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The role of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer continues to be debated. The presence of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) after surgery predicts very poor recurrence-free survival, whereas its absence predicts a low risk of recurrence. The benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy for ctDNA-positive patients is not well understood. We conducted a trial to assess whether a ctDNA-guided approach could reduce the use of adjuvant chemotherapy without compromising recurrence risk. Patients with stage II colon cancer were randomly assigned in a 2:1 ratio to have treatment decisions guided by either ctDNA results or standard clinicopathological features. For ctDNA-guided management, a ctDNA-positive result at 4 or 7 weeks after surgery prompted oxaliplatin-based or fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy. Patients who were ctDNA-negative were not treated. The primary efficacy end point was recurrence-free survival at 2 years. A key secondary end point was adjuvant chemotherapy use. Of the 455 patients who underwent randomization, 302 were assigned to ctDNA-guided management and 153 to standard management. The median follow-up was 37 months. A lower percentage of patients in the ctDNA-guided group than in the standard-management group received adjuvant chemotherapy (15% vs. 28%; relative risk, 1.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25 to 2.65). In the evaluation of 2-year recurrence-free survival, ctDNA-guided management was noninferior to standard management (93.5% and 92.4%, respectively; absolute difference, 1.1 percentage points; 95% CI, -4.1 to 6.2 [noninferiority margin, -8.5 percentage points]). Three-year recurrence-free survival was 86.4% among ctDNA-positive patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy and 92.5% among ctDNA-negative patients who did not. A ctDNA-guided approach to the treatment of stage II colon cancer reduced adjuvant chemotherapy use without compromising recurrence-free survival. (Supported by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council and others; DYNAMIC Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12615000381583.).

Abstract Context Thyroid dysfunction occurs commonly following immune checkpoint inhibition. The etiology of thyroid immune-related adverse events (irAEs) remains unclear and clinical presentation can be variable. Objective This study sought to define thyroid irAEs following immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment and describe their clinical and biochemical associations. Methods We performed a retrospective cohort study of thyroid dysfunction in patients with melanoma undergoing cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen-4 (CTLA-4) and/or programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) based ICI treatment from November 1, 2009, to December 31, 2019. Thyroid function was measured at baseline and at regular intervals following the start of ICI treatment. Clinical and biochemical features were evaluated for associations with ICI-associated thyroid irAEs. The prevalence of thyroid autoantibodies and the effect of thyroid irAEs on survival were analyzed. Results A total of 1246 patients were included with a median follow-up of 11.3 months. Five hundred and eighteen (42%) patients developed an ICI-associated thyroid irAE. Subclinical thyrotoxicosis (n = 234) was the most common thyroid irAE, followed by overt thyrotoxicosis (n = 154), subclinical hypothyroidism (n = 61), and overt hypothyroidism (n = 39). Onset of overt thyrotoxicosis occurred a median of 5 weeks (interquartile range [IQR] 2-8) after receipt of a first dose of ICI. Combination immunotherapy was strongly associated with development of overt thyrotoxicosis (odds ratio [OR] 10.8, 95% CI 4.51-25.6 vs CTLA-4 monotherapy; P < .001), as was female sex (OR 2.02, 95% CI 1.37-2.95; P < .001) and younger age (OR 0.83 per 10 years, 95% CI 0.72-0.95; P = .007). By comparison, median onset of overt hypothyroidism was 14 weeks (IQR 8-25). The frequency of overt hypothyroidism did not differ between different ICI types. The strongest associations for hypothyroidism were higher baseline thyroid-stimulating hormone (OR 2.33 per mIU/L, 95% CI 1.61-3.33; P < .001) and female sex (OR 3.31, 95% CI 1.67-6.56; P = .01). Overt thyrotoxicosis was associated with longer progression free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.68, 95% CI 0.49-0.94; P = .02) and overall survival (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.39-0.84; P = .005). There was no association between hypothyroidism and cancer outcomes. Conclusion Thyroid irAEs are common and there are multiple distinct phenotypes. Different thyroid irAE subtypes have unique clinical and biochemical associations, suggesting potentially distinct etiologies for thyrotoxicosis and hypothyroidism arising in this context.

