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The Falkland Islands are predicted to experience up to 2.2°C rise in mean annual temperature over the coming century, greater than four times the rate over the last century. Our study investigates likely vulnerabilities of a suite of range-restricted species whose distributions are associated with archipelago-wide climatic variation. We used present day climate maps calibrated using local weather data, 2020-2080 climate predictions from regional climate models, non-climate variables derived from a digital terrain model and a comprehensive database on local plant distributions. Weighted mean ensemble models were produced to assess changes in range sizes and overlaps between the current range and protected areas network. Target species included three globally threatened Falkland endemics, Nassauvia falklandica, Nastanthus falklandicus and Plantago moorei; and two nationally threatened species, Acaena antarctica and Blechnum cordatum. Our research demonstrates that temperature increases predicted for the next century have the potential to significantly alter plant distributions across the Falklands. Upland species, in particular, were found to be highly vulnerable to climate change impacts. No known locations of target upland species or the southwestern species Plantago moorei are predicted to remain environmentally suitable in the face of predicted climate change. We identify potential refugia for these species and associated gaps in the current protected areas network. Species currently restricted to the milder western parts of the archipelago are broadly predicted to expand their ranges under warmer temperatures. Our results emphasise the importance of implementing suitable adaptation strategies to offset climate change impacts, particularly site management. There is an urgent need for long-term monitoring and artificial warming experiments; the results of this study will inform the selection of the most suitable locations for these. Results are also helping inform management recommendations for the Falkland Islands Government who seek to better conserve their biodiversity and meet commitments to multi-lateral environmental agreements.

In recent years, agroforestry has been gaining increasing interest from several land-based sectors in Northern Ireland, notably agriculture. In Northern Ireland the first agroforestry research programme was established in 1989 at the now Agri-Food and Biosciences Institute (AFBI) station at Loughgall, as part of the United Kingdom (UK) National Network Silvopastoral Experiment, and applied research continues at the site. Recent research and development at Loughgall now has a larger focus on climate change, and the investigation of the resilience of agroforestry compared to agricultural and woodland systems. On 8th May 2024, an Agroforestry policy workshop was held in AFBI, Northern Ireland as part of a research project, funded by the Department of Agriculture, Environment and Rural Affairs (DAERA) “Agroforestry: Responding to Climate Change – Adaptation and Mitigation”. This workshop provided an opportunity to discuss policy drivers and incentives for agroforestry within a range of farming system options and woodland schemes across different jurisdictions. A disparity in financial incentivisation across nations was found, with the greatest benefit vs cost (initial capital outlay plus annual premia payments) in the Republic of Ireland, while the least incentivised schemes were in England and Wales (no financial help with establishment, and lowest annual premia respectively). Although agroforestry has had strong policy support in the Republic of Ireland, Northern Ireland has had relatively few farm-based agroforestry payments; and uptake has been low. It is recommended that drivers other than financial, and barriers to uptake, are effectively explored by policy makers and scientists to ensure sufficient uptake of agroforestry on-farm in Northern Ireland to meet climate, environmental and agricultural industry sustainability and resilience targets. It is believed these findings are critical to refine post-Brexit agricultural policies that are currently under development.

IntroductionNAMWEZA is a novel intervention that focuses on preventing HIV and promoting sexual and reproductive health and rights by addressing underlying factors related to vulnerability of acquiring HIV, such as depression, intimate partner violence (IPV) and stigma. The goal of the study was to evaluate the effect of the NAMWEZA intervention on risk behaviour as well as factors potentially contributing to this vulnerability for people living with HIV and their network members.MethodsA stepped-wedge randomised controlled trial was conducted from November 2010 to January 2014 among people living with HIV and their network members in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. 458 people living with HIV were randomised within age/sex-specific strata to participate in the NAMWEZA intervention at three points in time. In addition, 602 members of their social networks completed the baseline interview. Intention-to-treat analysis was performed, including primary outcomes of uptake of HIV services, self-efficacy, self-esteem, HIV risk behaviour and IPV.ResultsFor people living with HIV, a number of outcomes improved with the NAMWEZA intervention, including higher self-efficacy and related factors, as well as lower levels of depression and stigma. IPV reduced by 40% among women. Although reductions in HIV risk behaviour were not observed, an increase in access to HIV treatment was reported for network members (72% vs 94%, p=0.002).ConclusionThese results demonstrate the complexity of behavioural interventions in reducing the vulnerability of acquiring HIV, since it is possible to observe a broad range of different outcomes. This study indicates the importance of formally evaluating interventions so that policymakers can build on evidence-based approaches to advance the effectiveness of HIV prevention interventions.Trial registration numberNCT01693458.

Whilst the benefits of agroforestry are widely recognised in tropical latitudes few studies have assessed how agroforestry is perceived in temperate latitudes. This study evaluates how stakeholders and key actors including farmers, landowners, agricultural advisors, researchers and environmentalists perceive the implementation and expansion of agroforestry in Europe. Meetings were held with 30 stakeholder groups covering different agroforestry systems in 2014 in eleven EU countries (Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom). In total 344 valid responses were received to a questionnaire where stakeholders were asked to rank the positive and negative aspects of implementing agroforestry in their region. Improved biodiversity and wildlife habitats, animal health and welfare, and landscape aesthetics were seen as the main positive aspects of agroforestry. By contrast, increased labour, complexity of work, management costs and administrative burden were seen as the most important negative aspects. Overall, improving the environmental value of agriculture was seen as the main benefit of agroforestry, whilst management and socio-economic issues were seen as the greatest barriers. The great variability in the opportunities and barriers of the systems suggests enhanced adoption of agroforestry across Europe will be most likely to occur with specific initiatives for each type of system.

Whilst the benefits of agroforestry are widely recognised in tropical latitudes few studies have assessed how agroforestry is perceived in temperate latitudes. This study evaluates how stakeholders and key actors including farmers, landowners, agricultural advisors, researchers and environmentalists perceive the implementation and expansion of agroforestry in Europe. Meetings were held with 30 stakeholder groups covering different agroforestry systems in 2014 in eleven EU countries (Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom). In total 344 valid responses were received to a questionnaire where stakeholders were asked to rank the positive and negative aspects of implementing agroforestry in their region. Improved biodiversity and wildlife habitats, animal health and welfare, and landscape aesthetics were seen as the main positive aspects of agroforestry. By contrast, increased labour, complexity of work, management costs and administrative burden were seen as the most important negative aspects. Overall, improving the environmental value of agriculture was seen as the main benefit of agroforestry, whilst management and socio-economic issues were seen as the greatest barriers. The great variability in the opportunities and barriers of the systems suggests enhanced adoption of agroforestry across Europe will be most likely to occur with specific initiatives for each type of system.

A series of N-allyl, N-ethylmethacrylate and N-phenylmethacrylatenaphthalimide monomers have been prepared with –C=CFc, –C≡CFc and –C≡CSiMe3 substituents at the 4-position of the naphthalimide ring. All have been characterised by elemental analysis and spectroscopy; the X-ray structure of N-allyl-4-ethenylferrocenylnapththalimide is also reported. Free-radical polymerisation of these monomers gave homopolymers, random co- and terpolymers with polydispersities ranging from 1.7 to 3.2. Incorporation into a polymer matrix has no effect on the spectroscopic and electrochemical properties of the naphthalimide or ferrocenyl components. The ferrocenyl polymers are electrochromic and when oxidised give naphthalimide charge-transfer bands in the NIR; this electrochromism was examined by OTTLE techniques.