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40 result(s) for "Llenas-García, Jara"
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Clinical and Epidemiological Characteristics of an Oropouche Virus Outbreak in Loreto, Peru (October 2024–March 2025)
Oropouche virus (OROV) has emerged as a significant arboviral pathogen in South America, responsible for recurrent outbreaks of febrile illness. In the Loreto region of Peru, more than 600 cases were reported in 2024, markedly exceeding expected incidence rates. We conducted a retrospective observational study using clinical–epidemiological records of all RT-qPCR-confirmed cases of Oropouche fever from the Regional Health Directorate of Loreto between October 2024 and March 2025. A total of 100 confirmed cases were identified. The most frequent symptoms were fever (88%), headache (78%), and myalgia (72%). No atypical or neurological presentations were reported. No severe cases or deaths occurred. Eight patients required hospitalization, mainly due to severe abdominal pain, persistent vomiting, arthralgia, and pregnancy. Six pregnant women were identified; three experienced pregnancy complications, though no fetal malformations or miscarriages were observed. This outbreak represents a new OROV epidemic in the region, with fewer cases than in 2024 and predominantly mild clinical courses. Although outcomes were generally favorable, the occurrence of complications in pregnant women underscores the importance of continued molecular surveillance and targeted public health interventions.
Strongyloidiasis Treatment Outcomes: A Prospective Study Using Serological and Molecular Methods
Strongyloidiasis, caused by the soil-transmitted helminth Strongyloides stercoralis, is estimated to infect around 600 million people worldwide. Ivermectin is the current first-line treatment. This prospective study evaluated long-term treatment response in patients with chronic strongyloidiasis. Conducted from 2019 to 2022 at Vega Baja Hospital in Alicante, Spain, this study enrolled 28 patients diagnosed with S. stercoralis infection. Patients received ivermectin at a dosage of 200 mcg/kg for one or two days and were followed for at least 12 months, with evaluations at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months post-treatment. Assessments included hemogram, IgE, Strongyloides serology, larvae culture and direct visualization and Strongyloides PCR in stool. Twenty-three patients completed at least 12 months of follow-up. Twenty-one patients (91.3%) achieved treatment response. Two patients (8.6%) experienced parasitological treatment failure, with detectable Strongyloides stercoralis DNA during follow-up. Ivermectin is highly effective in treating strongyloidiasis, with serology aiding in monitoring treatment efficacy. However, PCR detected an additional case of persistent infection, underscoring its complementary role.
Hyperinfection by Strongyloides stercoralis: Series of Cases in a Regional Hospital in Southern Spain
Background: Strongyloidiasis is a neglected tropical disease caused by the nematode Strongyloides stercoralis. In immunosuppressed patients, it may progress to hyperinfection syndrome (HIS) and disseminated strongyloidiasis (DS), both of which are associated with high mortality rates. We reviewed cases of HIS and DS in a Spanish hospital located in an area with endemic strongyloidiasis. Methods: All of the patients who met the HIS or DIS criteria between 1999 and 2023 at the Vega Baja Hospital in Orihuela (Alicante, Spain) were included. Results: Five patients were identified, four of them autochthonous (median age 72 years, 80% male), with three cases of HIS and two cases of DS in the form of meningitis, due to E. faecalis and E. coli. The most common risk factor, observed in three patients, was corticosteroid use. Two patients died. Conclusions: This case series highlights the severity of infections in immunocompromised patients in an endemic area of Spain, emphasizing the need to establish screening protocols for patients at risk of immunosuppression, including both locals and migrants.