BackgroundCounterintuitively, more deaths from melanoma occur among patients with thin (T1) primary melanomas (≤ 1 mm) than among those with thick primary melanoma because the great majority present with T1 tumors. Therefore, it is important to stratify their risk as accurately as possible to guide their management and follow-up. This study sought to explore the relationship between tumor thickness and prognosis for patients with thin primary melanomas.MethodsA retrospective, single-institution study investigated 6263 patients with cutaneous melanoma (including 2117 T1 cases) who had a minimum follow-up period of 10 years.ResultsFor the entire patient cohort, the 10-year melanoma-specific survival (MSS) rate ranged between 92% for the patients with primary melanomas up to 0.3 mm thick and 32% for those with melanomas thicker than 8 mm. When divided into 25-quantile-thickness groups there was a significant difference in 10-year MSS between the two consecutive groups 0.8 and 0.9 mm; the differences in survival were not significantly different for any other consecutive cut points within the less than or equal to 1 mm thickness range, indicating a biologically-relevant difference in outcome above and below 0.8 mm. For the patients treated initially at the authors’ institution, the 10- and 20-year MSS rates for those with tumors up to 0.8 mm thick were respectively 93.4 and 85.7%, and for tumors 0.9 to 1.0 mm, the rates were respectively 81.1 and 71.4%. Only 29.3% of the T1 patients who died of melanoma were deceased within 5 years.ConclusionsA naturally occurring thickness cut point of 0.8 mm predicts higher or lower risk for patients with thin primary cutaneous melanomas. Long-term follow-up assessment of patients with T1 melanoma is important because late mortality due to melanoma is more common than early mortality.

Patients with melanoma brain metastases respond well to immunotherapy, but long-term comparative survival data are scarce. We aimed to assess the efficacy of ipilimumab plus nivolumab versus nivolumab alone in patients with melanoma brain metastases at 7 years. This open-label, randomised, phase 2 study was conducted at four sites (two research institute cancer centres and two university teaching hospitals) in Australia. Patients aged 18 years or older with active, immunotherapy-naive melanoma brain metastases and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0–2 were eligible. Asymptomatic patients with no previous brain-directed therapy were randomly assigned (5:4) using the biased-coin minimisation method (after a safety run-in of six patients) to cohort A (intravenous ipilimumab 3 mg/kg plus nivolumab 1 mg/kg every 3 weeks for four doses, then nivolumab 3 mg/kg every 2 weeks) or cohort B (intravenous nivolumab 3 mg/kg every 2 weeks). Patients with previous brain-directed therapy, neurological symptoms, or leptomeningeal disease were assigned to cohort C (non-randomised; intravenous nivolumab 3 mg/kg every 2 weeks). The primary endpoint was best intracranial response (complete or partial response) from week 12. Secondary survival endpoints included intracranial progression-free survival and overall survival. Safety was assessed from the first dose of treatment to at least 100 days after treatment discontinuation. Analyses were performed in patients who received at least one dose of study drug. The main analysis has been reported, and this is a long-term follow up of the ABC trial. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02374242, and is ongoing. Between Nov 4, 2014, and April 21, 2017, 89 patients were assessed for eligibility, 79 of whom were enrolled and assigned to cohort A (n=36), cohort B (n=27), or cohort C (n=16). Three patients (one in cohort A and two in cohort B) were excluded due to ineligibility. 17 (22%) of 76 patients were female and 59 (78%) were male. At data cutoff (March 26, 2024), the median follow-up was 7·6 years (IQR 6·9–8·2). Overall intracranial responses occurred in 18 (51% [95% CI 34–69]) patients from cohort A, five (20% [7–41]) from cohort B, and one (6% [0–30]) from cohort C. 7-year intracranial progression-free survival was 42% (95% CI 29–63) in cohort A, 15% (6–39) in cohort B, and 6% (1–42) in cohort C. 7-year overall survival was 48% (34–68) in cohort A, 26% (13–51) in cohort B, and 13% (3–46) in cohort C. Safety results were consistent with the primary analysis. 50 patients died, including 18 (51%) from cohort A, 18 (72%) from cohort B, and 14 (88%) from cohort C. Our findings suggest that ipilimumab plus nivolumab maintains efficacy to at least 7 years in patients with active asymptomatic brain metastasis. Upfront ipilimumab plus nivolumab should be the standard of care for patients with melanoma brain metastasis; a trial investigating the role of stereotactic surgery in this new paradigm is ongoing. Melanoma Institute Australia and Bristol Myers Squibb.

