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15
result(s) for
"Karakonstantis, Andreas"
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Physical and Statistical Pattern of the Thiva (Greece) 2020–2022 Seismic Swarm
by
Vallianatos, Filippos
,
Pavlou, Kyriaki
,
Karakonstantis, Andreas
in
afterslip
,
Algorithms
,
Analysis
2025
On 2 December 2020, an earthquake with a magnitude of Mw 4.5 occurred near the city of Thiva (Greece). The aftershock sequence, triggered by ruptures on or near the Kallithea fault, continued until January 2021. Seven months later, new seismic activity began a few kilometers west of the initial events, with the swarm displaying a general trend of spatiotemporal migration toward the east–southeast until the middle of 2022. In order to understand the physical and statistical pattern of the swarm, the seismicity was relocated using HypoDD, and the magnitude of completeness was determined using the frequency–magnitude distribution. In order to define the existence of spatiotemporal seismicity clusters in an objective way, the DBSCAN clustering algorithm was applied to the 2020–2022 Thiva earthquake sequence. The extracted clusters permit the analysis of the spatiotemporal scaling properties of the main clusters using the Non-Extensive Statistical Physics (NESP) approach, providing detailed insights into the nature of the long-term correlation of the seismic swarm. The statistical pattern observed aligns with a Q-exponential distribution, with qD values ranging from 0.7 to 0.8 and qT values from 1.44 to 1.50. Furthermore, the frequency–magnitude distributions were analyzed using the fragment–asperity model proposed within the NESP framework, providing the non-additive entropic parameter (qM). The results suggest that the statistical characteristics of earthquake clusters can be effectively interpreted using NESP, highlighting the complexity and non-additive nature of the spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity. In addition, the analysis of the properties of the seismicity clusters extracted using the DBSCAN algorithm permits the suggestion of possible physical mechanisms that drive the evolution of the two main and larger clusters. For the cluster that activated first and is located in the west–northwest part, an afterslip mechanism activated after the 2 September 2021, M 4.0 events seems to predominately control its evolution, while for the second activated cluster located in the east–southeast part, a normal diffusion mechanism is proposed to describe its migration pattern. Concluding, we can state that in the present work the application of the DBSCAN algorithm to recognize the existence of any possible spatiotemporal clustering of seismicity could be helping to provide detailed insight into the statistical and physical patterns in earthquake swarms.
Journal Article
Santorini Volcanic Complex (SVC): How Much Has the Crustal Velocity Structure Changed since the 2011–2012 Unrest, and at What Point Are We Now?
2024
This study is focused on one of the most active features of the Hellenic Volcanic Arc Southern Aegean Sea, the Santorini Island Volcanic Complex (SVC). The recent volcano-tectonic crisis in the intracalderic area has emerged the need for closer monitoring of the region. The 2011–2012 unrest has been attributed to the augmentation of fluid flow inside local mapped fracture zones. After March 2012, the seismic activity dropped significantly, raising questions about whether we would have a long period of quiescence or be on a break before the next period of unrest. In this research, a re-examination of the seismic outbreak of 2011–2012 was conducted by adding more travel-time data from 2013 while we further analyzed the waveform data from 2014 to May 2024 to explore the differences of the SVC body-wave velocity structure by performing seismic tomography in these two time windows. The new dataset serves to identify the state of the Santorini Volcanic Complex. The results show a significant reduction in Vp and Vs anomalies at shallow depths since the period of unrest. At the same time, the distribution of Vp/Vs ratio remains high (>1.87) in the area NNE of Kameni at a shallower depth (2 km). The areas of Christiana Islands and Columbo volcano are mainly characterized by negative body-wave anomalies and low Vp/Vs ratio (1.56–1.64) at shallow depths for the study period, while a possible explanation to results in the submarine volcano may be explained by dry steam/gas phases that may have resulted in the generation of the swarms that occurred in the region.
Journal Article
On the Footsteps of Active Faults from the Saronic Gulf to the Eastern Corinth Gulf: Application of Tomographic Inversion Using Recent Seismic Activity
by
Vallianatos, Filippos
,
Karakonstantis, Andreas
in
3-D body-wave velocity model
,
Attica
,
Central Greece
2024
This study examines the body-wave velocity structure of Attica, Greece. The region is located between two major rifts, the Gulf of Corinth and the Euboekos Gulf, and has experienced significant earthquakes throughout history. The distribution of seismic activity in the area necessitates a thorough investigation of geophysical properties, such as seismic velocities, to reveal the extent of significant fault zones or the presence of potential hidden faults. This case study utilized over 3000 revised events to conduct a local earthquake tomography (LET). P- and S-wave travel-time data were analyzed to explore small- to medium-scale (~10 km) anomalies that could be linked to local neotectonic structures. The study presents a detailed 3-D seismic velocity structure for Attica and its adjacent regions. The results of the study revealed strong lateral body-wave velocity anomalies in the upper crust were related to activated faults and that a significant portion of the observed seismicity is concentrated near the sites of the 1999 and 2019 events.