Chagas disease screening in pregnant Latin American women: Adherence to a systematic screening protocol in a non-endemic country
Chagas disease (CD) is a chronic parasitic disease caused by Trypanosoma cruzi and is endemic to continental Latin America. In Spain, the main transmission route is congenital. We aimed to assess adherence to regional recommendations of universal screening for CD during pregnancy in Latin American women in the province of Alicante from 2014 to 2018. Retrospective quality study using two data sources: 1) delivery records of Latin American women that gave birth in the 10 public hospitals of Alicante between January 2014 and December 2018; and 2) records of Chagas serologies carried out in those centers between May 2013 and December 2018. There were 3026 deliveries in Latin American women during the study period; 1178 (38.9%) underwent CD serology. Screening adherence ranged from 17.2% to 59.3% in the different health departments and was higher in Bolivian women (48.3%). Twenty-six deliveries (2.2%) had a positive screening; CD was confirmed in 23 (2%) deliveries of 21 women. Bolivians had the highest seroprevalence (21/112; 18.7%), followed by Colombians (1/333; 0.3%) and Ecuadorians (1/348; 0.3%). Of 21 CD-positive women (19 Bolivians, 1 Colombian, 1 Ecuadorian), infection was already known in 12 (57.1%), and 9 (42.9%) had already been treated. Only 1 of the 12 untreated women (8.3%) was treated postpartum. Follow-up started in 20 of the 23 (87.0%) neonates but was completed only in 11 (47.8%); no cases of congenital transmission were detected. Among the 1848 unscreened deliveries, we estimate 43 undiagnosed cases of CD and 1 to 2 undetected cases of congenital transmission. Adherence to recommendations of systematic screening for CD in Latin American pregnant women in Alicante can be improved. Strategies to strengthen treatment of postpartum women and monitoring of exposed newborns are needed. Currently, there may be undetected cases of congenital transmission in our province.
A retrospective real-world study of early short-course remdesivir in non-hospitalized COVID-19 patients at high risk for progression: low rate of hospitalization or death, regardless of immunocompetence status
Introduction: The evidence for remdesivir therapy in immunocompromised patients is scarce. To evaluate remdesivir (RDV) effectiveness and safety in COVID-19 outpatients at high risk for progression in a real-world setting, we compare the outcome in immunocompromised (IC) patients with that in non-immunocompromised patients. Methods: Two hospitals conducted a retrospective study of all adult patients with mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection at high risk for disease progression who were treated as outpatients with a 3-day course of RDV (1st January−30th September 2022). The primary effectiveness endpoint was a composite of any cause of hospitalization or death by day 30. A multiple logistic regression model was built to explore the association between immune status and clinical outcome, estimating adjusted odds ratios [aORs (95% CI)]. Results: We have included 211 patients, of which 57% were males, with a median age of 65 years (IQR 53–77), 70.1% were vaccinated (three or four doses), and 61.1% were IC. The median duration of symptoms before RDV treatment was 3 days (IQR 2–5). During follow-up, 14 (6.6%) patients were hospitalized, of which 6 (2.8%) were hospitalized for COVID-19 progression. No patient required mechanical ventilation, and two patients died (non-COVID-19-related). After accounting for potential confounders, only anti-CD20 treatment was associated with the composed outcome [aOR 5.35 (1.02–27.5, 95% CI)], whereas the immunocompetence status was not [aOR 1.94 (0.49–7.81, 95% CI)]. Conclusion: Early COVID-19 outpatient treatment with a 3-day course of remdesivir in vaccinated patients at high risk for disease progression during the Omicron surge had a good safety profile. It was associated with a low rate of all-cause hospitalization or death, regardless of immunocompetence status.
Chagas Disease in a Non-Endemic Setting: Clinical Profile, Treatment Outcomes, and Predictors of Cure in a 15-Year Cohort Study
This retrospective cohort study aimed to assess clinical and epidemiological characteristics, treatment outcomes, and predictors of serological cure in patients with chronic Chagas disease in a non-endemic setting. All individuals aged ≥16 years with confirmed infection and evaluated at a tertiary hospital in Spain from 2008 to 2023 were included. Most of the 107 participants were women (78.5%) and Bolivian-born (99.1%). Digestive and cardiac involvement were identified in 32.7% and 17.8% of cases, respectively. Cardiac symptoms were significantly associated with the diagnostic findings of cardiac involvement (odds ratio [OR] 3.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1–8.2), whereas digestive symptoms did not correlate with imaging abnormalities (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.3–1.6). Antiparasitic treatment, usually benznidazole, was initiated in 69% of patients and led to adverse events in 66.2%, with treatment discontinuation in 25.7%. Only 8.1% of treated patients achieved serological cure after a median 26 months, with obesity emerging as the only independent predictor (adjusted OR 31.0, 95% CI 3.7–261.2). Cardiac progression occurred in 9.3% of patients despite treatment. Although 59.8% were lost to follow-up, the cohort maintained a median follow-up of 27 months. These findings underscore the need for improved treatment strategies and sustained clinical monitoring in non-endemic settings.