The association among pathological response, recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) with neoadjuvant therapy in melanoma remains unclear. In this study, we pooled data from six clinical trials of anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy or BRAF/MEK targeted therapy. In total, 192 patients were included; 141 received immunotherapy (104, combination of ipilimumab and nivolumab; 37, anti-PD-1 monotherapy), and 51 received targeted therapy. A pathological complete response (pCR) occurred in 40% of patients: 47% with targeted therapy and 33% with immunotherapy (43% combination and 20% monotherapy). pCR correlated with improved RFS (pCR 2-year 89% versus no pCR 50%, P  < 0.001) and OS (pCR 2-year OS 95% versus no pCR 83%, P  = 0.027). In patients with pCR, near pCR or partial pathological response with immunotherapy, very few relapses were seen (2-year RFS 96%), and, at this writing, no patient has died from melanoma, whereas, even with pCR from targeted therapy, the 2-year RFS was only 79%, and OS was only 91%. Pathological response should be an early surrogate endpoint for clinical trials and a new benchmark for development and approval in melanoma. A pooled analysis of neoadjuvant immunotherapy trials in melanoma shows that the degree of pathological response associates with patient survival and might represent a surrogate marker for long-term outcomes.

Adjuvant systemic therapies are now routinely used following resection of stage III melanoma, however accurate prognostic information is needed to better stratify patients. We use differential expression analyses of primary tumours from 204 RNA-sequenced melanomas within a large adjuvant trial, identifying a 121 metastasis-associated gene signature. This signature strongly associated with progression-free (HR = 1.63, p  = 5.24 × 10 −5 ) and overall survival (HR = 1.61, p  = 1.67 × 10 −4 ), was validated in 175 regional lymph nodes metastasis as well as two externally ascertained datasets. The machine learning classification models trained using the signature genes performed significantly better in predicting metastases than models trained with clinical covariates ( p AUROC = 7.03 × 10 −4 ), or published prognostic signatures ( p AUROC < 0.05). The signature score negatively correlated with measures of immune cell infiltration (ρ = −0.75, p  < 2.2 × 10 −16 ), with a higher score representing reduced lymphocyte infiltration and a higher 5-year risk of death in stage II melanoma. Our expression signature identifies melanoma patients at higher risk of metastases and warrants further evaluation in adjuvant clinical trials. The identification of prognostic biomarkers can help stratify cancer patients. Here, the authors apply deep RNA sequencing from primary melanomas coupled with long-term clinical outcome data from a prospective multicentre phase III trial, to develop and validate a 121 metastasis-associated gene signature identifying early-stage melanoma patients at higher risk of metastasis and worse survival.

