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INTRODUCTION Identification of individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) who are at risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD) is crucial for early intervention and selection of clinical trials. METHODS We applied natural language processing techniques along with machine learning methods to develop a method for automated prediction of progression to AD within 6 years using speech. The study design was evaluated on the neuropsychological test interviews of n = 166 participants from the Framingham Heart Study, comprising 90 progressive MCI and 76 stable MCI cases. RESULTS Our best models, which used features generated from speech data, as well as age, sex, and education level, achieved an accuracy of 78.5% and a sensitivity of 81.1% to predict MCI‐to‐AD progression within 6 years. DISCUSSION The proposed method offers a fully automated procedure, providing an opportunity to develop an inexpensive, broadly accessible, and easy‐to‐administer screening tool for MCI‐to‐AD progression prediction, facilitating development of remote assessment. Highlights Voice recordings from neuropsychological exams coupled with basic demographics can lead to strong predictive models of progression to dementia from mild cognitive impairment. The study leveraged AI methods for speech recognition and processed the resulting text using language models. The developed AI‐powered pipeline can lead to fully automated assessment that could enable remote and cost‐effective screening and prognosis for Alzehimer's disease.

Background Identification of reliable, affordable, and easy-to-use strategies for detection of dementia is sorely needed. Digital technologies, such as individual voice recordings, offer an attractive modality to assess cognition but methods that could automatically analyze such data are not readily available. Methods and findings We used 1264 voice recordings of neuropsychological examinations administered to participants from the Framingham Heart Study (FHS), a community-based longitudinal observational study. The recordings were 73 min in duration, on average, and contained at least two speakers (participant and examiner). Of the total voice recordings, 483 were of participants with normal cognition (NC), 451 recordings were of participants with mild cognitive impairment (MCI), and 330 were of participants with dementia (DE). We developed two deep learning models (a two-level long short-term memory (LSTM) network and a convolutional neural network (CNN)), which used the audio recordings to classify if the recording included a participant with only NC or only DE and to differentiate between recordings corresponding to those that had DE from those who did not have DE (i.e., NDE (NC+MCI)). Based on 5-fold cross-validation, the LSTM model achieved a mean (±std) area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.740 ± 0.017, mean balanced accuracy of 0.647 ± 0.027, and mean weighted F1 score of 0.596 ± 0.047 in classifying cases with DE from those with NC. The CNN model achieved a mean AUC of 0.805 ± 0.027, mean balanced accuracy of 0.743 ± 0.015, and mean weighted F1 score of 0.742 ± 0.033 in classifying cases with DE from those with NC. For the task related to the classification of participants with DE from NDE, the LSTM model achieved a mean AUC of 0.734 ± 0.014, mean balanced accuracy of 0.675 ± 0.013, and mean weighted F1 score of 0.671 ± 0.015. The CNN model achieved a mean AUC of 0.746 ± 0.021, mean balanced accuracy of 0.652 ± 0.020, and mean weighted F1 score of 0.635 ± 0.031 in classifying cases with DE from those who were NDE. Conclusion This proof-of-concept study demonstrates that automated deep learning-driven processing of audio recordings of neuropsychological testing performed on individuals recruited within a community cohort setting can facilitate dementia screening.

Although brain amyloid and tau deposition measured by PET scans are established as biomarkers of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), they can emerge decades before symptoms are detectable on traditional neuropsychological (NP) tests. There is a pressing need for early AD detection tools that are more accessible, cost-effective, and non-invasive. The digital clock drawing test (dCDT), a digital version of the clock drawing test, has emerged as a promising cognitive assessment tool that takes minutes to administer and can reveal clinical symptoms earlier than paper–pencil NP tests. This study explored the association between 53 dCDT measures and amyloid and tau PET biomarkers using data from 87 low age risk participants in the Framingham Heart Study. Our findings revealed a significant association between a dCDT measure related to spatial reasoning function and global amyloid burden ( P  < 0.05), and 4 dCDT measures correlated with tau accumulation after adjusting for multiple comparisons. Notably, the combination of demographic variables and a composite dCDT score achieved a mean area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.86 in detecting amyloid positivity. These results highlight the potential of dCDT measures as effective predictors of amyloid and tau pathology in preclinical AD.

