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"Middleton, Lee"
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Uterine-Artery Embolization or Myomectomy for Uterine Fibroids
2020
In this multicenter, randomized, open-label trial that compared myomectomy with uterine-artery embolization in women who had symptomatic uterine fibroids and wanted to avoid hysterectomy, myomectomy resulted in a better fibroid-related quality of life at 2 years than uterine-artery embolization.
Journal Article
Percutaneous vesicoamniotic shunting versus conservative management for fetal lower urinary tract obstruction (PLUTO): a randomised trial
2013
Fetal lower urinary tract obstruction (LUTO) is associated with high perinatal and long-term childhood mortality and morbidity. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of vesicoamniotic shunting for treatment of LUTO.
In a randomised trial in the UK, Ireland, and the Netherlands, women whose pregnancies with a male fetus were complicated by isolated LUTO were randomly assigned by a central telephone and web-based randomisation service to receive either the intervention (placement of vesicoamniotic shunt) or conservative management. Allocation could not be masked from clinicians or participants because of the invasive nature of the intervention. Diagnosis was by prenatal ultrasound. The primary outcome was survival of the baby to 28 days postnatally. All primary analyses were done on an intention-to-treat basis, but these results were compared with those of an as-treated analysis to investigate the effect of a fairly large proportion of crossovers. We used Bayesian methods to estimate the posterior probability distribution of the effectiveness of vesicoamniotic shunting at 28 days. The study is registered with the ISRCTN Register, number ISRCTN53328556.
31 women with singleton pregnancies complicated by LUTO were included in the trial and main analysis, with 16 allocated to the vesicoamniotic shunt group and 15 to the conservative management group. The study closed early because of poor recruitment. There were 12 livebirths in each group. In the vesicoamniotic shunt group one intrauterine death occurred and three pregnancies were terminated. In the conservative management group one intrauterine death occurred and two pregnancies were terminated. Of the 16 pregnancies randomly assigned to vesicoamniotic shunting, eight neonates survived to 28 days, compared with four from the 15 pregnancies assigned to conservative management (intention-to-treat relative risk [RR] 1·88, 95% CI 0·71–4·96; p=0·27). Analysis based on treatment received showed a larger effect (3·20, 1·06–9·62; p=0·03). All 12 deaths were caused by pulmonary hypoplasia in the early neonatal period. Sensitivity analysis in which non-treatment-related terminations of pregnancy were excluded made some slight changes to point estimates only. Bayesian analysis in which the trial data were combined with elicited priors from experts suggested an 86% probability that vesicoamniotic shunting increased survival at 28 days and a 25% probability that it had a large, clinically important effect (defined as a relative increase of 55% or more in the proportion of neonates who survived). There was substantial short-term and long-term morbidity in both groups, including poor renal function—only two babies (both in the shunt group) survived to 2 years with normal renal function. Seven complications occurred in six fetuses from the shunt group, including spontaneous ruptured membranes, shunt blockage, and dislodgement. These complications resulted in four pregnancy losses.
Survival seemed to be higher in the fetuses receiving vesicoamniotic shunting, but the size and direction of the effect remained uncertain, such that benefit could not be conclusively proven. Our results suggest that the chance of newborn babies surviving with normal renal function is very low irrespective of whether or not vesicoamniotic shunting is done.
UK National Institute of Health Research, Wellbeing of Women, Hannah Eliza Guy Charity (Birmingham Children's Hospital Charity).
Journal Article
Pulse oximetry screening for congenital heart defects in newborn infants (PulseOx): a test accuracy study
2011
Screening for congenital heart defects relies on antenatal ultrasonography and postnatal clinical examination; however, life-threatening defects often are not detected. We prospectively assessed the accuracy of pulse oximetry as a screening test for congenital heart defects.
In six maternity units in the UK, asymptomatic newborn babies (gestation >34 weeks) were screened with pulse oximetry before discharge. Infants who did not achieve predetermined oxygen saturation thresholds underwent echocardiography. All other infants were followed up to 12 months of age by use of regional and national registries and clinical follow-up. The main outcome was the sensitivity and specificity of pulse oximetry for detection of critical congenital heart defects (causing death or requiring invasive intervention before 28 days) or major congenital heart disease (causing death or requiring invasive intervention within 12 months of age).
