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"Medford, Richard J."
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An “Infodemic”: Leveraging High-Volume Twitter Data to Understand Early Public Sentiment for the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Outbreak
by
Saleh, Sameh N
,
Sumarsono, Andrew
,
Medford, Richard J
in
Coronaviruses
,
COVID-19
,
Disease prevention
2020
BackgroundTwitter has been used to track trends and disseminate health information during viral epidemics. On January 21, 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention activated its Emergency Operations Center and the World Health Organization released its first situation report about coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), sparking significant media attention. How Twitter content and sentiment evolved in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic has not been described.MethodsWe extracted tweets matching hashtags related to COVID-19 from January 14 to 28, 2020 using Twitter’s application programming interface. We measured themes and frequency of keywords related to infection prevention practices. We performed a sentiment analysis to identify the sentiment polarity and predominant emotions in tweets and conducted topic modeling to identify and explore discussion topics over time. We compared sentiment, emotion, and topics among the most popular tweets, defined by the number of retweets.ResultsWe evaluated 126 049 tweets from 53 196 unique users. The hourly number of COVID-19-related tweets starkly increased from January 21, 2020 onward. Approximately half (49.5%) of all tweets expressed fear and approximately 30% expressed surprise. In the full cohort, the economic and political impact of COVID-19 was the most commonly discussed topic. When focusing on the most retweeted tweets, the incidence of fear decreased and topics focused on quarantine efforts, the outbreak and its transmission, as well as prevention.ConclusionsTwitter is a rich medium that can be leveraged to understand public sentiment in real-time and potentially target individualized public health messages based on user interest and emotion.Twitter can be used to identify the sentiment, emotion, and prominent topics discussed among the public during pandemics, allowing for large-scale, public health interventions with direct and targeted messaging.
Journal Article
Analyzing COVID-19 disinformation on Twitter using the hashtags #scamdemic and #plandemic: Retrospective study
by
Medford, Richard J.
,
Diaz, Marlon I.
,
Lehmann, Christoph U.
in
Biology and Life Sciences
,
Computer and Information Sciences
,
Control
2022
The use of social media during the COVID-19 pandemic has led to an \"infodemic\" of mis- and disinformation with potentially grave consequences. To explore means of counteracting disinformation, we analyzed tweets containing the hashtags #Scamdemic and #Plandemic.
Using a Twitter scraping tool called twint, we collected 419,269 English-language tweets that contained \"#Scamdemic\" or \"#Plandemic\" posted in 2020. Using the Twitter application-programming interface, we extracted the same tweets (by tweet ID) with additional user metadata. We explored descriptive statistics of tweets including their content and user profiles, analyzed sentiments and emotions, performed topic modeling, and determined tweet availability in both datasets.
After removal of retweets, replies, non-English tweets, or duplicate tweets, 40,081 users tweeted 227,067 times using our selected hashtags. The mean weekly sentiment was overall negative for both hashtags. One in five users who used these hashtags were suspended by Twitter by January 2021. Suspended accounts had an average of 610 followers and an average of 6.7 tweets per user, while active users had an average of 472 followers and an average of 5.4 tweets per user. The most frequent tweet topic was \"Complaints against mandates introduced during the pandemic\" (79,670 tweets), which included complaints against masks, social distancing, and closures.
While social media has democratized speech, it also permits users to disseminate potentially unverified or misleading information that endangers people's lives and public health interventions. Characterizing tweets and users that use hashtags associated with COVID-19 pandemic denial allowed us to understand the extent of misinformation. With the preponderance of inaccessible original tweets, we concluded that posters were in denial of the COVID-19 pandemic and sought to disperse related mis- or disinformation resulting in suspension.
Leveraging 227,067 tweets with the hashtags #scamdemic and #plandemic in 2020, we were able to elucidate important trends in public disinformation about the COVID-19 vaccine.
Journal Article
Understanding public perception of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) social distancing on Twitter
by
Basit, Mujeeb A.
,
Medford, Richard J.
,
McDonald, Samuel A.
in
Adaptation, Psychological
,
Community involvement
,
Coronaviruses
2021
Social distancing policies are key in curtailing severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spread, but their effectiveness is heavily contingent on public understanding and collective adherence. We studied public perception of social distancing through organic, large-scale discussion on Twitter.
Retrospective cross-sectional study.
Between March 27 and April 10, 2020, we retrieved English-only tweets matching two trending social distancing hashtags, #socialdistancing and #stayathome. We analyzed the tweets using natural language processing and machine-learning models, and we conducted a sentiment analysis to identify emotions and polarity. We evaluated the subjectivity of tweets and estimated the frequency of discussion of social distancing rules. We then identified clusters of discussion using topic modeling and associated sentiments.