Human voice has increasingly been recognized as an effective indicator for the detection of cognitive disorders. However, the association of acoustic features with specific cognitive functions and mild cognitive impairment (MCI) has yet to be evaluated in a large community-based population. This study aimed to investigate the association between acoustic features and neuropsychological (NP) tests across multiple cognitive domains and evaluate the added predictive power of acoustic composite scores for the classification of MCI. This study included participants without dementia from the Framingham Heart Study, a large community-based cohort with longitudinal surveillance for incident dementia. For each participant, 65 low-level acoustic descriptors were derived from voice recordings of NP test administration. The associations between individual acoustic descriptors and 18 NP tests were assessed with linear mixed-effect models adjusted for age, sex, and education. Acoustic composite scores were then built by combining acoustic features significantly associated with NP tests. The added prediction power of acoustic composite scores for prevalent and incident MCI was also evaluated. The study included 7874 voice recordings from 4950 participants (age: mean 62, SD 14 years; 4336/7874, 55.07% women), of whom 453 were diagnosed with MCI. In all, 8 NP tests were associated with more than 15 acoustic features after adjusting for multiple testing. Additionally, 4 of the acoustic composite scores were significantly associated with prevalent MCI and 7 were associated with incident MCI. The acoustic composite scores can increase the area under the curve of the baseline model for MCI prediction from 0.712 to 0.755. Multiple acoustic features are significantly associated with NP test performance and MCI, which can potentially be used as digital biomarkers for early cognitive impairment monitoring.

The Clock Drawing Test (CDT) has been widely used in clinic for cognitive assessment. Recently, a digital Clock Drawing Text (dCDT) that is able to capture the entire sequence of clock drawing behaviors was introduced. While a variety of domain-specific features can be derived from the dCDT, it has not yet been evaluated in a large community-based population whether the features derived from the dCDT correlate with cognitive function. We aimed to investigate the association between dCDT features and cognitive performance across multiple domains. Participants from the Framingham Heart Study, a large community-based cohort with longitudinal cognitive surveillance, who did not have dementia were included. Participants were administered both the dCDT and a standard protocol of neuropsychological tests that measured a wide range of cognitive functions. A total of 105 features were derived from the dCDT, and their associations with 18 neuropsychological tests were assessed with linear regression models adjusted for age and sex. Associations between a composite score from dCDT features were also assessed for associations with each neuropsychological test and cognitive status (clinically diagnosed mild cognitive impairment compared to normal cognition). The study included 2062 participants (age: mean 62, SD 13 years, 51.6% women), among whom 36 were diagnosed with mild cognitive impairment. Each neuropsychological test was associated with an average of 50 dCDT features. The composite scores derived from dCDT features were significantly associated with both neuropsychological tests and mild cognitive impairment. The dCDT can potentially be used as a tool for cognitive assessment in large community-based populations.

