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The UK transition from a 2 + 1 to a 1 + 1 infant immunisation schedule with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) on Jan 1, 2020, coincided with the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. We describe the epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in England over 6 financial years (April 1 to March 31) between 2017–18 and 2022–23. We used prospective national surveillance data, including serotyping and whole-genome sequencing of invasive isolates, to analyse IPD trends in England by age and financial year. We compared breakthrough infections and vaccine failure rates in 2022–23 among children eligible for the 1 + 1 schedule with rates in cohorts of children eligible for the 2 + 1 schedule between 2017–18 and 2019–20. We assessed genomic changes over time by comparing Global Pneumococcal Sequencing Clusters and multilocus sequence types among PCV13 serotypes causing IPD. There were 4598 laboratory-confirmed IPD cases in 2022–23, 3025 in 2021–22, 1240 in 2020–21, and 5316 in 2019–20. IPD incidence in 2022–23 was 14% lower than in 2019–20 (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0·86, 95% CI 0·81–0·91; p<0·001). IPD incidence in 2022–23 compared with 2019–20 was 34% higher in children (aged <15 years) (378 cases vs 292 cases; IRR 1·34, 95% CI 1·08–1·68; p=0·009) and 17% lower in adults (aged 15 years and older; 4220 vs 5024; 0·83, 0·78–0·88; p<0·001). The proportion of PCV13-type IPD increased from 19·4% (95% CI 18·2–20·4; 957 of 4947) in 2019–20 to 29·7% (28·3–31·0; 1283 of 4326) in 2022–23, mainly due to serotype 3, but also serotypes 19F, 19A, and 4, alongside a decrease in non-PCV13 serotypes 8, 12F, and 9N. The increase in IPD incidence due to serotypes 3, 19A, and 19F was driven by clonal expansion of previously circulating strains, whereas serotype 4 expansion was driven by newer strains (ie, sequence types 801 and 15603). Breakthrough infections and vaccine failure rates were similar in children eligible for the 1 + 1 (1·08 per 100 000 person-years) and 2 + 1 (0·76 per 100 000 person-years; IRR 1·42, 95% CI 0·78–2·49; p=0·20) PCV13 schedules. Overall, IPD incidence in England was lower in 2022–23, 2 years after removal of pandemic restrictions, than in 2019–20. Breakthrough and vaccine failure rates were not significantly different between children who received the 1 + 1 compared with the 2 + 1 PCV13 immunisation schedule. The post-pandemic increase in childhood IPD incidence and especially PCV13-type IPD will require close monitoring. None.

During July–December 2021, after COVID-19 restrictions were removed in England, invasive pneumococcal disease incidence in children <15 years of age was higher (1.96/100,000 children) than during the same period in 2020 (0.7/100,000 children) and in prepandemic years 2017–2019 (1.43/100,000 children). Childhood vaccine coverage should be maintained to protect the population.

Background In March 2020, England went into its first lockdown in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Restrictions eased temporarily, followed by second and third waves in October 2020 and January 2021. Recent data showed that the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in reduced transmission of some invasive diseases. We assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on pertussis incidence and on the immunisation programme in England. Methods We assessed trends in pertussis cases from 2012 to 2020 by age group and month. Incidence from the time that England eased its initial lockdown measures in July 2020 through to summer 2021 was calculated and the incidence rate ratios of pertussis cases from five years prior to the pandemic (July 2014 – June 2019) compared to the same time period during the pandemic (July 2020 – June 2021). Vaccine coverage estimates for pertussis containing vaccines were reviewed for the maternal and childhood programmes. Results A substantial decline in pertussis cases was observed from April 2020 onwards, marking the lowest number of cases in the last decade. Pertussis incidence dropped in all age groups, particularly among infants less than one year old (0.50 / 100,000 during July 2020 to June 2021 compared to 24.49/ 100,000 from July 2014 to June 2019). The incidence rate ratio was 0.02 (95% CI 0.01 to 0.02) for July 2014 to June 2019 (pre-pandemic) compared to the pandemic period of July 2020 to June 2021. None of the cases had a co-infection with SARS-CoV-2. Vaccine coverage for infants born between January to March 2020 with three doses of pertussis vaccine by 12 months of age decreased by 1.1% points compared to infants born between January to March 2019 (91.6% and 92.7%, respectively). Prenatal pertussis coverage for the 2020 to 2021 financial year was 2.7% points lower than the year prior to the pandemic (70.5% and 76.8%, respectively). Conclusions Lockdown measures due to the COVID-19 pandemic have had a significant impact on pertussis transmission. With the easing of restrictions it is important to continue monitoring pertussis cases in England alongside coverage of the maternal and childhood immunisation programmes.