We studied a sample of 574,903 tweets. For both hashtags, polarity was positive (mean, 0.148; SD, 0.290); only 15% of tweets had negative polarity. Tweets were more likely to be objective (median, 0.40; IQR, 0-0.6) with ~30% of tweets labeled as completely objective (labeled as 0 in range from 0 to 1). Approximately half of tweets (50.4%) primarily expressed joy and one-fifth expressed fear and surprise. Each correlated well with topic clusters identified by frequency including leisure and community support (ie, joy), concerns about food insecurity and quarantine effects (ie, fear), and unpredictability of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and its implications (ie, surprise).
Considering the positive sentiment, preponderance of objective tweets, and topics supporting coping mechanisms, we concluded that Twitter users generally supported social distancing in the early stages of their implementation.
Journal Article
Challenges in Forecasting Antimicrobial Resistance
by
Shaman, Jeffrey
,
Medford, Richard J.
,
Adhikari, Bijaya
in
Anti-Bacterial Agents - pharmacology
,
Anti-Bacterial Agents - therapeutic use
,
Antimicrobial agents
2023
Antimicrobial resistance is a major threat to human health. Since the 2000s, computational tools for predicting infectious diseases have been greatly advanced; however, efforts to develop real-time forecasting models for antimicrobial-resistant organisms (AMROs) have been absent. In this perspective, we discuss the utility of AMRO forecasting at different scales, highlight the challenges in this field, and suggest future research priorities. We also discuss challenges in scientific understanding, access to high-quality data, model calibration, and implementation and evaluation of forecasting models. We further highlight the need to initiate research on AMRO forecasting using currently available data and resources to galvanize the research community and address initial practical questions.
Journal Article
The 21st Century Cures Act and Multiuser Electronic Health Record Access: Potential Pitfalls of Information Release
by
Arvisais-Anhalt, Simone
,
Medford, Richard J
,
Holmgren, A Jay
in
21st century
,
Access
,
Access to information
2022
Although the Office of The National Coordinator for Health Information Technology’s (ONC) Information Blocking Provision in the Cures Act Final Rule is an important step forward in providing patients free and unfettered access to their electronic health information (EHI), in the contexts of multiuser electronic health record (EHR) access and proxy access, concerns on the potential for harm in adolescent care contexts exist. We describe how the provision could erode patients’ (both adolescent and older patients alike) trust and willingness to seek care. The rule’s preventing harm exception does not apply to situations where the patient is a minor and the health care provider wishes to restrict a parent’s or guardian’s access to the minor’s EHI to avoid violating the minor’s confidentiality and potentially harming patient-clinician trust. This may violate previously developed government principles in the design and implementation of EHRs for pediatric care. Creating legally acceptable workarounds by means such as duplicate “shadow charting” will be burdensome (and prohibitive) for health care providers. Under the privacy exception, patients have the opportunity to request information to not be shared; however, depending on institutional practices, providers and patients may have limited awareness of this exception. Notably, the privacy exception states that providers cannot “improperly encourage or induce a patient’s request to block information.” Fearing being found in violation of the information blocking provisions, providers may feel that they are unable to guide patients navigating the release of their EHI in the multiuser or proxy access setting. ONC should provide more detailed guidance on their website and targeted outreach to providers and their specialty organizations that care for adolescents and other individuals affected by the Cures Act, and researchers should carefully monitor charting habits in these multiuser or proxy access situations.
Journal Article
Early identification of patients admitted to hospital for covid-19 at risk of clinical deterioration: model development and multisite external validation study
2022
AbstractObjectiveTo create and validate a simple and transferable machine learning model from electronic health record data to accurately predict clinical deterioration in patients with covid-19 across institutions, through use of a novel paradigm for model development and code sharing.DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingOne US hospital during 2015-21 was used for model training and internal validation. External validation was conducted on patients admitted to hospital with covid-19 at 12 other US medical centers during 2020-21.Participants33 119 adults (≥18 years) admitted to hospital with respiratory distress or covid-19.Main outcome measuresAn ensemble of linear models was trained on the development cohort to predict a composite outcome of clinical deterioration within the first five days of hospital admission, defined as in-hospital mortality or any of three treatments indicating severe illness: mechanical ventilation, heated high flow nasal cannula, or intravenous vasopressors. The model was based on nine clinical and personal characteristic variables selected from 2686 variables available in the electronic health record. Internal and external validation performance was measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the expected calibration error—the difference between predicted risk and actual risk. Potential bed day savings were estimated by calculating how many bed days hospitals could save per patient if low risk patients identified by the model were discharged early.Results9291 covid-19 related hospital admissions at 13 medical centers were used for model validation, of which 1510 (16.3%) were related to the primary outcome. When the model was applied to the internal validation cohort, it achieved an AUROC of 0.80 (95% confidence interval 0.77 to 0.84) and an expected calibration error of 0.01 (95% confidence interval 0.00 to 0.02). Performance was consistent when validated in the 12 external medical centers (AUROC range 0.77-0.84), across subgroups of sex, age, race, and ethnicity (AUROC range 0.78-0.84), and across quarters (AUROC range 0.73-0.83). Using the model to triage low risk patients could potentially save up to 7.8 bed days per patient resulting from early discharge.ConclusionA model to predict clinical deterioration was developed rapidly in response to the covid-19 pandemic at a single hospital, was applied externally without the sharing of data, and performed well across multiple medical centers, patient subgroups, and time periods, showing its potential as a tool for use in optimizing healthcare resources.