Background Widespread access to diagnosis of cognitive decline remains inadequate. Assessment tools rely on neuroimaging, biofluid markers, or lengthy neuropsychological batteries. This reliance limits their use in primary care and low-resource settings and contributes to healthcare disparities. We developed and validated a three-level, resource-stratified machine learning framework to provide scalable dementia screening and prognostic risk stratification across diverse healthcare settings. Methods We used data from 31,081 participants in the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center. We trained Gradient Boosted Tree models for multi-class detection (Cognitively Intact/Mild Cognitive Impairment [MCI]/Dementia) and 10-year risk stratification (MCI-to-dementia progression). The framework tiered inputs by resource intensity. The minimal-resource Level 1 included demographic and basic functional data. The moderate-resource Level 2 added standard cognitive tests. The high-resource Level 3 added comprehensive neuropsychological batteries. Results The Level 3 model achieved high classification performance (AUC: 93.98%), and the Level 1 model achieved comparable performance (AUC: 91.53%). For MCI-to-dementia progression, the framework showed strong prognostic performance. The Level 3 and Level 1 models achieved AUCs of 85.90% and 81.90% for predicting progression over a 2-year window, respectively. Key predictors remained consistent across all resource levels, such as difficulty managing finances and self-reported cognitive decline, and sociodemographic factors, including education level and Black race. Conclusions The tiered system offers a scalable and accessible approach for dementia detection and prognostic stratification. It helps non-specialists conduct initial evaluations and identify high-risk individuals with minimal data. High-risk patients may then be triaged for specialized assessment. This resource-stratified framework offers a strategy to expand diagnostic capacity and reduce care inequities, especially in low-resource settings.

The digital Clock Drawing Test (dCDT) has been recently used as a more objective tool to assess cognition. However, the association between digitally obtained clock drawing features and structural neuroimaging measures has not been assessed in large population-based studies. We aimed to investigate the association between dCDT features and brain volume. This study included participants from the Framingham Heart Study who had both a dCDT and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan, and were free of dementia or stroke. Linear regression models were used to assess the association between 18 dCDT composite scores (derived from 105 dCDT raw features) and brain MRI measures, including total cerebral brain volume (TCBV), cerebral white matter volume, cerebral gray matter volume, hippocampal volume, and white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume. Classification models were also built from clinical risk factors, dCDT composite scores, and MRI measures to distinguish people with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from those whose cognition was intact. A total of 1656 participants were included in this study (mean age 61 years, SD 13 years; 50.9% women), with 23 participants diagnosed with MCI. All dCDT composite scores were associated with TCBV after adjusting for multiple testing (P value <.05/18). Eleven dCDT composite scores were associated with cerebral white matter volume, but only 1 dCDT composite score was associated with cerebral gray matter volume. None of the dCDT composite scores was associated with hippocampal volume or WMH volume. The classification model for differentiating MCI and normal cognition participants, which incorporated age, sex, education, MRI measures, and dCDT composite scores, showed an area under the curve of 0.897. dCDT composite scores were significantly associated with multiple brain MRI measures in a large community-based cohort. The dCDT has the potential to be used as a cognitive assessment tool in the clinical diagnosis of MCI.

Cerebral microbleeds (CMB) increase the risk for Alzheimer disease. Current neuroimaging methods that are used to detect CMB are costly and not always accessible. This study aimed to explore whether the digital clock-drawing test (DCT) may provide a behavioral indicator of CMB. In this study, we analyzed data from participants in the Framingham Heart Study offspring cohort who underwent both brain magnetic resonance imaging scans (Siemens 1.5T, Siemens Healthcare Private Limited; T2*-GRE weighted sequences) for CMB diagnosis and the DCT as a predictor. Additionally, paper-based clock-drawing tests were also collected during the DCT. Individuals with a history of dementia or stroke were excluded. Robust multivariable linear regression models were used to examine the association between DCT facet scores with CMB prevalence, adjusting for relevant covariates. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to evaluate DCT facet scores as predictors of CMB prevalence. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by further including participants with stroke and dementia. The study sample consisted of 1020 (n=585, 57.35% female) individuals aged 45 years and older (mean 72, SD 7.9 years). Among them, 64 (6.27%) participants exhibited CMB, comprising 46 with lobar-only, 11 with deep-only, and 7 with mixed (lobar+deep) CMB. Individuals with CMB tended to be older and had a higher prevalence of mild cognitive impairment and higher white matter hyperintensities compared to those without CMB (P<.05). While CMB were not associated with the paper-based clock-drawing test, participants with CMB had a lower overall DCT score (CMB: mean 68, SD 23 vs non-CMB: mean 76, SD 20; P=.009) in the univariate comparison. In the robust multiple regression model adjusted for covariates, deep CMB were significantly associated with lower scores on the drawing efficiency (β=-0.65, 95% CI -1.15 to -0.15; P=.01) and simple motor (β=-0.86, 95% CI -1.43 to -0.30; P=.003) domains of the command DCT. In the ROC curve analysis, DCT facets discriminated between no CMB and the CMB subtypes. The area under the ROC curve was 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83) for lobar CMB, 0.88 (95% CI 0.78-0.98) for deep CMB, and 0.98 (95% CI 0.96-1.00) for mixed CMB, where the area under the ROC curve value nearing 1 indicated an accurate model. The study indicates a significant association between CMB, especially deep and mixed types, and reduced performance in drawing efficiency and motor skills as assessed by the DCT. This highlights the potential of the DCT for early detection of CMB and their subtypes, providing a reliable alternative for cognitive assessment and making it a valuable tool for primary care screening before neuroimaging referral.

