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Objective To study the historical global incidence and mortality trends of gastric cancer and predicted mortality of gastric cancer by 2035. Methods Incidence data were retrieved from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) volumes I-XI, and mortality data were obtained from the latest update of the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database. We used join-point regression analysis to examine historical incidence and mortality trends and used the package NORDPRED in R to predict the number of deaths and mortality rates by 2035 by country and sex. Results More than 1,089,000 new cases of gastric cancer and 769,000 related deaths were reported in 2020. The average annual percent change (AAPC) in the incidence of gastric cancer from 2003 to 2012 among the male population, South Korea, Japan, Malta, Canada, Cyprus, and Switzerland showed an increasing trend ( P  > 0.05); among the female population, Canada [AAPC, 1.2; (95%Cl, 0.5–2), P  < 0.05] showed an increasing trend; and South Korea, Ecuador, Thailand, and Cyprus showed an increasing trend ( P  > 0.05). AAPC in the mortality of gastric cancer from 2006 to 2015 among the male population, Thailand [3.5 (95%cl, 1.6–5.4), P  < 0.05] showed an increasing trend; Malta Island, New Zealand, Turkey, Switzerland, and Cyprus had an increasing trend ( P  > 0.05); among the male population aged 20–44, Thailand [AAPC, 3.4; (95%cl, 1.3–5.4), P  < 0.05] showed an increasing trend; Norway, New Zealand, The Netherlands, Slovakia, France, Colombia, Lithuania, and the USA showed an increasing trend ( P  > 0.05). It is predicted that the mortality rate in Slovenia and France’s female population will show an increasing trend by 2035. It is predicted that the absolute number of deaths in the Israeli male population and in Chile, France, and Canada female population will increase by 2035. Conclusion In the past decade, the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer have shown a decreasing trend; however, there are still some countries showing an increasing trend, especially among populations younger than 45 years. Although mortality in most countries is predicted to decline by 2035, the absolute number of deaths due to gastric cancer may further increase due to population growth.

BackgroundThe definition and predictors of early recurrence (ER) for gastric cancer (GC) patients after radical gastrectomy are unclear.MethodsA minimum-p value approach was used to evaluate the optimal cutoff value of recurrence-free survival to determine ER and late recurrence (LR). Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated for inflammatory indices. Potential risk factors for ER were assessed with a Cox regression model. A decision curve analysis was performed to evaluate the clinical utility.ResultsA total of 401 patients recruited in a clinical trial (NCT02327481) from January 2015 to April 2016 were included in this study. The optimal length of recurrence-free survival to distinguish between ER (n = 44) and LR (n = 52) was 12 months. Factors associated with ER included a preoperative C-reactive protein–albumin ratio (CAR) ≥ 0.131, stage III and postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (PAC) > 3 cycles. The risk model consisting of both the CAR and TNM stage had a higher predictive ability and better clinical utility than TNM stage alone. Further stratification analysis of the stage III patients found that for the patients with a CAR < 0.131, both PAC with 1–3 cycles (p = 0.029) and > 3 cycles (p < 0.001) could reduce the risk of ER. However, for patients with a CAR ≥ 0.131, a benefit was observed only if they received PAC > 3 cycles (54.2% vs 16.0%, p = 0.004), rather than 1–3 cycles (58.3% vs 54.2%, p = 0.824).ConclusionsA recurrence-free interval of 12 months was found to be the optimal threshold for differentiating between ER and LR. Preoperative CAR was a promising predictor of ER and PAC response. PAC with 1–3 cycles may not exert a protective effect against ER for stage III GC patients with CAR ≥ 0.131.

