pharaoh and before his servants, and it became a serpent. Then Pharaoh also called the wise men and the sorcerers:
THE BRITISH POETS
A COMPLETE set of \"The British Poets\" is becoming daily more and more of a desideratum, if we could only settle the question, who are \"The British Poets?
MADAME MONTOUR
A sketch of this celebrated woman and her family will be properly introduced by a short description of the magnificent mountain ridge which bears her name.