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BackgroundThe high incidence of early recurrence after hepatectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) has a detrimental effect on overall survival (OS). Machine-learning models may improve the accuracy of outcome prediction for malignancies.MethodsPatients who underwent curative-intent hepatectomy for ICC were identified using an international database. Three machine-learning models were trained to predict early recurrence (< 12 months after hepatectomy) using 14 clinicopathologic characteristics. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was used to assess their discrimination ability. ResultsIn this study, 536 patients were randomly assigned to training (n = 376, 70.1%) and testing (n = 160, 29.9%) cohorts. Overall, 270 (50.4%) patients experienced early recurrence (training: n = 150 [50.3%] vs testing: n = 81 [50.6%]), with a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 5.6 (training: 5.8 [interquartile range {IQR}, 4.1–8.1] vs testing: 5.5 [IQR, 3.7–7.9]) and metastatic/undetermined nodes (N1/NX) in the majority of the patients (training: n = 282 [75.0%] vs testing n = 118 [73.8%]). Among the three different machine-learning algorithms, random forest (RF) demonstrated the highest discrimination in the training/testing cohorts (RF [AUC, 0.904/0.779] vs support vector machine [AUC, 0.671/0.746] vs logistic regression [AUC, 0.668/0.745]). The five most influential variables in the final model were TBS, perineural invasion, microvascular invasion, CA 19-9 lower than 200 U/mL, and N1/NX disease. The RF model successfully stratified OS relative to the risk of early recurrence.ConclusionsMachine-learning prediction of early recurrence after ICC resection may inform tailored counseling, treatment, and recommendations. An easy-to-use calculator based on the RF model was developed and made available online.

Background Recurrence of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after curative resection is common. Objective The aim of this study was to investigate the patterns, timing and risk factors of disease recurrence after curative-intent resection for ICC. Methods Patients undergoing curative resection for ICC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Data on clinicopathological and initial operation information, timing and first sites of recurrence, recurrence management, and long-term outcomes were analyzed. Results A total of 920 patients were included. With a median follow-up of 38 months, 607 patients (66.0%) experienced ICC recurrence. In the cohort, 145 patients (23.9%) recurred at the surgical margin, 178 (29.3%) recurred within the liver away from the surgical margin, 90 (14.8%) recurred at extraheptatic sites, and 194 (32.0%) developed both intrahepatic and extrahepatic recurrence. Intrahepatic margin recurrence (median 6.0 m) and extrahepatic-only recurrence (median 8.0 m) tended to occur early, while intrahepatic recurrence at non-margin sites occurred later (median 14.0 m; p  < 0.05). On multivariate analysis, surgical margin < 10 mm was associated with increased margin recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11–2.60; p  = 0.014), whereas female sex (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.40–3.22; p  < 0.001) and liver cirrhosis (HR 2.36, 95% CI 1.31–4.25; p  = 0.004) were both associated with an increased risk of intrahepatic recurrence at other sites. Median survival after recurrence was better among patients who underwent repeat curative-intent surgery (48.7 months) versus other treatments (9.7 months) [ p  < 0.001]. Conclusions Different recurrence patterns and timing of recurrence suggest biological heterogeneity of ICC tumor recurrence. Understanding timing and risk factors associated with different types of recurrence can hopefully inform discussions around adjuvant therapy, surveillance, and treatment of recurrent disease.