Streptococcus pneumoniae typically express one of 92 serologically distinct capsule polysaccharide (cps) types (serotypes). Some of these serotypes are closely related to each other; using the commercially available typing antisera, these are assigned to common serogroups containing types that show cross-reactivity. In this serotyping scheme, factor antisera are used to allocate serotypes within a serogroup, based on patterns of reactions. This serotyping method is technically demanding, requires considerable experience and the reading of the results can be subjective. This study describes the analysis of the S. pneumoniae capsular operon genetic sequence to determine serotype distinguishing features and the development, evaluation and verification of an automated whole genome sequence (WGS)-based serotyping bioinformatics tool, PneumoCaT ( Pneumo coccal Ca psule T yping). Initially, WGS data from 871 S. pneumoniae isolates were mapped to reference cps locus sequences for the 92 serotypes. Thirty-two of 92 serotypes could be unambiguously identified based on sequence similarities within the cps operon. The remaining 60 were allocated to one of 20 ‘genogroups’ that broadly correspond to the immunologically defined serogroups. By comparing the cps reference sequences for each genogroup, unique molecular differences were determined for serotypes within 18 of the 20 genogroups and verified using the set of 871 isolates. This information was used to design a decision-tree style algorithm within the PneumoCaT bioinformatics tool to predict to serotype level for 89/94 (92 + 2 molecular types/subtypes) from WGS data and to serogroup level for serogroups 24 and 32, which currently comprise 2.1% of UK referred, invasive isolates submitted to the National Reference Laboratory (NRL), Public Health England (June 2014–July 2015). PneumoCaT was evaluated with an internal validation set of 2065 UK isolates covering 72/92 serotypes, including 19 non-typeable isolates and an external validation set of 2964 isolates from Thailand ( n = 2,531), USA ( n = 181) and Iceland ( n = 252). PneumoCaT was able to predict serotype in 99.1% of the typeable UK isolates and in 99.0% of the non-UK isolates. Concordance was evaluated in UK isolates where further investigation was possible; in 91.5% of the cases the predicted capsular type was concordant with the serologically derived serotype. Following retesting, concordance increased to 99.3% and in most resolved cases (97.8%; 135/138) discordance was shown to be caused by errors in original serotyping. Replicate testing demonstrated that PneumoCaT gave 100% reproducibility of the predicted serotype result. In summary, we have developed a WGS-based serotyping method that can predict capsular type to serotype level for 89/94 serotypes and to serogroup level for the remaining four. This approach could be integrated into routine typing workflows in reference laboratories, reducing the need for phenotypic immunological testing.

BackgroundChanges over the last 5 years (2013–18) in the serotypes implicated in adult pneumococcal pneumonia and the patient groups associated with vaccine-type disease are largely unknown.MethodsWe conducted a population-based prospective cohort study of adults admitted to two large university hospitals with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) between September 2013 and August 2018. Pneumococcal serotypes were identified using a novel 24-valent urinary monoclonal antibody assay and from blood cultures. Trends in incidence rates were compared against national invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) data. Persons at risk of vaccine-type pneumonia (pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV)13 and pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV)23) were determined from multivariate analyses.FindingsOf 2934 adults hospitalised with CAP, 1075 (36.6%) had pneumococcal pneumonia. The annual incidence of pneumococcal pneumonia increased from 32.2 to 48.2 per 100 000 population (2013–18), predominantly due to increases in PCV13non7-serotype and non-vaccine type (NVT)-serotype pneumonia (annual incidence rate ratio 1.12, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.21 and 1.19, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.28, respectively). Incidence trends were broadly similar to IPD data. PCV13non7 (56.9% serotype 3) and PPV23non13 (44.1% serotype 8) serotypes were identified in 349 (32.5%) and 431 (40.1%) patients with pneumococcal pneumonia, respectively. PCV13-serotype pneumonia (dominated by serotype 3) was more likely in patients in the UK pneumococcal vaccination clinical risk group (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.73, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.28) while PPV23-serotype pneumonia was more likely in patients outside the clinical risk group (aOR 1.54, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.10).InterpretationThe incidence of pneumococcal CAP is increasing, predominantly due to NVT serotypes and serotype 3. PPV23-serotype pneumonia is more likely in adults outside currently identified clinical risk groups.