Concomitant serological and molecular methods for 'Strongyloides stercoralis' screening in an endemic area of spain
Strongyloidiasis is a widespread parasitic disease that can be life-threatening in immuno-suppressed people. In the Mediterranean basin, autochthonous cases coexist with imported ones. We aimed to assess the utility of different screening methods, along with the frequency of strongy- loidiasis and its associated risk factors in migrants and the native population. This cross-sectional study took place from 2019 to 2022 in the area of the Vega Baja Hospital in Alicante, Spain. Screening was performed in people who were immunosuppressed, at risk of immunosuppression, with blood asymptomatic eosinophilia, and in asymptomatic people from highly endemic countries. Screening methods were serological techniques (ELISA), stool parasitological tests (fecal concentration methods and agar plate culture), and a stool molecular test (PCR). Of the 168 participants (62.5% males, 53.0% migrants, 36.3% immunosuppressed, median age 57 years), 14 (8.3%) had confirmed strongyloidiasis, where 6 were confirmed by serology, 4 by PCR, and 4 by both methods. Overall, 9% of the migrants and 7.6% of the native-born patients were infected. Elevated IgE and hemoglobin and Latin American origin were associated with strongyloidiasis diagnosis. Screening with serology alone would have missed 28.6% of cases. We conclude that strongyloidiasis prevalence is high in our population, both in native and migrant groups, and stool PCR is a useful tool to increase case detection.
Ivermectin Effect on In-Hospital Mortality and Need for Respiratory Support in COVID-19 Pneumonia: Propensity Score-Matched Retrospective Study
Introduction. There is negligible evidence on the efficacy of ivermectin for treating COVID-19 pneumonia. This study aimed to assess the efficacy of ivermectin for pre-emptively treating Strongyloides stercoralis hyperinfection syndrome in order to reduce mortality and the need for respiratory support in patients hospitalized for COVID-19. Methods. This single-center, observational, retrospective study included patients admitted with COVID-19 pneumonia at Hospital Vega Baja from 23 February 2020 to 14 March 2021. Because strongyloidiasis is endemic to our area, medical criteria support empiric administration of a single, 200 μg/kg dose of ivermectin to prevent Strongyloides hyperinfection syndrome. The outcome was a composite of all-cause in-hospital mortality and the need for respiratory support. Results. Of 1167 patients in the cohort, 96 received ivermectin. After propensity score matching, we included 192 patients. The composite outcome of in-hospital mortality or need for respiratory support occurred in 41.7% of the control group (40/96) and 34.4% (33/96) of the ivermectin group. Ivermectin was not associated with the outcome of interest (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35, 1.69; p = 0.52). The factors independently associated with this endpoint were oxygen saturation (aOR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68, 0.89, p < 0.001) and C-reactive protein at admission (aOR: 1.09, 95% CI 1.03, 1.16, p < 0.001). Conclusions. In hospitalized patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, ivermectin at a single dose for pre-emptively treating Strongyloides stercoralis is not effective in reducing mortality or the need for respiratory support measures.
