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result(s) for
"Kerkhoff, Henk"
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The Preventive Antibiotics in Stroke Study (PASS): a pragmatic randomised open-label masked endpoint clinical trial
by
Kerkhoff, Henk
,
Vermeij, Frederique H
,
Zwinderman, Aeilko H
in
Aged
,
Aged, 80 and over
,
Anti-Bacterial Agents - therapeutic use
2015
In adults with acute stroke, infections occur commonly and are associated with an unfavourable functional outcome. In the Preventive Antibiotics in Stroke Study (PASS) we aimed to establish whether or not preventive antimicrobial therapy with a third-generation cephalosporin, ceftriaxone, improves functional outcome in patients with acute stroke.
In this multicentre, randomised, open-label trial with masked endpoint assessment, patients with acute stroke were randomly assigned to intravenous ceftriaxone at a dose of 2 g, given every 24 h intravenously for 4 days, in addition to stroke unit care, or standard stroke unit care without preventive antimicrobial therapy; assignments were made within 24 h after symptom onset. The primary endpoint was functional outcome at 3 months, defined according to the modified Rankin Scale and analysed by intention to treat. The primary analysis was by ordinal regression of the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included death, infection rates, antimicrobial use, and length of hospital stay. Participants and caregivers were aware of treatment allocation but assessors of outcome were masked to group assignment. This trial is registered with controlled-trials.com, number ISRCTN66140176.
Between July 6, 2010, and March 23, 2014, a total of 2550 patients from 30 sites in the Netherlands, including academic and non-academic medical centres, were randomly assigned to the two treatment groups: 1275 patients to ceftriaxone and 1275 patients to standard treatment (control group). 12 patients (seven in the ceftriaxone group and five in the control group) withdrew consent immediately after randomisation, leaving 2538 patients available for the intention-to-treat-analysis (1268 in the ceftriaxone group and 1270 in the control group). 2514 (99%) of 2538 patients (1257 in each group) completed 3-month follow-up. Preventive ceftriaxone did not affect the distribution of functional outcome scores on the modified Rankin Scale at 3 months (adjusted common odds ratio 0·95 [95% CI 0·82–1·09], p=0·46). Preventive ceftriaxone did not result in an increased occurrence of adverse events. Overgrowth infection with Clostridium difficile occurred in two patients (<1%) in the ceftriaxone group and none in the control group.
Preventive ceftriaxone does not improve functional outcome at 3 months in adults with acute stroke. The results of our trial do not support the use of preventive antibiotics in adults with acute stroke.
Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development, Netherlands Heart Foundation, and the European Research Council.
Journal Article
Multicentre Randomised trial of Acute Stroke treatment in the Ambulance with a nitroglycerin Patch (MR ASAP): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial
by
Caminada, Klaartje
,
Siegers, Arjen
,
Nederkoorn, Paul J.
in
Acute stroke
,
Ambulance
,
Ambulances
2019
Background
Some studies have suggested that transdermal administration of glyceryl trinitrate (GTN; nitroglycerin) in the first few hours after symptom onset increases the chance of a favourable outcome after ischaemic stroke or intracerebral haemorrhage, possibly through an increase in intracranial collateral blood flow and a reduction in blood pressure. The Multicentre Randomised trial of Acute Stroke treatment in the Ambulance with a nitroglycerin Patch (MR ASAP) aims to assess the effect of transdermal GTN, started within 3 h after stroke onset in the prehospital setting, on functional outcome at 90 days in patients with acute ischaemic stroke or intracerebral haemorrhage.
Methods
MR ASAP is a phase III, multicentre, randomised, open-label clinical trial with a blinded outcome assessment. A total of 1400 adult patients with suspected stroke and a systolic blood pressure ≥ 140 mmHg will be randomised to transdermal GTN (5 mg/day), administered as a transdermal patch by paramedics in the prehospital setting within 3 h of stroke onset and continued for 24 h or to standard care. The primary outcome is the score on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days, analysed with ordinal logistic regression. Secondary outcomes include blood pressure and collateral circulation at hospital admission, neurological deficit measured with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale at 24 h, and mortality and poor outcome (mRS score 3 to 6) at 90 days. This trial will be conducted in the Netherlands and will use a deferred consent procedure. The trial is part of the Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke (CONTRAST) programme.