20 055 newborn babies were screened and 53 had major congenital heart disease (24 critical), a prevalence of 2·6 per 1000 livebirths. Analyses were done on all babies for whom a pulse oximetry reading was obtained. Sensitivity of pulse oximetry was 75·00% (95% CI 53·29–90·23) for critical cases and 49·06% (35·06–63·16) for all major congenital heart defects. In 35 cases, congenital heart defects were already suspected after antenatal ultrasonography, and exclusion of these reduced the sensitivity to 58·33% (27·67–84·83) for critical cases and 28·57% (14·64–46·30) for all cases of major congenital heart defects. False-positive results were noted for 169 (0·8%) babies (specificity 99·16%, 99·02–99·28), of which six cases were significant, but not major, congenital heart defects, and 40 were other illnesses that required urgent medical intervention.
Pulse oximetry is a safe, feasible test that adds value to existing screening. It identifies cases of critical congenital heart defects that go undetected with antenatal ultrasonography. The early detection of other diseases is an additional advantage.
National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
Journal Article
Estimating relative risks and risk differences in randomised controlled trials: a systematic review of current practice
by
Hemming, Karla
,
Watson, Samuel I.
,
Middleton, Lee
in
Binary outcomes
,
Biomedicine
,
Clinical trials
2025
Background
Guidelines for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) recommend reporting relative and absolute measures of effect for binary outcomes while adjusting for covariates. There are a number of different ways covariate-adjusted relative risks and risk differences can be estimated.
Objectives
Our goal was to identify methods used to estimate covariate-adjusted relative risk and risk differences in RCTs published in high-impact journals with binary outcomes. Other secondary objectives included the identification of how covariates are chosen for adjustment and whether covariate adjustment results in an increase in statistical precision in practice.
Methods
We included two-arm parallel RCTs published in
JAMA
,
NEJM
,
Lancet
, or the
BMJ
between January 1, 2018, and March 11, 2023, reporting relative risks or risk differences as a summary measure for a binary primary outcome. The search was conducted in Ovid-MEDLINE.
Results
Of the 308 RCTs identified, around half (49%; 95% CI: 43–54%) reported a covariate-adjusted relative risk or risk difference. Of these, 82 reported an adjusted relative risk. When the reporting was clear (
n
= 65, 79%), the log-binomial model (used in 65% of studies; 95% CI: 52–76%) and modified Poisson (29%; 95% CI: 19–42%) were most commonly used. Of the 92 studies that reported an adjusted risk difference, when the reporting was clear (
n
= 56, 61%), the binomial model (used in 48% of studies; 95% CI: 35–62%) and marginal standardisation (21%; 95% CI: 12–35%) were the common approaches used.
Conclusions
Approximately half of the RCTs report either a covariate-adjusted relative risk or risk difference. Many RCTs lack adequate details on the methods used to estimate covariate-adjusted effects. Of those that do report the approaches used, the binomial model, modified Poisson and to a lesser extent marginal standardisation are the approaches used.
Journal Article
Pregnancy outcomes in women at high risk of preterm birth receiving a vaginal cervical cerclage with, or without, progesterone: A retrospective, secondary analysis of the C-STICH randomised controlled trial data
by
Moakes, Catherine
,
Bell, Lilah
,
Man, Rebecca
in
Abortion, Spontaneous - epidemiology
,
Abortion, Spontaneous - prevention & control
,
Adult
2026
Vaginal cervical cerclage and progesterone are established treatments for prevention of pregnancy loss and prematurity. There is limited data to assess the effect of these treatments in combination. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between progesterone and no progesterone treatment on pregnancy outcomes in women at high risk of preterm birth who had received a vaginal cervical cerclage.