This study examines changes in oral risk habits and identifies factors influencing these changes among participants in a population-based oral cancer screening program to support effective public health interventions. The study included 2,569,920 individuals aged 30 and older who participated in Taiwan’s Oral Cancer Screening Program at least twice between 2010 and 2021. Changes in cigarette smoking and betel quid chewing were assessed between the first and last screenings and categorized as improved, unchanged, or worsened. A logistic regression model evaluated factors associated with habit improvement, including baseline oral habits, sex, age, education, screening adherence, and oral potentially malignant disorder (OPMD) findings. Among participants, 25.3% improved their oral habits. Baseline habits influenced how OPMD screening results affected behavior change. Among smokers, a positive screening result increased the likelihood of quitting or reducing smoking (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.18, 95% CI 1.16–1.20). However, among betel quid chewers, whether or not they smoked, a positive screening result was negatively associated with improved habits (aOR 0.79–0.88). Being female, older, college-educated, and regularly attending screenings were positively linked to behavior improvement. The program led to habit improvements in about one-quarter of participants, particularly older individuals, those with higher education, and frequent attendees. However, a diagnosis of OPMD motivated change only among smokers, not those engaging in both smoking and betel quid chewing, highlighting a lack of awareness in high-risk groups. Strengthening collaboration between health organizations and the screening program could enhance public awareness, improve program effectiveness, reduce oral cancer incidence, and lower long-term healthcare costs.

To investigate the safety and efficacy of camrelizumab in combination with nab-paclitaxel plus S-1 for the treatment of gastric cancer with serosal invasion. Two hundred patients with gastric cancer with serosal invasion who received neoadjuvant therapy from January 2012 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the different neoadjuvant therapy regimens, the patients were divided into the following three groups: the SOX group (S-1 + oxaliplatin) (72 patients), SAP group (S-1 + nab-paclitaxel) (95 patients) and C-SAP group (camrelizumab + S-1 + nab-paclitaxel) (33 patients). The pathological response (TRG 1a/1b) in the C-SAP group (39.4%) was not significantly different from that in the SAP group (26.3%) and was significantly higher than that in the SOX group (18.1%). The rate of ypT0 in the C-SAP group (24.2%) was higher than that in the SAP group (6.3%) and the SOX group (5.6%). The rate of ypN0 in the C-SAP group (66.7%) was also higher than that in the SAP group (38.9%) and the SOX group (36.1%). The rate of pCR in the C-SAP group (21.2%) was higher than that in the SAP group (5.3%) and the SOX group (2.8%). The use of an anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibody was an independent protective factor for TRG grade (1a/1b). The use of camrelizumab did not increase postoperative complications or the adverse effects of neoadjuvant therapy. Camrelizumab combined with nab-paclitaxel plus S-1 could significantly improve the rate of tumor regression grade (TRG 1a/1b) and the rate of pCR in gastric cancer with serosal invasion.

Robotic surgery may be an alternative to laparoscopic surgery for gastric cancer (GC). However, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reporting the differences in survival between these two approaches are currently lacking. From September 2017 to January 2020, 300 patients with cT1-4a and N0/+ were enrolled and randomized to either the robotic (RDG) or laparoscopic distal gastrectomy (LDG) group (NCT03313700). The primary endpoint was 3-year disease-free survival (DFS); secondary endpoints reported here are the 3-year overall survival (OS) and recurrence patterns. The remaining secondary outcomes include intraoperative outcomes, postoperative recovery, quality of lymphadenectomy, and cost differences, which have previously been reported. There were 283 patients in the modified intention-to-treat analysis (RDG group: n  = 141; LDG group: n  = 142). The trial has met pre-specified endpoints. The 3-year DFS rates were 85.8% and 73.2% in the RDG and LDG groups, respectively ( p  = 0.011). Multivariable Cox regression model including age, tumor size, sex, ECOG PS, lymphovascular invasion, histology, pT stage, and pN stage showed that RDG was associated with better 3-year DFS (HR: 0.541; 95% CI: 0.314-0.932). The RDG also improved the 3-year cumulative recurrence rate (RDG vs. LDG: 12.1% vs. 21.1%; HR: 0.546, 95% CI: 0.302-0.990). Compared to LDG, RDG demonstrated non-inferiority in 3-year DFS rate. Robotic surgery has been demonstrated to improve short-term outcomes for patients with gastric cancer who received a gastrectomy, but the long-term effects are less clear. Here, the authors report the survival outcomes of their phase 2 randomized controlled trial comparing robotic to laparoscopic distal gastrectomy in patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Background Many studies have found that use of aspirin can lengthen survival in patients with gastrointestinal cancer. The aim of this study was to assess the survival benefit of aspirin use compared with non-aspirin use for patients with esophageal, gastric or colorectal cancer. Methods We searched online databases, including PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Embase and www.clinicaltrials.gov for studies that were conducted, before April 30th, 2020, to identify relevant studies. Overall survival and cancer-specific survival of esophageal, gastric and colorectal cancers among aspirin users were compared with those among non-aspirin users. Data extraction and quality evaluation were independently conducted by 2 investigators. A meta-analysis was performed to calculate the pooled risk ratios (RRs) for overall survival and cancer-specific survival by using either a fixed-effects model or a random-effects model. Results A total of 18 studies were included in this meta-analysis, with more than 74,936 patients. There were no significant differences between postdiagnosis aspirin use and overall survival for esophageal and gastric cancers. For colorectal cancer, a benefit that was associated with postdiagnosis aspirin use was observed for overall survival and cancer-specific survival [HR = 0.83, 95%CI(0.75, 0.9.);HR = 0.78, 95%CI(0.66, 0.92), respectively. However, a prediagnosis of aspirin use did not provide a benefit for overall or cancer-specific survival in colorectal cancer. HR values for overall and cancer-specific survival benefits for colorectal cancer associated with both prediagnosis and postdiagnosis aspirin were as follows: HR = 0.75, 95%CI(0.61, 0.92) and HR = 0.78, 95%CI(0.73, 0.85), respectively. In addition, the survival benefit of postdiagnosis aspirin use appeared to be confined to patients with mutated PIK3CA tumors [HR = 0.78, 95%CI(0.50, 0.99)] and was positive for PTGS2 (COX-2) expression [HR = 0.75, 95%CI(0.43, 1.30)]. Conclusions These findings provide further indications that postdiagnosis aspirin use improves overall survival and cancer-specific survival in colorectal cancer, especially for patients who are positive for PTGS2 (COX-2) expression and PIK3CA-mutated tumors. However, aspirin therapy does not improve overall survival in esophageal and gastric cancers, although the meta-analysis was mainly limited to retrospective studies.