Journal Article
Estimation of Earthquake Early Warning Parameters for Eastern Gulf of Corinth and Western Attica Region (Greece). First Results
by
Vallianatos, Filippos
,
Karakonstantis, Andreas
,
Sakelariou, Nikolaos
in
early warning system
,
earthquake
,
Earthquakes
2021
The main goal of an Earthquake Early Warning System (EEWS) is to alert before the arrival of damaging waves using the first seismic arrival as a proxy, thus becoming an important operational tool for real-time seismic risk management on a short timescale. EEWSs are based on the use of scaling relations between parameters measured on the initial portion of the seismic signal after the arrival of the first wave. To explore the plausibility of EEWSs around the Eastern Gulf of Corinth and Western Attica, amplitude and frequency-based parameters, such as peak displacement (Pd), the integral of squared velocity (IV 2) and the characteristic period (τc), were analyzed. All parameters were estimated directly from the initial 3 s, 4 s, and 5 s signal windows (tw) after the P arrival. While further study is required on the behavior of the proxy quantities, we propose that the IV 2 parameter and the peak amplitudes of the first seconds of the P waves present significant stability and introduce the possibility of a future on-site EEWS for areas affected by earthquakes located in the Eastern Gulf of Corinth and Western Attica. Parameters related to regional-based EEWS need to be further evaluated.
Journal Article
An Updated Earthquake Catalogue in Crete Derived by the Development of Local 1D Velocity Models and Hypocentre Relocation
2023
Crete is located in the Southern Aegean, in the southernmost part of the Hellenic Trench. Given the large number of earthquakes in the region generated by the convergence of the Eurasian and African tectonic plates, the research area is critical. More than 7000 manually revised events from 2018 to 2023 were used in this work to construct local 1D velocity models of Crete and the neighbouring areas. The P-wave velocity models were constructed using the spatiotemporal error minimisation method estimated using the HYPOINVERSE algorithm. At the same time, the VP/VS ratio was obtained using the Chatelain method, which compares the time difference in P and S phases recorded by pairs of corresponding stations. We then relocated the seismicity of the study area that was recorded by both permanent and temporary seismic networks during the abovementioned period. The double-difference algorithm was used to relocate events with magnitudes above the magnitude of completeness, resulting in more than 4500 precise relative locations with horizontal and vertical uncertainties of less than 2.5 km. The precise locations delineated faults both on the island and in the offshore study area. Furthermore, the results are discussed and compared with the ones derived from other significant previous works presented recently. The final dataset analysis contributes to a better understanding of the research area’s seismicity as triggered by local and regional tectonic structures.
Journal Article
3D Body-Wave Velocity Structure of the Southern Aegean, Greece
2023
This study delves into the southern Aegean regionwhere the subduction of the oceanic Mediterranean lithosphere under the Aegean continental one takes place. This region is considered one of the most active ones in the eastern Mediterranean Sea due to intense tectonic movements in the Late Quaternary. More than 1200 manually revised events from 2018 to 2023 have been used in order to obtain the 3D structure of body-wave velocity and VP/VS ratioto 80 km depth through earthquaketomography. A series of resolution tests have been performed and demonstrated fair resolution of the derived velocity structures in the area of interest. The derived anomalies of body-waves (dVP, dVS) and VP/VS ratio provided important information about the southern Aegean regional tectonics and secondarily active faults of smaller scale (>20 km). The region is marked by significant low-velocity anomalies in the crust and uppermost mantle, beneath the active arc volcanoes. The seismicity related to the Hellenic Subduction Zone (HSZ) is connected to a low-angle positive anomaly of VP and VS, correlated withthe observed intermediate-depth seismicity (H ≥ 40 km) in this part of the study area. This result could be related to the diving HSZ slab.
Journal Article
The New Seismotectonic Atlas of Greece (v1.0) and Its Implementation
by
Ganas, Athanassios
,
Kapetanidis, Vasilis
,
Tzanis, Andreas
in
crustal deformation
,
GIS mapping
,
Observations
2020
Knowledge and visualization of the present-day relationship between earthquakes, active tectonics and crustal deformation is a key to understanding geodynamic processes, and is also essential for risk mitigation and the management of geo-reservoirs for energy and waste. The study of the complexity of the Greek tectonics has been the subject of intense efforts of our working group, employing multidisciplinary methodologies that include detailed geological mapping, geophysical and seismological data processing using innovative methods and geodetic data processing, involved in surveying at various scales. The data and results from these studies are merged with existing or updated datasets to compose the new Seismotectonic Atlas of Greece. The main objective of the Atlas is to harmonize and integrate the most recent seismological, geological, tectonic, geophysical and geodetic data in an interactive, online GIS environment. To demonstrate the wealth of information available in the end product, herein, we present thematic layers of important seismotectonic and geophysical content, which facilitates the comprehensive visualization and first order insight into seismic and other risks of the Greek territories. The future prospect of the Atlas is the incorporation of tools and algorithms for joint analysis and appraisal of these datasets, so as to enable rapid seismotectonic analysis and scenario-based seismic risk assessment.
