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Assessment of the effect of breast-cancer screening has been hampered by difficulty in measuring secular trends. In this study, data from a cancer registry were used to determine secular trends and to evaluate the effect of screening on breast-cancer mortality. On the basis of several randomized clinical trials, 1 – 3 the World Health Organization concluded in 2002 that screening mammography for women between the ages of 50 and 69 years reduced the rate of death from breast cancer by 25%. 4 Nevertheless, the use of screening mammography is still debated, chiefly because of concern regarding methodologic limitations in some of the randomized trials. 5 In addition, the benefit of mammography when implemented in a population-based service program remains poorly quantified. Therefore, continued evaluation of breast-cancer screening programs is warranted. 6 The main challenge in quantifying the reduction in mortality from nonrandomized screening programs is . . .

Background: Pancreatic cancer risk is elevated among testicular cancer (TC) survivors. However, the roles of specific treatments are unclear. Methods: Among 23 982 5-year TC survivors diagnosed during 1947–1991, doses from radiotherapy to the pancreas were estimated for 80 pancreatic cancer patients and 145 matched controls. Chemotherapy details were recorded. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (ORs). Results: Cumulative incidence of second primary pancreatic cancer was 1.1% at 30 years after TC diagnosis. Radiotherapy (72 (90%) cases and 115 (80%) controls) was associated with a 2.9-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0–7.8) increased risk. The OR increased linearly by 0.12 per Gy to the pancreas ( P -trend<0.001), with an OR of 4.6 (95% CI 1.9–11.0) for ⩾25 Gy vs <25 Gy. Radiation-related risks remained elevated ⩾20 years after TC diagnosis ( P =0.020). The risk increased with the number of cycles of chemotherapy with alkylating or platinum agents ( P =0.057), although only one case was exposed to platinum. Conclusions: A dose–response relationship exists between radiation to the pancreas and subsequent cancer risk, and persists for over 20 years. These excesses, although small, should be considered when radiotherapy with exposure to the pancreas is considered for newly diagnosed patients. Additional data are needed on the role of chemotherapy.

Breast cancer survivors are at increased risk of treatment-related second cancers. This study is the first to examine risk 30 or more years after diagnosis and to present absolute risks of second cancer which accounts for competing mortality. We identified 23,158 second non-hematological malignancies excluding breast in a population-based cohort of 376,825 one-year survivors of breast cancer diagnosed from 1943 to 2002 and reported to four Scandinavian cancer registries. We calculated standardized incidence ratios (SIR) and utilized a competing-risk model to calculate absolute risk of developing second cancers. The overall SIR for second cancers was 1.15 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.14-1.17). The SIR for potentially radiotherapy-associated cancers 30 or more years after breast cancer diagnosis was 2.19 (95% CI = 1.87-2.55). However, the largest SIRs were observed for women aged <40 years followed for 1-9 years. At 20 years after breast cancer diagnosis, the absolute risk of developing a second cancer ranged from 0.6 to 10.3%, depending on stage and age; the difference in the absolute risk compared to the background population was greatest for women aged <40 years with localized disease, 2.3%. At 30 years post breast cancer diagnosis, this difference reached 3.2%. These risks were small compared to the corresponding risk of dying from breast cancer. Although the absolute risks were small, we found persistent risks of second non-hematological malignancies excluding breast 30 or more years after breast cancer diagnosis, particularly for women diagnosed at young ages with localized disease.

BackgroundPatients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). Recently, new phenotypes of CRC in IBD have been suggested. Studies of the prognosis of CRC in IBD have shown conflicting results. The aim of the study was to analyze factors for prognosis in CRC-IBD, including the impact of the new phenotypes.MethodsBy using the nationwide, population-based Cancer Registry of Norway, we compared survival of a CRC-IBD cohort with CRC in the background population (all-CRC), adjusting for the topographical distribution of dysplasia at cancer diagnosis (widespread versus localized neoplasia in IBD) and other factors. We also analyzed prognostic factors within CRC-IBD.ResultsThe mean age at CRC diagnosis was 43 years in widespread, 52 years in localized neoplasia IBD, and 70 years in all-CRC (P < 0.05). Adjusted for cofactors, prognosis of CRC-IBD was poorer compared to all-CRC (mortality rate ratio [MRR] 3.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.54–5.42, P < 0.001). Prognosis of widespread neoplasia IBD was poorer compared to all-CRC (MRR 4.27, 95% CI: 2.83–6.44, P < 0.001) and compared to localized neoplasia IBD (MRR 3.58, 95% CI: 0.87–14.72, P = 0.076). Survival was not significantly different between localized neoplasia IBD and all-CRC (P = 0.132).ConclusionsThe results demonstrate lower age and poorer survival of CRC in IBD compared to CRC in the background population. The unfavorable effect of IBD on prognosis of CRC was pronounced in widespread neoplasia IBD. The diagnosis of this phenotype seems to be an important prognostic sign in patients with CRC in IBD. (Inflamm Bowel Dis 2010;)