Background Whether the change of the pre- and postoperative systemic inflammatory response (SIR) levels will affect the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) is unclear. We aimed to investigate the dynamic changes in the pre- and postoperative SIR and their prognostic value for GC. Methods The clinicopathological data from 2257 patients who underwent radical gastrectomy between January 2009 and December 2014 at Fujian Medical University Union Hospital (FMUUH) were analyzed. Perioperative SIR changes were reported as changes in the lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII). Results The SIR levels showed different trends from postoperative months 1 to 12. Multivariate analysis showed that preoperative (pre)-LMR was an independent predictor for the prognosis ( P  = 0.024). The postoperative 12-month (post-12-month) LMR predicted the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate with the highest accuracy (areas under the curve [AUC] 0.717). Patients were divided into four groups according to the optimal cutoff of the preoperative and post-12-month LMR: high pre-LMR to high postoperative (post)-LMR group, high pre-LMR to low post-LMR group, low pre-LMR to high post-LMR group, and low pre-LMR to low post-LMR group. The survival analysis showed 5-year OS rate was significantly higher in patients with high post-12-month LMR than in patients with low post-12-month LMR, regardless of pre-LMR levels (81.6% vs. 44.2%, P  < 0.001). The prognostic accuracy was significantly improved by incorporating the post-12-month LMR in the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system ( P  = 0.003). Conclusions The remeasurement of LMR at post-12-month is helpful in predicting the long-term survival of GC.

To explore the oncological outcomes of sequential laparoscopic gastrectomy after treatment with camrelizumab in combination with nab-paclitaxel plus S-1 for the treatment of gastric cancer with serosal invasion. This study is a retrospective cohort study and retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological data of 128 patients with serosal invasion gastric cancer (cT4NxM0) who received nab-paclitaxel + S-1(SAP) or camrelizumab + nab-paclitaxel + S-1 (C-SAP) regimen and underwent laparoscopy assisted gastrectomy in Fujian Union Hospital from March 2019 to December 2020. The patients were divided into SAP group and C-SAP group. The 2-years overall survival rate, 2-year recurrence free survival rate recurrence rate and initial recurrence time were compared between the two groups. A total of 128 patients were included, including 90 cases in SAP group and 38 cases in C-SAP group. There were no significant differences in age, gender, gastrectomy method, surgical approach, R0 resection, nerve invasion, vascular invasion, total number of harvested lymph nodes, number of positive lymph nodes and major pathologic response (MPR) rate between the two groups (P>0.05). However, the proportion of ypT0, ypN0 and pCR rate in C-SAP group were significantly higher than those in SAP group (P<0.05). The 2-year OS of C-SAP group (80.7%) was higher than that of SAP group (67.8%), and the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.112); At 2 years after operation, the recurrence rate of C-SAP group (44.3%) was lower than that of SAP group (55.8%) (P = 0.097); Further analysis showed that the average time to recurrence in the C-SAP group was 18.9 months, which was longer than that in SAP group 13.1 months (P = 0.004); The 2-year recurrence free survival rate in C-SAP group was higher than that in SAP group (P=0.076); There was no significant difference in the overall survival time after recurrence between the two groups (P= 0.097). Camrelizumab combined with neoadjuvant chemotherapy can improve the proportion of ypT0, ypN0 and pCR in patients, while prolonging the initial recurrence time of patients in the C-SAP group, but did not increase the immunotherapy/chemotherapy related side effects and postoperative complications.