Discussion
MR ASAP will assess whether very early administration of GTN improves outcome after stroke in a setting where rates of intravenous thrombolysis and endovascular treatment for acute ischaemic stroke are high. The deferred consent procedure facilitates prompt GTN treatment and will prevent delay to revascularisation therapies. If early transdermal GTN treatment proves to be effective, this low-cost treatment can be readily implemented into daily clinical practice.
Trial registration
ISRCTN Registry,
ISRCTN99503308
. Registered on 2 January 2018.
Journal Article
Optimising Integrated Stroke Care in Regional Networks: A Nationwide Self-Assessment Study in 2012, 2015 and 2019
by
Minkman, Mirella M. N.
,
Zonneveld, Nick
,
Van Wijk, Elize
in
care coordination
,
Collaboration
,
Cooperation
2021
To help enhance the quality of integrated stroke care delivery, regional stroke services networks in the Netherlands participated in a self-assessment study in 2012, 2015 and 2019.
Coordinators of the regional stroke services networks filled out an online self-assessment questionnaire in 2012, 2015 and 2019. The questionnaire, which was based on the Development Model for Integrated Care, consisted of 97 questions in nine clusters (themes). Cluster scores were calculated as proportions of the activities implemented. Associations between clusters and features of stroke services were assessed by regression analysis.
The response rate varied from 93.1% (2012) to 85.5% (2019). Over the years, the regional stroke services networks increased in 'size': the median number of organisations involved and the volume of patients per network increased (7 and 499 in 2019, compared to 5 and 364 in 2012). At the same time, fewer coordinators were appointed for more than 1 day a week in 2019 (35.1%) compared to 2012 (45.9%). Between 2012 and 2019, there were statistically significantly more elements implemented in four out of nine clusters: 'Transparent entrepreneurship' (MD = 18.0% F(1) = 10.693, p = 0.001), 'Roles and tasks' (MD = 14.0% F(1) = 9.255, p = 0.003), 'Patient-centeredness' (MD = 12.9% F(1) = 9.255, p = 0.003), and 'Commitment' (MD = 11.2%, F(1) = 4.982, p = 0.028). A statistically significant positive correlation was found for all clusters between implementation of activities and age of the network. In addition, the number of involved organisations is associated with better execution of implemented activities for 'Transparent entrepreneurship', 'Result-focused learning' and 'Quality of care'. Conversely, there are small but negative associations between the volume of patients and implementation rates for 'Interprofessional teamwork' and 'Patient-centredness'.
This long-term analyses of stroke service development in the Netherlands, showed that between 2012 and 2019, integrated care activities within the regional stroke networks increased. Experience in collaboration between organisations within a network benefits the uptake of integrated care activities.
Journal Article
Comparison of eight prehospital stroke scales to detect intracranial large-vessel occlusion in suspected stroke (PRESTO): a prospective observational study
by
Woudenberg, Mirjam
,
van Es, Adriaan C.G.M
,
Kerkhoff, Henk
in
Aged
,
Aged, 80 and over
,
Angiography
2021
Due to the time-sensitive effect of endovascular treatment, rapid prehospital identification of large-vessel occlusion in individuals with suspected stroke is essential to optimise outcome. Interhospital transfers are an important cause of delay of endovascular treatment. Prehospital stroke scales have been proposed to select patients with large-vessel occlusion for direct transport to an endovascular-capable intervention centre. We aimed to prospectively validate eight prehospital stroke scales in the field.
We did a multicentre, prospective, observational cohort study of adults with suspected stroke (aged ≥18 years) who were transported by ambulance to one of eight hospitals in southwest Netherlands. Suspected stroke was defined by a positive Face-Arm-Speech-Time (FAST) test. We included individuals with blood glucose of at least 2·5 mmol/L. People who presented more than 6 h after symptom onset were excluded from the analysis. After structured training, paramedics used a mobile app to assess items from eight prehospital stroke scales: Rapid Arterial oCclusion Evaluation (RACE), Los Angeles Motor Scale (LAMS), Cincinnati Stroke Triage Assessment Tool (C-STAT), Gaze-Face-Arm-Speech-Time (G-FAST), Prehospital Acute Stroke Severity (PASS), Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS), Conveniently-Grasped Field Assessment Stroke Triage (CG-FAST), and the FAST-PLUS (Face-Arm-Speech-Time plus severe arm or leg motor deficit) test. The primary outcome was the clinical diagnosis of ischaemic stroke with a proximal intracranial large-vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation (aLVO) on CT angiography. Baseline neuroimaging was centrally assessed by neuroradiologists to validate the true occlusion status. Prehospital stroke scale performance was expressed as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and was compared with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores assessed by clinicians at the emergency department. This study was registered at the Netherlands Trial Register, NL7387.