Journal Article
Complexity of Recent Earthquake Swarms in Greece in Terms of Non-Extensive Statistical Physics
by
Pavlou, Kyriaki
,
Vallianatos, Filippos
,
Karakonstantis, Andreas
in
Aftershocks
,
Analysis
,
Complex systems
2023
Greece exhibits the highest seismic activity in Europe, manifested in intense seismicity with large magnitude events and frequent earthquake swarms. In the present work, we analyzed the spatiotemporal properties of recent earthquake swarms that occurred in the broader area of Greece using the Non-Extensive Statistical Physics (NESP) framework, which appears suitable for studying complex systems. The behavior of complex systems, where multifractality and strong correlations among the elements of the system exist, as in tectonic and volcanic environments, can adequately be described by Tsallis entropy (Sq), introducing the Q-exponential function and the entropic parameter q that expresses the degree of non-additivity of the system. Herein, we focus the analysis on the 2007 Trichonis Lake, the 2016 Western Crete, the 2021–2022 Nisyros, the 2021–2022 Thiva and the 2022 Pagasetic Gulf earthquake swarms. Using the seismicity catalogs for each swarm, we investigate the inter-event time (T) and distance (D) distributions with the Q-exponential function, providing the qT and qD entropic parameters. The results show that qT varies from 1.44 to 1.58, whereas qD ranges from 0.46 to 0.75 for the inter-event time and distance distributions, respectively. Furthermore, we describe the frequency–magnitude distributions with the Gutenberg–Richter scaling relation and the fragment–asperity model of earthquake interactions derived within the NESP framework. The results of the analysis indicate that the statistical properties of earthquake swarms can be successfully reproduced by means of NESP and confirm the complexity and non-additivity of the spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity. Finally, the superstatistics approach, which is closely connected to NESP and is based on a superposition of ordinary local equilibrium statistical mechanics, is further used to discuss the temporal patterns of the earthquake evolution during the swarms.
Journal Article
Adapting to climate change: Projections and strategies for the Progo River, Indonesia
Global climate change is projected to be significant and long-lasting in the 21st century, driven by rising greenhouse gas emissions from human activities. Reliable projections are crucial for reducing negative impacts, assessing water balance, managing water resources, and preparing for extreme hydrological events. This study examines the Progo River in Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta (DIY), Indonesia, which drains about 17,432 km 2 and is essential for regional irrigation. Climate data from the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal were analyzed, including projected daily maximum temperature (Tmax) for 1950-2100, climatology of the daily maximum temperature (Tmax) for 2020-2039, annual precipitation for 1950-2100, and climatology of monthly precipitation for 2020-2039. All datasets are derived from CMIP6 simulations. Results indicate that while precipitation patterns are expected to remain relatively stable, temperatures in DIY will rise in the coming decades. Higher temperatures may increase evaporation, raising drought risks. To address these challenges, authorities should prioritize adaptation strategies, including river and floodplain rehabilitation, restoration of riparian buffers, integrated surface and groundwater management, conservation agriculture, and drought early warning systems.
Journal Article
On the Patterns and Scaling Properties of the 2021–2022 Arkalochori Earthquake Sequence (Central Crete, Greece) Based on Seismological, Geophysical and Satellite Observations
by
Vallianatos, Filippos
,
Pavlou, Kyriaki
,
Karakonstantis, Andreas
in
aftershock sequence
,
Aftershocks
,
Arkalochori earthquake
2022
The 27 September 2021 damaging mainshock (Mw6.0) close to Arkalochori village is the strongest earthquake that was recorded during the instrumental period of seismicity in Central Crete (Greece). The mainshock was preceded by a significant number of foreshocks that lasted nearly four months. Maximum ground subsidence of about 18 cm was estimated from InSAR processing. The aftershock sequence is located in an almost NE-SW direction and divided into two main clusters, the southern and the northern ones. The foreshock activity, the deformation area, and the strongest aftershocks are located within the southern cluster. Based on body-wave travel times, a 3-D velocity model was developed, while using combined space and ground-based geodetic techniques, the co-seismic ground deformation is presented. Moreover, we examined the co-seismic static stress changes with respect to the aftershocks’ spatial distribution during the major events of the foreshocks, the Mw = 6.0 main event as well as the largest aftershock. Both the foreshock and the aftershock sequences obey the scaling law for the frequency-magnitude distribution as derived from the framework of non-extensive statistical physics (NESP). The aftershock production rate decays according to the modified Omori scaling law, exhibiting various Omori regimes due to the generation of secondary aftershock sequences. The analysis of the inter-event time distribution, based on NESP, further indicates asymptotic power-law scaling and long-range correlations among the events. The spatiotemporal evolution of the aftershock sequence indicates triggering by co-seismic stress transfer, while its slow migration towards the outer edges of the area of the aftershocks, related to the logarithm of time, further indicates a possible afterslip.
Journal Article