Journal Article
Assessing Racial and Ethnic Bias in Text Generation by Large Language Models for Health Care–Related Tasks: Cross-Sectional Study
by
Hanna, John J
,
Wakene, Abdi D
,
Medford, Richard J
in
African Americans
,
Artificial intelligence
,
Bias
2025
Racial and ethnic bias in large language models (LLMs) used for health care tasks is a growing concern, as it may contribute to health disparities. In response, LLM operators implemented safeguards against prompts that are overtly seeking certain biases.
This study aims to investigate a potential racial and ethnic bias among 4 popular LLMs: GPT-3.5-turbo (OpenAI), GPT-4 (OpenAI), Gemini-1.0-pro (Google), and Llama3-70b (Meta) in generating health care consumer-directed text in the absence of overtly biased queries.
In this cross-sectional study, the 4 LLMs were prompted to generate discharge instructions for patients with HIV. Each patient's encounter deidentified metadata including race/ethnicity as a variable was passed over in a table format through a prompt 4 times, altering only the race/ethnicity information (African American, Asian, Hispanic White, and non-Hispanic White) each time, while keeping all other information constant. The prompt requested the model to write discharge instructions for each encounter without explicitly mentioning race or ethnicity. The LLM-generated instructions were analyzed for sentiment, subjectivity, reading ease, and word frequency by race/ethnicity.
The only observed statistically significant difference between race/ethnicity groups was found in entity count (GPT-4, df=42, P=.047). However, post hoc chi-square analysis for GPT-4's entity counts showed no significant pairwise differences among race/ethnicity categories after Bonferroni correction.
A total of 4 LLMs were relatively invariant to race/ethnicity in terms of linguistic and readability measures. While our study used proxy linguistic and readability measures to investigate racial and ethnic bias among 4 LLM responses in a health care-related task, there is an urgent need to establish universally accepted standards for measuring bias in LLM-generated responses. Further studies are needed to validate these results and assess their implications.
Journal Article
The Association of a Geographically Wide Social Media Network on Depression: County-Level Ecological Analysis
2023
Social connectedness decreases human mortality, improves cancer survival, cardiovascular health, and body mass, results in better-controlled glucose levels, and strengthens mental health. However, few public health studies have leveraged large social media data sets to classify user network structure and geographic reach rather than the sole use of social media platforms.
The objective of this study was to determine the association between population-level digital social connectedness and reach and depression in the population across geographies of the United States.
Our study used an ecological assessment of aggregated, cross-sectional population measures of social connectedness, and self-reported depression across all counties in the United States. This study included all 3142 counties in the contiguous United States. We used measures obtained between 2018 and 2020 for adult residents in the study area. The study's main exposure of interest is the Social Connectedness Index (SCI), a pair-wise composite index describing the \"strength of connectedness between 2 geographic areas as represented by Facebook friendship ties.\" This measure describes the density and geographical reach of average county residents' social network using Facebook friendships and can differentiate between local and long-distance Facebook connections. The study's outcome of interest is self-reported depressive disorder as published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
On average, 21% (21/100) of all adult residents in the United States reported a depressive disorder. Depression frequency was the lowest for counties in the Northeast (18.6%) and was highest for southern counties (22.4%). Social networks in northeastern counties involved moderately local connections (SCI 5-10 the 20th percentile for n=70, 36% of counties), whereas social networks in Midwest, southern, and western counties contained mostly local connections (SCI 1-2 the 20th percentile for n=598, 56.7%, n=401, 28.2%, and n=159, 38.4%, respectively). As the quantity and distance that social connections span (ie, SCI) increased, the prevalence of depressive disorders decreased by 0.3% (SE 0.1%) per rank.
