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result(s) for
"Larsen, Signe H."
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A first constraint on basal melt-water production of the Greenland ice sheet
2021
The Greenland ice sheet has been one of the largest sources of sea-level rise since the early 2000s. However, basal melt has not been included explicitly in assessments of ice-sheet mass loss so far. Here, we present the first estimate of the total and regional basal melt produced by the ice sheet and the recent change in basal melt through time. We find that the ice sheet’s present basal melt production is 21.4 +4.4/−4.0 Gt per year, and that melt generated by basal friction is responsible for about half of this volume. We estimate that basal melting has increased by 2.9 ± 5.2 Gt during the first decade of the 2000s. As the Arctic warms, we anticipate that basal melt will continue to increase due to faster ice flow and more surface melting thus compounding current mass loss trends, enhancing solid ice discharge, and modifying fjord circulation.
Journal Article
Winter snow accumulation variability and evaluation of reanalysis data over A.P. Olsen Ice Cap, Northeast Greenland
2025
Greenland’s peripheral glaciers and ice caps contribute disproportionately to sea-level rise relative to their small area. Winter snow accumulation directly influences glacier mass balance and downstream hydrology, but spatially extensive observations of this important mass balance component remain sparse. In this study, we present a unique multi-year (2008–2024) dataset of winter snow accumulation over A.P. Olsen Ice Cap, Northeast Greenland, from ground-penetrating radar surveys covering an average of 47 km per survey year. Our results reveal strong spatial heterogeneity that is likely influenced by wind redistribution and local topography, especially in the ablation zone. We compare our findings with automatic weather station data from three sites and outputs from the Copernicus Arctic Regional Reanalysis (CARRA). Governed by the high spatial variability, the automatic weather station point-based observations significantly underestimate regional accumulation by 40–45%. Despite the high spatial variability, the CARRA accumulated precipitation variable provides a reasonable overall mean winter snow accumulation (RMSE of 0.07 m w.e.); however, it fails to reproduce the complex non-linear relationship between snow depth and elevation observed in the radar data. Our findings emphasize the need for high-resolution, spatially extensive measurements to better understand snow accumulation on ice caps and glaciers and improve reanalysis assessments.
Journal Article
Greenland ice velocity maps from the PROMICE project
by
Kusk, Anders
,
Dall, Jørgen
,
Korsgaard, Niels J.
in
Artificial satellites in remote sensing
,
Climate change
,
Cycles
2021
We present the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) Ice Velocity product (https://doi.org/10.22008/promice/data/sentinel1icevelocity/greenlandicesheet, Solgaard and Kusk, 2021), which is a time series of Greenland Ice Sheet ice velocity mosaics spanning September 2016 through to the present. The product is based on Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar data and has a 500 m grid spacing. A new mosaic is available every 12 d and spans two consecutive Sentinel-1 cycles (24 d). The product is made available within ∼ 10 d of the last acquisition and includes all possible 6 and 12 d pairs within the two Sentinel-1A cycles. We describe our operational processing chain from data selection, mosaicking, and error estimation to final outlier removal. The product is validated against in situ GPS measurements. We find that the standard deviation of the difference between satellite- and GPS-derived velocities (and bias) is 20 m yr−1 (−3 m yr−1) and 27 m yr−1 (−2 m yr−1) for the components in an eastern and northern direction, respectively. Over stable ground the values are 8 m yr−1 (0.1 m yr−1) and 12 m yr−1 (−0.6 m yr−1) in an eastern and northern direction, respectively. This is within the expected values; however, we expect that the GPS measurements carry a considerable part of this uncertainty. We investigate variations in coverage from both a temporal and spatial perspective. The best spatial coverage is achieved in winter due to the comprehensive data coverage by Sentinel-1 and high coherence, while summer mosaics have the lowest coverage due to widespread melt. The southeast Greenland Ice Sheet margin, along with other areas of high accumulation and melt, often has gaps in the ice velocity mosaics. The spatial comprehensiveness and temporal consistency make the product ideal both for monitoring and for studying ice-sheet-wide and glacier-specific ice discharge and dynamics of glaciers on seasonal scales.
Journal Article
Outlet glacier flow response to surface melt: based on analysis of a high-resolution satellite data set
by
Larsen, Signe H.