Between Aug 13, 2018, and Sept 2, 2019, 1039 people (median age 72 years [IQR 61–81]) with suspected stroke were identified by paramedics, of whom 120 (12%) were diagnosed with aLVO. Of all prehospital stroke scales, the AUC for RACE was highest (0·83, 95% CI 0·79–0·86), followed by the AUC for G-FAST (0·80, 0·76–0·84), CG-FAST (0·80, 0·76–0·84), LAMS (0·79, 0·75–0·83), CPSS (0·79, 0·75–0·83), PASS (0·76, 0·72–0·80), C-STAT (0·75, 0·71–0·80), and FAST-PLUS (0·72, 0·67–0·76). The NIHSS as assessed by a clinician in the emergency department did somewhat better than the prehospital stroke scales with an AUC of 0·86 (95% CI 0·83–0·89).
Prehospital stroke scales detect aLVO with acceptable-to-good accuracy. RACE, G-FAST, and CG-FAST are the best performing prehospital stroke scales out of the eight scales tested and approach the performance of the clinician-assessed NIHSS. Further studies are needed to investigate whether use of these scales in regional transportation strategies can optimise outcomes of patients with ischaemic stroke.
BeterKeten Collaboration and Theia Foundation (Zilveren Kruis).
Journal Article
Safety and efficacy of aspirin, unfractionated heparin, both, or neither during endovascular stroke treatment (MR CLEAN-MED): an open-label, multicentre, randomised controlled trial
by
Nieboer, Daan
,
van de Graaf, Rob A
,
Hammer, Sebastiaan
in
Anticoagulants
,
Aspirin
,
Brain research
2022
Aspirin and unfractionated heparin are often used during endovascular stroke treatment to improve reperfusion and outcomes. However, the effects and risks of anti-thrombotics for this indication are unknown. We therefore aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of intravenous aspirin, unfractionated heparin, both, or neither started during endovascular treatment in patients with ischaemic stroke.
We did an open-label, multicentre, randomised controlled trial with a 2 × 3 factorial design in 15 centres in the Netherlands. We enrolled adult patients (ie, ≥18 years) with ischaemic stroke due to an intracranial large-vessel occlusion in the anterior circulation in whom endovascular treatment could be initiated within 6 h of symptom onset. Eligible patients had a score of 2 or more on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and a CT or MRI ruling out intracranial haemorrhage. Randomisation was done using a web-based procedure with permuted blocks and stratified by centre. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either periprocedural intravenous aspirin (300 mg bolus) or no aspirin, and randomly assigned (1:1:1) to receive moderate-dose unfractionated heparin (5000 IU bolus followed by 1250 IU/h for 6 h), low-dose unfractionated heparin (5000 IU bolus followed by 500 IU/h for 6 h), or no unfractionated heparin. The primary outcome was the score on the modified Rankin Scale at 90 days. Symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage was the main safety outcome. Analyses were based on intention to treat, and treatment effects were expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or common ORs, with adjustment for baseline prognostic factors. This trial is registered with the International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number, ISRCTN76741621.
Between Jan 22, 2018, and Jan 27, 2021, we randomly assigned 663 patients; of whom, 628 (95%) provided deferred consent or died before consent could be asked and were included in the modified intention-to-treat population. On Feb 4, 2021, after unblinding and analysis of the data, the trial steering committee permanently stopped patient recruitment and the trial was stopped for safety concerns. The risk of symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage was higher in patients allocated to receive aspirin than in those not receiving aspirin (43 [14%] of 310 vs 23 [7%] of 318; adjusted OR 1·95 [95% CI 1·13–3·35]) as well as in patients allocated to receive unfractionated heparin than in those not receiving unfractionated heparin (44 [13%] of 332 vs 22 [7%] of 296; 1·98 [1·14–3·46]). Both aspirin (adjusted common OR 0·91 [95% CI 0·69–1·21]) and unfractionated heparin (0·81 [0·61–1·08]) led to a non-significant shift towards worse modified Rankin Scale scores.