This is a secondary post-hoc analysis of women recruited to the C-STICH randomised controlled trial, which recruited in 75 obstetric units in the UK between 2015 and 2021. In the C-STICH trial, women with a singleton pregnancy, receiving a vaginal cervical cerclage due to a history of pregnancy loss or premature birth, or if indicated by ultrasound, were randomised to cerclage with braided or monofilament suture, with a primary outcome of pregnancy loss, defined as miscarriage, stillbirth, or neonatal death in the first week of life. In this secondary analysis, the primary outcome was pregnancy loss, defined as miscarriage and perinatal mortality, including any stillbirth or neonatal death in the first week of life. Secondary maternal outcomes included miscarriage and previable neonatal death; stillbirth; gestational age at delivery; preterm pre labour rupture of membranes, and sepsis. Secondary neonatal outcomes included early/late neonatal death and sepsis. For each outcome, regression models were fitted adjusting for prespecified prognostic variables. From the 2,048 women recruited to C-STICH, 1943 (95%) women had a vaginal cerclage placed and available progesterone data. Of these, 834 (43%) women received progesterone and 1,109 (57%) did not receive progesterone. In women with primary outcome data available, in our predefined analysis pregnancy loss occurred in 49 (5.9%) of 832 women who received progesterone and 91 (8.3%) of 1,103 women who did not receive progesterone (adjusted* risk ratio 0.70 (95% confidence interval (CI) [0.50, 0.99]); adjusted risk difference -0.02 (95% CI [-0.04, -0.001], *adjusted for indication, obstetric history, surgical technique, and maternal age). Further exploratory analysis excluding women who had termination of pregnancy for foetal anomaly demonstrated a nonsignificant reduction in the risk of pregnancy loss. Key limitations of this study include a nonrandomised trial design and unknown confounding relating to variation in progesterone use.
In women with a vaginal cervical cerclage and concomitant progesterone there appears to be an association with a reduced risk of pregnancy loss. This combination therapy may be an important opportunity to further reduce the risk of pregnancy loss in this high-risk cohort.
Journal Article
The Prevalence of Thyroid Dysfunction and Autoimmunity in Women With History of Miscarriage or Subfertility
by
Boelaert, Kristien
,
Bhatia, Kalsang
,
Underwood, Martyn
in
Abortion, Spontaneous - blood
,
Abortion, Spontaneous - immunology
,
Adolescent
2020
To describe the prevalence of and factors associated with different thyroid dysfunction phenotypes in women who are asymptomatic preconception.
Observational cohort study.
A total of 49 hospitals across the United Kingdom between 2011 and 2016.
Women aged 16 to 41years with history of miscarriage or subfertility trying for a pregnancy.
Prevalences and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using the binomial exact method. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify risk factors for thyroid disease.
None.
Rates of thyroid dysfunction.
Thyroid function and thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) data were available for 19213 and 19237 women, respectively. The prevalence of abnormal thyroid function was 4.8% (95% CI, 4.5-5.1); euthyroidism was defined as levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) of 0.44 to 4.50 mIU/L and free thyroxine (fT4) of 10 to 21 pmol/L. Overt hypothyroidism (TSH > 4.50 mIU/L, fT4 < 10 pmol/L) was present in 0.2% of women (95% CI, 0.1-0.3) and overt hyperthyroidism (TSH < 0.44 mIU/L, fT4 > 21 pmol/L) was present in 0.3% (95% CI, 0.2-0.3). The prevalence of subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) using an upper TSH concentration of 4.50 mIU/L was 2.4% (95% CI, 2.1-2.6). Lowering the upper TSH to 2.50 mIU/L resulted in higher rates of SCH, 19.9% (95% CI, 19.3-20.5). Multiple regression analyses showed increased odds of SCH (TSH > 4.50 mIU/L) with body mass index (BMI) ≥ 35.0 kg/m2 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.71; 95% CI, 1.13-2.57; P = 0.01) and Asian ethnicity (aOR 1.76; 95% CI, 1.31-2.37; P < 0.001), and increased odds of SCH (TSH ≥ 2.50 mIU/L) with subfertility (aOR 1.16; 95% CI, 1.04-1.29; P = 0.008). TPOAb positivity was prevalent in 9.5% of women (95% CI, 9.1-9.9).
The prevalence of undiagnosed overt thyroid disease is low. SCH and TPOAb are common, particularly in women with higher BMI or of Asian ethnicity. A TSH cutoff of 2.50 mIU/L to define SCH results in a significant proportion of women potentially requiring levothyroxine treatment.
Journal Article
Valaciclovir therapy for secondary suppression of immune response to herpesviruses: An exploratory study
by
Zuo, Jianmin
,
Begum, Jusnara
,
Chagoury, Odette
in
Acyclovir - administration & dosage
,
Acyclovir - analogs & derivatives
,
Acyclovir - therapeutic use
2025
Herpesviruses establish a state of persistent infection which is suppressed by sustained virus-specific immune control. The magnitude of this immune response can increase with age and lead to attrition of immune reserve against other pathogens. Approaches which suppress herpesvirus-specific immunity may therefore have the potential to improve general immune function. Anti-retroviral therapy for HIV leads to a reduction in HIV viral antigen and has been shown to mediate a secondary attenuation of the HIV-specific immune response. As such, we assessed if treatment with valaciclovir could suppress the immune response against cytomegalovirus and Epstein Barr Virus in donors aged >65 years. Medication was given at 3 different doses up to a maximum of 4gm/day for 6 months and humoral and cellular profiles were assessed over 12 months. Anti-viral therapy did not impact on the magnitude or phenotype of the humoral or cellular virus-specific immune response during the study period. Treatment also had no impact of physical or mental quality of life assessment. These data show that valaciclovir treatment, at this dose and treatment duration, does not attenuate the CMV or EBV-specific immune response in this age group.