,
Kusk, Anders
,
Hvidberg, Christine S.
in
Bedrock
,
Climate change
,
Contact melting
2023
The dynamics of the Greenland Ice Sheet are affected by surface meltwater reaching the base of the ice, altering ice contact with the bedrock. Lack of understanding of this evolution hampers the ability to predict the effects of increasing temperatures on the Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance. Here we present a unique high-resolution study of ice velocity response to surface melting based on data from a COSMO-SkyMed satellite campaign over Upernavik Isstrøm (Northwest Greenland) for two months around the end of the 2014 melt season. We show that the velocity variations, due to both short-term (days) and seasonal variations in surface melt rates, are increasing in relative strength farther from the glacier terminus. Furthermore, we observe how ice dynamic response to frontal retreat, reaching several kilometres inland, can obscure the meltwater-induced velocity change close to the terminus. Future studies should consider the flow velocity dependence on the distance to the terminus, and local geometry, to distinguish subglacial hydrologic system changes from frontal processes and local basal conditions.
Journal Article
Surgical and percutaneous pulmonary valve replacement in England over the past two decades
2019
ObjectivePulmonary valve replacement (PVR) is often required in patients with congenital heart disease. We aimed to describe temporal trends in PVR in a nationwide English cohort between 1997 and 2014, survival and the need for re-PVR.MethodsPatients were identified in the Hospital Episode Statistics Database. Survival data were retrieved from the UK Office for National Statistics.ResultsA total of 2733 patients underwent PVR (2845 procedures) over the study period. Median age at first procedure increased from 20.1 years in 1997–2005 to 24.7 years in 2006–2014. The annual number of PVRs increased from 23 in 1997 to 251 in 2014. Homografts were the most common choice in the early years, but the use of xenografts increased after 2005. During a median follow-up of 5.8 years, 176 patients died and 108 required redo PVR. Early (30 day) survival was 98% for all PVRs and was similar for all types of prostheses but longer-term mortality dropped to 92% at 10 years and 90% at 15 years. Age >16 years and percutaneous PVR were risk factors for death. The cumulative incidence for re-PVR at 10 years was 8% for all PVRs and 11% at 15 years. Risk factors for re-PVR were complex diagnosis, male gender and black ethnicity.ConclusionThere was a significant increase in the number of PVRs performed in England over the last two decades and a significant change in the type of prosthesis employed. While early mortality was low across the board, longer-term mortality was not negligible in this young population.
Journal Article
A Data Set of Monthly Freshwater Fluxes From the Greenland Ice Sheet’s Marine-Terminating Glaciers on A Glacier–Basin Scale 2010–2020
by
Mankoff, Kenneth D.
,
Sørensen, Louise S.
,
Fausto, Robert S.
in
basal melt
,
ice mass loss
,
ice sheet – fjord interactions
2023
The loss of mass from the Greenland ice sheet causes an increasing influx of freshwater to the Greenlandic fjords and the oceans. Freshwater fluxes from marine-terminating glaciers are important to understand fjord circulation and ecosystem dynamics. Here, we present a data set constructed by reformulating existing products into a shared temporal and spatial framework. We combine three publicly available data sets of solid-ice discharge (iceberg), liquid-surface runoff (runoff) and basal melt to present a cohesive overview of the flow of freshwater from marine-terminating glaciers to the Greenlandic fjords. We also calculate glacier drainage basins and compare our findings to previous studies showing that drainage-basin sizes may vary considerably depending on how they were reconstructed. The data set will be a valuable asset to oceanographic, glaciological and marine biological research activities.
Journal Article
Update of annual calving front lines for 47 marine terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland (1999–2018)
by
Hansen, Karina
,
Kjeldsen, Kristian K
,
Pedersen, Allan Ø
in
Glaciers
,
Ice sheets
,
Ice thickness
2019
The Greenland ice sheet has been losing mass in response to increased surface melting (Khan et al. 2015; van den Broeke et al. 2017) as well as discharge of ice from marine terminating outlet glaciers (van den Broeke et al. 2009; Box et al. 2018). Marine terminating outlet glaciers flow to the ocean where they lose mass by e.g. iceberg calving. Currently, the mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet is the largest Arctic contributor to global sea-level rise (van den Broeke et al. 2009, 2017; Box et al. 2018). Therefore, monitoring changes in the Greenland ice sheet is essential to provide policy makers with reliable data. There is a consensus that most marine terminating outlet glaciers have retreated in recent decades, and that the increased calving rates are a response to recent atmospheric and oceanic warming (e.g. Box et al. 2018; Moon et al. 2018). The rate of dynamic mass loss is determined by changes of the glacier calving front (i.e. its terminus) position, ice thickness and changes in ice flow. Ocean temperature and fjord circulation also influence the calving front stability by melting the glacier below the water line, thinning the ice that is in contact with water (Moon et al. 2014). Change in calving front position is therefore an important indicator for monitoring the dynamic behaviour of the upstream area of the ice sheet, which is further modulated by local topographic features and buttressing effects (Rignot & Kanagaratnam 2006; Nick et al. 2009). The Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) is dedicated to monitoring changes in the mass budget of the Greenland ice sheet, including monitoring of the calving front lines of marine terminating outlet glaciers. Here, we present an updated collection of annual measurements of end-of-melt-season calving front lines for 47 marine terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland between 1999 and 2018. We also present an example application of the data set, in which we estimate area changes for this group of glaciers since 1999. The Greenland calving front lines were measured from optical satellite imagery obtained from Landsat, Aster, and Sentinel-2 (Table 1). The PROMICE calving front product is freely available for download as ESRI shapefiles.
