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Profiting from market trends : simple tools and techniques for mastering trend analysis
\"An accessible guide to identifying and profiting from financial market trendsProfiting from long-term trends is the most common path to success for traders. The challenge is recognizing the emergence of a trend and determining where to enter and exit the market. No body is more familiar with this situation than author Tina Logan. Now, in Profiting from Market Trends, she shares here extensive insights in this area with you.Divided into four comprehensive parts--trend development, change in trend direction, reading the market, and profiting from technical analysis--this reliable resource skillfully describes how to identify the emergence of a new trend; quantify the strength of the trend; identify signals that confirm the trend or warn that the trend may be ending; and place trades to profit from trends. Written in an easy to understand and engaging style, Profiting from Market Trends effectively addresses how to apply the information provided to make money in today's dynamic markets. Examines essential tools for making the most of trend analysis Offers insights on how to execute the techniques discussed in real-world situations Written by a well-respected trader and trainer of traders Understanding and identifying trends is one of the most important factors in successful trading. This book will show you how to achieve this elusive goal\"-- Provided by publisher.
Book
Profiting from Market Trends
An accessible guide to identifying and profiting from financial market trends
Profiting from long-term trends is the most common path to success for traders. The challenge is recognizing the emergence of a trend and determining where to enter and exit the market. No body is more familiar with this situation than author Tina Logan. Now, in Profiting from Market Trends, she shares here extensive insights in this area with you.
Divided into four comprehensive parts?trend development, change in trend direction, reading the market, and profiting from technical analysis?this reliable resource skillfully describes how to identify the emergence of a new trend; quantify the strength of the trend; identify signals that confirm the trend or warn that the trend may be ending; and place trades to profit from trends. Written in an easy to understand and engaging style, Profiting from Market Trends effectively addresses how to apply the information provided to make money in today's dynamic markets.
* Examines essential tools for making the most of trend analysis
* Offers insights on how to execute the techniques discussed in real-world situations
* Written by a well-respected trader and trainer of traders
Understanding and identifying trends is one of the most important factors in successful trading. This book will show you how to achieve this elusive goal.
eBook
Introduction to Trend Analysis
Markets move in trends. This phenomenon is one of the major organizing principles of market behavior and one of the tenets of the Dow Theory. This chapter begins by defining market trend and lists some examples where an analyst may notice an upward or downward trend, or a change in trend direction. Most everything in technical analysis relates to the concept of trends in some fashion; the chapter provides a list for trend development listing several charting concepts directly related to the start, advancement, or conclusion of a trend. It is essential to learn how to analyze trends effectively in order to become a proficient chartist, and for determining which trading methods to employ. The chapter lists some of the key skills that traders should learn in order to achieve those goals.
Book Chapter
Trend Direction
The trend indicates the direction the market is moving. There are only two directions in which markets can trend—up or down. Determining what is going up and what is going down is the focus of this chapter. The chapter provides instruction on how to quickly and easily determine the direction of the trend. Three simple charting concepts are used to determine trend direction: (i) price peaks and bottoms; (ii) moving averages; and (iii) trendlines. Price peaks and bottoms are pivots that form on charts. They show where price turned resulting in at least a temporary change in direction. Internal trendlines show where most of the price action occurs; whereas external lines represent the extreme prices where there may have only been a few trades executed. Moving averages are trending indicators that are plotted over price. They help take some of the noise out of price movement.
Book Chapter
Current Bull Market—Case Study
This chapter provides an in‐depth analysis of the most recent bull market that began in March 2009. All of the specific intermediate‐length uptrends and corrections that have occurred during this bull market are discussed using the daily charts. The chapter lists the 11 intermediate‐term uptrends that have occurred to date and also the 10 declines that the author considers significant enough to be deemed as standard to deep market corrections. The discussion begins with the first intermediate‐term uptrend and moves forward through the subsequent correction. Then the next uptrend and subsequent correction are analyzed, and so on. All the illustrations are daily charts of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The examples include horizontal lines drawn on the chart representing important support and resistance levels that formed as the trends developed.
Book Chapter
Conclusion
This is the concluding chapter of Profiting From Market Trends, whose primary purpose is to help the reader build a strong base of knowledge of trend analysis in order to increase profitability. Understanding how trends evolve is very important because a large number of trading strategies are designed to capitalize on lucrative trending phases. Trend‐following strategies can be very profitable. The chapter describes a three‐point trading philosophy: (i) be steadfastly vigilant with money management; controlling risk is crucial in order to survive, and ultimately thrive, in the marketplace; (ii) strive to capture a sizable portion of the trend you are trading, whether it is a short‐, intermediate‐, or long‐term trend; and (iii) let the broad market be your guide; adjust techniques to meet the prevailing market conditions.
Book Chapter
Bear Markets
Bear markets can be quite painful experiences—financially and psychologically—for many investors. A great amount of cumulative wealth may be lost during a bear market. This chapter provides a list of the ten bear markets that occurred during the past 50 years. One can't just rely on the concept of average bear market length to guide one's trading. Instead, each bear market can be analyzed as it evolves so that one can profit from as much of the major downtrend as possible. A bear market may be accompanied by an economic recession. The 2007 to 2009 bear market was flanked by a significant period of economic contraction. The chapter reveals how bear markets emerge from a bull market top; although when a bull market reverses direction, it won't be obvious at first. Bear markets evolve and go on, making downward moves and undergo rallies until they run their course.
Book Chapter
Bull Markets
A great amount of cumulative wealth can be gained during a bull market. This chapter provides a list of the ten bull markets that occurred during the past 50 years, including the current one that began in March 2009. It reveals how bull markets emerge from a bear market bottom. The chapter highlights some intermediate‐term movements on the Dow leading up to the March 2009 bear market reversal, and as it occurred. It provides some background on declines that tend to occur within major uptrends. The intermediate‐term movements within the major trend, as well as the short‐term movements within the intermediate‐term trends, create minor and major support and resistance levels within the new uptrend. The chapter outlines how that occurs within a bull market. The bull market ends when price is unable to move up again and surpass the current bull market high.
Book Chapter
Trend Duration
One of the basic principles of Dow Theory states that the market moves in trends. The trend duration is classified into: (i) long‐term trend; (ii) intermediate‐term trend; and (iii) short‐term trend. This chapter defines these market trends, and discusses the identification of these trends on charts, and their implications. While analyzing a chart, the trend one magnitude higher is more powerful than the shorter trends within it. In addition to forming within a longer up‐ or downtrend, short‐term trends are present when a stock is confined within a trading range. Price may make a parabolic or vertical rise. This designation is typically applied to a specific stock, or in some cases a sector or index, that rises rapidly in a relatively short period of time. Since there are varying lengths of trends, it makes sense that trendlines can be drawn to identify the slope and length of those trends.
Book Chapter
Early Trend Reversal Warnings
There are often warning signs that a trend may be weakening prior to the actual shift in direction. One just needs to know what to look for, and that is the focus of this chapter. Learning to spot the early warnings allows traders to be proactive in their decision making. The early warnings for potential upward/downward trend reversal listed in this chapter are: bearish/bullish climax move, bearish/bullish divergence, failure to break a prior peak/bottom, change of slope–rising/declining trendline, break of tight rising/declining trendline, approaching a strong ceiling/floor, and bearish/bullish candlestick reversal pattern. In addition to defining and illustrating these early warnings, the chapter includes some tips on how to respond to them.
Book Chapter