Social connectedness and depression showed, after adjusting for confounding factors such as income, education, cohabitation, natural resources, employment categories, accessibility, and urbanicity, that a greater social connectedness score is associated with a decreased prevalence of depression.
Journal Article
Anal cancer and intraepithelial neoplasia: epidemiology, screening and prevention of a sexually transmitted disease
by
Salit, Irving E.
,
Medford, Richard J.
in
Anal cancer
,
Anus Neoplasms - diagnosis
,
Anus Neoplasms - epidemiology
2015
The quadrivalent HPV vaccine (types 6, 11, 16 and 18) protects against high-grade cervical lesions47,48 and against high-grade anal dysplasia among men who have sex with men.49 Rates of high-grade dysplasia related to the types of HPV against which the vaccine protects were reduced by 54.2% (95% CI 18.0-75.3) in the intention- totreat population and by 74.9% (95% CI 8.8-95.4) in the per-protocol population.49 The vaccine also reduced persistent anal infection. In addition to its role in preventing cervical cancer among women, the quadrivalent HPV vaccine is recommended in Canada for boys and men between the ages of 9 and 26 years for the prevention of AIN grades 1-3, anal cancer and anogenital warts.9 The bivalent vaccine (types 16 and 18) has been proven to help protect against high-grade cervical lesions; however, there have been no randomized controlled trials looking at the bivalent vaccine in preventing high-grade anal dysplasia. We performed a PubMed and Embase literature search from the earliest possible date to June 2014. We used the search terms \"anal cancer\" and \"anal intraepithelial neoplasia\" with the following medical subject headings to identify the most relevant research: \"HIV,\" \"incidence,\" \"HPV,\" \"HPV vaccine,\" \"treatment,\" \"HAART,\" \"cART,\" \"trends,\" \"cigarette smoking,\" and \"solid organ transplantation.\" We manually reviewed the abstracts and bibliographies of relevant studies to identify additional articles. We included all types of reports (randomized controlled trials, meta-analyses, reviews and prospective cohort, retrospective cohort, case- control and cross-sectional studies). We included only articles in English. Where possible, we selected the most recent articles (published within the last 5 yr) with the highest level of evidence (e.g., randomized controlled trials; meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials) for inclusion. We reviewed 232 articles for relevance, 49 of which are included in this review.
Journal Article
Twitter discussions on breastfeeding during the COVID-19 pandemic
by
Jagarapu, Jawahar
,
Medford, Richard J.
,
Diaz, Marlon I.
in
Algorithms
,
Analysis
,
artificial intelligence
2023
Background
Breastfeeding is a critical health intervention in infants. Recent literature reported that the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in significant mental health issues in pregnant and breastfeeding women due to social isolation and lack of direct professional support. These maternal mental health issues affected infant nutrition and decreased breastfeeding rates during COVID-19. Twitter, a popular social media platform, can provide insight into public perceptions and sentiment about various health-related topics. With evidence of significant mental health issues among women during the COVID-19 pandemic, the perception of infant nutrition, specifically breastfeeding, remains unknown.
Methods
We aimed to understand public perceptions and sentiment regarding breastfeeding during the COVID-19 pandemic through Twitter analysis using natural language processing techniques. We collected and analyzed tweets related to breastfeeding and COVID-19 during the pandemic from January 2020 to May 2022. We used Python software (v3.9.0) for all data processing and analyses. We performed sentiment and emotion analysis of the tweets using natural language processing libraries and topic modeling using an unsupervised machine-learning algorithm.
Results
We analyzed 40,628 tweets related to breastfeeding and COVID-19 generated by 28,216 users. Emotion analysis revealed predominantly “Positive emotions” regarding breastfeeding, comprising 72% of tweets. The overall tweet sentiment was positive, with a mean weekly sentiment of 0.25 throughout, and was affected by external events. Topic modeling revealed six significant themes related to breastfeeding and COVID-19. Passive immunity through breastfeeding after maternal vaccination had the highest mean positive sentiment score of 0.32.
Conclusions
Our study provides insight into public perceptions and sentiment regarding breastfeeding during the COVID-19 pandemic. Contrary to other topics we explored in the context of COVID (e.g., ivermectin, disinformation), we found that breastfeeding had an overall positive sentiment during the pandemic despite the documented rise in mental health challenges in pregnant and breastfeeding mothers. The wide range of topics on Twitter related to breastfeeding provides an opportunity for active engagement by the medical community and timely dissemination of advice, support, and guidance. Future studies should leverage social media analysis to gain real-time insight into public health topics of importance in child health and apply targeted interventions.
Journal Article