Journal Article
Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) automatic weather station data
by
Box, Jason E.
,
Solgaard, Anne M.
,
Korsgaard, Niels J.
in
Ablation
,
Atmospheric conditions
,
Automatic weather stations
2021
The Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE) has been measuring climate and ice sheet properties since 2007. Currently, the PROMICE automatic weather station network includes 25 instrumented sites in Greenland. Accurate measurements of the surface and near-surface atmospheric conditions in a changing climate are important for reliable present and future assessment of changes in the Greenland Ice Sheet. Here, we present the PROMICE vision, methodology, and each link in the production chain for obtaining and sharing quality-checked data. In this paper, we mainly focus on the critical components for calculating the surface energy balance and surface mass balance. A user-contributable dynamic web-based database of known data quality issues is associated with the data products at https://github.com/GEUS-Glaciology-and-Climate/PROMICE-AWS-data-issues/ (last access: 7 April 2021). As part of the living data option, the datasets presented and described here are available at https://doi.org/10.22008/promice/data/aws (Fausto et al., 2019).
Journal Article
Simulating ice thickness and velocity evolution of Upernavik Isstrøm 1849–2012 by forcing prescribed terminus positions in ISSM
by
Larour, Eric Y.
,
Box, Jason E.
,
Haubner, Konstanze
in
Anomalies
,
Computer simulation
,
Evolution
2018
Tidewater glacier velocity and mass balance are known to be highly responsive to terminus position change. Yet it remains challenging for ice flow models to reproduce observed ice margin changes. Here, using the Ice Sheet System Model (Larour et al., 2012), we simulate the ice velocity and thickness changes of Upernavik Isstrøm (north-western Greenland) by prescribing a collection of 27 observed terminus positions spanning 164 years (1849–2012). The simulation shows increased ice velocity during the 1930s, the late 1970s and between 1995 and 2012 when terminus retreat was observed along with negative surface mass balance anomalies. Three distinct mass balance states are evident in the reconstruction: (1849–1932) with near zero mass balance, (1932–1992) with ice mass loss dominated by ice dynamical flow, and (1998–2012), when increased retreat and negative surface mass balance anomalies led to mass loss that was twice that of any earlier period. Over the multi-decadal simulation, mass loss was dominated by thinning and acceleration responsible for 70 % of the total mass loss induced by prescribed change in terminus position. The remaining 30 % of the total ice mass loss resulted directly from prescribed terminus retreat and decreasing surface mass balance. Although the method can not explain the cause of glacier retreat, it enables the reconstruction of ice flow and geometry during 1849–2012. Given annual or seasonal observed terminus front positions, this method could be a useful tool for evaluating simulations investigating the effect of calving laws.
Journal Article
Functional health status in children following surgery for congenital heart disease: a population-based cohort study
by
Larsen, Signe H.
,
McCrindle, Brian W.
,
Emmertsen, Kristian
in
Activities of Daily Living
,
Adolescent
,
Child
2010
Functional health is becoming an important part of outcome assessment following congenital heart surgery.
The Child Health Questionnaire was used to evaluate self-reported functional health in a cohort of children operated on for congenital heart disease between 1996 and 2002, now aged 10-20 years. A total of 288 schoolchildren served as controls. The association between demographic and clinical factors such as the Risk Adjusted Classification for Congenital Heart Surgery, the Aristotle Basic Complexity Score, physical and psycho-social domains was explored by multivariate analysis.
In total 239 children who were operated on (response rate 68%, mean age at assessment 13.1 years, 50% male children) participated. There were no differences between children operated on for congenital heart disease and controls in nine out of thirteen domains. In multivariate analysis, male gender was positively associated with physical, mental and general health. Higher education of the parents was also associated with better scores for family activities, physical, emotional and general health. In contrast, living with a single parent was negatively associated with mental health. Category 4 in the Risk Adjusted Classification for Congenital Heart Surgery was associated with worse scores in all behaviour domains. The Aristotle Basic Complexity Score was not associated with any domain.
Functional health in children operated for congenital heart disease was overall similar to other children of the same age. Male gender of the child, education of the parents, living with a single parent, and category 4 in the Risk Adjusted Classification for Congenital Heart Surgery were important factors for functional health.
Journal Article