Journal Article
Cost-effectiveness of long-acting progestogens versus the combined oral contraceptives pill for preventing recurrence of endometriosis-related pain following surgery: an economic evaluation alongside the PRE-EMPT trial
2024
ObjectivesTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of long-acting progestogens (LAP), including levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine system (LNG-IUS) and depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA), compared with the combined oral contraceptives pill (COCP) in preventing recurrence of endometriosis-related pain postsurgery.DesignWithin-trial economic evaluation alongside a multicentre, pragmatic, parallel-group, open-label, randomised controlled trial (Preventing Recurrence of Endometriosis by means of Long-Acting Progestogen Therapy trial).SettingThirty-four UK hospitals recruiting participants from November 2015 to March 2019.PatientsFour hundred and five women aged 16–45 years undergoing conservative endometriosis surgery.InterventionsThe ratio of 1:1 randomisation to receive LAPs (LNG-IUS or DMPA) or COCP.Main outcome measuresThe primary evaluation was a cost-utility analysis based on cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained at 3 years. We adopted a UK National Health Service perspective. Secondary analyses in the form of cost-effectiveness analysis based on a range of outcomes were also undertaken.ResultsFor the primary analysis, the COCP group incurred an additional cost of £533 (95% CI £52 to £983) per woman compared with LAPs. Treatment with COCP generated additional QALYs of 0.031 (95% CI −0.079 to 0.139) compared with the LAP group over 36-month follow-up. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for COCP compared with LAPs is therefore approximately £17 193 per QALY. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested that there was a 54.7% probability that COCP would be cost-effective at the £20 000/QALY threshold. The secondary analyses revealed results more in favour of LAPs.ConclusionAlthough the COCP has a slightly higher probability of being cost-effective at £20 000/QALY threshold, there remains considerable uncertainty, with only marginal differences in outcomes between the two treatments. The lower rates of further surgery and second-line medical treatment for women allocated to LAPs may make this option preferable for some women.Trial registration numberISRCTN 97865475.
Journal Article
Testing and Treating Women after Unsuccessful Conservative Treatments for Overactive Bladder or Mixed Urinary Incontinence: A Model-Based Economic Evaluation Based on the BUS Study
by
Middleton, Lee J.
,
Barton, Pelham
,
Roberts, Tracy E.
in
Accuracy
,
Biology and Life Sciences
,
Bladder
2016
To compare the cost-effectiveness of bladder ultrasonography, clinical history, and urodynamic testing in guiding treatment decisions in a secondary care setting for women failing first line conservative treatment for overactive bladder or urgency-predominant mixed urinary incontinence.
Model-based economic evaluation from a UK National Health Service (NHS) perspective using data from the Bladder Ultrasound Study (BUS) and secondary sources.
Cost-effectiveness analysis using a decision tree and a 5-year time horizon based on the outcomes of cost per woman successfully treated and cost per Quality-Adjusted Life-Year (QALY). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, and a value of information analysis are also undertaken.
Bladder ultrasonography is more costly and less effective test-treat strategy than clinical history and urodynamics. Treatment on the basis of clinical history alone has an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £491,100 per woman successfully treated and an ICER of £60,200 per QALY compared with the treatment of all women on the basis of urodynamics. Restricting the use of urodynamics to women with a clinical history of mixed urinary incontinence only is the optimal test-treat strategy on cost-effectiveness grounds with ICERs of £19,500 per woman successfully treated and £12,700 per QALY compared with the treatment of all women based upon urodynamics. Conclusions remained robust to sensitivity analyses, but subject to large uncertainties.
Treatment based upon urodynamics can be seen as a cost-effective strategy, and particularly when targeted at women with clinical history of mixed urinary incontinence only. Further research is needed to resolve current decision uncertainty.
Journal Article