Background The influence of margin status on long-term outcome of patients undergoing liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains controversial. We sought to study the impact of surgical tumor margin status on recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients undergoing resection for ICC. Methods From a multi-institutional database, 583 patients who underwent hepatic resection for ICC were identified. Demographics data, operative details, pathologic margin status, and long-term outcomes were collected and analyzed. Results Margin status was positive (R1) in 95 (17.8 %) patients; among patients who underwent an R0 resection (80.9 %), margin width was negative by 1–4 mm in 166 (31.0 %) patients, 5–9 mm in 100 (18.7 %) patients, and ≥1 cm in 174 (32.5 %) patients. Overall, 379 (65.0 %) patients had a recurrence: 61.5 % intrahepatic, 13.5 % extrahepatic, and 25.0 % both intra- and extrahepatic. Median and 5-year RFS and OS was 10.0 months and 9.2 %, and 26.4 months and 23.0 %, respectively. Patients who had an R1 resection had a higher risk of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.61, 95 % CI 1.15–2.27; p  = 0.01) and shorter OS (HR 1.54, 95 % CI 1.12–2.11). Among patients with an R0 resection, margin width was also associated with RFS (1–4 mm: HR 1.32, 95 % CI 0.98–1.78 vs. 5–9 mm: HR 1.21, 95 % CI 0.89–1.66) and OS (1–4 mm: HR 1.95, 95 % CI 0.45–2.63 vs. 5–9 mm: HR 1.21, 95 % CI 0.88–1.68) (referent ≥1 cm; both p  ≤ 0.002). Margin status and width remain independently associated with RFS and OS on multivariable analyses. Conclusions For patients undergoing resection of ICC, R1 margin status was associated with an inferior long-term outcome. Moreover, there was an incremental worsening RFS and OS as margin width decreased.

Introduction The role of routine lymphadenectomy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is still controversial. The AJCC eighth edition recommends a minimum of six harvested lymph nodes (HLNs) for adequate nodal staging. We sought to define outcome and risk of death among patients who were staged with ≥6 HLNs versus <6 HLNs. Materials and Methods Patients undergoing hepatectomy for ICC between 1990 and 2015 at 1 of the 14 major hepatobiliary centers were identified. Results Among 1154 patients undergoing hepatectomy for ICC, 515 (44.6%) had lymphadenectomy. On final pathology, 200 (17.3%) patients had metastatic lymph node (MLN), while 315 (27.3%) had negative lymph node (NLN). Among NLN patients, HLN was associated with 5-year OS ( p  = 0.098). While HLN did not impact 5-year OS among MLN patients ( p  = 0.71), the number of MLN was associated with 5-year OS ( p  = 0.02). Among the 317 (27.5%) patients staged according the AJCC eighth edition staging system, N1 patients had a 3-fold increased risk of death compared with N0 patients (hazard ratio 3.03; p  < 0.001). Conclusion Only one fourth of patients undergoing hepatectomy for ICC had adequate nodal staging according to the AJCC eighth edition. While the six HLN cutoff value impacted prognosis of N0 patients, the number of MLN rather than HLN was associated with long-term survival of N1 patients.

The role of lymph node dissection (LND) in the treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains controversial. We sought to systematically review all available evidence to determine the role of LND in patients with HCC and ICC. Studies that reported on LND, lymph node metastasis (LNM), and short- and long-term outcomes for patients with HCC or ICC survival were identified from PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science databases. Data were extracted, synthesized, and analyzed using standard techniques. A total of 603 and 434 references were identified for HCC and ICC, respectively. Among HCC patients, the overall prevalence of LND was 51.6 % (95 % confidence interval (CI) 19.7-83.5) with an associated LNM incidence of 44.5 % (95 % CI 27.4–61.7). LNM was associated with a 3- and 5-year survival of 27.5 and 20.8 %, respectively. Among ICC patients, most patients 78.5 % (95 % CI 76.2–80.7) underwent LND; 45.2 % (95 % CI 39.2–51.2) had LNM. Three and 5-year survival among ICC patients with LNM was 0.2 % (95 % CI 0–0.7) and 0 %, respectively. While there are insufficient data to recommend a routine LND in all patients with HCC or ICC, the potential prognostic value of LND suggests that LND should at least be considered at the time of surgery.