Periprocedural intravenous aspirin and unfractionated heparin during endovascular stroke treatment are both associated with an increased risk of symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage without evidence for a beneficial effect on functional outcome.
The Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke consortium, the Brain Foundation Netherlands, the Ministry of Economic Affairs, Stryker, Medtronic, Cerenovus, and the Dutch Heart Foundation.
Journal Article
Effects of oral anticoagulation in people with atrial fibrillation after spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage (COCROACH): prospective, individual participant data meta-analysis of randomised trials
by
Glader, Eva-Lotta
,
Kerkhoff, Henk
,
Katsanos, Aristeidis
in
Anticoagulants
,
Anticoagulants - adverse effects
,
Atrial Fibrillation - complications
2023
The safety and efficacy of oral anticoagulation for prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events in people with atrial fibrillation and spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage are uncertain. We planned to estimate the effects of starting versus avoiding oral anticoagulation in people with spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage and atrial fibrillation.
In this prospective meta-analysis, we searched bibliographic databases and trial registries using the strategies of a Cochrane systematic review (CD012144) on June 23, 2023. We included clinical trials if they were registered, randomised, and included participants with spontaneous intracranial haemorrhage and atrial fibrillation who were assigned to either start long-term use of any oral anticoagulant agent or avoid oral anticoagulation (ie, placebo, open control, another antithrombotic agent, or another intervention for the prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events). We assessed eligible trials using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. We sought data for individual participants who had not opted out of data sharing from chief investigators of completed trials, pending completion of ongoing trials in 2028. The primary outcome was any stroke or cardiovascular death. We used individual participant data to construct a Cox regression model of the time to the first occurrence of outcome events during follow-up in the intention-to-treat dataset supplied by each trial, followed by meta-analysis using a fixed-effect inverse-variance model to generate a pooled estimate of the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% CI. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42021246133.
We identified four eligible trials; three were restricted to participants with atrial fibrillation and intracranial haemorrhage (SoSTART [NCT03153150], with 203 participants) or intracerebral haemorrhage (APACHE-AF [NCT02565693], with 101 participants, and NASPAF-ICH [NCT02998905], with 30 participants), and one included a subgroup of participants with previous intracranial haemorrhage (ELDERCARE-AF [NCT02801669], with 80 participants). After excluding two participants who opted out of data sharing, we included 412 participants (310 [75%] aged 75 years or older, 249 [60%] with CHA2DS2-VASc score ≤4, and 163 [40%] with CHA2DS2-VASc score >4). The intervention was a direct oral anticoagulant in 209 (99%) of 212 participants who were assigned to start oral anticoagulation, and the comparator was antiplatelet monotherapy in 67 (33%) of 200 participants assigned to avoid oral anticoagulation. The primary outcome of any stroke or cardiovascular death occurred in 29 (14%) of 212 participants who started oral anticoagulation versus 43 (22%) of 200 who avoided oral anticoagulation (pooled HR 0·68 [95% CI 0·42–1·10]; I2=0%). Oral anticoagulation reduced the risk of ischaemic major adverse cardiovascular events (nine [4%] of 212 vs 38 [19%] of 200; pooled HR 0·27 [95% CI 0·13–0·56]; I2=0%). There was no significant increase in haemorrhagic major adverse cardiovascular events (15 [7%] of 212 vs nine [5%] of 200; pooled HR 1·80 [95% CI 0·77–4·21]; I2=0%), death from any cause (38 [18%] of 212 vs 29 [15%] of 200; 1·29 [0·78–2·11]; I2=50%), or death or dependence after 1 year (78 [53%] of 147 vs 74 [51%] of 145; pooled odds ratio 1·12 [95% CI 0·70–1·79]; I2=0%).
For people with atrial fibrillation and intracranial haemorrhage, oral anticoagulation had uncertain effects on the risk of any stroke or cardiovascular death (both overall and in subgroups), haemorrhagic major adverse cardiovascular events, and functional outcome. Oral anticoagulation reduced the risk of ischaemic major adverse cardiovascular events, which can inform clinical practice. These findings should encourage recruitment to, and completion of, ongoing trials.
British Heart Foundation.