Background Mucopolysaccharidoses (MPSs) are a group of inherited metabolic diseases, which are characterized by the accumulation of glycosaminoglycans, and eventually lead to the progressive damage of various tissues and organs. Methods An epidemiological study of MPS in Taiwan was performed using multiple sources. The survival and diagnostic age for different types of MPS between 1985 and 2019 were evaluated. Results Between 1985 and 2019, there were 175 patients diagnosed with MPS disorders in the Taiwanese population, with a median diagnostic age of 3.9 years. There were 21 (12%), 78 (45%), 33 (19%), 32 (18%) and 11 (6%) patients diagnosed with MPS I, II, III, IV and VI, respectively, with median diagnostic ages of 1.5, 3.8, 4.7, 4.5 and 3.7 years, respectively. Diagnosis of MPS patients was significantly earlier in recent decades ( p  < 0.01). Pilot newborn screening programs for MPS I, II, VI, IVA, and IIIB were progressively introduced in Taiwan from 2016, and 48% (16/33) of MPS patients diagnosed between 2016 and 2019 were diagnosed by one of these screening programs, with a median diagnostic age at 0.2 years. For patients born between 2016 and 2019, up to 94% (16/17) were diagnosed with MPS via the newborn screening programs. At the time of this study, 81 patients had passed away with a median age at death of 15.6 years. Age at diagnosis was positively correlated with life expectancy ( p  < 0.01). Life expectancy also significantly increased between 1985 and 2019, however this increase was gradual ( p  < 0.01). Conclusions The life expectancy of Taiwanese patients with MPS has improved in recent decades and patients are being diagnosed earlier. Because of the progressive nature of the disease, early diagnosis by newborn screening programs and timely implementation of early therapeutic interventions may lead to better clinical outcomes.

Background The benefits of mammographic screening have been shown to include a decrease in mortality due to breast cancer. Taiwan’s Breast Cancer Screening Program is a national screening program that has offered biennial mammographic breast cancer screening for women aged 50–69 years since 2004 and for those aged 45–69 years since 2009, with the implementation of mobile units in 2010. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance results of the program with changes in the previous (2004–2009) and latter (2010–2020) periods. Methods A cohort of 3,665,078 women who underwent biennial breast cancer mammography screenings from 2004 to 2020 was conducted, and data were obtained from the Health Promotion Administration, Ministry of Health and Welfare of Taiwan. We compared the participation of screened women and survival rates from breast cancer in the earlier and latter periods across national breast cancer screening programs. Results Among 3,665,078 women who underwent 8,169,869 examinations in the study population, the screened population increased from 3.9% in 2004 to 40% in 2019. The mean cancer detection rate was 4.76 and 4.08 cancers per 1000 screening mammograms in the earlier (2004–2009) and latter (2010–2020) periods, respectively. The 10-year survival rate increased from 89.68% in the early period to 97.33% in the latter period. The mean recall rate was 9.90% (95% CI: 9.83–9.97%) in the early period and decreased to 8.15% (95%CI, 8.13–8.17%) in the latter period. Conclusions The evolution of breast cancer screening in Taiwan has yielded favorable outcomes by increasing the screening population, increasing the 10-year survival rate, and reducing the recall rate through the participation of young women, the implementation of a mobile unit service and quality assurance program, thereby providing historical evidence to policy makers to plan future needs.