BackgroundWe sought to define the association of the systemic immune inflammation index (SII) with prognosis and adjuvant therapy benefit among patients undergoing resection of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA).MethodsThe impact of SII on overall (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) following resection of eCCA was assessed and compared with other inflammatory markers and traditional prognostic factors. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to determine the impact of adjuvant therapy (AT) on OS and RFS relative to low versus high SII.ResultsPatients with high versus low SII had worse 5-year OS (15.9% vs. 27.9%) and RFS (12.4% vs. 20.9%) (both p < 0.01). On multivariate analysis, high SII remained associated with worse OS (HR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.20-1.87) and RFS (HR = 1.46, 95% CI 1.18-1.81). Patients with T1/2 disease and a high-SII had worse 5-year OS versus individuals with T3/4 disease and low-SII (5-year OS: T1/2 & low-SII 35.6%, T1/2 & high-SII 16.4%, T3/4 & low-SII 22.1%, T3/4 & high-SII 15.6%, p < 0.01). Similarly, 5-year OS was comparable among individuals with N0 and high-SII versus N1 and low-SII (5-year OS: N0 & high-SII 23.2%, N1 and low-SII 19.8%, p = 0.95). On PSM, AT improved OS and RFS among patients with high SII (5-year OS: 22.5% vs. 12.3%, p < 0.01, 5-year RFS: 19.0% vs. 12.5%; p = 0.01) but not individuals with low SII (5-year OS: 22.9% vs. 26.9%; p = 0.98, 5-year RFS: 18.5% vs. 19.9%; p = 0.94).ConclusionsSII was independently associated with postoperative OS and RFS following curative-intent resection of eCCA. High SII up-staged patients relative T- and N-categories and identified patients with high SII as the most likely to benefit from AT.

BackgroundPostoperative complications (POCs) are associated with worse oncologic outcomes in several cancer types. The implications of complications after rectal cancer surgery are not well studied.MethodsThe United States Rectal Cancer Consortium (2007–2017) was reviewed for primary rectal adenocarcinoma patients who underwent R0/R1 resection. Ninety-day POCs were categorized as major or minor and were grouped into infectious, cardiopulmonary, thromboembolic, renal, or intestinal dysmotility. Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).ResultsAmong 1136 patients, the POC rate was 46% (n = 527), with 63% classified as minor and 32% classified as major. Of all POCs, infectious complications comprised 20%, cardiopulmonary 3%, thromboembolic 5%, renal 9%, and intestinal dysmotility 19%. Compared with minor or no POCs, major POCs were associated with both worse RFS and worse OS (both p < 0.01). Compared with no POCs, a single POC was associated with worse RFS (p < 0.01), while multiple POCs were associated with worse OS (p = 0.02). Regardless of complication grade, infectious POCs were associated with worse RFS (p < 0.01), while cardiopulmonary and thromboembolic POCs were associated with worse OS (both p < 0.01). Renal POCs were associated with both worse RFS (p < 0.001) and worse OS (p = 0.01). After accounting for pathologic stage, neoadjuvant therapy, and final margin status, Multivariable analysis (MVA) demonstrated worse outcomes with cardiopulmonary, thromboembolic, and renal POCs for OS (cardiopulmonary: hazard ratio [HR] 3.6, p = 0.01; thromboembolic: HR 19.4, p < 0.01; renal: HR 2.4, p = 0.01), and renal and infectious POCs for RFS (infectious: HR 2.1, p < 0.01; renal: HR 3.2, p < 0.01).ConclusionsMajor complications after proctectomy for cancer are associated with decreased RFS and OS. Given the association of infectious complications and postoperative renal dysfunction with earlier recurrence of disease, efforts must be directed towards defining best practices and standardizing care.

BackgroundThe optimal time interval to define early recurrence (ER) among patients who underwent resection of gallbladder cancer (GBC) is not well defined. We sought to develop and validate a novel GBC recurrence risk (GBRR) score to predict ER among patients undergoing resection for GBC.Patients and MethodsPatients who underwent curative-intent resection for GBC between 2000 and 2018 were identified from the US Extrahepatic Biliary Malignancy Consortium database. A minimum p value approach in the log-rank test was used to define the optimal cutoff for ER. A risk stratification model was developed to predict ER based on relevant clinicopathological factors and was externally validated.ResultsAmong 309 patients, 103 patients (33.3%) had a recurrence at a median follow-up period of 15.1 months. The optimal cutoff for ER was defined at 12 months (p = 3.04 × 10−18). On multivariable analysis, T3/T4 disease (HR: 2.80; 95% CI 1.58–5.11) and poor tumor differentiation (HR: 1.91; 95% CI 1.11–3.25) were associated with greater hazards of ER. The GBRR score was developed using β-coefficients of variables in the final model, and patients were classified into three distinct groups relative to the risk for ER (12-month RFS; low risk: 88.4%, intermediate risk: 77.9%, high risk: 37.0%, p < 0.001). The external validation demonstrated good model generalizability with good calibration (n = 102: 12-month RFS; low risk: 94.2%, intermediate risk: 59.8%, high risk: 42.0%, p < 0.001). The GBRR score is available online at https://ktsahara.shinyapps.io/GBC_earlyrec/.ConclusionsA novel online calculator was developed to help clinicians predict the probability of ER after curative-intent resection for GBC. The proposed web-based tool may help in the optimization of surveillance intervals and the counselling of patients about their prognosis.