Journal Article
Apixaban versus no anticoagulation after anticoagulation-associated intracerebral haemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation in the Netherlands (APACHE-AF): a randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial
by
van der Worp, H Bart
,
Kerkhoff, Henk
,
Dippel, Diederik W
in
Adverse events
,
Anticoagulants
,
Cardiac arrhythmia
2021
In patients with atrial fibrillation who survive an anticoagulation-associated intracerebral haemorrhage, a decision must be made as to whether restarting or permanently avoiding anticoagulation is the best long-term strategy to prevent recurrent stroke and other vascular events. In APACHE-AF, we aimed to estimate the rates of non-fatal stroke or vascular death in such patients when treated with apixaban compared with when anticoagulation was avoided, to inform the design of a larger trial.
APACHE-AF was a prospective, randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial with masked endpoint assessment, done at 16 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients who survived intracerebral haemorrhage while treated with anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation were eligible for inclusion 7–90 days after the haemorrhage. Participants also had a CHA2DS2-VASc score of at least 2 and a score on the modified Rankin scale (mRS) of 4 or less. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral apixaban (5 mg twice daily or a reduced dose of 2·5 mg twice daily) or to avoid anticoagulation (oral antiplatelet agents could be prescribed at the discretion of the treating physician) by a central computerised randomisation system, stratified by the intention to start or withhold antiplatelet therapy in participants randomised to avoiding anticoagulation, and minimised for age and intracerebral haemorrhage location. The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal stroke or vascular death, whichever came first, during a minimum follow-up of 6 months, analysed using Cox proportional hazards modelling in the intention-to-treat population. APACHE-AF is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02565693) and the Netherlands Trial Register (NL4395), and the trial is closed to enrolment at all participating sites.
Between Jan 15, 2015, and July 6, 2020, we recruited 101 patients (median age 78 years [IQR 73–83]; 55 [54%] were men and 46 [46%] were women; 100 [99%] were White and one [1%] was Black) a median of 46 days (IQR 21–74) after intracerebral haemorrhage. 50 were assigned to apixaban and 51 to avoid anticoagulation (of whom 26 [51%] started antiplatelet therapy). None were lost to follow-up. Over a median follow-up of 1·9 years (IQR 1·0–3·1; 222 person-years), non-fatal stroke or vascular death occurred in 13 (26%) participants allocated to apixaban (annual event rate 12·6% [95% CI 6·7–21·5]) and in 12 (24%) allocated to avoid anticoagulation (11·9% [95% CI 6·2–20·8]; adjusted hazard ratio 1·05 [95% CI 0·48–2·31]; p=0·90). Serious adverse events that were not outcome events occurred in 29 (58%) of 50 participants assigned to apixaban and 29 (57%) of 51 assigned to avoid anticoagulation.
Patients with atrial fibrillation who had an intracerebral haemorrhage while taking anticoagulants have a high subsequent annual risk of non-fatal stroke or vascular death, whether allocated to apixaban or to avoid anticoagulation. Our data underline the need for randomised controlled trials large enough to allow identification of subgroups in whom restarting anticoagulation might be either beneficial or hazardous.
Dutch Heart Foundation (grant 2012T077).
Journal Article
Prehospital transdermal glyceryl trinitrate in patients with presumed acute stroke (MR ASAP): an ambulance-based, multicentre, randomised, open-label, blinded endpoint, phase 3 trial
2022
Pooled analyses of previous randomised studies have suggested that very early treatment with glyceryl trinitrate (also known as nitroglycerin) improves functional outcome in patients with acute ischaemic stroke or intracerebral haemorrhage, but this finding was not confirmed in a more recent trial (RIGHT-2). We aimed to assess whether patients with presumed acute stroke benefit from glyceryl tr initrate started within 3 h after symptom onset.
MR ASAP was a phase 3, randomised, open-label, blinded endpoint trial done at six ambulance services serving 18 hospitals in the Netherlands. Eligible participants (aged ≥18 years) had a probable diagnosis of acute stroke (as assessed by a paramedic), a face-arm-speech-time test score of 2 or 3, systolic blood pressure of at least 140 mm Hg, and could start treatment within 3 h of symptom onset. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) by ambulance personnel, using a secure web-based electronic application with random block sizes stratified by ambulance service, to receive either transdermal glyceryl trinitrate 5 mg/day for 24 h plus standard care (glyceryl trinitrate group) or to standard care alone (control group) in the prehospital setting. Informed consent was deferred until after arrival at the hospital. The primary outcome was functional outcome assessed with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days. Safety outcomes included death within 7 days, death within 90 days, and serious adverse events. Analyses were based on modified intention to treat, and treatment effects were expressed as odds ratios (ORs) or common ORs, with adjustment for baseline prognostic factors. We separately analysed the total population and the target population (ie, patients with intracerebral haemorrhage, ischaemic stroke, or transient ischaemic attack). The target sample size was 1400 patients. The trial is registered as ISRCTN99503308.