Abstract With the aging global population and the increasing prevalence of dementia, there is a growing focus on identifying mild cognitive impairment (MCI), a pre-dementia state, to enable timely interventions that could potentially slow down neurodegeneration. Producing speech is a cognitively complex task that engages various cognitive domains, while the ease of audio data collection underscores the potential cost-effectiveness and noninvasiveness that voice may offer. This study aims to construct a machine learning pipeline that incorporates speaker diarization, feature extraction, feature selection, and classification, to identify a set of acoustic features that exhibit strong MCI detection capability. The study included 100 MCI cases and 100 healthy controls (HC) matched for age, sex, and education from the Framingham Heart Study. Participants’ speech responses during cognitive tests were recorded, and the recorded audio was processed to identify segments of each participant’s voice from recordings that included voices of both testers and participants. A comprehensive set of 6385 acoustic features was then extracted from these voice segments using the OpenSMILE and Praat softwares. Subsequently, we constructed a random forest model using the features that exhibited significant differences between the MCI and HC groups. We identified an optimal subset of 29 features that resulted in an AUC of 0.87, with a 90% confidence interval ranging from 0.82 to 0.93. This study showcases the potential of human voice as a valuable resource for improving early detection of ADRD and motivates future opportunities to use passive voice collection tools, such as hearing aids, to measure brain health.

With the aging global population and the rising burden of Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRDs), there is a growing focus on identifying mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to enable timely interventions that could potentially slow down the onset of clinical dementia. The production of speech by an individual is a cognitively complex task that engages various cognitive domains. The ease of audio data collection highlights the potential cost-effectiveness and noninvasive nature of using human speech as a tool for cognitive assessment. This study aimed to construct a machine learning pipeline that incorporates speaker diarization, feature extraction, feature selection, and classification to identify a set of acoustic features derived from voice recordings that exhibit strong MCI detection capability. The study included 100 MCI cases and 100 cognitively normal controls matched for age, sex, and education from the Framingham Heart Study. Participants' spoken responses on neuropsychological tests were recorded, and the recorded audio was processed to identify segments of each participant's voice from recordings that included voices of both testers and participants. A comprehensive set of 6385 acoustic features was then extracted from these voice segments using OpenSMILE and Praat software. Subsequently, a random forest model was constructed to classify cognitive status using the features that exhibited significant differences between the MCI and cognitively normal groups. The MCI detection performance of various audio lengths was further examined. An optimal subset of 29 features was identified that resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87, with a 95% CI of 0.81-0.94. The most important acoustic feature for MCI classification was the number of filled pauses (importance score=0.09, P=3.10E-08). There was no substantial difference in the performance of the model trained on the acoustic features derived from different lengths of voice recordings. This study showcases the potential of monitoring changes to nonsemantic and acoustic features of speech as a way of early ADRD detection and motivates future opportunities for using human speech as a measure of brain health.