Invasive Haemophilus influenzae serotype a (Hia) disease is rare, with most cases reported among Indigenous populations in North America. In England, national surveillance was enhanced following an increase in laboratory-confirmed invasive Hia disease since the 2016–17 epidemiological year. This study aimed to describe the epidemiological trends, clinical characteristics of cases, and assess potential genomic drivers. Hospital laboratories in England routinely submit invasive H influenzae isolates to the UK Health Security Agency for confirmation and serotyping. In this prospective national surveillance study we contacted the general practitioners and clinicians of all patients with laboratory-confirmed invasive Hia from the 2008–09 to the 2021–22 epidemiological year to complete a clinical questionnaire on demographics, underlying conditions, clinical presentation, complications, outcomes, and travel history of the patient. All Hia invasive isolates from residents in England were included in the study; non-invasive isolates were excluded. Multilocus sequence typing (MLST), whole genome single-nucleotide polymorphism, and k-mer-based analysis of bacterial isolates were performed following Illumina whole-genome sequencing (WGS). Outcomes included epidemiological trends, clinical characteristics of confirmed Hia cases, and genomic analyses. From the 2008–09 to the 2021–22 epidemiological years, there were 52 cases of invasive infection with H influenzae serotype a in England (25 [48%] in female patients and 27 [52%] in male patients). There were zero to two annual Hia cases (accounting for <0·5% of serotyped H influenzae isolates) until 2015–16, after which cases increased across England to 19 cases in 2021–22 (incidence 0·03 cases per 100 000), when Hia accounted for 19 (4%) of 484 serotyped H influenzae isolates, 19 (19%) of 100 capsulated cases, and 37% (19 of 52) of all H influenzae cases between 2008–09 and 2021–22. Most of the recent increase in cases occurred among individuals aged 65 years and older (17 [33%] of 52), who typically presented with bacteraemic pneumonia (13 [76%] of 17), and infants younger than 1 year, who had the highest incidence and were more likely to present with meningitis (five [50%] of ten). Overall case fatality rate was 7·7% (95% CI 2·1–19·7; four of 52 patients). WGS found that closely related MLST sequence types ST1511 (20 [39%] of 51), ST23 (13 [25%] of 51), and ST56 (seven [14%] of 51) accounted for most cases, with no evidence of serotype b strains switching capsule to Hia. Duplication of the capsule operon, associated with more severe disease, was present in 32 (80%) of 40 of these sequence types. Analysis of the core and accessory genome content grouped most isolates into a single strain. The persistent increase in invasive Hia cases across England and across all age groups suggests widespread transmission, consistent with reports from other European countries, and will require close monitoring. UK Health Security Agency.

Vaccination with the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) is available in the United Kingdom to adults aged 65 years or older and those in defined clinical risk groups. We evaluated the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of PPV23 against vaccine-type pneumococcal pneumonia in a cohort of adults hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Using a case-control test-negative design, a secondary analysis of data was conducted from a prospective cohort study of adults (aged ≥16 years) with CAP hospitalised at 2 university teaching hospitals in Nottingham, England, from September 2013 to August 2018. The exposure of interest was PPV23 vaccination at any time point prior to the index admission. A case was defined as PPV23 serotype-specific pneumococcal pneumonia and a control as non-PPV23 serotype pneumococcal pneumonia or nonpneumococcal pneumonia. Pneumococcal serotypes were identified from urine samples using a multiplex immunoassay or from positive blood cultures. Multivariable logistic regression was used to derive adjusted odds of case status between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals; VE estimates were calculated as (1 - odds ratio) × 100%. Of 2,357 patients, there were 717 PPV23 cases (48% vaccinated) and 1,640 controls (54.5% vaccinated). The adjusted VE (aVE) estimate against PPV23 serotype disease was 24% (95% CI 5%-40%, p = 0.02). Estimates were similar in analyses restricted to vaccine-eligible patients (n = 1,768, aVE 23%, 95% CI 1%-40%) and patients aged ≥65 years (n = 1,407, aVE 20%, 95% CI -5% to 40%), but not in patients aged ≥75 years (n = 905, aVE 5%, 95% CI -37% to 35%). The aVE estimate in relation to PPV23/non-13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) serotype pneumonia (n = 417 cases, 43.7% vaccinated) was 29% (95% CI 6%-46%). Key limitations of this study are that, due to high vaccination rates, there was a lack of power to reject the null hypothesis of no vaccine effect, and that the study was not large enough to allow robust subgroup analysis in the older age groups. In the setting of an established national childhood PCV13 vaccination programme, PPV23 vaccination of clinical at-risk patient groups and adults aged ≥65 years provided moderate long-term protection against hospitalisation with PPV23 serotype pneumonia. These findings suggest that PPV23 vaccination may continue to have an important role in adult pneumococcal vaccine policy, including the possibility of revaccination of older adults.

A long-term problem.

In January 2020 the UK changed from a 2 + 1 schedule for 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) to a 1 + 1 schedule (doses at 3 and 12 months) based on a randomized immunogenicity trial comparing the two schedules. Carriage prevalence measured at the time of booster and 6 months later in 191 of the 213 study infants was 57 % (109/191) and 60 % (114/190) respectively. There were eight episodes of vaccine-type (VT) or vaccine-related 6C carriage in the 2 + 1 and six in the 1 + 1 group; ≥4-fold rises in serotype-specific IgG in 71 children with paired post-booster and follow up blood samples at 21–33 months of age were found in 20 % (7/35) of the 2 + 1 and 15 % (6/41) of the 1 + 1 group. VTs identified in carriage and inferred from serology were similar comprising 3, 19A and 19F. Dropping a priming dose from the 2 + 1 PCV 13 schedule did not increase VT carriage in the study cohort. Ongoing population level carriage studies will be important to confirm this.