On June 24, 2021, the MR ASAP trial was prematurely terminated on the advice of the data and safety monitoring board, with recruitment stopped because of safety concerns in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage. Between April 4, 2018, and Feb 12, 2021, 380 patients were randomly allocated to a study group. 325 provided informed consent or died before consent could be obtained, of whom 170 were assigned to the glyceryl trinitrate group and 155 to the control group. These patients were included in the total population. 201 patients (62%) had ischaemic stroke, 34 (10%) transient ischaemic attack, 56 (17%) intracerebral haemorrhage, and 34 (10%) a stroke-mimicking condition. In the total population (n=325), the median mRS score at 90 days was 2 (IQR 1–4) in both the glyceryl trinitrate and control groups (adjusted common OR 0·97 [95% CI 0·65–1·47]). In the target population (n=291), the 90-day mRS score was 2 (2–4) in the glyceryl trinitrate group and 3 (1–4) in the control group (0·92 [0·59–1·43]). In the total population, there were no differences between the two study groups with respect to death within 90 days (adjusted OR 1·07 [0·53–2·14]) or serious adverse events (unadjusted OR 1·23 [0·76–1·99]). In patients with intracerebral haemorrhage, 12 (34%) of 35 patients allocated to glyceryl trinitrate versus two (10%) of 21 allocated to the control group died within 7 days (adjusted OR 5·91 [0·78–44·81]); death within 90 days occurred in 16 (46%) of 35 in the glyceryl trinitrate group and 11 (55%) of 20 in the control group (adjusted OR 0·87 [0·18–4·17]).
We found no sign of benefit of transdermal glyceryl trinitrate started within 3 h of symptom onset in the prehospital setting in patients with presumed acute stroke. The signal of potential early harm of glyceryl trinitrate in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage suggests that glyceryl trinitrate should be avoided in this setting.
The Collaboration for New Treatments of Acute Stroke consortium, the Brain Foundation Netherlands, the Ministry of Economic Affairs, Stryker, Medtronic, Cerenovus, and the Dutch Heart Foundation.
Journal Article
Modified Erasmus GBS Respiratory Insufficiency Score: a simplified clinical tool to predict the risk of mechanical ventilation in Guillain-Barré syndrome
by
Pascuzzi, Robert M
,
Cavaletti, Guido
,
Grisanti, Stefano G
in
Accuracy
,
Biomarkers
,
clinical neurology
2023
BackgroundThis study aimed to determine the clinical and diagnostic factors associated with mechanical ventilation (MV) in Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) and to simplify the existing Erasmus GBS Respiratory Insufficiency Score (EGRIS) for predicting the risk of MV.MethodsData from the first 1500 patients included in the prospective International GBS Outcome Study (IGOS) were used. Patients were included across five continents. Patients <6 years and patients from Bangladesh were excluded. Univariable logistic and multivariable Cox regression were used to determine which prespecified clinical and diagnostic characteristics were associated with MV and to predict the risk of MV at multiple time points during disease course.Results1133 (76%) patients met the study criteria. Independent predictors of MV were a shorter time from onset of weakness until admission, the presence of bulbar palsy and weakness of neck flexion and hip flexion. The modified EGRIS (mEGRIS) was based on these factors and accurately predicts the risk of MV with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (0.80–0.88). We internally validated the model within the full IGOS cohort and within separate regional subgroups, which showed AUC values of 0.83 (0.81–0.88) and 0.85 (0.72–0.98), respectively.ConclusionsThe mEGRIS is a simple and accurate tool for predicting the risk of MV in GBS. Compared with the original model, the mEGRIS requires less information for predictions with equal accuracy, can be used to predict MV at multiple time points and is also applicable in less severely affected patients and GBS variants. Model performance was consistent across different regions.
Journal Article