Background The objective of the current study was to investigate both short- and long-term outcomes of patients undergoing curative-intent resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) stratified by extent of hepatic resection relative to overall final pathological margin status. Methods One thousand twenty-three patients with ICC who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from a multi-institutional database. Demographic, clinicopathological, and operative data, as well as overall (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared among patients undergoing major and minor resection before and after propensity score matching. Results Overall, 608 (59.4%) patients underwent major hepatectomy, while 415 (40.6%) had a minor resection. Major hepatectomy was more frequently performed among patients who had large, multiple, and bilobar tumors. Roughly half of patients ( n  = 294, 48.4%) developed a postoperative complication following major hepatectomy versus only one fourth of patients ( n  = 113, 27.2%) after minor resection ( p  < 0.001). In the propensity model, patients who underwent major hepatectomy had an equivalent OS and RFS versus patients who had a minor hepatectomy (median OS, 38 vs. 37 months, p  = 0.556; and median RFS, 20 vs. 18 months, p  = 0.635). Patients undergoing major resection had comparable OS and RFS with wide surgical margin (≥10 and 5–9 mm), but improved RFS when surgical margin was narrow (1–4 mm) versus minor resection in the propensity model. In the Cox regression model, tumor characteristics and surgical margin were independently associated with long-term outcome. Conclusions Major hepatectomy for ICC was not associated with an overall survival benefit, yet was associated with increased perioperative morbidity. Margin width, rather than the extent of resection, affected long-term outcomes. Radical parenchymal-sparing resection should be advocated if a margin clearance of ≥5 mm can be achieved.

Histologic classification of ampullary carcinomas as intestinal versus pancreatobiliary is rapidly becoming a part of management algorithms, with immunohistochemical classification schemes also being devised using this classification scheme as their basis. However, data on the reproducibility and prognostic relevance of this classification system are limited. In this study, five observers independently evaluated 232 resected ampullary carcinomas with invasive component >3 mm. Overall interobserver agreement was ‘fair’ ( κ 0.39; P <0.001) with complete agreement in 23%. Using agreement by 3/5 observers as ‘consensus’ 40% of cases were classified as ‘mixed’ pancreatobiliary and intestinal. When observers were asked to provide a final diagnosis based on the predominant pattern in cases initially classified as mixed, there was ‘moderate’ agreement ( κ 0.44; P <0.0001) with 5/5 agreeing in 35%. Cases classified as pancreatobiliary by consensus (including those with pure-pancreatobiliary or mixed-predominantly pancreatobiliary features) had shorter overall (median 41 months) and 5-year survival (38%) than those classified as pure-intestinal/mixed-predominantly intestinal (80 months and 57%, respectively; P =0.026); however, on multivariate analysis this was not independent of established prognostic parameters. Interestingly, when compared with 476 cases of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas, the pancreatobiliary-type ampullary carcinomas had better survival (16 versus 41 months, P <0.001), even when matched by size and node status. In conclusion, presumably because of the various cell types comprising the region, ampullary carcinomas frequently show mixed phenotypes and intratumoral heterogeneity, which should be considered when devising management protocols. Caution is especially warranted when applying this histologic classification to biopsies and tissue microarrays. While ampullary carcinomas with more pancreatobiliary morphology have a worse prognosis than intestinal ones this does not appear to be an independent prognostic factor. However, pancreatobiliary-type ampullary carcinomas have a much better prognosis than their pancreatic counterparts.