BackgroundThe histological variability in colitis-associated colorectal cancer (CRC in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]) and the association to clinical factors is unknown.MethodsIn population-based material including 67 patients with CRC in IBD, histopathology of the cancers and tissue samples from different colorectal localizations were reevaluated, and relationships to clinical factors analyzed.ResultsForty-three of 60 patients (75%) showed dysplasia in the colorectum apart from the cancer, while 17 (25%) had no dysplasia at cancer diagnosis. Mean age at onset of IBD was 22 years in patients with and 34 years in patients without dysplasia (P = 0.01). The mean duration of colitis-CRC interval was 21 years in patients with and 16 years in patients without dysplasia (P = 0.02). The latter group included all patients with a colitis-CRC interval <10 years. Active inflammation was more likely to occur in patients with dysplasia (odds ratio [OR] 4.2). The 2 groups were not discriminated by gender, family history of CRC or IBD, diagnosis of PSC, medical treatment, active symptoms, or histological features like type of cancer and differentiation. In multiple logistic regression analysis the age at onset of IBD was the strongest predictive variable for dysplasia at cancer diagnosis (P = 0.025).ConclusionsWidespread neoplasia occurs in the majority of cases with CRC in IBD and is associated with early onset of IBD. Localized neoplasia occurs in about a quarter of the patients and shows an association with late-onset IBD. The 2 groups probably represent different pathogenetic entities of neoplasia in IBD. This might have consequences for surveillance strategies.

Increasing numbers of children with cancer survive and reach reproductive age. In Denmark, between 1983 and 1987, the mean five-year cumulative survival rate was 64 percent for patients who were under the age of 20 when cancer was diagnosed, 1 and in Finland, between 1985 and 1989, the cumulative survival rate was 76 percent for patients under the age of 15. 2 Estimating the risk of malignant neoplasms among the offspring of these patients has been difficult, because of the rarity of childhood cancer. 3 – 5 In this collaborative study from five countries — Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden — we assessed . . .

Objective: To present a new model for estimating relative survival of patients with two primary cancers, to study whether survival from cancer is similar between a first and subsequent tumor, and to provide an illustration of prognoses for patients with cancer as a subsequent tumor. Methods: Data on Danish, Finnish, and Norwegian patients with a first and subsequent prostate cancer, after a first primary colorectal cancer, were analyzed with a new model. Results: Survival from first and subsequent prostate cancer was similar within each country. Survival from subsequent prostate cancer was not affected by the time interval between the first colorectal and subsequent prostate cancer. Conclusions: The survival from subsequent cancer should be adjusted for the underlying first primary cancer. The overall relative survival of patients with two primary cancers will be worse than those with a respective single cancer only. However, with a proper adjustment the subsequent cancer itself is not more fatal than a similar cancer as the only tumor of the patient.

To quantify long-term temporal trends in the excess absolute risk (EAR) of secondary leukemia among breast cancer (BC) survivors, using multivariate analyses to evaluate the effects of subtype, age at BC diagnosis, attained age, and calendar year. We identified 376,825 1-year survivors of BC within 4 nationwide, population-based cancer registries in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, and Norway (1943-2001). Estimates of EAR (per 100,000 person-years) were modeled using Poisson regression methods and cumulative risks calculated using a competing risk model. A total of 687 non-chronic lymphocytic leukemias (EAR = 9.05; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 7.5-10.7) was reported. Significantly elevated risks were observed for the first time for chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) (EAR = 2.06; 95% CI = 1.3-2.9) and acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) (EAR = 0.62; 95% CI = 0.2-1.1), in addition to acute myeloid leukemia (AML) (EAR = 5.00; 95% CI = 3.9-6.2). Excesses of CML, ALL, AML and all leukemias combined persisted over 25 years after BC diagnosis. For all leukemias, EAR decreased with increasing calendar year (P = 0.04) of BC diagnosis. Risk for all leukemia and AML by calendar year of BC diagnosis depended on age at diagnosis. For women diagnosed with BC after 1985, the 10-year cumulative risk of leukemia for those diagnosed before and after age 50 was small, 0.10% and 0.14%, respectively. Although secondary leukemia is a rare event, BC survivors experience statistically significant excesses for at least 25 years after diagnosis, including CML and ALL. Decreasing leukemia risks in recent calendar years likely reflect changes in treatment.

Objective—To assess the relative risk of developing a second malignant neoplasm in people with a diagnosis of cancer in childhood and adolescence. Design—Register based follow up study. Setting—Populations of Nordic countries. Subjects—30 880 people under the age of 20 with a first malignant neoplasm diagnosed during the period 1943-87. Main outcome measures—Relative and attributable risks of second malignant neoplasms by type of first cancer, age at first diagnosis, calendar period, sex, and country. Expected figures were based on the appropriate national incidence rates for cancer. Results—247 cases of second malignant neoplasms were observed in 238 patients, yielding a relative risk for cancer of 3.6 (95% confidence interval 3.1 to 4.1). The risk changed significantly from 2.6 in people first diagnosed during the 1940s and 1950s to 6.9 among cohort members included in the late 1970s and 1980s. Increases were observed for most types of cancer. Highest levels of the relative risk were seen during the 10 years immediately after first malignant diagnosis. The incidence of second malignant neoplasms attributable to the first cancer and associated treatments, however, showed a consistent rise throughout the 45 years of follow up. Conclusion—The estimated risks for a second malignant neoplasm were significantly lower than those found in most large hospital bases studies but compatible with the results from a similar population based study in the United Kingdom. Extent of risk and cancer pattern were similar among the Nordic countries and are belived to be representative for a large part of the European population.