Hepatitis B Infection, Viral Load and Resistance in HIV-Infected Patients in Mozambique and Zambia
Few data on the virological determinants of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection are available from southern Africa. We enrolled consecutive HIV-infected adult patients initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART) at two urban clinics in Zambia and four rural clinics in Northern Mozambique between May 2013 and August 2014. HBsAg screening was performed using the Determine® rapid test. Quantitative real-time PCR and HBV sequencing were performed in HBsAg-positive patients. Risk factors for HBV infection were evaluated using Chi-square and Mann-Whitney tests and associations between baseline characteristics and high level HBV replication explored in multivariable logistic regression. Seventy-eight of 1,032 participants in Mozambique (7.6%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.1-9.3) and 90 of 797 in Zambia (11.3%, 95% CI: 9.3-13.4) were HBsAg-positive. HBsAg-positive individuals were less likely to be female compared to HBsAg-negative ones (52.3% vs. 66.1%, p<0.001). Among 156 (92.9%) HBsAg-positive patients with an available measurement, median HBV viral load was 13,645 IU/mL (interquartile range: 192-8,617,488 IU/mL) and 77 (49.4%) had high values (>20,000 UI/mL). HBsAg-positive individuals had higher levels of ALT and AST compared to HBsAg-negative ones (both p<0.001). In multivariable analyses, male sex (adjusted odds ratio: 2.59, 95% CI: 1.22-5.53) and CD4 cell count below 200/μl (2.58, 1.20-5.54) were associated with high HBV DNA. HBV genotypes A1 (58.8%) and E (38.2%) were most prevalent. Four patients had probable resistance to lamivudine and/or entecavir. One half of HBsAg-positive patients demonstrated high HBV viremia, supporting the early initiation of tenofovir-containing ART in HIV/HBV-coinfected adults.
Hospitalization forecast to inform COVID-19 pandemic planning and resource allocation using discrete event simulation
Purpose: This study aims to address the pressing need for accurate forecasting of healthcare resource demands during the COVID-19 pandemic. It presents a novel approach that combines a stochastic Markov model and a discrete event simulation model to dynamically predict hospital admissions and daily occupancy of hospital and ICU beds.Design/methodology/approach: The research builds upon existing work related to predicting COVID-19 spread and patient influx to hospital emergency departments. The proposed model was developed and validated at San Juan de Alicante University Hospital from July 10, 2020, to January 10, 2022, and externally validated at Hospital Vega Baja. The model involves an admissions generator based on a stochastic Markov model, feeding data into a discrete event simulation model in the R programming language. The probabilities of hospital admission were calculated based on age-stratified positive SARS-COV-2 results from the health department's catchment population. The discrete event simulation model simulates distinct patient pathways within the hospital to estimate bed occupancy for the upcoming week. The performance of the model was measured using the median absolute difference (MAD) between predicted and actual demand.Findings: When applied to data from San Juan hospital, the admissions generator demonstrated a MAD of 6 admissions/week (interquartile range [IQR] 2-11). The MAD between the model's predictions and actual bed occupancy was 20 beds/day (IQR 5-43), equivalent to 5% of total hospital beds. For ICU occupancy, the MAD was 4 beds/day (IQR 2-7), constituting 25% of ICU beds. Evaluation with data from Hospital Vega Baja showcased an admissions generator MAD of 2.42 admissions/week (IQR 1.02-7.41). The MAD between the model's predictions and actual bed occupancy was 18 beds/day (IQR 19.57-38.89), approximately 5.1% of hospital beds. The ICU occupancy MAD was 3 beds/day (IQR 1-5), making up 21.4% of ICU beds.Practical implications: The dynamic predictions of hospital admissions, ward beds, and ICU occupancy for COVID-19 patients proved highly valuable to hospital managers, facilitating early and informed planning of resource allocation. Additionally, this study underscores the importance of utilizing simulation techniques to predict and manage hospital occupancy levels, thereby enhancing decision-making in hospital bed management, not only during pandemics but also during regular periods.Originality/value: This study introduces a novel hybrid approach that combines stochastic modeling and discrete event simulation to forecast healthcare resource demands during the COVID-19 pandemic. The methodology's effectiveness in predicting admissions and bed occupancy contributes to improved resource planning and situational awareness.