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7 result(s) for "Kosukhin, Sergey"
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ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth system and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales
State-of-the-art Earth system models typically employ grid spacings of O(100 km), which is too coarse to explicitly resolve main drivers of the flow of energy and matter across the Earth system. In this paper, we present the new ICON-Sapphire model configuration, which targets a representation of the components of the Earth system and their interactions with a grid spacing of 10 km and finer. Through the use of selected simulation examples, we demonstrate that ICON-Sapphire can (i) be run coupled globally on seasonal timescales with a grid spacing of 5 km, on monthly timescales with a grid spacing of 2.5 km, and on daily timescales with a grid spacing of 1.25 km; (ii) resolve large eddies in the atmosphere using hectometer grid spacings on limited-area domains in atmosphere-only simulations; (iii) resolve submesoscale ocean eddies by using a global uniform grid of 1.25 km or a telescoping grid with the finest grid spacing at 530 m, the latter coupled to a uniform atmosphere; and (iv) simulate biogeochemistry in an ocean-only simulation integrated for 4 years at 10 km. Comparison of basic features of the climate system to observations reveals no obvious pitfalls, even though some observed aspects remain difficult to capture. The throughput of the coupled 5 km global simulation is 126 simulated days per day employing 21 % of the latest machine of the German Climate Computing Center. Extrapolating from these results, multi-decadal global simulations including interactive carbon are now possible, and short global simulations resolving large eddies in the atmosphere and submesoscale eddies in the ocean are within reach.
A SIMULATION PLATFORM FOR ATMOSPHERIC PHENOMENA STUDY WITHIN COASTAL FLOODS IN BALTIC SEA AREA
Surge or coastal floods in Saint-Petersburg are dangerous for city structures natural disasters. For efficient flood prevention a lot of aspects in different situations should be analyzed and considered while existing flood databases cannot cover all the possible cases. In this paper we present a computational platform that makes it possible to develop a new approach based on creation of synthetic atmospheric phenomena (cyclones) that allows simulation of various flood cases by the cyclone parameter modifying. The platform also have integrated cloud computing infrastructure to provide high performance computations based on composite applications concept.
Operational numerical weather prediction with ICON on GPUs (version 2024.10)
Numerical weather prediction and climate models require continuous adaptation to take advantage of advances in high-performance computing hardware. This paper presents the port of the ICON model to GPUs using OpenACC compiler directives for numerical weather prediction applications. In the context of an end-to-end operational forecast application, we adopted a full-port strategy: the entire workflow, from physical parameterizations to data assimilation, was analyzed and ported to GPUs as needed. Performance tuning and mixed-precision optimization yield a 5.5× speed-up compared to the CPU baseline in a socket-to-socket comparison. The ported ICON model meets strict requirements for time-to-solution and meteorological quality, in order for MeteoSwiss to be the first national weather service to run ICON operationally on GPUs with its ICON-CH1-EPS and ICON-CH2-EPS ensemble forecasting systems. We discuss key performance strategies, operational challenges, and the broader implications of transitioning community models to GPU-based platforms.
The Destination Earth digital twin for climate change adaptation
The Climate Change Adaptation Digital Twin (Climate DT), developed as part of the European Commission's Destination Earth (DestinE) initiative, sets up an operational system for producing multi-decadal, multi-model global climate projections and translating climate data into climate impact information to support adaptation efforts. This system delivers data with local granularity at spatial resolutions of 5–10 km and hourly outputs, leading to globally consistent information at scales that matter for decision-making. It also enables the testing of what-if scenarios such as high-resolution storylines, which are physically consistent global simulations of extreme events under different climate conditions and provide contextual insights to support concrete adaptation decisions. They support the generation of more equitable (understood as accessible and relevant across regions) climate information. The Climate DT is built on cutting-edge infrastructure, expert collaboration, and digital innovation. It is designed to support on-demand responses to policy questions, with quantified uncertainty. It will foster interactivity by allowing users to influence simulation design, model output portfolios, and application integration through co-design. AI-based tools, including emulators and chatbots, are being developed in parallel to enhance climate information access. Sector-specific applications are embedded in the system to synchronously translate climate data into tailored climate-impact indicators, with examples provided for energy, water, and forest management. The applications have been co-designed with informed users. A unified, cross-platform workflow defines the orchestration of all components, which is handled by a single workflow manager and relies on containerised components, facilitating automation, portability, maintainability, and traceability. Data management is unified using standard grids (HEALPix), ensuring consistency and easing data usability under a strict governance policy. Streaming enables real-time data use by the data consumers and unlocks access to the unprecedented data wealth produced by the high-resolution simulations. Monitoring tools provide real-time quality control of data and model outputs and enable continuous assessment of the realism of the climate simulations during Climate DT operation. The compute-intensive system is powered by world-class supercomputing capabilities through a strategic partnership with the European High Performance Computing Joint Undertaking (EuroHPC). Despite high computational demands, the Climate DT sets a new benchmark for delivering equitable, credible, and actionable climate information. It complements existing initiatives like CMIP, CORDEX, and national and European climate services, and aligns with global climate science goals to support climate adaptation.
Adaptation of NEMO-LIM3 model for multigrid high resolution Arctic simulation
High-resolution regional hindcasting of ocean and sea ice plays an important role in the assessment of shipping and operational risks in the Arctic Ocean. The ice-ocean model NEMO-LIM3 was modified to improve its simulation quality for appropriate spatio-temporal resolutions. A multigrid model setup with connected coarse- (14 km) and fine-resolution (5 km) model configurations was devised. These two configurations were implemented and run separately. The resulting computational cost was lower when compared to that of the built-in AGRIF nesting system. Ice and tracer boundary-condition schemes were modified to achieve the correct interaction between coarse- and fine grids through a long ice-covered open boundary. An ice-restoring scheme was implemented to reduce spin-up time. The NEMO-LIM3 configuration described in this article provides more flexible and customisable tools for high-resolution regional Arctic simulations.
On Classification Issues within Ensemble-Based Complex System Simulation Tasks
Contemporary tasks of complex system simulation are often related to the issue of uncertainty management. It comes from the lack of information or knowledge about the simulated system as well as from restrictions of the model set being used. One of the powerful tools for the uncertainty management is ensemble-based simulation, which uses variation in input or output data, model parameters, or available versions of models to improve the simulation performance. Furthermore the system of models for complex system simulation (especially in case of hiring ensemble-based approach) can be considered as a complex system. As a result, the identification of the complex model's structure and parameters provide additional sources of uncertainty to be managed. Within the presented work we are developing a conceptual and technological approach to manage the ensemble-based simulation taking into account changing states of both simulated system and system of models within the ensemble-based approach. The states of these systems are considered as a subject of classification with consequent inference of better strategies for ensemble evolution over the simulation time and ensemble aggregation. Here the ensemble evolution enables implementation of dynamic reactive solutions which can automatically conform to the changing states of both systems. The ensemble aggregation can be considered within a scope of averaging (regression way) or selection (classification way, which complement the classification mentioned earlier) approach. The technological basis for such approach includes ensemble-based simulation techniques using domain-specific software combined within a composite application; data science approaches for analysis of available datasets (simulation data, observations, situation assessment etc.); and machine learning algorithms for classes identification, ensemble management and knowledge acquisition.
Virtual Simulation Objects Concept as a Framework for System-Level Simulation
This paper presents Virtual Simulation Objects (VSO) concept which forms theoretical basis for building tools and framework that is developed for system-level simulations using existing software modules available within cyber-infrastructure. Presented concept is implemented by the software tool for building composite solutions using VSO-based GUI and running them using CLAVIRE simulation environment.