Anti-PD-1 therapy (hereafter referred to as anti-PD-1) induces long-term disease control in approximately 30% of patients with metastatic melanoma; however, two-thirds of patients are resistant and will require further treatment. We aimed to determine the efficacy and safety of ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 (pembrolizumab or nivolumab) compared with ipilimumab monotherapy in patients who are resistant to anti-PD-(L)1 therapy (hereafter referred to as anti-PD-[L]1). This multicentre, retrospective, cohort study, was done at 15 melanoma centres in Australia, Europe, and the USA. We included adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with metastatic melanoma (unresectable stage III and IV), who were resistant to anti-PD-(L)1 (innate or acquired resistance) and who then received either ipilimumab monotherapy or ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 (pembrolizumab or nivolumab), based on availability of therapies or clinical factors determined by the physician, or both. Tumour response was assessed as per standard of care (CT or PET–CT scans every 3 months). The study endpoints were objective response rate, progression-free survival, overall survival, and safety of ipilimumab compared with ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1. We included 355 patients with metastatic melanoma, resistant to anti-PD-(L)1 (nivolumab, pembrolizumab, or atezolizumab), who had been treated with ipilimumab monotherapy (n=162 [46%]) or ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 (n=193 [54%]) between Feb 1, 2011, and Feb 6, 2020. At a median follow-up of 22·1 months (IQR 9·5–30·9), the objective response rate was higher with ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 (60 [31%] of 193 patients) than with ipilimumab monotherapy (21 [13%] of 162 patients; p<0·0001). Overall survival was longer in the ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 group (median overall survival 20·4 months [95% CI 12·7–34·8]) than with ipilimumab monotherapy (8·8 months [6·1–11·3]; hazard ratio [HR] 0·50, 95% CI 0·38–0·66; p<0·0001). Progression-free survival was also longer with ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 (median 3·0 months [95% CI 2·6–3·6]) than with ipilimumab (2·6 months [2·4–2·9]; HR 0·69, 95% CI 0·55–0·87; p=0·0019). Similar proportions of patients reported grade 3–5 adverse events in both groups (59 [31%] of 193 patients in the ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 group vs 54 [33%] of 162 patients in the ipilimumab group). The most common grade 3–5 adverse events were diarrhoea or colitis (23 [12%] of 193 patients in the ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 group vs 33 [20%] of 162 patients in the ipilimumab group) and increased alanine aminotransferase or aspartate aminotransferase (24 [12%] vs 15 [9%]). One death occurred with ipilimumab 26 days after the last treatment: a colon perforation due to immune-related pancolitis. In patients who are resistant to anti-PD-(L)1, ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 seemed to yield higher efficacy than ipilimumab with a higher objective response rate, longer progression-free, and longer overall survival, with a similar rate of grade 3–5 toxicity. Ipilimumab plus anti-PD-1 should be favoured over ipilimumab alone as a second-line immunotherapy for these patients with advanced melanoma. None.

Background Immunotherapy has significantly improved survival in patients with metastatic melanoma, achieving objective response rates of 45–60% and long-term survival. However, there is scope and a need to further improve outcomes. Preclinical and early clinical data suggest synergistic effects between stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) and checkpoint inhibitor immunotherapy with an acceptable safety profile. Methods AXIOM is a phase II, multicentre, randomised trial designed to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of upfront SBRT to all radiologically identified metastasis with immunotherapy over historical immunotherapy alone (standard of care) in patients with 1–5 extracranial melanoma oligometastases. The sample size calculation is based on a single-arm design along with a contemporary control arm to confirm historical data, without a formal comparison between the two arms. The study is 80% powered to detect a 15% absolute improvement in OS rate at the 3-year landmark in the interventional arm. A total of 129 patients will be randomised in a 2:1 ratio to receive either SBRT combined with immunotherapy ( n  = 86) or immunotherapy ( n  = 43). SBRT delivers minimum biologically effective dose of 48 Gy₁₀ to all lesions between cycles 1–3 of immunotherapy. Immunotherapy options include anti-PD-1 monotherapy or combination with anti-CTLA-4 or anti-LAG-3 agents. The primary endpoint is overall survival. Secondary endpoints include progression-free survival, overall response rate, local control, safety, and quality of life assessment. Correlative translational studies will explore potential predictive and prognostic biomarkers related to response, resistance or toxicity to treatment. Conclusion The results will inform the design of larger phase III trials and may identify patient subgroups most likely to benefit from combination therapy. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT06767306.

Knowledge of key drivers and therapeutic targets in mucosal melanoma is limited due to the paucity of comprehensive mutation data on this rare tumor type. To better understand the genomic landscape of mucosal melanoma, here we describe whole genome sequencing analysis of 67 tumors and validation of driver gene mutations by exome sequencing of 45 tumors. Tumors have a low point mutation burden and high numbers of structural variants, including recurrent structural rearrangements targeting TERT, CDK4 and MDM2 . Significantly mutated genes are NRAS , BRAF , NF1 , KIT , SF3B1 , TP53 , SPRED1 , ATRX , HLA-A and CHD8. SF3B1 mutations occur more commonly in female genital and anorectal melanomas and CTNNB1 mutations implicate a role for WNT signaling defects in the genesis of some mucosal melanomas. TERT aberrations and ATRX mutations are associated with alterations in telomere length. Mutation profiles of the majority of mucosal melanomas suggest potential susceptibility to CDK4/6 and/or MEK inhibitors. Mucosal melanomas are challenging to treat partly because so little is known about the genetic drivers underpinning them. Here, the authors perform a genomic landscape analysis of samples collected from three continents, revealing a potential role for CDK4/6 or MEK inhibition in the treatment of the disease.